Lauren M. Arnold’s research while affiliated with University of British Columbia and other places

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Publications (6)


Draft decision-making criteria
Addressing Cumulative Effects through an Indigenous-led Assessment Process
  • Article
  • Publisher preview available

November 2024

Environmental Management

Lauren M. Arnold

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Kevin Hanna

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Cynthia Fell

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JP Laplante

Cumulative effects assessments are often expected to include an analysis of environmental and social effects despite a relative lack of clarity around how include a broad spectrum of social and cultural impacts. In Canda, these expectations are evolving in part in response to the need to consider the impacts of development on Indigenous communities, and the emergence of Indigenous-led Led Impact Assessment. Led by a team from the Tŝilhqot’in National Government and the University of British Columbia’s Centre for Environmental Assessment Research, this project explored how to improve processes for assessing cumulative effects drawing from an Indigenous-led approach. We identify six guiding principles, and discuss how they are integrated in the Tŝilhqot’in Nation’s evolving Impact Assessment and Cumulative Effects Assessment processes.

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Capacity needs for assessing the cumulative social effects of projects

August 2022

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38 Reads

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3 Citations

Impact Assessment and Project Appraisal

Lauren M Arnold

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Kevin Hanna

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Bram Noble

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[...]

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Cumulative effects assessments in Canada are increasingly expected to include social impacts from resource development and land-use actions on people, their communities, and livelihoods. As processes and methods for assessing cumulative social effects develop, it is important to understand the capacity needs for implementing such an assessment. This paper explores the regulatory and professional capacity required to assess cumulative social effects of resource development projects. Semi-structured interviews were completed with professionals involved in environmental assessments for hydroelectric development in British Columbia and Manitoba, Canada. A number of key capacity needs are identified in terms of the availability regulation and guidance, the professional expertise needed, and understanding responsibilities and management for cumulative social effects. The paper concludes with a discussion of capacity needs and recommendations for improvements to support the implementation of a social cumulative effects assessment.


Case study selection process
OECD Case Studies of Integrated Regional and Strategic Impact Assessment: What Does ‘Integration’ Look Like in Practice?

June 2022

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62 Reads

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3 Citations

Environmental Management

Increasingly, protocols for assessing the impacts of land-uses and major resource development projects focus not only on environmental impacts, but also social and human health impacts. Regional and Strategic Environmental Assessment (RSEAs) are one innovation that hold promise at better integrating these diverse land-use values into planning, assessment, and decision-making. In this contribution, a realist review methodology is utilized to identify case studies of “integrated RSEA”—those which are strategic, have a regional assessment approach, and seek to integrate environmental, community and health impacts into a singular assessment architecture. The results of a systematic literature review are described and six RSEA-like case studies are identified: Kimberly Browse LNG SEA; HS2 Appraisal of Sustainability; Lisbon International Airport SEA; Beaufort Regional Environmental Assessment; Nordstream 2 Transboundary EIA; and the Portland Harbour Sustainability Project. The case studies are examined according to their unique contexts, mechanisms and outcomes of their assessment protocols to determine the degree to which they consider more than environmental valued components, and the means by which they were included. Findings suggest that RSEA has a contentious relationship with the integration of more than environmental values, but that there are significant lessons to be learned to support project planning, especially for assessment contexts characterized by large, transboundary projects.


Conceptual framework for cumulative social effects of projects
Assessing the Cumulative Social Effects of Projects: Lessons from Canadian Hydroelectric Development

May 2022

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215 Reads

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9 Citations

Environmental Management

Cumulative effects assessments are often expected to include an analysis of cumulative social effects to people, their communities, and livelihoods caused by resource development projects and land use activities. Understanding cumulative social effects is important for decisions about prospective resource development projects, but there has been limited attention devoted to how to complete such an assessment. This paper critically examines how cumulative effects frameworks are applied to social impacts during environmental assessments. We do this by analyzing semi-structured interviews exploring practitioner experience in environmental assessments for hydroelectric development in British Columbia and Manitoba, Canada. The results provide a conceptual framework for cumulative social effects and illustrate how identified challenges for cumulative effects assessment are exacerbated by social impacts that introduce additional complexities in impact identification, assessment, and decision-making. The paper concludes with a discussion of how these challenges can be addressed and recommendations for improving environmental assessment practice.


Network analysis demonstrates the importance of evaluating impacts to landscape-level connectivity resulting from proposed projects. This image visualizes the conceptual basis of a network connectivity diagram before and after disturbance. Looking exclusively within the site boundaries, a project may be perceived as having little impact on overall habitat area (left). However, when viewed within the context of overall landscape connectivity, removal of a specific habitat node might disconnect two large previously connected habitat patches and thus greatly reducing overall connectivity (right). Modified from Urban and Keitt (2001).
Examples of how site boundaries could be modified to exclude or favour certain outcomes in environmental impact assessment (EIA) and cumulative effects assessment (CEA). Results show ensuing differences in the number and type of development detected at each site. For example, a CEA at Site 3 would discern only two forest cut blocks when using a 2.5 km radius, compared with five active forest cut blocks and 19 contaminated sites using a 5 km radius; thus drastically changing the environmental effects and impacts included in the assessment. Figure based on three random EIA reviews in the pre-application stage (Data BC website: data.gov.bc.ca/) as of June 2017.
Mapped results of a network connectivity analysis of critical habitat patches for marbled murrelet (Brachyramphus marmoratus), a threatened bird species in coastal BC. Habitat patch size and proximity was evaluated using CONEFOR connectivity analysis software (Saura and Torné 2009). CONEFOR results identify which habitat patches are the most important in terms of overall connectivity of the landscape (purple) and which habitat patches are the most important as local stepping-stone connectors (orange). If a project was located within one of these important habitat patches, there might be justification for its protection and/or for prioritizing alternative project locations.
Utilizing historical vegetation mapping to understand environmental impact assessment and cumulative effects assessment baselines for a ∼10 km stretch of the Skeena River in northwestern British Columbia. Using aerial photographs spanning decades, long-term change in vegetation composition can be depicted (as classified using Terrestrial Ecosystem Mapping protocols (BC Ministry of Environment 2000)). Top panel shows primarily coniferous forest cover in 1947 whereas the bottom panel shows subsequent alteration of river channels and conversion to early-successional deciduous forests by 2003. Information derived from aerial photograph chronosequences provides information about forest, stream, and landscape recovery patterns and can guide construction of evidence-based baseline conditions across a deeper timeframe.
Lessons to be learned from historical aerial photographs: past road building. These photos (from GeoBC: www2.gov.bc.ca/gov/content/data/about-data-management/geobc) demonstrate how consideration of historical baselines can prevent environmental decision-makers from making similar mistakes in a contemporary setting. The left panel shows the Lakelse River (a tributary of the Skeena River) near Terrace, BC in 1937, whereas the right panel shows the impact of a subsequent forestry service road. Built without proper cross drainage, the road (identified by arrows) appears to have caused ponding and creation of a large wetland feature (hatched boundary). By impacting the flow of runoff to the river, this road potentially affected nutrient retention and release as well as movement patterns of aquatic and terrestrial organisms. Such long-term change might not have been evident if only contemporary field visits were conducted in establishing a baseline condition.
Perspectives from landscape ecology can improve environmental impact assessment

March 2021

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151 Reads

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15 Citations

The outcomes of environmental impact assessment (EIA) influence millions of hectares of land and can be a contentious process. A vital aspect of an EIA process is consideration of the accumulation of impacts from multiple activities and stressors through a cumulative effects assessment (CEA). An opportunity exists to improve the rigor and utility of CEA and EIA by incorporating core scientific principles of landscape ecology into EIA. With examples from a Canadian context, we explore realistic hypothetical situations demonstrating how integration of core scientific principles could impact EIA outcomes. First, we demonstrate how changing the spatial extent of EIA boundaries can misrepresent cumulative impacts via the exclusion or inclusion of surrounding natural resource development projects. Second, we use network analysis to show how even a seemingly small, localized development project can disrupt regional habitat connectivity. Lastly, we explore the benefits of using long-term historical remote sensing products. Because these approaches are straightforward to implement using publicly available data, they provide sensible opportunities to improve EIA and enhance the monitoring of natural resource development activities in Canada and elsewhere.


Freshwater cumulative effects and environmental assessment in the Mackenzie Valley, Northwest Territories: challenges and decision-maker needs

April 2019

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87 Reads

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12 Citations

Impact Assessment and Project Appraisal

There is a recognized need to advance cumulative effects assessment to regional and ecologically meaningful scales, but such initiatives are often critiqued for being isolated from management contexts and the regulatory practices of project-based environmental assessment. A major challenge is that there has been limited attention devoted to understanding decision-making at the project level, and the value of monitoring data to support cumulative effects analysis. This article examines how cumulative effects are considered during environmental assessment decision-making within the context of freshwater management in the Mackenzie Valley, Northwest Territories. Interviews with representatives from organizations involved in environmental assessment, regulation, and monitoring are used to identify challenges to applying information about cumulative effects at the project scale. Results reinforce the need for regional approaches and improvements in information and monitoring capacities to support cumulative effects analysis, but also the need to address institutional and organizational deficiencies to ensure that the data and information generated are useful to and applied within project-based decision-making.

Citations (5)


... A challenge for applying CEA during IA is the expectation of impact attribution and determining the relative contribution of project impacts to adverse cumulative effects (Cronmiller and Noble 2018). This is particularly difficult for social impacts, such as impacts to mental health, culture, or gender-based impacts, that may be exacerbated by a project, but also affected by a wide range of current and historic land use activities, and social and political conditions (Arnold et al., 2023;Arnold et al. 2022a). Project-based CEA, regardless of its intended scope, is often confronted with the question of where responsibility rests for existing conditions, social or otherwise, that are viewed as undesirable or unacceptable. ...

Reference:

Addressing Cumulative Effects through an Indigenous-led Assessment Process
Capacity needs for assessing the cumulative social effects of projects
  • Citing Article
  • August 2022

Impact Assessment and Project Appraisal

... Assessing adverse effects remains fundamental for the Tsîlhqot'in Nation's IA, and this criterion is also not designed to exclusively focus on the potential economic benefits of projects, but rather to prompt an additional evaluation beyond adverse effects. Objective or goal-based analysis is not a new concept (Mitchell and Parkins 2011;Franks et al. 2010;Loxton et al. 2013;Gibson 2011) and is often discussed in relation to sustainability assessments (Arnold et al. 2022b;Atlin and Gibson 2017;Bond et al. 2012). The Tsîlhqot'in experience illustrates how such a framework can be applied to assessments of cumulative effects at the project level. ...

OECD Case Studies of Integrated Regional and Strategic Impact Assessment: What Does ‘Integration’ Look Like in Practice?

Environmental Management

... Otra perspectivaes definir los impactos como cambios en la vida de las personas, estimulados por una determinada acción, cuyos resultados logrados a nivel comunitario o social perduran en el tiempo (Islam, 2021). En contraste con el término "impacto", algunos investigadores proponen hablar del "desempeño social", el cual abarca las repercusiones vinculadas a diversas necesidades sociales, no solo de los empleados de la propia empresa, sino también de los consumidores de sus productos, otros grupos sociales y su influencia en el entorno (Arnold et al, 2022;Svynchuk, 2017). En consecuencia, a la luz de las definiciones existentes, se hace evidente que la conceptualización del impacto social es un tema controvertido, lo cual dificulta su cuantificación precisa. ...

Assessing the Cumulative Social Effects of Projects: Lessons from Canadian Hydroelectric Development

Environmental Management

... These studies address soil compaction, impacts on air, soil and water quality, ergonomic issues, the relationship between the local community and forestry production activities and, mainly, the operational performance of the machines used in forestry operations. However, there is a lack of studies focused on the comprehensive management of environmental impacts, considering integrated planning and monitoring that consider the complexity of anthropic, biotic and abiotic variables [1,4,14,16,24]. ...

Perspectives from landscape ecology can improve environmental impact assessment

... Conventional CEM practice has primarily focused on producing data and information on cumulative effects, without sufficient attention to whether and how that information will be used by decision-makers (Hegmann and Yarranton 2011;Wong et al. 2019). Decision-makers facing complex decisions about natural resource use and project approvals often report not having the necessary information and tools to make better, informed decisions (Arnold et al. 2019;AXYS Environmental Consulting Ltd. 2003). Outside of IA, typical conservation and management processes use monitoring data reactively, waiting until the data show that an indicator is in a highly undesirable state before deciding to implement management interventions (Lindenmayer and Likens 2010; Wilson et al. 2018). ...

Freshwater cumulative effects and environmental assessment in the Mackenzie Valley, Northwest Territories: challenges and decision-maker needs
  • Citing Article
  • April 2019

Impact Assessment and Project Appraisal