Mengdie Fang’s research while affiliated with Zhejiang Chinese Medical University and other places

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Publications (3)


Selection process of qualified studies
SROC curve of the (a) Ranson and (b) BISAP for predicting severity in AP
SROC, Summary receiver operating characteristic; BISAP, Bedside Index of Severity in Acute Pancreatitis; AP, acute pancreatitis.
SROC curve of the (a) Ranson and (b) BISAP for predicting mortality in AP
SROC, Summary receiver operating characteristic; BISAP, Bedside Index of Severity in Acute Pancreatitis; AP, acute pancreatitis.
SROC curve of the (a) Ranson and (b) BISAP for predicting organ failure in AP
SROC, Summary receiver operating characteristic; BISAP, Bedside Index of Severity in Acute Pancreatitis; AP, acute pancreatitis.
SROC curve of the (a) Ranson and (b) BISAP for predicting pancreatic necrosis in AP
SROC, Summary receiver operating characteristic; BISAP, Bedside Index of Severity in Acute Pancreatitis; AP, acute pancreatitis.

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Predictive value of the Ranson and BISAP scoring systems for the severity and prognosis of acute pancreatitis: A systematic review and meta-analysis
  • Literature Review
  • Full-text available

April 2024

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52 Reads

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4 Citations

Jianpeng Zhu

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Linfei Wu

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Yue Wang

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[...]

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Xiaofeng Zhang

Background To systematically assess and compare the predictive value of the Ranson and Bedside Index of Severity in Acute Pancreatitis (BISAP) scoring systems for the severity and prognosis of acute pancreatitis (AP). Methods PubMed, Embase, Cochrane Library, and Web of Science were systematically searched until February 15, 2023. Outcomes in this analysis included severity and prognosis [mortality, organ failure, pancreatic necrosis, and intensive care unit (ICU) admission]. The revised Quality Assessment of Diagnostic Accuracy Studies (QUADAS-2) tool was used to evaluate the quality of diagnostic accuracy studies. The threshold effect was evaluated for each outcome. The sensitivity, specificity, positive likelihood ratio (PLR), negative likelihood ratio (NLR), diagnostic odds ratio (DOR), and the area under the summary receiver operating characteristic (SROC) curve (AUC) as well as 95% confidence intervals (CI) were calculated. The DeLong test was used for AUC comparisons. For the outcome evaluated by over 9 studies, publication bias was assessed using the Deeks’ funnel plot asymmetry test. Results Totally 17 studies of 5476 AP patients were included. For severity, the pooled sensitivity of the Ranson and BISAP was 0.95 (95%CI: 0.87, 0.98) and 0.67 (95%CI: 0.27, 0.92); the pooled specificity of the Ranson and BISAP was 0.74 (0.52, 0.88) and 0.95 (95%CI: 0.85, 0.98); the pooled AUC of the Ranson and BISAP was 0.95 (95%CI: 0.93, 0.97) and 0.94 (95%CI: 0.92, 0.96) (P = 0.480). For mortality, the pooled sensitivity of the Ranson and BISAP was 0.89 (95%CI: 0.73, 0.96) and 0.77 (95%CI: 0.58, 0.89); the pooled specificity of the Ranson and BISAP was 0.79 (95%CI: 0.68, 0.87) and 0.90 (95%CI: 0.86, 0.93); the pooled AUC of the Ranson and BISAP was 0.91 (95%CI: 0.88, 0.93) and 0.92 (95%CI: 0.90, 0.94) (P = 0.480). For organ failure, the pooled sensitivity of the Ranson and BISAP was 0.84 (95%CI: 0.76, 0.90) and 0.78 (95%CI: 0.60, 0.90); the pooled specificity of the Ranson and BISAP was 0.84 (95%CI: 0.63, 0.94) and 0.90 (95%CI: 0.72, 0.97); the pooled AUC of the Ranson and BISAP was 0.86 (95%CI: 0.82, 0.88) and 0.90 (95%CI: 0.87, 0.93) (P = 0.110). For pancreatic necrosis, the pooled sensitivity of the Ranson and BISAP was 0.63 (95%CI: 0.35, 0.84) and 0.63 (95%CI: 0.23, 0.90); the pooled specificity of the Ranson and BISAP was 0.90 (95%CI: 0.77, 0.96) and 0.93 (95%CI: 0.89, 0.96); the pooled AUC of the Ranson and BISAP was 0.87 (95%CI: 0.84, 0.90) and 0.93 (95%CI: 0.91, 0.95) (P = 0.001). For ICU admission, the pooled sensitivity of the Ranson and BISAP was 0.86 (95%CI: 0.77, 0.92) and 0.63 (95%CI: 0.52, 0.73); the pooled specificity of the Ranson and BISAP was 0.58 (95%CI: 0.55, 0.61) and 0.84 (95%CI: 0.81, 0.86); the pooled AUC of the Ranson and BISAP was 0.92 (95%CI: 0.81, 1.00) and 0.86 (95%CI: 0.67, 1.00) (P = 0.592). Conclusion The Ranson score was an applicable tool for predicting severity and prognosis of AP patients with reliable diagnostic accuracy in resource and time-limited settings. Future large-scale studies are needed to verify the findings.

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Primary choledocholithiasis occurrence and recurrence is synergetcally modulated by the bile microbiome and metabolome alternations

September 2023

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14 Reads

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4 Citations

Life Sciences

Aims: Primary choledocholithiasis is a common digestive disease with high morbidity and relapse. However, the compositions and functions of the bile microbial ecosystem and the pathogenesis of microfloral regulation of host metabolism resulting in stone formation are poorly understood. Main methods: Biliary samples collected from patients with acute cholangitis induced by benign biliary stricture (nonlithiasis group, n = 17) and primary choledocholithiasis (lithiasis group, n = 33) were subjected to multiomics analyses. Furthermore, clinicopathological features collected over a 24-month follow-up period were examined to evaluate the predictive value of candidate microbes. Key findings: Five alpha diversity indices of the bile microbiome were significantly decreased in the lithiasis group. Furthermore, we identified 49 differential bile flora between the two groups, and the relative abundances of 6 bacteria, Actinobacteria, Actinobacteriota, Staphylococcales, Micrococcales, Altererythrobacter and Carnobacteriaceae, were associated with primary choledocholithiasis relapse conditions. Multiomics analyses showed that specific changes in disease-related bacterial taxa were closely related to metabolite variation (low-molecular weight carboxylic acids, sterol liquid and acylcarnitine), which might reflect disease prognosis. According to microbiomic and metabolomic pathway analyses, we revealed that bacterial infections, microbiota-derived amino acid metabolites and secondary bile acid-related pathways were significantly enriched in the stone-formation group, suggesting a novel host-microbial metabolic mechanism of primary choledocholithiasis. Significance: Our study first indicates bile host-microbial dysbiosis modulates the abnormal accumulation of metabolites might further disrupt calcium homeostasis and generate insoluble saponification. Additionally, we determined the predictive value of Actinomycetes phylum reduction for recurrence in primary common bile duct stone patients.


The distribution and proportion of pathogenic bacteria in 98 patients with predicted severe acute gallstone pancreatitis. (A) The distribution and proportion of pathogenic bacteria. (B) The distribution and proportion of pathogenic bacteria by dividing of MDRO.
Clinical Outcomes.
Total microorganisms and multidrug resistant microorganisms. Isolates, NO. (%)
Early Versus Delayed Enteral Feeding in Predicted Severe Acute Gallstone Pancreatitis: A Retrospective Study

July 2022

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50 Reads

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2 Citations

Background The optimal timing of enteral nutrition (EN) initiation in predicted severe acute gallstone pancreatitis (SAGP) and its influence on disease outcomes are not well known. Methods We conducted a retrospective study of patients with predicted SAGP treated with endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography and EN. The patients were classified into two groups according to the timing of EN initiation after admission: within 48 h, and more than 48 h. The primary outcome was in-hospital mortality. The secondary outcomes were length of hospital stay, need for intensive care admission, need for surgical intervention, improvements in blood test results after 7-10 days of EN, incidence of pancreatic necrosis and infection, and hospital care costs. The microbiological profiles of infectious complications were also evaluated. Results Of the 98 patients, 31 and 67 started EN within 48 h, and more than 48 h after admission, respectively. Early EN was associated with a decrease in in-hospital mortality (0 vs. 11.9%; p=0.045), length of hospital stay (median:18 vs. 27 days; p=0.001), need for intensive care admission (3.2% vs. 20.9%; p=0.032), and hospital care costs (median:9,289 vs. 13,518 US$; p=0.007), compared to delayed EN. Moreover, early EN for 7-10 days had more beneficial effects on blood test results than delayed EN, including total protein (p=0.03) and CRP (p=0.006) levels. However, the need for surgical intervention and incidence of pancreatic necrosis did not differ between the two groups. In our study, Gram-negative bacteria were the main responsible pathogens (50.5%). Infection with multidrug-resistant organisms (MDRO) was found in 19.4% of the patients. The most common MDRO was MDR Enterococcus faecium. Early EN was not superior in reducing incidence of infected pancreatic necrosis, bacteremia, polymicrobial infection, or MDROs. Conclusions In patients with predicted SAGP, early EN is associated with a decrease in in-hospital mortality, length of hospital stay, need of intensive care admission, and hospital care costs, compared to delayed EN. There are no significant benefits of early EN in reducing the rate of infection-related complications. Further studies with larger sample sizes are warranted.

Citations (3)


... There are some studies that encounter better specificity and sensitivity for the severity of disease of the Ranson score and BISAP score. A study published in 2024 by Jianpeng Zu et al. presents, following a meta-analysis, a pooled sensitivity for severity for the Ranson score and BISAP score of 95% and 67%, a pooled specificity for both scores of 74% and 95%, and a pooled accuracy of Ranson score and BISAP score of 95% and 94% [43]. ...

Reference:

Predictive Value of Several Parameters for Severity of Acute Pancreatitis in a Cohort of 172 Patients
Predictive value of the Ranson and BISAP scoring systems for the severity and prognosis of acute pancreatitis: A systematic review and meta-analysis

... Common bile duct stones are a common disease of the extrahepatic biliary system and are divided into primary and secondary types [1]. Typically, patients with bile duct stones do not experience abdominal pain, nausea, vomiting, or other upper gastrointestinal discomfort when the stones are not causing obstruction [2]. ...

Primary choledocholithiasis occurrence and recurrence is synergetcally modulated by the bile microbiome and metabolome alternations
  • Citing Article
  • September 2023

Life Sciences

... 18 Another study also showed that EN initiation within 48 h was associated with decreased in-hospital mortality and length of hospital stay compared with delayed EN (>48 h) in predicted severe acute gallstone pancreatitis. 19 In 2010, a retrospective investigation performed by Hegazi and colleagues found that the time to start jejunal feeding was much longer in nonsurvivors than in survivors (17 vs 7 days). 20 Because of the retrospective nature of the study, "survivor bias" can not be ruled out, because survivors may simply better tolerate EN feeding. ...

Early Versus Delayed Enteral Feeding in Predicted Severe Acute Gallstone Pancreatitis: A Retrospective Study