Mary I. O’Connor’s research while affiliated with University of British Columbia and other places

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Publications (10)


Trophic interactions influence thermal adaptation of phytoplankton size and stoichiometry
  • Preprint

November 2024

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9 Reads

David M. Anderson

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Mary I. O'Connor

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Study area of the Coastal Habitat Comprehensive Research Project and geographic scope for each research component. Between Cape Jones and Boatswain Bay, the land is divided into 27 coastal traplines (i.e., designated family territories where harvesting activities are by tradition carried on under the supervision of a Cree tallyman (Québec 1976)). The dashed black line delineates traplines that did not participate in the research from 2019 to 2022. Ocean and eelgrass components overlapped along the coast, but ocean team remote sensing measurements also included offshore waters. The GMS-GPS tracking of geese is not represented. Subpanel (a) eelgrass shoot showing parts above and below the sediments. Rhizomes, which are in the sediment, anchor the eelgrass shoots. Roots attached to the rhizomes absorb nutrients from the sediments; subpanel (b) picture of an eelgrass meadow (credit: Kaleigh Davis). Map projection: NAD83 Québec Lambert. Data source: Government of Canada (2013) and Government of Quebec (2020). No permission was required to use the map data.
Timeline of events leading to the implementation of the Coastal Habitat Comprehensive Research Project. NC: Niskamoon Corporation; HQ: Hydro-Québec; CNG: Cree Nation Government.
Coastal Habitat Comprehensive Research Project’s main question and research teams (A), and research sub-questions identified by the research teams, around which field activities, analyses, and research deliverables were organized (B). Numbers refer to sub-questions in the text. EJB: Eastern James Bay.
Workflow towards co-developing research, promoting community engagement and validation process in the Coastal Habitat Comprehensive Research Project. The feedback loops between researchers (R), CHCRP-Streering Committee (SC), and Cree land users indicate an iterative process. NLO: Niskamoon local officer.
Contributions of partners and researchers towards shared goals of developing salient (green), legitimate (grey), and credible (purple) results in the research program.
Cree-driven community-partnered research on coastal ecosystem change in subarctic Canada: a multiple knowledge approach
  • Article
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June 2024

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128 Reads

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1 Citation

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Indigenous-driven and community-partnered research projects seeking to develop salient, legitimate, and credible knowledge bases for environmental decision-making require a multiple knowledge systems approach. When involving partners in addition to communities, diverging perspectives and priorities may arise, making the pathways to engaging in principled research while generating actionable knowledge unclear to disciplinarily-trained natural science researchers. Here, we share insights from the Eeyou Coastal Habitat Comprehensive Research Project (CHCRP), an interdisciplinary, Cree-driven community-academic partnership. This project brought together Cree community members, regional organizations, industry (Hydro-Québec), and academics from seven universities across Canada to address the unprecedented loss of seagrass Zostera marina (eelgrass), the concurrent decline in migratory Canada geese and its impact on fall goose harvest activities in Eeyou Istchee. After describing the history and context of the project, we discuss the challenges, complexities, and benefits of the collaborative approach balancing saliency, legitimacy, and credibility of the knowledge produced. We suggest the paper may be of use to researchers and partners seeking to engage in principled and actionable research related to environmental change including impacts of past development.

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The “Turning Point” for the Fall Goose Hunt in Eeyou Istchee: A Social-Ecological Regime Shift from an Indigenous Knowledge Perspective

May 2024

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44 Reads

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2 Citations

Human Ecology

We present a perspective on how the Eeyou (James Bay Cree) from Eeyou Istchee (Eastern James Bay, Québec) understand the transformation of their traditional fall goose hunt system as a consequence of social and environmental changes across marine and terrestrial ecosystems with drivers operating at the local, regional and continental scales. Eeyou land users from the Chisasibi and Wemindji First Nations report that their traditional fall goose hunt underwent a “turning point” during the early 2000s. Not only did the abundance of Canadian geese reach a historical low, but their feeding and migratory behavior became unpredictable. Eeyou land users associate such abrupt changes with the massive eelgrass die-off of the late 1990s, the onset of the effects of climate change on coastal habitats experienced since the 1970s, and agricultural development along geese flyways. This manuscript is an outcome of the Eeyou Knowledge component of the Coastal Habitat Comprehensive Research Project (2016–2022) and followed a community-based case study approach that included 28 semi-structured interviews and 14 mapping interviews with Eeyou research contributors. The findings presented here underscore the capacity of Indigenous knowledge to make sense of the multifaceted impacts of environmental change across various dimensions and layers of their social-ecological system, including management strategies and values.



Conceptual layout of the fitness value of information (FVOI): see Box 1 for more details. (a) Populations recover from low density more quickly when information is present and they have an internal model of the frequency of favourable environments. The FVOI (Δ𝜌i) is measured as the difference between informed and uninformed population (log) growth rates. (b) Patterns of environmental variation may serve as a cue for favourable environments, as when the amount of early‐season precipitation (e.g. in January) signals the total amount of rain that will fall during the growing season. (c–e) The FVOI framework parses the information in the environment using information‐theoretic metrics, using frequency distributions of environmental patterns. (c) The Shannon Entropy measures the “surprisal” of a single variable (total rain). (d) The KL divergence provides a measure of the difference of the distributions of two variables (a statistical distance); bin‐by‐bin differences between two variables (early and late year precipitation) are pictured as dark grey bars. (e) Information gained by a variable by observing a second variable is measured by the mutual information (MI). Surface plots show the join probability distribution of two variables, whose individual (marginal) probabilities are shown along the edges. (f–h) The FVOI parses the population's internal model using the same information theoretic metrics. (f) Populations can exploit MI between two variables by treating one variable as a cue. (g) In this example, high MI produces a reliable cue used by seeds of an annual plant species to initiate germination. (h) How efficiently a population uses this information can be measured by comparing the population‐level proportion of germinants in each environment against the actual distribution of environments. Then, Δ𝜌i is the difference between the MI (f) and the KL divergence of environment and internal model (h).
Population growth for two life history models: (a) a simple multiplicative process and (b) the dormancy model. Each model allows for a strategy or phenotype to reproduce without environmental information 𝜌i(E), or to use an environmental cue for information 𝜌i(E|C) (see text and model details in Box 1). To illustrate the relative contributions of I(E;C) and each population to the FVOI, values of the slopes 𝜌i(E) and 𝜌i(E|C) are shown in (c) and (d) for each model. The fitness value of information is measured by the difference between the two slopes Δ𝜌i. The mutual information I(E;C) between the environment and the cue defines the maximum potential contribution of a cue to fitness, while the KL Divergence (DKL) quantifies the extent to which a population fails to benefit from an informative cue; the stacked bars in (c) and (d) illustrate that the FVOI is the difference between I(E;C) and DKL. See the Appendix S1 for simulation details.
The dynamics of the lottery model (a) for a population of species 1 (shown in green) in the presence of a competitor (in purple) with and without the ability to detect an environmental cue that helps it predict favourable environmental conditions for germination (see Box 2 for model description). (b) The environment is simulated by taking draws from a normal distribution to set the conditions for each time step, without autocorrelation (μ = 0.5 and σ = 0.1, b). Each species (green and purple lines) has a different optimum environment modelled as Gaussian curves so that reproductive fitness decays with the distance of an environmental state from the optimum. (c) The varying environmental state, reproduction, and germination rates are simulated as a time series. When germination is informed (because 𝜌i(E|C) is high) then germination rates match closely to the reproduction rates in that year, as seen in the solid germination lines. When germination is not informed then there is no correlation between germination rates and reproduction; this is seen by comparing the dotted germination lines to the reproduction rates. See the Appendix S1 for simulation code.
The change in the fitness value of information for two species (one green, one purple) competing for fluctuating resources. Competition increases with more resource overlap because species will reproduce more often under similar conditions and limit the growth of the other. (a) The fitness value of information Δ𝜌i for each species decreases when competition for resources increases. (b) The niche difference between the two species when both species use information, or when both species are uninformed (i.e. 𝜌i(E|C) and 𝜌i(E)) as labelled. A niche difference of 1 corresponds with 100% differentiation.
The population dynamics of the competition model with social information, with (upper lines) and without (lower lines) social information.
The fitness value of ecological information in a variable world

February 2023

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204 Reads

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3 Citations

Ecology Letters

Information processing is increasingly recognized as a fundamental component of life in variable environments, including the evolved use of environmental cues, biomolecular networks, and social learning. Despite this, ecology lacks a quantitative framework for understanding how population, community, and ecosystem dynamics depend on information processing. Here, we review the rationale and evidence for ‘fitness value of information’ (FVOI), and synthesize theoretical work in ecology, information theory, and probability behind this general mathematical framework. The FVOI quantifies how species' per capita population growth rates can depend on the use of information in their environment. FVOI is a breakthrough approach to linking information processing and ecological and evolutionary outcomes in a changing environment, addressing longstanding questions about how information mediates the effects of environmental change and species interactions.


Biotic interactions structure zooplankton metacommunity dynamics following a summer heatwave

February 2023

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49 Reads

Despite the key role of biotic interactions in structuring ecological communities, their influence is often overlooked in predictions of how communities respond to environmental change. Here, we present an experiment that tests hypotheses based on metacommunity theory about how abiotic responses, biotic interactions, and dispersal jointly determine the response of ecological communities to environmental perturbations. We established experimental zooplankton metacommunities across spatial temperature gradients, connected by three levels of dispersal, that experienced natural temporal variation in ambient temperature. Prior to a mid-summer heatwave, community composition varied across the spatial temperature gradients. The heatwave homogenized the metacommunities and when conditions cooled, communities diverged into multiple compositional states that were not associated with temperature. These states appear to have been driven by biotic interactions that prevented the reestablishment of the pre-heatwave thermal compositional gradients. This highlights how biotic interactions can prevent metacommunities from tracking temperature changes via dispersal-facilitated species sorting.


Limited recovery following a massive seagrass decline in subarctic eastern Canada

October 2022

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179 Reads

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20 Citations

Global Change Biology

Over the last few decades, there has been an increasing recognition for seagrasses' contribution to the functioning of nearshore ecosystems and climate change mitigation. Nevertheless, seagrass ecosystems have been deteriorating globally at an accelerating rate during recent decades. In 2017, research into the condition of eelgrass (Zostera marina) along the eastern coast of James Bay, Canada, was initiated in response to reports of eelgrass decline by the Cree First Nations of Eeyou Istchee. As part of this research, we compiled and analyzed two decades of eelgrass cover data and three decades of eelgrass monitoring data (biomass and density) to detect changes and assess possible environmental drivers. We detected a major decline in eelgrass condition between 1995 and 1999, which encompassed the entire east coast of James Bay. Surveys conducted in 2019 and 2020 indicated limited changes post decline, e.g., low eelgrass cover (<25%), low aboveground biomass, smaller shoots than before 1995, and marginally low densities persisted at most sites. Overall, the synthesized datasets show a 40 % loss of eelgrass meadows with > 50% cover in eastern James Bay since 1995, representing the largest scale eelgrass decline documented in eastern Canada since the massive die-off event that occurred in the 1930s along the North Atlantic coast. Using biomass data collected since 1982, but geographically limited to the sector of the coast near the regulated La Grande River, generalized additive modeling revealed eelgrass meadows are affected by local sea surface temperature, early ice breakup and higher summer freshwater discharge. Our results caution against assuming subarctic seagrass ecosystems have avoided recent global declines or will benefit from ongoing climate warming.


The thermal optima of population‐level parasitism are significantly positively correlated with the thermal optima of individual‐level parasitism. We found that population‐level parasitism Topt was significantly positively correlated with individual‐level parasitism Topt in vector‐borne systems (a; Pearson correlation = 0.818; 95% CI: 0.486–0.944; n = 13) and environmentally transmitted systems (b; Pearson correlation = 0.739; 95% CI: 0.249–0.927; n = 11). The correlation was similar but not significant for the subset of environmentally transmitted systems that had estimated thermal optima not at the end of their examined temperature range (b; blue circles; Pearson correlation = 0.648; 95% CI: −0.830–0.992; n = 4).
Thermal matches and mismatches tended to be correlated across levels of biological organization. The difference between Topt of population‐level parasitism and host performance (y‐axis) is plotted against the difference between Topt of individual‐level parasitism and host performance (x‐axis) for 17 host–parasite systems. Systems situated at the origin had population‐level parasitism, individual‐level parasitism and host performance all maximized at the same temperature (i.e. no thermal mismatches exist), while displacement from the origin represents parasitism peaking at temperatures away from where host performance peaks (i.e. thermal mismatches at individual or population levels). All seven of the systems situated close to the origin (within Euclidian distance of 2.5°C, represented by the black circle) were vector‐borne parasite systems (orange diamonds). All environmentally transmitted systems (blue and yellow circles for systems with parasitism estimated in intermediate range or end of examined range respectively) exhibited thermal mismatches at one or both levels. Dashed line represents the 1:1 line.
The strength of correlation in simulated systems between thermal optima of individual‐ and population‐level parasitism differs across the level to which transmission‐related processes are dependent on individual‐level parasitism. Correlations observed for simulated vector‐borne systems (a) and environmentally transmitted systems (b–d) were weaker than for the empirical observations (Figure 1). The strength of correlation differed significantly depending on the number of relationships between individual‐level parasitism and transmission‐related processes in both environmentally transmitted systems (b–d) and vector‐borne systems (a, Figure S5). Dashed black lines represent the 1:1 lines.
Scaling effects of temperature on parasitism from individuals to populations

August 2022

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18 Reads

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9 Citations

Parasitism is expected to change in a warmer future, but whether warming leads to substantial increases in parasitism remains unclear. Understanding how warming effects on parasitism in individual hosts (e.g. parasite load) translate to effects on population‐level parasitism (e.g. prevalence, R0) remains a major knowledge gap. We conducted a literature review and identified 24 host–parasite systems that had information on the temperature dependence of parasitism at both individual host and host population levels: 13 vector‐borne systems and 11 environmentally transmitted systems. We found a strong positive correlation between the thermal optima of individual‐ and population‐level parasitism, although several of the environmentally transmitted systems exhibited thermal optima >5°C apart between individual and population levels. Parasitism thermal optima were close to vector performance thermal optima in vector‐borne systems but not hosts in environmentally transmitted systems, suggesting these thermal mismatches may be more common in certain types of host–parasite systems. We also adapted and simulated simple models for both types of transmission modes and found the same pattern across the two modes: thermal optima were more strongly correlated across scales when there were more traits linking individual‐ to population‐level processes. Generally, our results suggest that information on the temperature dependence, and specifically the thermal optimum, at either the individual or population level should provide a useful—although not quantitatively exact—baseline for predicting temperature dependence at the other level, especially in vector‐borne parasite systems. Environmentally transmitted parasitism may operate by a different set of rules, in which temperature dependence is decoupled in some systems, requiring the need for trait‐based studies of temperature dependence at individual and population levels.


Figure 1. Illustration of a simplified host-parasite system that highlights temperature-109 dependent processes occur and interact across levels of biological organization. Temperature 110 can influence parasite growth and host defenses against infection, which can ultimately lead to a 111 thermal response for individual-level parasitism (e.g., parasite burden; a). Similarly, temperature 112 can affect contact rates between hosts or hosts and parasites, the probability of infection after 113 contact, and host density, all of which can lead to variation in parasite transmission rate across 114 temperature (b). In some cases, the thermal response of individual-level parasitism (a) may also 115 partially influence the thermal response of parasite transmission (b), as higher parasite burden 116 can confer a higher probability of infection after contact or can alter contact rates between hosts. 117 Together, the thermal responses of individual-level parasitism (a) and parasite transmission (b) 118 will help determine the thermal response of population-level parasitism (e.g., parasite prevalence 119 or the basic reproduction number R0; c). 120 121 122 123 124 125 126 127 128 129 130 131 132
Temperature effects on individual-level parasitism translate into predictable effects on parasitism in populations

December 2020

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105 Reads

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1 Citation

Parasitism – the interaction between a parasite and its host – is expected to change in a warmer future, but the direction and magnitude of this change is uncertain. One challenge is understanding whether warming effects will be similar on individual hosts (e.g., parasite burden) compared to on population-level parasitism (e.g., prevalence, R 0 ). Examining thirteen empirical systems, we found a strong positive relationship between the thermal optima of individual- and population-level parasitism. We also found that parasitism thermal optima were close to host performance thermal optima in mosquito – parasite systems but not in non-mosquito – parasite systems. A simple mechanistic model showed how population-level parasitism thermal optima can be similar to individual-level parasitism thermal optima even under conditions where parasite transmission has a considerably higher thermal optimum. These results provide a key step towards finding general rules for how warming temperatures should affect parasitism in individuals, populations, and ecosystems.

Citations (5)


... Canada goose populations harvested in Eeyou Istchee were estimated by using harvest booklets and bands recovered from geese hunted along the coast (Fig. 3, sub-question 8) (Giroux et al. 2022). To assess distribution of geese (Fig. 3, sub-question 9), Cree knowledge holders offered insights on geese feeding behaviour, and migratory patterns (Idrobo et al. 2024); molt-migrant Canada geese were fitted with GSM-GPS devices to analyze their movements (Sorais et al. 2023); and helicopter surveys were conducted to observe geese distribution in the coastal habitat in spring and fall (Fig. 3, sub-question 9). To further assess coastal habitat used by Canada geese, researchers superimposed migration patterns and stopover points onto maps delineating various habitat types along the bay. ...

Reference:

Cree-driven community-partnered research on coastal ecosystem change in subarctic Canada: a multiple knowledge approach
The “Turning Point” for the Fall Goose Hunt in Eeyou Istchee: A Social-Ecological Regime Shift from an Indigenous Knowledge Perspective

Human Ecology

... temperature, humidity and light) or biotic (e.g. conspecifics' density, presence and density of heterospecifics like competitors, resource/prey or predators/parasites) [52] and can be acquired via visual, auditory, olfactory, chemical or haptic cues. Information can also be transmitted by ascendants [53,54] or other (unrelated) individuals. ...

The fitness value of ecological information in a variable world

Ecology Letters

... After 50 years, oceanographic studies in James Bay have begun anew (Mundy, 2021;Peck et al., 2022;Évrard et al., 2023;Meilleur et al., 2023), in part to address community and First Nation concerns about observed environmental changes along coastal areas of the bay, including declines in seagrasses (Zostera marina, commonly known as eelgrass). A recent study found statistical associations between eelgrass biomass and high discharge from the regulated La Grande River (LGR), which discharges into northeast James Bay (NEJB; Leblanc et al., 2023). The objectives of this study are to alleviate persisting baseline data gaps by (1) characterizing the freshwater and nutrient (nitrate and phosphate) distributions, sources and fate in the NEJB coastal area under contemporary flow regimes during summer and winter; and (2) assessing how the modifications to LGR have affected nutrient stocks in the coastal environment. ...

Limited recovery following a massive seagrass decline in subarctic eastern Canada
  • Citing Article
  • October 2022

Global Change Biology

... These asymmetries and mismatches describe cases in which multiple biological rates respond differently to climate change, suggesting that non-compensatory climate change effects could be nearly ubiquitous (See Box 3 Figure: Non-compensatory effects, asymmetries, and mismatches for a critical comparison of the three concepts). For example, studies have identified asymmetric responses to temperature: among different rates within species (Bozinovic et al., 2020;Huey & Kingsolver, 2019;Johnson et al., 2023;Jørgensen et al., 2022;Pawar et al., 2024;Wang et al., 2020), in consumer-resource interactions (Álvarez-Codesal et al., 2023;Bideault et al., 2021;Dell et al., 2014;Gibert et al., 2022;Gilbert et al., 2014), and in host-parasite systems (Cohen et al., 2017;Kirk et al., 2022;Mordecai et al., 2013Mordecai et al., , 2019Taylor et al., 2019). However, we currently lack a cohesive framework with which to conceptualize how these responses might lead to non-compensatory climate change effects and how those effects fit together and interact to ultimately produce changes in populations. ...

Scaling effects of temperature on parasitism from individuals to populations

... Regional patterns warrant additional study at smaller spatial scales, and relative to additional interactions among environmental covariates. At smaller scales, relationships between temperature and the pathogen biology, host biology, and their interplay could be further explored (85). Spatially downscaled approaches could have ramifications for the direction of regionally specific conservation actions to forestall disease threat, such as site-specific efforts to manage microclimate conditions (86). ...

Temperature effects on individual-level parasitism translate into predictable effects on parasitism in populations