M. Swanenburg’s research while affiliated with Wageningen University & Research and other places

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Publications (59)


L’ORA – A Living One Health Risk Assessment tool to assess the incursion risk of zoonotic diseases.
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January 2025

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91 Reads

EFSA Supporting Publications

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Safeguarding global health is a moving target, with changes in climate and human activity raising new threats to public health, animal health and animal welfare. Decision support in the context of health management requires tools capable of making sense of large volumes of complex and multidisciplinary evidence. A One Health living risk assessment tool, L'ORA, was developed to assess the incursion risk for zoonotic and animal diseases using a One Health approach and allowing for automatic updates of the risk assessment. L'ORA estimates the incursion risk as the resultant of four steps: 1) Disease occurrence in source areas based on the distribution of diseases worldwide; 2) Rate of incursion based on the individuals or products moved from source areas to target areas and their probability of infection or contamination and contact with susceptible hosts in target areas; 3) Extent of disease spread in target areas, considering both domestic and wild host populations, vectors if the disease is vector‐borne, and humans if the disease is zoonotic; and 4) Impact of the disease outbreak and concurrent control measures on public health, animal health and animal welfare, accounting for economic, societal, and environmental impacts. L'ORA is a decision support tool that was built as a generic tool comparing the relative risks of multiple diseases across multiple target areas. L'ORA monthly evaluates the incursion risk for each NUTS2 region in the European Union. Results can be used to identify areas of greater risk for each of the diseases to inform risk managers on where to focus attention and resources, and to inform, e.g., risk‐based surveillance.

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Figure 1. Flowchart of the number of micro-organisms related to goats and human pneumonia during the different phases of the literature study.
Figure 3. Bar chart of the taxonomy for the viruses present in the final list of micro-organisms.
Figure 4. Bar chart of the taxonomy for the fungi present in the final list of micro-organisms.
Figure 5. Bar chart of the taxonomy for the protozoa present in the final list of micro-organisms.
Exclusion criteria literature search phase 1.

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Literature review on micro-organisms from domestic goats potentially causing human pneumonia

September 2024

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30 Reads

Infection Ecology & Epidemiology

Background: In the Netherlands, living in proximity to goat farms has been consistently associated with an increased incidence of community-acquired pneumonia (CAP). The cause remains largely unknown though airborne microbial agents could play a role. Objective: The aim of this study is to explore micro-organisms present in goats that can cause human pneumonia. Methods: An extensive literature review was conducted to identify all micro-organisms detected in goats that are associated with human pneumonia. Additionally, the identified micro-organisms were prioritized using a self-developed scoring system and expert opinion. Results: Through extensive literature review, 4309 references describing 302 different micro-organisms in goats or on goat farms were identified. Additional searches and reviews for human respiratory disease caused by each of these micro-organisms yielded a final list of 76 bacteria, 7 viruses, 7 fungi, and 6 protozoa. They were assigned scores based on pneumonia type, diagnosis of respiratory disease, patient immune status, and evidence strength. Based on these scores, the most likely potential causal micro-organisms included Moraxella spp. Chlamydia psittaci, Staphylococcus aureus, and Streptococcus pneumoniae. Subsequently, the list of micro-organisms was reviewed by external experts on their perceived likelihood of the organism causing this CAP. Conclusion: Results of this literature study can give insight into the possible causes of pneumonia. Nonetheless, no unambiguous conclusion on the actual cause of the increased CAP risk around goat farms can be drawn solely based on these results.




Frequency distribution (n) of 69 Dutch finishing pig farms, their tested sera, and the positive tested sera related to the percentage of within-farm T. gondii positive seroprevalence
Potential risk factors for the presence of anti-Toxoplasma gondii antibodies in finishing pigs on conventional farms in the Netherlands

December 2022

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41 Reads

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5 Citations

Porcine Health Management

Background The parasite Toxoplasma gondii (T. gondii) causes a substantial human disease burden worldwide. Ingesting improperly cooked pork containing T. gondii is considered one of the major sources of human infection in Europe and North America. Consequently, control of T. gondii infections in pigs is warranted. The European Food Safety Authority advised to perform serological monitoring of pigs and to conduct farm audits for the presence of risk factors. Serological monitoring was implemented in several Dutch slaughterhouses, one to six blood samples (a total of 5134 samples) were taken from each delivery of finishing pigs and samples were tested for the presence of anti- T. gondii antibodies. Using these test results, a cross-sectional study was initiated to assess the association between the within-herd T. gondii seroprevalence and the presence of risk factors for T. gondii infections at 69 conventional finishing pig farms in the Netherlands. Results A multivariable model showed significant ( P ≤ 0.05) association with twelve potential risk factors: type of farm, presence of dogs, presence of ruminants, use of boots, use of shower and farm clothing, mode of rodent control, bedding accessibility for rodents, presence of cats, type of drinking water, heating of the feed, use of goat whey and shielding of birds. Conclusions Serological monitoring of finishing pigs for T. gondii in slaughterhouses can be used to identify the presence of T. gondii risk factors on Dutch conventional finishing pig farms and seems a valuable tool to guide and monitor the control of T. gondii in pork production.


Rapid risk assessment tool (RRAT) to prioritize emerging and re-emerging livestock diseases for risk management

September 2022

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84 Reads

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4 Citations

Increasing globalization and international trade contribute to rapid expansion of animal and human diseases. Hence, preparedness is warranted to prevent outbreaks of emerging and re-emerging diseases or detect outbreaks in an early stage. We developed a rapid risk assessment tool (RRAT) to inform risk managers on the incursion risk of multiple livestock diseases, about the main sources for incursion and the change of risk over time. RRAT was built as a relational database to link data on disease outbreaks worldwide, on introduction routes and on disease-specific parameters. The tool was parameterized to assess the incursion risk of 10 livestock diseases for the Netherlands by three introduction routes: legal trade in live animals, legal trade of animal products, and animal products illegally carried by air travelers. RRAT calculates a semi-quantitative risk score for the incursion risk of each disease, the results of which allow for prioritization. Results based on the years 2016-2018 indicated that the legal introduction routes had the highest incursion risk for bovine tuberculosis, whereas the illegal route posed the highest risk for classical swine fever. The overall incursion risk via the illegal route was lower than via the legal routes. The incursion risk of African swine fever increased over the period considered, whereas the risk of equine infectious anemia decreased. The variation in the incursion risk over time illustrates the need to update the risk estimates on a regular basis. RRAT has been designed such that the risk assessment can be automatically updated when new data becomes available. For diseases with high-risk scores, model results can be analyzed in more detail to see which countries and trade flows contribute most to the risk, the results of which can be used to design risk-based surveillance. RRAT thus provides a multitude of information to evaluate the incursion risk of livestock diseases at different levels of detail. To give risk managers access to all results of RRAT, an online visualization tool was built.


Respiratory pathogens in veal calves: Inventory of circulating pathogens

September 2022

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33 Reads

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10 Citations

Veterinary Microbiology

In the veal industry in The Netherlands, each year around 1.2 million “white” veal calves are produced on around 1,100 farms. Bovine respiratory disease (BRD) causes serious health issues in these calves, also resulting in high usage of antimicrobials. To reduce antimicrobial usage, a more targeted treatment regime is needed, for which it is necessary to identify the causative agent. This study aimed at determining associations between pathogens and clinical disease, between prevalence of pathogens and BRD outbreaks, and BRD and performance. A cohort study was conducted involving ten veal farms, in which calf respiratory health was evaluated for the first 12 weeks. Whenever there was an outbreak of BRD, as determined by the farm veterinary surgeon, samples were taken from diseased and control calves through broncho-alveolar lavage. From these samples a broad spectrum of micro-organisms were isolated. Performance data were also collected. A total of 23 outbreaks happened during the 12 week study period, mostly in the first six weeks. BRD associated pathogens found were: BHV1, BPI3V, BRSV, BVDV, Pasteurella multocida, Mannheimia haemolytica, Trueperella pyogenes, Histophilus somni, Mycoplasma bovis, Mycoplasma bovirhinis and Mycoplasma dispar. For most BRD associated pathogens, there was no clear association between presence or prevalence of the micro-organisms and clinical issues. Only T. pyogenes (7.4% in healthy, 14.6% in diseased calves, p 0.013), M. bovis (37.6% and 63.2% respectively, p 0.001) and BVDV (9.9% and 16.9% respectively, p 0.03) were found more often in diseased animals. BPI3V was found in a few early outbreaks, which might suggest involvement in early outbreaks. It appears to be difficult to associate specific pathogens to outbreaks at the species level. BRD is the major reason for treatment with antimicrobials. More specific knowledge about the association between pathogens and health/disease could help to reduce antimicrobial use.


Potential Risk Factors for the Presence of Anti-Toxoplasma Gondii Antibodies in Finishing Pigs on Conventional Farms in the Netherlands

March 2022

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23 Reads

Background The parasite Toxoplasma gondii (T. gondii) is recognized worldwide as a pathogen causing a substantial human disease burden. Ingesting improperly cooked meat containing T. gondii is considered one of the major sources of human infection in Europe and North America. Consequently, control of T. gondii infections in pigs is warranted. The European Food Safety Authority (EFSA) advised to perform serological testing of pigs and farm audits for the presence of risk factors. Serological monitoring was implemented in several Dutch slaughterhouses. Blood samples from all deliveries of finishing pigs to the slaughterhouses were tested for the presence of anti-T. gondii antibodies. Using these test results, a case-control study was initiated to assess the association between the within-herd T. gondii seroprevalence and the presence of risk factors for T. gondii infections in 69 conventional finishing pig herds in the Netherlands. Results In a multivariable model twelve potential risk factors were significantly (P ≤ 0.05) associated with the level of seropositive T. gondii blood serum samples. Conclusions Serological screening of finishing pigs in the slaughterhouse for T. gondii can be used to identify presence of T. gondii risk factors on Dutch conventional finishing pig farms. The use of serological screening seems therefore a valuable tool to guide and monitor the control of T. gondii in pork production.


Quantitative Risk Assessment for the Introduction of Carbapenem-Resistant Enterobacteriaceae (CPE) into Dutch Livestock Farms

February 2022

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88 Reads

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17 Citations

Early detection of emerging carbapenem-resistant Enterobacteriaceae (CPE) in food-producing animals is essential to control the spread of CPE. We assessed the risk of CPE introduction from imported livestock, livestock feed, companion animals, hospital patients, and returning travelers into livestock farms in The Netherlands, including (1) broiler, (2) broiler breeder, (3) fattening pig, (4) breeding pig, (5) farrow-to-finish pig, and (6) veal calf farms. The expected annual number of introductions was calculated from the number of farms exposed to each CPE source and the probability that at least one animal in an exposed farm is colonized. The total number of farms with CPE colonization was estimated to be the highest for fattening pig farms, whereas the probability of introduction for an individual farm was the highest for broiler farms. Livestock feed and imported livestock are the most likely sources of CPE introduction into Dutch livestock farms. Sensitivity analysis indicated that the number of fattening pig farms determined the number of high introductions in fattening pigs from feed, and that uncertainty on CPE prevalence impacted the absolute risk estimate for all farm types. The results of this study can be used to inform risk-based surveillance for CPE in livestock farms.


Data collection for risk assessments on animal health: review protocol 2021

January 2022

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193 Reads

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8 Citations

EFSA Supporting Publications

In 2014, EFSA received a mandate from the European Commission (EC) to assess the risk and consequences of introduction of new vector-borne diseases (VBDs), and to determine if further measures were needed. To support the work, a comprehensive and systematic extraction of data from the literature was conducted, covering 36 VBDs in 18 host mammalian species. Regular updates of this corpus of scientific evidence are needed to support risk assessments. The foundation set by the previous rounds of literature review for VBDs can be reused to provide efficient and reliable collection of scientific evidence to support EFSA needs in various areas of knowledge. EFSA has been requested to provide support to the EC via scientific opinions that would form the basis for the production of amending and implementing acts supporting Regulation 2016/429 (of the European Parliament and of the Council of 9 March 2016 on transmissible animal diseases and amending and repealing certain acts in the area of animal health – the “Animal Health Law”), which lays down rules for the prevention and control of animal diseases which are transmissible to animals or to humans. To support EFSA in keeping the available VBD knowledge as an up-to-date source of information for risk assessors, and in providing scientific opinions in matters related to Regulation 2016/429, the methodology for literature review has been further consolidated in seven specific areas of knowledge: experimental infections, pathogen survival, diagnostic tests performance, vaccines, preventive and curative treatments, vector treatments and geographical distribution. This document details the review protocol to update the available knowledge about the 36 VBDs within those seven areas since the last systematic literature reviews were carried out in 2017; as well as extend them to the terrestrial animals category A diseases in the “Animal Health Law”.


Citations (39)


... The first cases in France were reported in 2023, leading to an extensive genome sequencing of deer and cattle. An EFSA supporting publication on epizootic haemorrhagic disease was published, presenting the outcome of a systematic literature review(Avelino De Souza Santos et al., 2023). There is a high risk of the disease spreading (at least in the south of Europe). ...

Reference:

EFSA's activities on Emerging Risks in 2023
Epizootic Hemorrhagic Disease (EHD) – Systematic Literature Review report
  • Citing Article
  • November 2023

EFSA Supporting Publications

... Hunting tourism and certain hunting practices have been identified as risk factors for introducing or spreading ASF [15]. To hunt in a foreign country the individual hunter needs follow the country's rules for weapons and for hunting, and if bringing a hunting weapon, have a weapon's license and a permit for travelling with the weapon (weapon passport). ...

Risk of African swine fever incursion into the Netherlands by wild boar carcasses and meat carried by Dutch hunters from hunting trips abroad
  • Citing Article
  • August 2023

Microbial Risk Analysis

... The occurrence of BRD in our study ranged from 11% to 14%, which is lower than the values reported by Fernandes et al. [63], who observed 26% of beef-on-dairy calves with lung consolidation at 61 days of age, and by Pereira et al. [21], who reported an incidence of approximately 55% in crossbred calves. Additionally, a study conducted on veal farms in the Netherlands showed that at least 38% of calves were clinically affected by BRD [64]. The occurrence of diarrhea was comparable to that reported by Pereira et al., who observed over 60% of affected calves, and by Pharo et al. [65], who reported that 63.8% of crossbred calves were treated for diarrhea. ...

Respiratory pathogens in veal calves: Inventory of circulating pathogens
  • Citing Article
  • September 2022

Veterinary Microbiology

... Generic risk assessment tools allow for the rapid and transparent comparison of the risk across multiple diseases. Te number of pathways addressed by these tools, however, varies largely, and not all tools have incorporated wildlife movements as a pathway for disease incursion [20]. Most of these risk assessments are qualitative [21] or semiquantitative [22][23][24][25], and some of them rely heavily on expert knowledge. ...

Rapid risk assessment tool (RRAT) to prioritize emerging and re-emerging livestock diseases for risk management

... A study recently conducted in Korea identified a seroprevalence of 14.6% in wild boars, identifying only environmental variables (mean annual temperature) instead of zootechnical ones as risk factors related to greater exposure [43]. Pigs and ruminants share numerous pathogens in addition to those described in this study, including viruses (such as foot-and-mouth disease, hepatitis E, West Nile virus etc.), bacteria (such as Brucella, Leptospira, Mycobacterium, etc.), and protozoa (such as Toxoplasma, etc.) [1,[44][45][46][47]. Evaluating the exchange of pathogens between the different species present in a territory is a veterinary prerogative, which leads to the concept of "one health" when humans are also involved in this cycle. ...

Potential risk factors for the presence of anti-Toxoplasma gondii antibodies in finishing pigs on conventional farms in the Netherlands

Porcine Health Management

... [7][8][9] These infections can also be caused by bacteria that produce ampicillinase C enzyme and extended spectrum-lactamase (ESBL) enzyme. [7][8][9][10] ...

Quantitative Risk Assessment for the Introduction of Carbapenem-Resistant Enterobacteriaceae (CPE) into Dutch Livestock Farms

... Combined entomological monitoring, serological surveillance of wild and domestic hosts, and serotype characterization are crucial for effective control programs [44,134]. Strong collaboration between veterinary services, livestock producers, and animal and environmental researchers can sustain adequate surveillance and robust interventions (addressing the identified gaps), reinforcing cross-border responses and supporting One Health-aligned mitigation strategies. ...

Data collection for risk assessments on animal health: review protocol 2021

EFSA Supporting Publications

... Interventions to solve one or more of these behavioral barriers might be needed (van Wagenberg et al., 2020). Eppink et al. (2021) investigated the effectiveness and costs of three interventions against Toxoplasma gondii (T. gondii) at Dutch pig farms. ...

Effectiveness and costs of interventions to reduce the within-farm Toxoplasma gondii seroprevalence on pig farms in the Netherlands

Porcine Health Management

... This has been partly overcome by the recent development of generic risk assessment tools [35]. These can be applied to assess the incursion risk of multiple infectious animal diseases, allowing for a rapid response to a variety of newly emerging or re-emerging diseases [36]. Frameworks that focus on pathogens may miss key factors relating to hosts or production systems, and do not normally account for the large diversity of value chains within the food system. ...

Cross-Validation of Generic Risk Assessment Tools for Animal Disease Incursion Based on a Case Study for African Swine Fever

... Additionally, examining spatial patterns of risk has gained importance in the field of risk assessment. By mapping risk factors geographically, one can identify areas that are particularly vulnerable to foci and health emergencies in animals [15,16]. ...

Generic approaches for Risk Assessment of Infectious animal Disease introduction (G‐RAID)

EFSA Supporting Publications