Lawrence Scholl’s research while affiliated with Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and other places

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Publications (18)


Suspected Nonfatal Cocaine-Involved Overdoses Overall and With Co-involvement of Opioids
  • Article

March 2023

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8 Reads

Journal of Public Health Management and Practice

Lawrence Scholl

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Context: The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) developed a syndrome definition for detection of suspected nonfatal cocaine-involved overdoses. The definition can be used to monitor trends and detect anomalies in emergency department (ED) syndromic surveillance data at the national, state, and local levels. Objective: This study describes the development of the nonfatal, unintentional/undetermined intent cocaine-involved overdose (UUCOD) definition and analysis of trends over time. Design/setting: CDC developed the UUCOD definition to query ED data in CDC's National Syndromic Surveillance Program (NSSP). Data between 2018 and 2021 were analyzed from 29 states sharing data access in the Drug Overdose Surveillance and Epidemiology (DOSE) System via NSSP. Using Joinpoint regression, trends were analyzed for UUCOD overall, by sex and age group, and for UUCOD co-involving opioids. Measures: Time trends between 2018 and 2021 were analyzed by examining average monthly percentage change. Individual trend segments and trend inflection points were analyzed by examining monthly percentage change. Results: During 2018-2021, a total of 27 240 UUCOD visits were identified by the syndrome definition. Analyses identified different patterns in trends for males and females, with largely similar trends for persons aged 15 to 44 years and 45 years or older. Analyses also identified seasonal patterns with increases in spring/summer months in UUCOD overall and UUCOD co-involving opioids and declines for both in fall/winter months. Conclusion: This UUCOD syndrome definition will be useful for ongoing monitoring of suspected nonfatal overdoses involving cocaine and co-involving cocaine and opioids. Ongoing assessment of cocaine-involved overdose trends might identify anomalies requiring further investigation and inform deployment of resources.


Fig. 1. Monthly emergency department visits for overdoses involving synthetic narcotics (T40.4X), fentanyl (T40.41), tramadol (T40.42), and other synthetic narcotics (T40.49), National Syndromic Surveillance Program, 33 States and DC, October 2019-September 2021.
Analysis of trends and usage of ICD-10-CM discharge diagnosis codes for poisonings by fentanyl, tramadol, and other synthetic narcotics in emergency department data
  • Article
  • Full-text available

December 2022

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39 Reads

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2 Citations

Addictive Behaviors Reports

Synthetic opioids, including illicitly manufactured fentanyls, are driving recent increases in US overdose deaths. Beginning October 2020, the International Classification of Diseases, 10th revision, Clinical Modification (ICD-10-CM) code for poisonings involving synthetic narcotics (T40.4X) was split into three codes: fentanyl (T40.41), tramadol (T40.42), and other synthetic narcotics (T40.49). Emergency department data from October 2019–September 2021 in the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention’s National Syndromic Surveillance Program BioSense platform were queried for synthetic opioid codes in the chief complaint and discharge diagnosis fields. Trend analyses assessed average monthly percent change overall and by sex and age. Emergency department visits for overdoses involving synthetic narcotics increased on average 3.2 % each month before the code split and 4.8 % after. Visits with fentanyl codes drove this increase after the split, accounting for most visits among males, females, and every age group except ≥ 65 years. The average monthly percent increase for ED visits for fentanyl-involved overdoses was greater than for all synthetic narcotics combined (i.e., T40.41, T40.42, and/or T40.49), suggesting that the old code (T40.4X) masked the full extent of the increase in ED visits for fentanyl overdoses. Usage of these new codes can improve tracking of non-fatal synthetic opioid overdose trends.

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Development and Validation of a Syndrome Definition for Suspected Nonfatal Unintentional/Undetermined Intent Stimulant-Involved Overdoses

November 2021

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7 Reads

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3 Citations

Public Health Reports

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Lawrence Scholl

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[...]

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Stephanie Snodgrass

Objectives To monitor stimulant-involved overdose (SOD) trends, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) developed and evaluated the validity of a syndromic surveillance definition for suspected nonfatal, unintentional/undetermined intent stimulant-involved overdose (UUSOD). Methods We analyzed all emergency department (ED) visits in CDC’s surveillance system that met the UUSOD syndrome definition (January 2018–December 2019). We classified visits as true positive, possible, or not UUSODs after reviewing diagnosis codes and chief complaints. We first assessed whether visits were acute SODs, subsequently classifying acute SODs by intent. The percentage of true-positive UUSODs did not include intentional or possibly intentional visits. We considered all visits with UUSOD diagnosis codes to be acute SODs and reviewed them for intent. We manually reviewed and double-coded a 10% random sample of visits without UUSOD diagnosis codes using decision rules based on signs and symptoms. The overall percentage of true-positive UUSODs was a weighted average of the percentage of true-positive UUSODs based on diagnosis codes and the percentage of true-positive UUSODs determined by manually reviewing visits without codes. Results During 2018-2019, 40 045 ED visits met the syndrome definition for UUSOD. Approximately half (n = 18 793; 46.9%) of 40 045 visits had UUSOD diagnosis codes, indicating acute SOD; of these, 98.6% (n = 18 534) were true-positive UUSODs. Of 2125 manually reviewed visits without UUSOD diagnosis codes, 32.6% (n = 693) were true-positive UUSODs, 54.2% (n = 1151) were possible UUSODs, and 13.2% (n = 281) were not UUSODs. Overall, 63.6% of visits were true-positive UUSODs, 29.3% were possible UUSODs, and 7.1% were not UUSODs. Practice Implications CDC’s UUSOD definition may assist in surveillance efforts with further refinement to capture data on SOD clusters and trends.


Prevalences of and Characteristics Associated With Single- and Polydrug-Involved U.S. Emergency Department Visits in 2018

October 2021

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23 Reads

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11 Citations

Addictive Behaviors

Introduction Nonfatal and fatal drug overdoses have recently increased. There are limited data describing the range of illicit, prescribed, and over-the-counter drugs involved in overdoses presenting to U.S. emergency departments (EDs). Methods Using 2018 Healthcare Cost and Utilization Project (HCUP) Nationwide ED Sample (NEDS) data, we calculated weighted counts and percentages by drug among overdose-related ED visits. Overdose-related ED visits were those having an International Classification of Diseases, 10th Revision, Clinical Modification (ICD-10-CM) drug poisoning code falling under parent codes T36-T50 (codes involving alcohol were not explicitly queried). We identified the top 30 mutually exclusive polydrug combinations and compared characteristics of visits by polydrug status. Results In 2018, 908,234 ED visits had a T36-T50 drug poisoning code. The most frequently reported drugs involved were opioids (30.3% of visits; heroin: 15.2%), benzodiazepines (11.0%), stimulants (7.9%), other/unspecified antidepressants (7.1%), 4-aminophenol derivatives (6.6%), and other/unspecified drugs, medicaments, and biological substances (11.8%). Overdose was uncommon for most other drug classes (e.g., antibiotics). Polydrug visits were more likely to involve females (prevalence ratio [PR]: 1.14, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.12-1.16), be coded intentional self-harm (PR: 1.81, 95% CI: 1.77-1.85), and result in hospitalization (PR: 1.84, 95% CI: 1.79-1.89) or death (PR: 1.37, 95% CI: 1.22-1.53) compared to single-drug overdose-related visits. Benzodiazepines, opioids, and/or stimulants were most frequently involved in polydrug overdoses. Conclusion Opioids, benzodiazepines, and stimulants were most commonly reported in both single-drug and polydrug overdose-involved ED visits. Other drugs involved in overdoses included antidepressants and 4-aminophenol derivatives. Jurisdictions can use data on drugs involved in overdoses to better tailor prevention strategies to emerging needs.


Trends in drug overdose deaths involving cocaine and psychostimulants with abuse potential among racial and ethnic groups – United States, 2004–2019

August 2021

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41 Reads

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57 Citations

Drug and Alcohol Dependence

Background Drug overdose deaths involving stimulants, including cocaine and psychostimulants with abuse potential (e.g., methamphetamine), have been increasing, partly because of co-involvement with opioids. Stimulant-involved overdoses deaths have disproportionately increased among non-Hispanic Black (Black) and non-Hispanic American Indian/Alaskan Native (AI/AN) persons; however, the role of opioids in exacerbating disproportionate stimulant-involved death rates is unclear. Methods Analysis of National Vital Statistics System multiple cause-of-death mortality files examined age-adjusted cocaine- and psychostimulant-involved death rates. Analyses of death rates stratified by racial and ethnic group and opioid co-involvement included: 1) Joinpoint regression of 2004–2019 trends, 2) changes in rates from 2018 to 2019, and 3) demographic and geographic characteristics of 2019 deaths. Results from 2004 to 2019, cocaine and psychostimulant-involved death rates were higher for Black and AI/AN persons, respectively. Among all groups, increases in cocaine-involved overdose rates were largely driven by opioid co-involvement, particularly after 2013. From 2004 to 2019, rates for psychostimulant-involved deaths increased with and without opioid co-involvement. Rates for overdoses co-involving cocaine and synthetic opioids increased from 2018 to 2019 for Hispanic, non-Hispanic White (White), and Black persons. Psychostimulant-involved overdose rates with and without synthetic opioid co-involvement increased among Hispanic, White, and Black persons. In 2019, Black and AI/AN persons continued to experience higher cocaine- and psychostimulant-involved death rates, respectively. Conclusions Stimulant-involved deaths continue to increase, and the role of opioids in driving these deaths varies by race and ethnicity. Ensuring equitable access to proven prevention and treatment interventions and incorporating social determinants of health into future research around effective pharmacotherapies may help reduce stimulant-involved overdose deaths.


Differences and similarities between emergency department syndromic surveillance and hospital discharge data for nonfatal drug overdose

June 2021

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16 Reads

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10 Citations

Annals of Epidemiology

Purpose Emergency department (ED) syndromic surveillance and hospital discharge data have been used to detect and monitor nonfatal drug overdose, yet few studies have assessed the differences and similarities between these two data sources. Methods The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Drug Overdose Surveillance and Epidemiology (DOSE) system data from 14 states were used to compare these two sources at estimating monthly overdose burden and trends from January 2018 through December 2019 for nonfatal all drug, opioid-, heroin-, and stimulant-involved overdoses. Results Compared to discharge data, syndromic data captured 13.3% more overall ED visits, 67.8% more all drug overdose visits, 15.6% more opioid-involved overdose visits, and 78.8% more stimulant-involved overdose visits. Discharge data captured 18.9% more heroin-involved overdoses. Significant trends were identified for all drug (Average Monthly Percentage Change [AMPC]=1.1, 95% CI=0.4,1.8) and stimulant-involved overdoses (AMPC=2.4, 95% CI=1.2,3.7) in syndromic data; opioid-involved overdoses increased in both discharge and syndromic data (AMPCDischarge=0.9, 95% CI=0.2,1.7; AMPCSyndromic=1.9, CI=1.1,2.8). Conclusions Results demonstrate that discharge data may be better for reporting counts, yet syndromic data are preferable to detect changes quickly and to alert practitioners and public health officials to local overdose clusters. These data sources do serve complementary purposes when examining overdose trends.


Development and Validation of a Syndrome Definition to Identify Suspected Nonfatal Heroin-Involved Overdoses Treated in Emergency Departments

December 2020

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14 Reads

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8 Citations

Journal of Public Health Management and Practice

Context: The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) works closely with states and local jurisdictions that are leveraging data from syndromic surveillance systems to identify meaningful changes in overdose trends. CDC developed a suspected nonfatal heroin overdose syndrome definition for use with emergency department (ED) data to help monitor trends at the national, state, and local levels. Objective: This study assesses the percentage of true-positive unintentional and undetermined intent heroin-involved overdose (UUHOD) captured by this definition. Design/setting: CDC applied the UUHOD definition to ED data available in CDC's National Syndromic Surveillance Program (NSSP). Data were analyzed from 18 states that shared access to their syndromic data in NSSP with the CDC overdose morbidity team. Data were analyzed using queries and manual reviews to identify heroin overdose diagnosis codes and text describing chief complaint reasons for ED visits. Measures: The percentage of true-positive UUHOD was calculated as the number of true-positives divided by the number of total visits captured by the syndrome definition. Results: In total, 99 617 heroin overdose visits were identified by the syndrome definition. Among 95 323 visits identified as acute heroin-involved overdoses, based on reviews of chief complaint text and diagnosis codes, 967 (1.0%) were classified as possible intentional drug overdoses. Among all 99 617 visits, 94 356 (94.7%) were classified as true-positive UUHOD; 2226 (2.2%) and 3035 (3.0%) were classified as "no" and "maybe" UUHOD, respectively. Conclusion: Analysis of the CDC heroin overdose syndrome definition determined that nearly all visits were captured accurately for patients presenting to the ED for a suspected acute UUHOD. This definition will continue to be valuable for ongoing heroin overdose surveillance and epidemiologic analysis of heroin overdose patterns. CDC will evaluate possible definition refinements as new products and terms for heroin overdose emerge.


Nonfatal Drug and Polydrug Overdoses Treated in Emergency Departments — 29 States, 2018–2019

August 2020

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28 Reads

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54 Citations

MMWR. Morbidity and mortality weekly report

The U.S. drug overdose epidemic continues to cause substantial morbidity and mortality. In 2017, 967,615 nonfatal drug overdoses were treated in emergency departments (EDs), a 4.3% increase from 2016 in all overdoses and a 3.1% increase in opioid-involved overdoses (1). During 2017 and 2018, syndromic surveillance revealed that 37.2% of overdoses treated in EDs in 18 states involved multiple drugs (2). To describe changes in rates and proportions of suspected nonfatal drug and polydrug overdoses treated in EDs, CDC analyzed syndromic surveillance data from 2018 to 2019 in 29 states. Rates of overdoses involving opioids, cocaine, and amphetamines increased 9.7%, 11.0%, and 18.3%, respectively, and the rate of benzodiazepine-involved overdoses decreased 3.0%. Overdoses co-involving opioids and amphetamines increased from 2018 to 2019, overall, in both sexes, and in most age groups. In 2019, 23.6%, 17.1%, and 18.7% of overdoses involving cocaine, amphetamine, and benzodiazepines, respectively, also involved opioids. Expanding overdose prevention, treatment, and response efforts is needed to reduce the number of drug and polydrug overdoses. This includes linkage into treatment, harm reduction services, and community-based programs for persons who use drugs; expanding overdose prevention efforts, including increased naloxone provision, to persons who use stimulants; addressing the illicit drug supply; and identifying specific risk factors for populations using these drugs. Continued surveillance with expanded coverage of additional jurisdictions of the evolving drug overdose epidemic is important to the success of these efforts.


Nonfatal Drug Overdoses Treated in Emergency Departments - United States, 2016-2017

April 2020

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63 Reads

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67 Citations

MMWR. Morbidity and mortality weekly report

In 2017, drug overdoses caused 70,237 deaths in the United States, a 9.6% rate increase from 2016 (1). Monitoring nonfatal drug overdoses treated in emergency departments (EDs) is also important to inform community prevention and response activities. Analysis of discharge data provides insights into the prevalence and trends of nonfatal drug overdoses, highlighting opportunities for public health action to prevent overdoses. Using discharge data from the Healthcare Cost and Utilization Project's (HCUP) Nationwide Emergency Department Sample (NEDS), CDC identified nonfatal overdoses for all drugs, all opioids, nonheroin opioids, heroin, benzodiazepines, and cocaine and examined changes from 2016 to 2017, stratified by drug type and by patient, facility, and visit characteristics. In 2017, the most recent year for which population-level estimates of nonfatal overdoses can be generated, a total of 967,615 nonfatal drug overdoses were treated in EDs, an increase of 4.3% from 2016, which included 305,623 opioid-involved overdoses, a 3.1% increase from 2016. From 2016 to 2017, the nonfatal overdose rates for all drug types increased significantly except for those involving benzodiazepines. These findings highlight the importance of continued surveillance of nonfatal drug overdoses treated in EDs to inform public health actions and, working collaboratively with clinical and public safety partners, to link patients to needed recovery and treatment resources (e.g., medication-assisted treatment).


FIGURE 1. Age-adjusted rates* of drug overdose deaths † involving cocaine § with and without synthetic opioids other than methadone (synthetic opioids) and any opioids ¶ -United States, 2003-2017** , † †
Drug Overdose Deaths Involving Cocaine and Psychostimulants with Abuse Potential — United States, 2003–2017

May 2019

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212 Reads

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357 Citations

MMWR. Morbidity and mortality weekly report

In 2016, a total of 63,632 persons died from drug overdoses in the United States (1). Drug overdose deaths involving cocaine, psychostimulants with abuse potential (psychostimulants), or both substances combined increased 42.4% from 12,122 in 2015 to 17,258 in 2016.* Psychostimulants with abuse potential include drugs such as methamphetamine, 3,4-methylenedioxy-methamphetamine (MDMA), dextroamphetamine, levoamphetamine, methylphenidate (Ritalin), and caffeine. From 2015 to 2016, cocaine-involved and psychostimulant-involved death rates increased 52.4% and 33.3%, respectively (1). A total of 70,237 persons died from drug overdoses in the United States in 2017; approximately two thirds of these deaths involved an opioid (2). CDC analyzed 2016-2017 changes in age-adjusted death rates involving cocaine and psychostimulants by demographic characteristics, urbanization levels, U.S. Census region, 34 states, and the District of Columbia (DC). CDC also examined trends in age-adjusted cocaine-involved and psychostimulant-involved death rates from 2003 to 2017 overall, as well as with and without co-involvement of opioids. Among all 2017 drug overdose deaths, 13,942 (19.8%) involved cocaine, and 10,333 (14.7%) involved psychostimulants. Death rates increased from 2016 to 2017 for both drug categories across demographic characteristics, urbanization levels, Census regions, and states. In 2017, opioids were involved in 72.7% and 50.4% of cocaine-involved and psychostimulant-involved overdoses, respectively, and the data suggest that increases in cocaine-involved overdose deaths from 2012 to 2017 were driven primarily by synthetic opioids. Conversely, increases in psychostimulant-involved deaths from 2010 to 2017 occurred largely independent of opioids, with increased co-involvement of synthetic opioids in recent years. Provisional data from 2018 indicate that deaths involving cocaine and psychostimulants are continuing to increase.† Increases in stimulant-involved deaths are part of a growing polysubstance landscape. Increased surveillance and evidence-based multisectoral prevention and response strategies are needed to address deaths involving cocaine and psychostimulants and opioids. Enhancing linkage to care, building state and local capacity, and public health/public safety collaborations are critical components of prevention efforts.


Citations (16)


... Diagnostic codes entered by clinicians represent a common data point for the determination of the prevalence of opioid-related ED encounters [5][6][7][8]. International Classification of Disease (ICD) diagnostic codes are seen by the World Health Organization as 'a common language for recording, reporting and monitoring diseases'. ...

Reference:

Performance of International Classification of Disease‐10 codes in detecting emergency department patients with opioid misuse
Analysis of trends and usage of ICD-10-CM discharge diagnosis codes for poisonings by fentanyl, tramadol, and other synthetic narcotics in emergency department data

Addictive Behaviors Reports

... [4][5][6] For every fatal drug overdose, it is estimated that there are many more non-fatal drug overdoses. For example, in 2018, data from emergency departments (EDs) estimated 897 523 non-fatal drug-involved overdose ED visits in the USA, 7 while mortality data from the same year identified 67 367 drug overdose deaths. 8 However, despite having data sources such as these available to estimate the ratio of fatal to non-fatal overdoses, minimal information exists on long-term national trends and how this metric might differ by drug type. ...

Prevalences of and Characteristics Associated With Single- and Polydrug-Involved U.S. Emergency Department Visits in 2018
  • Citing Article
  • October 2021

Addictive Behaviors

... Tujuan dari program ini adalah mebantu mengobati ketergantungan dan menyembuhkan penyakit sebagai akibat dari pemakaian narkoba, sekaligus menghentikan peakaian narkoba. (Kariisa, 2021) Tidak sembarang pihak dapat mengobati pemakai narkoba ini, hanya dokter yang telah mempelajari narkoba secara khususlah yang diperbolehkan mengobati dan menyembuhkan pemakai narkoba ini. Pengobatan ini sangat rumit dan dibutuhkan kesabaran dala menjalaninya. ...

Trends in drug overdose deaths involving cocaine and psychostimulants with abuse potential among racial and ethnic groups – United States, 2004–2019
  • Citing Article
  • August 2021

Drug and Alcohol Dependence

... Hospital discharge data, regarded as the gold standard, provides valuable insights by encompassing discharged patients and those who died during their hospital stays (Hoots, 2021). However, to address the inherent time delays in compiling hospital discharge data, it's crucial to supplement this approach with syndromic surveillance using electronic health data (Vivolo-Kantor, Smith, and Scholl, 2021). Syndromic surveillance, originally designed for bioterrorist attack detection, has broader applications in public health, clinical medicine, and research. ...

Differences and similarities between emergency department syndromic surveillance and hospital discharge data for nonfatal drug overdose
  • Citing Article
  • June 2021

Annals of Epidemiology

... All diagnosis fields were queried to identify drug overdoses. More information on the specific codes and chief complaint text for the definitions can be found elsewhere [21,22]. ...

Development and Validation of a Syndrome Definition to Identify Suspected Nonfatal Heroin-Involved Overdoses Treated in Emergency Departments
  • Citing Article
  • December 2020

Journal of Public Health Management and Practice

... 12 The shift from prescription opioids to non-prescription opioid use has been associated with a change in demographics where white males were initially overrepresented, but by 2021, the population become more racially diverse. 1 This shift in the pattern of drug use and demographic of people who use drugs has been accompanied by an increase in utilization of EDs to treat nonfatal drug overdoses. 3,15,16 In November 2017, our hospital system implemented an ED-based multi-pronged intervention program for patients presenting to the ED with an acute presentation of OUD. The program included the following available interventions: (1) take-home intranasal naloxone, ...

Nonfatal Drug and Polydrug Overdoses Treated in Emergency Departments — 29 States, 2018–2019

MMWR. Morbidity and mortality weekly report

... 12 The shift from prescription opioids to non-prescription opioid use has been associated with a change in demographics where white males were initially overrepresented, but by 2021, the population become more racially diverse. 1 This shift in the pattern of drug use and demographic of people who use drugs has been accompanied by an increase in utilization of EDs to treat nonfatal drug overdoses. 3,15,16 In November 2017, our hospital system implemented an ED-based multi-pronged intervention program for patients presenting to the ED with an acute presentation of OUD. The program included the following available interventions: (1) take-home intranasal naloxone, ...

Nonfatal Drug Overdoses Treated in Emergency Departments - United States, 2016-2017

MMWR. Morbidity and mortality weekly report

... Recent nationally representative data also show that heroin and synthetic opioid overdose mortality rates in males are approximately 2.5-fold greater than in females, even adjusting for overall sex-specific NMOU (Butelman et al., 2023). Overall, it may be hypothesized that several mechanisms, including MAT outcomes and riskier patterns of NMOU (e.g., higher doses, using alone) could underlie sex disparities in opioid-induced morbidity and mortality (Gicquelais et al., 2022;Kariisa et al., 2019). ...

Drug Overdose Deaths Involving Cocaine and Psychostimulants with Abuse Potential — United States, 2003–2017

MMWR. Morbidity and mortality weekly report

... In the United States (U.S.), the opioid crisis, characterized by an epidemic of prescription opioids and the emergence of highly potent synthetic fentanyl (an opioid analgesic that is 50-100 times more potent than heroin or morphine) in the illicit drug market, continues to contribute to drug overdose mortality in the U.S. [2,4]. In 2017, more than 47,000 lives were lost to opioid overdose [5], reflecting a 345% increase in the overdose fatality rate between 2001 and 2016 [6]. By 2019, drug overdose deaths had surpassed 70,630, with opioid-related death rates reaching 15.8 deaths per 100,000 people [2]. ...

Drug and Opioid-Involved Overdose Deaths — United States, 2013–2017
  • Citing Article
  • December 2018

MMWR. Morbidity and mortality weekly report

... These findings demonstrate significant regional disparities, which may be attributable to varying levels of access to naloxone or differences in healthcare coverage across U.S. states. According to National Center for Health Statistics (NCHS) data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), approximately 100,306 drug overdose deaths were reported in the United States during the 12-month period ending in April 2021, an increase of 28.5% from the 78,056 deaths during the same period the year before 14,15 . This alarming rise in opioid overdose deaths highlights the ongoing public health crisis and the urgent need for continued efforts in prevention and intervention. ...

Drug and Opioid-Involved Overdose Deaths — United States, 2013–2017

MMWR. Morbidity and mortality weekly report