M. Bayani Cardenas’s research while affiliated with University of Texas at Austin and other places

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Publications (253)


Enhanced submarine groundwater discharge and freshening of a subterranean estuary from rain
  • Article

April 2025

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19 Reads

Journal of Hydrology

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Hillel B. Cabria

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[...]

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M. Bayani Cardenas

Locations of compiled groundwater and seawater samples along China’s ~ 18,000 km coastline
a All sampling sites. Solid triangles and circles represent nutrients and isotopic measurements in groundwater, respectively. Open circles represent Ra or Rn sample sites in seawaters. The sampling sites for dissolved inorganic nitrogen (DIN), dissolved inorganic phosphorus (DIP), dissolved inorganic silicate (DSi), ²²²Rn, ²²⁴Ra, ²²⁶Ra, and ²²⁸Ra are denoted by red, orange, yellow, green, cyan, blue, and purple colors, respectively. b The frequency of different types of samples with latitude. Source data are provided as a Source Data file in Supplementary Data 1. The map of panel a is generated with Ocean Data View (https://odv.awi.de).
The spatial distribution of four submarine groundwater discharge (SGD) tracers in China’s coastal surface waters
The four tracers include ²²²Rn (a), ²²⁴Ra (b), ²²⁶Ra (c), and ²²⁸Ra (d). Source data are provided as a Source Data file in Supplementary Data 1. The maps are generated with Ocean Data View (https://odv.awi.de).
The contributions of submarine groundwater discharge (SGD) to nutrients budgets along China’s continental shelf
a Dissolved inorganic nitrogen (DIN), dissolved inorganic phosphorus (DIP), and dissolved inorganic silicate (DSi) budgets in China’s continental shelf including SGD’s contribution excluding the undersampled Southern South China Sea. All fluxes are in Gmol a⁻¹. SGD is composed of fresh SGD (FSGD) and recirculated SGD (RSGD). The sedimentation of nitrogen (N), phosphorus (P), and silica (Si) are in forms of organic nitrogen (ON), organic phosphorus (OP), and biogenic silica (BSi). The white, black, and green arrows denote the inflow, outflow, and internal cycling of nutrients within the system, respectively. Details can be found in Supplementary Note 2. b Synthetic probability distribution functions (pdfs) of the multi-scale SGD water flux calculations conducted with the 10,000 input values (i.e., Monte Carlo simulations). The data accompanying each histogram represent the SGD water flux (the mean and standard deviation or 25th, 50th, and 75th quantiles) with the unit of cm d⁻¹. The Y axis is normalized frequency. c Percentages of external nutrient sources to China’s coastal waters.
DIN:DIP (the ratios of dissolved inorganic nitrogen to phosphorus) and DIN:DSi (the ratios of dissolved inorganic nitrogen to silicate) in submarine groundwater discharge (SGD) and river16,52,69,70 constituents along the coastlines
Dots and texts in red or blue represent groundwater or river. Blue, yellow, and green areas indicate water enriched in DIN, DIP, and DSi, respectively. Most groundwater samples are enriched in DIN and DSi. Hence, SGD will further push China’s shelf waters towards P limitation. Source data are provided as a Source Data file in Supplementary Data 1.
Large scale submarine groundwater discharge dominates nutrient inputs to China’s coast
  • Article
  • Full-text available

March 2025

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814 Reads

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1 Citation

Submarine groundwater discharge (SGD) is a nutrient source to coastal waters. However, most SGD estimates are restricted to a local scale and hardly distinguish contributions from fresh (FSGD) and recirculated (RSGD) SGD. Here, we compiled data on radium/radon of groundwater (n ~ 2000) and seawater (n ~ 10,000) samples along ~18,000 km of China’s coastal seas to resolve large scale FSGD and RSGD and their associated nutrient loads. Nearshore-scale FSGD ( ~ 3.56 × 10⁸ m³ d⁻¹) was only 2% of the total SGD but comparable to RSGD in terms of nutrient loads. Despite large uncertainties quantified via Monte Carlo simulations, SGD was a dominant contributor to China’s coastal nutrient budgets, with dissolved inorganic nitrogen, phosphorus and silicate fluxes of ~395, 2.9, and 581 Gmol a⁻¹, respectively. Total SGD accounted for 19–54% of nutrient inputs, exceeding inputs from atmospheric deposition and rivers. Overall, SGD helps sustaining primary production along one of the most human-impacted marginal seas on Earth.

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Thank You to Our 2024 Reviewers

March 2025

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136 Reads

The editorial team of AGU Advances is grateful for the excellent contributions of our peer reviewers. We rely on their expertise to ensure that the manuscripts submitted to the journal undergo a rigorous, fair, and timely review. Remarkably, during 2024, the journal benefitted from the dedication from 273 reviewers, contributing a total of 338 reviews. These reviewers represented 24 countries. These reviewers provided insights of tremendous and generous value, and they assisted our authors in strengthening the rigor, quality, and presentation of their scholarship. Peer reviewing provides a natural way to engage in continuous learning and professional development. The majority of our reviewers are geoscientists, although we also have interdisciplinary contributions as the scope of Advances covers the extended domain of geosciences, intersecting with economics, communication and computational science, and the social sciences at large. Authors benefit greatly from reviewers' comments and suggestions: already more than 10 years ago, a study reported that most authors (90%) believe that peer review improved the last paper they published (Mulligan et al., 2013, https://doi.org/10.1002/asi.22798). Although the research and publishing arena is rapidly changing, peer review is considered the optimal standard for evaluating and selecting quality scientific manuscripts for publication, and therefore is highly deserving of our appreciation. We thank all of our peer reviewers for their selfless service and dedication to the scientific community. Your continuing support to the authors and editorial team of AGU Advances is deeply appreciated.


Assessing Matrix and Nonmatrix, Single, and Multipoint Calibration of Trace Elements Using LA‐ICP‐MS on a Tropical Speleothem

February 2025

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64 Reads

Rationale Suites of trace elements are routinely used in speleothems as proxies to understand periods of past climate change. Laser ablation techniques are regularly implemented to acquire high resolution (50‐μm) trace element concentrations in carbonate archives for paleoclimatology. There exists limited research investigating Laser Ablation‐Inductively Coupled Plasma‐Mass Spectrometry (LA‐ICP‐MS) protocols using speleothem samples. This study investigates the difference between using matrix (carbonate) and nonmatrix (silicate) matched reference materials and the utility of 1‐point versus multiple point calibration curves. Methods Following an extensive review of published literature on speleothem LA‐ICP‐MS analyses, we conducted two laser ablation experimental runs 8 months apart on a 2.7‐cm section of a natural speleothem using matrix and nonmatrix matched reference materials. We used a 193‐nm wavelength Analyte G2 laser attached to a X‐Series‐2 ICP‐MS, a silicate reference material, and three carbonate reference materials. Next, we calculated concentrations using a 1‐point calibration curve, a 2‐point calibration curve, and a 3‐point calibration curve. Results The analysis of matrix and nonmatrix matched reference materials demonstrates that the trends of trace elements/Ca are minimally impacted by the matrix material of the standard. We also show that 2‐ and 3‐point calibration curves bracket the range of sample concentrations compared to a 1‐point (silicate) calibration curve. The calculated cave‐air temperatures using Mg/Ca concentrations fall within error of each other regardless of the calibration curve approach applied. Conclusions Our experiments provide a proof of concept on the conventional setup of standards during LA‐ICP‐MS speleothem analysis. We suggest the use of at minimum a 2‐point (silicate plus carbonate or carbonates) calibration curve that crucially bracket the range of sample concentrations rather than relying on a 1‐point silicate standard that does not bracket the sample concentration. Finally, our results have implications for both speleothem studies that use LA‐ICP‐MS analytical techniques and additional carbonate archives.


Fig. 2. Correlations between Pco 2 and the proxies for groundwater ( 222 Rn) and productivity (DO). (A) Significant positive correlations were found between Pco 2 and 222
Fig. 3. Comparative analysis of tidal and diel effects. The effects on Pco 2 , 222 Rn, and dO in surface water, captured during peak hours (fig. S10) of diel and tidal cycles across 40 study sites. The tidal and diel effect indices (Tei and dei, respectively) describe the relative effect of tidal and diel processes. The white area depicts the region primarily influenced by tides, whereas the gray area represents the region primarily influenced by diurnal cycles. each point represents an individual study location. The size of the points varies with the tidal range (m) for each site. The color scheme represents the ecosystem type. Two outliers were excluded.
Fig. 4. Summary of SGD-derived and water-air CO 2 fluxes (mmol m −2 day −1 ). Mean (median) values depicted for SGd-derived and water-air cO 2 fluxes for different ecosystem types. SGd-derived cO 2 fluxes received by the surface waters are in brown circles. Water-air cO 2 fluxes are in blue circles. Arrows represent SGd-derived cO 2 fluxes (bottom) and water-air cO 2 fluxes (top). The circle and arrow sizes qualitatively represent the value of the flux (refer to tables S2 and S5). icons from T. Saxby retrieved from https://ian.umces.edu/media-library/.
Groundwater releases CO 2 to diverse global coastal ecosystems

January 2025

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542 Reads

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3 Citations

Science Advances

Coastal ecosystems play a major role in marine carbon budgets, but substantial uncertainties remain in the sources and fluxes of coastal carbon dioxide (CO 2 ). Here, we assess when, where, and how submarine groundwater discharge (SGD) releases CO 2 to shallow coastal ecosystems. Time-series observations of dissolved CO 2 and radon ( ²²² Rn, a natural groundwater tracer) across 40 coastal systems from 14 countries revealed large SGD-derived CO 2 fluxes. The mean groundwater partial pressure of CO 2 was 35 times higher than surface seawater. The mean SGD-derived CO 2 flux was 148 ± 226 millimoles per square meter per day (mmol m ⁻² day ⁻¹ ), resulting in a mean water-air CO 2 flux of 80 ± 133 mmol m ⁻² day ⁻¹ . Tidal rather than diel cycles drove CO 2 enrichment in most ecosystems. Tidally driven SGD was the primary CO 2 source in mangroves, salt marshes, tidal flats, estuaries, and canals. Overall, we expand current knowledge of marine carbon cycles by demonstrating SGD as an important source of CO 2 that requires inclusion in coastal carbon budgets.



Figure 3. An illustration of SAR and DEM misregistration in hilly terrains. The DEM profile is shown in black. When the SAR image (blue)
Relationship between soil water equivalent depth and land vegetation cover
High-resolution InSAR Regional Soil Water Storage Mapping Above Permafrost

December 2024

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35 Reads

The hydrology of thawing permafrost affects the fate of the vast amount of permafrost carbon due to its controls on waterlogging, redox status, and transport. However, regional mapping of soil water storage in the soil layer that experiences the annual freeze-thaw cycle above permafrost, known as the active layer, remains a formidable challenge over remote arctic regions. This study shows that Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (InSAR) observations can be used to estimate the amount of soil water originating from the active layer seasonal thaw. Our ALOS InSAR results, validated by in situ observations, show that the thickness of the soil water that experiences the annual freeze-thaw cycle ranges from 0 to 75 cm in a 60-by-100-km area near the Toolik Field Station on the North Slope of Alaska. Notably, the spatial distribution of the soil water correlates with surface topography and land vegetation cover types. We found that pixel-mismatching of the topographic map and radar images is the primary error source in the Toolik ALOS InSAR data. The amount of pixel misregistration, the local slope, and the InSAR perpendicular baseline influence the observed errors in InSAR Line-Of-Sight (LOS) distance measurements non-linearly. For most of the study area with a percent slope of less than 5%, the LOS error from pixel misregistration is less than 1 cm, translating to less than 14 cm of error in the soil water estimates.


(a) Field sites (Simpson Lagoon (SL)‐A/B and Kaktovik Lagoon (KL)) given with piezometer IDs. (b) Inverted Electrical resistivity imaging (ERI) surveys, conducted in this study for SL, combined with previously reported surveys for KL (Pedrazas et al., 2020). (c) Numerical domains, conceptualized based on ERI observations, with assigned boundary conditions. Hydraulic head follows the topography until the shoreline, after where it is equal to the lagoon level.
(a) Probed ice‐bonded permafrost table, temperature profiles during low lagoon level periods, time‐snapshot salinity profiles, and in situ average vertical groundwater fluxes. (b) Lagoon and groundwater level time series, estimated lateral hydraulic head differences, and in situ daily average vertical groundwater fluxes (see Figure S3c in Supporting Information S1 for all locations) at the Shallow‐STE and Deep‐STE sites.
(a) Numerical flow and transport model outputs for the Shallow‐STE and Deep‐STE sites (high lagoon level scenario). (b) Ensemble‐derived fresh submarine groundwater discharge statistical distributions (empirical histograms and/or fitted distributions) compared with in situ estimates and global estimates from Zhou et al. (2019).
(a) Fresh submarine groundwater discharge derived DOC/N, (b) CO2, and DIC concentration and mass flux distributions (c) Arctic STE: conceptualization, summary median fluxes into Beaufort Sea, aerial images (by Nathan Sonderman), August 2019, Kaktovik Lagon; arrows indicate channelized surface flow becoming submarine groundwater discharge.
Coastal Supra‐Permafrost Aquifers of the Arctic and Their Significant Groundwater, Carbon, and Nitrogen Fluxes

November 2024

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224 Reads

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2 Citations

Fresh submarine groundwater discharge (FSGD) can deliver significant fluxes of water and solutes from land to sea. In the Arctic, which accounts for ∼34% of coastlines globally, direct observations and knowledge of FSGD are scarce. Through integration of observations and process‐based models, we found that regardless of ice‐bonded permafrost depth at the shore, summer SGD flow dynamics along portions of the Beaufort Sea coast of Alaska are similar to those in lower latitudes. Calculated summer FSGD fluxes in the Arctic are generally higher relative to low latitudes. The FSGD organic carbon and nitrogen fluxes are likely larger than summer riverine input. The FSGD also has very high CO2 making it a potentially significant source of inorganic carbon. Thus, the biogeochemistry of Arctic coastal waters is potentially influenced by groundwater inputs during summer. These water and solute fluxes will likely increase as coastal permafrost across the Arctic thaws.


Left: location of the study area in the Philippines (a), with (b) displaying the Calumpan Peninsula, our regional focus area, and (c) displaying the southernmost tip of the Calumpan Peninsula, our local focus area. Right: a schematic of the four thermal sensing techniques employed in this study.
Satellite temperature transects surrounding the Calumpan Peninsula with distances of 0 (a; coastline), 30 (b), 60 (c), and 90 (d) meters away from the coastline. Each line contains extracted temperatures from the best three images (falling on February‐26‐2021, May‐1‐2021, and January‐22‐2022). The circled letters on panel (d) refer to points along the Calumpan Peninsula (see Figure S5 in Supporting Information S1). Above panel (a), the long arrow represents the extent of the unmanned aerial system surveys; the two shorter arrows represent the extents of the FO‐DTS surveys, and the shortest arrow represents the extent of the thermal profiles (Trod survey). A normalized version of the satellite temperature traces, which visually enhances the comparison and highlights thermal anomalies, is included in the supplemental information (see Figure S7 in Supporting Information S1).
(Top) UAS temperature transects surrounding the Calumpan Peninsula with a distance of 0 m (Coastline), 5 m (Transect 1), and 10 m (Transect 2) from the coastline. All of these were captured during a single instance when the UAS was deployed in the field. (Bottom) Drone imagery displaying thermal band on the left and visual band 2 on the right. The white dashed lines delineate the extent of the plumes. Letters on the drone images correspond to those on the map indicating the image locations, and numbers correspond to the Submarine groundwater discharge identifier found in Table S3 in Supporting Information S1. A version of the drone temperature traces which are normalized and better compare and highlight thermal anomalies are included in the supplemental information (see Figure S10 in Supporting Information S1).
Temperature distance graphs (a, b) and schematic (c) for DTS transects around the tip of the Calumpan Peninsula. Panels (a, b) The background ocean temperature in (a, b) (29.37°C) were calculated by averaging the background ocean temperature values from all unmanned aerial system orthomosaics. Panel (c) DTS western deployment contains reference points 1 denoting a Rocky Bend in the coastline topography, 2 denoting the Twin Rocks MPA, 3 denoting a documented submarine spring, 4 denoting Planet Dive Resort which served as our base of operations, and 5 denoting Buceo Anilao Beach and Dive Resort. Panel (c) DTS eastern deployment contains reference points 6 denoting the Layag Resort, 7 denoting the Sea Spring Resort, 8 denoting the Searendipity Resort, and 9 denoting an Orange Roofed House. The inset map in panel (c) depicts the locations of the Trods, which are color coded in terms of relative magnitude of flux (i.e., red = high, yellow = moderate, low = blue).
Vertical temperature fluxes with one corresponding temperature profile for the 9 Trods deployed. Fluxes are color coded by the relative magnitude of discharge: red = moderate to high discharge, yellow = low to moderate discharge, and blue = no to low discharge. The inset schematic in Figure 4 display the approximate locations of the Trods.
Multi‐Scale Thermal Mapping of Submarine Groundwater Discharge in Coastal Ecosystems of a Volcanic Area

November 2024

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112 Reads

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1 Citation

Plain Language Summary Submarine groundwater discharge (SGD) is the flow of groundwater from land to sea. SGD in volcanic areas can have high temperatures, high concentrations of heavy metals, high CO2, and can be acidic, all of which impact sensitive coastal ecosystems. Quantifying volcanic SGD is important yet challenging because the flow can be diffuse and broadly distributed. At a volcanic area in the Philippines, the unique combination of satellite and drone‐based thermal infrared remote sensing, ground‐based fiber‐optic distributed temperature sensing, and in situ thermal profiling in coastal sediment identified the multi‐scale nature of SGD and quantified flow rates. We identified SGD across ∼30 km of coastline. The different approaches revealed numerous SGD signals from the intertidal zone (the region between high and low tide) to about a hundred meters offshore. At some locations, active seepage areas reached temperatures up to 80°C, and we calculated groundwater flow rates to be as high as 150 cm/day. SGD is therefore locally prominent and regionally important across the study area.



Citations (50)


... Estimates of the CO 2 flux in the SWHVs, in most cases, have focused on the amount of CO 2 emitted into the sea (e.g., [28]) or released into the atmosphere through bubbling [41][42][43], while estimates of the CO 2 emitted diffusely from the sea surface into the atmosphere are limited to only the SWHV on Milos Island, where a floating accumulation chamber was employed to measure the CO 2 flux [55]. Sea-air CO 2 flux estimates are generally performed in oceanography and environmental studies [56][57][58]. The open ocean is a consistent carbon sink because of the physical and biological processes that drive CO 2 uptake, whereas coastal regions, although smaller in size, often act as sources because of inputs such as submarine groundwater discharge (SGD), riverine input, or upwelling [57,59]. ...

Reference:

Shallow Submarine CO2 Emissions in Coastal Volcanic Areas Implication for Global Carbon Budget Estimates: The Case of Vulcano Island (Italy)
Groundwater releases CO 2 to diverse global coastal ecosystems

Science Advances

... The Beaufort Sea coast is characterized by numerous barrier island-enclosed, shallow lagoons and other coastal ecosystems that receive relatively large amounts of river discharge with high seasonality of both volume and biogeochemistry McClelland et al. 2014;Zhang et al. 2021). Delivery of marine and terrestrial materials also fluctuates with varying degrees of exchange with the Beaufort Sea and seasonal patterns of terrestrial inputs like erosion and groundwater (Tanski et al. 2019;Connolly et al. 2020;Demir et al. 2024). The spatial and seasonal variability of material entering coastal ecosystems and the logistical difficulty of measuring these systems across the year has led to gaps in understanding of the controls of estuarine air-sea CO 2 fluxes in the coastal Arctic. ...

Coastal Supra‐Permafrost Aquifers of the Arctic and Their Significant Groundwater, Carbon, and Nitrogen Fluxes

... We found that thermal remote sensing at 1.0 m spatial resolution is capable of detecting detailed patterns of SGD, which subsequently reveals a more complete size distribution of freshwater outfall. While this insight aligns with those of similar high-resolution thermal remote sensing studies [28,29], we purposefully designed our methodology to be highly operational and scalable. The approach can thus be applied frequently over time in order to generate SGD size distributions relative to land-based substrate age, topography, pollutants, and other factors. ...

Multi‐Scale Thermal Mapping of Submarine Groundwater Discharge in Coastal Ecosystems of a Volcanic Area

... Hence, ER accounts for a series of oxidation reactions such as nitrification (Hall and Jeffries, 1984) including photooxidation of organic matter (Estapa et al., 2012). Surprisingly, ferrous iron (Fe(II)) has hardly been discussed as a candidate to contribute to ER, albeit there is increasing evidence for Fe (II) to enter streams under gaining conditions when reduced groundwater comes into contact with the HZ and the stream water itself (Benner et al., 1995;Berube et al., 2018;Dong et al., 2020;Kwak et al., 2024). Consideration of the role of subsurface Fe(II) fluxes for the stream water oxygen budget attains even more important against the background that widespread increases in iron concentration in European and North American freshwaters have been observed (Björnerås et al., 2017). ...

Hotspots of Dissolved Arsenic Generated from Buried Silt Layers along Fluctuating Rivers

Environmental Science and Technology

... This includes regions characterized by elevated hydraulic gradients and high conductivities. The most recent global study of SGD driven nutrients found that in the subterranean estuary nutrients display complex and non-conservative behaviour (Wilson et al., 2024). Generally, dissolved inorganic nitrogen (DIN) and DIP are generated in fresh groundwater, while dissolved organic nitrogen (DON) is depleted during its transport through subterranean estuaries (Wilson et al., 2024). ...

Global subterranean estuaries modify groundwater nutrient loading to the ocean

... Most Ra evaluations report SGD as a total water flow, as evidenced by bibliometric analysis (Ma & Zhang, 2020), while studies simultaneously differentiating between pathways are scarce (e.g., Sadat-Noori et al., 2016;Santos et al., 2008;Xu et al., 2024). Additionally, most SGD studies are conducted under steady-state condition, and only few seek to understand temporal variations in SGD processes and their drivers (e.g., Bullock et al., 2024;Douglas et al., 2021;Liefer et al., 2014;Rocha et al., 2016). ...

Seasonality of submarine groundwater discharge to an Arctic coastal lagoon

... These isotopes have been widely applied to the qualitative and quantitative analysis of hydrological processes [19][20][21]. Furthermore, radioactive isotopes like 3 H are used to determine the age and recharge rates of soil water [22,23]. The combined use of stable and radioactive isotopes offers a powerful approach for both qualitative and quantitative analyses of soil water recharge mechanisms. ...

The nature and extent of bomb tritium remaining in deep vadose zone: A synthesis and prognosis

... The strong role of the SOC in driving reductive dissolution of Fe(III)-oxides within the intertidal riverbank is consistent with findings from the complementary studies that we conducted with sediment from the three riverbank layers to measure the lability and availability of sedimentary organic matter. 14,57 The leachates of shallow (∼1 to 5 m) riverbank sediment contained organic matter with a low molecular weight (0.1 kDa) and a low humic:protein ratio of 0.2. The silt layer, however, contained much higher concentrations of water-extractable organic matter (1274 mg/kg) compared to the sand above the silt layer (67 mg/kg). ...

Diverse sedimentary organic matter within the river-aquifer interface drives arsenic mobility along the Meghna River Corridor in Bangladesh
  • Citing Article
  • January 2024

Applied Geochemistry

... Rodolfo (2019) identified areas of high groundwater discharge consisting of mixed fresh and recirculated SGD based on radon concentrations. Based on stable hydrogen and oxygen isotope analyses, Bangun et al. (2023) concluded that the spring waters are a mixture of three endmembers: terrestrial groundwater, recirculated seawater, and hydrothermal water. In the same study, they conducted hydrochemical analyses of water samples. ...

Hydrogeochemistry of Submarine Groundwater Discharge in A Volcanic Coastal Area: Mabini Peninsula, The Philippines
  • Citing Conference Paper
  • January 2023

... Of the evidence published to date, there is broad consensus that permeable riverbank aquifers accumulate the mass fluxes of As discharging to rivers. 19,23,27,28,32 Laboratory experiments demonstrated that repetitive cycling between oxidizing and reducing conditions immobilizes dissolved As within the HZ. 21 This laboratory finding is consistent with the results of recent field studies, in which dissolved As was observed to actively accumulate in the HZ under bidirectional mixing along the tidal Meghna River. ...

Redox trapping of arsenic in hyporheic zones modified by silicate weathering beneath floodplains

Applied Geochemistry