Malcolm P. North's research while affiliated with University of California, Davis and other places
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Publications (55)
Yellow pine and mixed-conifer (YPMC) forests of California's Sierra Nevada have experienced widespread fire suppression for over a century, resulting in ingrowth and densification of trees, heavy fuel accumulation, and shifts in species composition. Under warmer and drier climates, these forests are primed for stand-replacing fires and severe droug...
Climate change is increasing the severity and duration of drought events experienced by forest ecosystems. Because water is essential for tree physiological processes, the ability of trees to survive prolonged droughts will largely depend on whether they have access to reliable water sources. Whereas many woody plant species exhibit the ability to...
Web Table 1. To Jones et al 2022.
Many dry conifer forests in the western United States were historically adapted to frequent low-to-moderate severity fires, but are increasingly susceptible to large, stand-replacing wildfires due to dramatically altered stand conditions and changing climate. The historic tree spatial patterns of mature stands in fire-adapted forests – individual t...
Recent intense fire seasons in Australia, Borneo, South America, Africa, Siberia, and western North America have displaced large numbers of people, burned tens of millions of hectares, and generated societal urgency to address the wildfire problem (Bowman et al. 2020). Nearly all terrestrial ecosystems, however, burn with some degree of regularity,...
An estimated 128 M trees died during the 2012–2016 California drought, largely in the southern Sierra Nevada Range. Prescribed burning and mechanical thinning are widely used to reduce fuels and restore ecosystem properties, but it is unclear if these treatments improve tree growth and vigor during extreme drought. This study examined tree growth r...
With the increasing frequency and severity of altered disturbance regimes in dry, western U.S. forests, treatments promoting resilience have become a management objective but have been difficult to define or operationalize. Many reconstruction studies of these forests when they had active fire regimes have documented very low tree densities before...
The reestablishment of natural fire regimes can have numerous benefits for forest ecosystems, including the restoration of stand structure through a reduction in tree densities and increased representation of large diameter trees. However, fire effects may depend on how departed the ecosystem is from its historical fire frequency. Red fir (Abies ma...
O período entre 2018 e 2022 mostrou-nos que o problema dos incêndios à escala global não está a diminuir, antes pelo contrário. Parece que as consequências das alterações climáticas já estão a afectar a ocorrência de incêndios florestais em várias partes do Mundo, de uma forma que só esperaríamos que acontecesse vários anos mais tarde. Em muitos pa...
Wildfire is capable of rapidly releasing the energy stored in forests, with the amount of water in live and dead biomass acting as a regulator on the amount and rate of energy release. Here, we used temperature and fuel moisture data to examine climate‐driven changes in fuel moisture content over the past three decades. We then calculated the chang...
As a result of climatic warming, tree species ranges are generally expected to move upslope in elevation. Although this upward range migration is likely determined principally by temperature, other factors such as habitat and soil moisture availability contribute to a species’ ability to establish in new areas. Throughout the montane ecosystems of...
A significant increase in treatment pace and scale is needed to restore dry western US forest resilience owing to increasingly frequent and severe wildfire and drought. We propose a pyrosilviculture approach to directly increase large-scale fire use and modify current thinning treatments to optimize future fire incorporation. Recommendations includ...
Mycorrhizae alter global patterns of CO2 fertilization, carbon storage, and elemental cycling, yet knowledge of their global distributions is currently limited by the availability of forest inventory data. Here, we show that maps of tree-mycorrhizal associations (hereafter “mycorrhizal maps”) can be improved by the novel technology of imaging spect...
Mountain ecosystems contain strong elevational gradients in climate and vegetation that shape species distributions and the structure of animal communities. Nevertheless, studies of habitat selection for individual species rarely account for such gradients that often result in species being managed uniformly across their range, which may not improv...
This assessment uses historical observations and datasets, as well as studies conducted in contemporary reference landscapes (i.e., those with active fire regimes and minimal management impacts) to define the natural range of variation (NRV) for red fir (Abies magnifica) and subalpine forests in northwestern California and southwestern Oregon.
The recent Californian hot drought (2012–2016) precipitated unprecedented ponderosa pine ( Pinus ponderosa ) mortality, largely attributable to the western pine beetle ( Dendroctonus brevicomis ; WPB). Broad-scale climate conditions can directly shape tree mortality patterns, but mortality rates respond non-linearly to climate when local-scale fore...
Western North American forest ecosystems are experiencing rapid changes in disturbance regimes because of climate change and land use legacies (Littell et al. 2018). In many of these forests, the accumulation of surface and ladder fuels from a century of fire suppression, coupled with a warming and drying climate, has led to increases in the number...
For over 20 years, forest fuel reduction has been the dominant management action in western US forests. These same actions have also been associated with the restoration of highly altered frequent-fire forests. Perhaps the vital element in the compatibility of these treatments is that both need to incorporate the salient characteristics that freque...
AimsTo examine the potential mechanistic predictors of germination and first-year survival in two species of Great Basin sub-alpine trees along an elevation gradient on three soil types.Methods
Using a network of experimental gardens, we sowed limber pine and Great Basin bristlecone pine along elevational gradients at three sites on three different...
California's high density, fire-excluded forests experienced an extreme drought accompanied by warmer than normal temperatures from 2012 to 2015, resulting in the deaths of millions of trees. We examined tree mortality and growth of mixed-conifer stands that had been experimentally treated between 2011 and 2013 with two different thinning treatment...
In Sierra Nevada mixed-conifer forests, heterogeneity in overstory tree spatial patterns is an important ecological characteristic associated with resilience to frequent fires. Regional managers often emphasize this heterogeneity as a key component of forest treatments. There is a lack of information about how the dimensions of fire-resilient tree...
Ongoing climate change will alter the carbon carrying capacity of forests as they adjust to climatic extremes and changing disturbance regimes. In frequent-fire forests, increasing drought frequency and severity are already causing widespread tree mortality events, which can exacerbate the carbon debt that has developed as a result of fire-exclusio...
Climate change is amplifying the frequency and intensity of drought and fire stress in many forests. In the western U.S., fuels reduction treatments, both mechanical and prescribed fire, are widely used to increase resilience to wildfire but their effect on resistance to drought and beetle mortality is not as well understood. We followed more than...
A ‘resilient’ forest endures disturbance and is likely to persist. Resilience to wildfire may arise from feedback between fire behaviour and forest structure in dry forest systems. Frequent fire creates fine‐scale variability in forest structure, which may then interrupt fuel continuity and prevent future fires from killing overstorey trees. Testin...
The recent Californian hot drought (2012-2016) precipitated unprecedented ponderosa pine (Pinus ponderosa) mortality, largely attributable to the western pine beetle (Dendroctonus brevicomis; WPB). Broad-scale climate conditions can directly shape tree mortality patterns, but mortality rates respond non-linearly to climate when local-scale forest c...
Managing effects of drought in California
In this study, we automate tree species classification and mapping using field-based training data, high spatial resolution airborne hyperspectral imagery, and a convolutional neural network classifier (CNN). We tested our methods by identifying seven dominant trees species as well as dead standing trees in a mixed-conifer forest in the Southern Si...
Before the advent of intensive forest management and fire suppression, western North American forests exhibited a naturally occurring resistance and resilience to wildfires and other disturbances. Resilience, which encompasses resistance, reflects the amount of disruption an ecosystem can withstand before its structure or organization qualitatively...
In the Western United States, historical forest conditions are used to inform land management and ecosystem restoration goals (North et al. 2009, Stephens et al. 2016). This interest is based on the premise that historical forests were resilient to ecological disturbances (Keane et al. 2018). Researchers throughout the US have used the General Land...
Restoration of fire-dependent forests is often guided by reference conditions from forests with an active fire regime, thought to be resilient to current and future disturbances and stresses. Reference conditions are usually based on historical data or reconstruction, which greatly limits the scale and completeness of data that can be collected. In...
The increasing frequency and severity of fire and drought events have negatively impacted the capacity and success of reforestation efforts in many dry, western U.S. forests. Challenges to reforestation include the cost and safety concerns of replanting large areas of standing dead trees, and high seedling and sapling mortality rates due to water s...
The long-term persistence of forest ecosystems hinges on their resilience to ongoing disturbance. Quantification of resilience in these valuable ecosystems remains difficult due to their vast extent and the longevity of forest species. Resilience to wildfire may arise from feedback between fire behavior and vegetation structure, which dictates fuel...
Tall trees and vertical forest structure are associated with increased productivity, biomass and wildlife habitat quality. While climate has been widely hypothesized to control forest structure at broad scales, other variables could be key at fine scales, and are associated with forest management. In this study we identify the environmental conditi...
Disturbance is central to maintaining diversity in forest ecosystems. In the dry forests of the western United States, over a century of fire exclusion has altered the fire regimes of these forests, resulting in high fuel loads and a loss of plant diversity. Mechanical thinning and prescribed fire are widely used to restore structural complexity an...
Historically, frequent, low-severity fires in dry western North American forests were a major driver of ecological patterns and processes, creating resilient ecosystems dominated by widely spaced pine species. However, a century of fire-suppression has caused overcrowding, altering forest composition to shade-tolerant species, while increasing comp...
Massive tree mortality has occurred rapidly in frequent-fire-adapted forests of the Sierra Nevada, California. This mortality is a product of acute drought compounded by the long-established removal of a key ecosystem process: frequent, low- to moderate-intensity fire. The recent tree mortality has many implications for the future of these forests...
Stand-replacing fire has profound ecological impacts in conifer forests, yet there is continued uncertainty over how best to describe the scale of stand-replacing effects within individual fires, and how these effects are changing over time. In forests where regeneration following stand-replacing fire depends on seed dispersal from surviving trees,...
Frequent-fire forests were historically characterized by lower tree density, a higher proportion of pine species, and greater within-stand spatial variability, compared to many contemporary forests where fire has been excluded. As a result, such forests are now increasingly unstable, prone to uncharacteristically severe wildfire or high levels of t...
Restoration of western dry forests in the USA often focuses on reducing fuel loads. In the range of the spotted owl, these treatments may reduce canopy cover and tree density, which could reduce preferred habitat conditions for the owl and other sensitive species. In particular, high canopy cover (≥70%) has been widely reported to be an important f...
In response to climate warming, subalpine treelines are expected to move up in elevation since treelines are generally controlled by growing season temperature. Where treeline is advancing, dispersal differences and early life stage environmental tolerances are likely to affect how species expand their ranges. Species with an establishment advantag...
ContextThe proportion of fire area that experienced stand-replacing fire effects is an important attribute of individual fires and fire regimes in forests, and this metric has been used to group forest types into characteristic fire regimes. However, relying on proportion alone ignores important spatial characteristics of stand-replacing patches, w...
Historical forest conditions are often used to inform contemporary management goals because historical forests are considered to be resilient to ecological disturbances. The General Land Office (GLO) surveys of the late nineteenth and early twentieth centuries provide regionally quasi-contiguous datasets of historical forests across much of the Wes...
Past and current forest management affects wildland fire smoke impacts on downwind human populations. However, mismatches between the scale of benefits and risks make it difficult to proactively manage wildland fires to promote both ecological and public health. Building on recent literature and advances in modeling smoke and health effects, we out...
California spotted owls (CSOs) (Strix occidentalis occidentalis) have received significant conservation attention beginning with the U.S. Forest Service interim management guidelines in 1992. The most commonly reported forest habitat feature for successful nesting habitat of CSO is canopy cover > 70%. Loss and degradation of Sierra Nevada CSO habit...
Fuel treatments in fire-suppressed mixed-conifer forests are designed to moderate potential wildfire behavior and effects. However, the objectives for modifying potential fire effects can vary widely, from improving fire suppression efforts and protecting infrastructure, to reintroducing low-severity fire, to restoring and maintaining variable fore...
Additional age structure plots with fire history Illustration of the range of age structure and possible stand age values associated with frequent fire regimes (Figure A).
Black lines represent fire years and green lines represent tree establishment dates (= sample date–breast height age–correction factor [5 years a-h, 8 years i-l]). Red vertical l...
Recent population declines in amphibians associated with mortality in early life stages highlight the need for a better understanding of the environmental factors related to successful survival to metamorphosis. In our study, we closely examine the relative importance of environmental factors to three stages of recruitment for Cascade frogs (Rana c...
Citations
... While the way society perceives these fires and their economic impacts on infrastructure and populations are crucial, it is also necessary to accurately evaluate their immediate ecological impacts to provide valuable information to societies and stakeholders. This evaluation could reveal unexplored aspects, potentially challenging the characterization of distinctiveness granted to extreme fire seasons as in 2022 solely based on burned areas, which may overstate or oversimplify wildfire issues "to garner attention in a competitive media ecosystem" (Jones et al., 2022). ...
... According to Turner et al. (1994), stand-replaced patches that were narrow and extended for several kilometers had greater regeneration due to adjacent seed sources in unburned or low-severity burned patches compared to larger patches with more area beyond the seed dispersal distance of source stands. The analysis of spatial vegetation patterns and their relationships with fire as a critical ecological process is important for setting management priorities and designing forest restoration treatments at the landscape level that increase resilience to fire (Dickinson et al., 2016;Fertel et al., 2022;Larson & Churchill, 2012). ...
... Acidobacteriota had a significant negative correlation with soil moisture, NO 3 − -N, SOC, and NH 4 + -N. Acidobacteriota plays a significant role in the decomposition of organic matter and nutrient cycling [29]. ...
... For centuries, fire has played a key role in shaping the structure and composition of the yellow pine and mixed-conifer (YPMC) forests of California's Sierra Nevada (North et al., 2016;Safford and Stevens 2017). Prior to Euro-American colonization, lightning ignitions and Indigenous burning practices maintained a frequent (<20-year fire return interval), low-intensity fire regime, supporting mostly low-density forest structures and dominance of large fire-tolerant trees Taylor et al., 2016;Safford and Stevens 2017;North et al., 2022). Historical YPMC forests represented an archetypical example of ecosystem resilience by maintaining a stable range of structure and composition through centuries of repeat fires, climatic variability, and other disturbances (Walker et al., 2004;Hessburg et al., 2019;Ziegler et al., 2021). ...
... Intersecting or stacked logs (sensu Lutz et al. 2021;their Figure 8) can spread fire, potentially killing vegetation and altering soil characteristics (Monsanto and Agee 2008;Knapp 2015). As tree mortality rates continue to increase in response to drought, bark beetles, and fire (van Mantgem et al. 2009;Allen et al. 2010), snags will become more abundant, and understanding post-fire snag dynamics will become more central to managing habitat and modeling fuels and fire behavior (Stephens et al. 2018(Stephens et al. , 2022Goodwin et al. 2021). ...
... Much of the information about individual species can be found in Burns and Honkala (1990) Prior to fire exclusion, fire return intervals in lower elevation montane forests of the Klamath Mountains averaged~15 years and ranged from~5 to 75 years (Taylor & Skinner, 1998;Taylor & Skinner, 2003). Both the mean and range of fire frequency increased with elevation in upper-montane and subalpine forests, with a mean of 43 years and fire-free periods ranged 6 to 126 years (Coppoletta et al., 2021). During the 20th and 21st centuries, active fire exclusion led to predictable increases in fuel accumulation and shade-tolerant tree species (Dimario et al., 2018;Skinner et al., 2006;Taylor & Skinner, 1998. ...
... Fire suppressed forests with edaphic or other disturbance-driven heterogeneity may exhibit improved resilience to future disturbances and climate change due to their structural variability (Hessburg et al., 2019). In these sites, perhaps only minimal restoration treatments or the use of unplanned ignitions to support resource objectives (i.e., wildland fire use) will be required to improve resilience (Weatherspoon and Skinner, 1995;North et al., 2021;Ziegler et al., 2021). ...
... These results highlight the importance of incorporating hyperspectral information in current ESMs. Doing so in the coming years will also enable direct assimilation of in-situ and satellite observations of hyperspectral surface reflectance , linking intrinsic surface properties with processes, such as leaf pigments (Féret et al., 2019), vegetation and soils chemical composition (Meacham-Hensold et al., 2019;Serbin et al., 2014), as well as rhizospheric processes (Braghiere et al., 2021b;Sousa et al., 2021). Figure 4 includes variables that were evaluated over both land and ocean, such as net solar flux at TOA (W m −2 ) and vertically integrated total cloud (%), which may be influenced over the ocean through changes in land-sea temperature contrasts or circulation patterns. ...
... Additionally, despite the dominance of intermediate and open ICO structure classes, we note that reference sites on average were composed of 9.9% of the closed canopy structure class which was characterized by large TAO clumps and <10% area gap. These patches of denser canopy structures in reference sites, likely concentrated in valleys and areas with higher productivity Jeronimo et al., 2019;Ng et al., 2020), contribute to other important ecosystem services like wildlife habitat and biodiversity (Meyer et al., 2007a;Stephens et al., 2016b;Kramer et al., 2021;Stephens et al., 2021;Steel et al., 2022). ...
... At our study area, Pinus flexilis dominates a mixed conifer stand at an elevation of 2810 m asl, in the montane belt of the Snake Range, while P. longaeva is dominant near treeline (3355 m asl), in the subalpine zone. Recent research in the Great Basin found that while the upper limits for both species have shifted upward since 1950, P. flexilis is using its broader range of tolerance during early-life stages to leap-frog over P. longaeva and regenerate at high elevations (Millar et al., 2015;Smithers et al., 2021;Smithers et al., 2018). Other conifer species, Abies concolor (Gordon & Glend.) ...