Kenneth A. Dodge’s research while affiliated with Duke University and other places

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Publications (520)


Parenting Risk and Protective Factors in the Development of Conduct Problems in Seven Countries
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November 2024

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83 Reads

Prevention Science

Jennifer E. Lansford

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This study advances the understanding of risk and protective factors in trajectories of conduct problems in adolescence in seven countries that differ widely on a number of sociodemographic factors as well as norms related to adolescent behavior. Youth- and parent-report data from 988 adolescents in seven countries (Colombia, Italy, Kenya, Philippines, Sweden, Thailand, and the USA) who were followed longitudinally from ages 10 to 18 (yielding 6872 total data points) were subject to latent class growth analysis. A 4-class model provided the best fit to the data: Late Starters, Alcohol Experimenters, Mid-Adolescent Starters, and Pervasive Risk Takers. The probability of membership in each class differed by country in ways that were generally consistent with country-specific norms and expectations regarding adolescent behavior. Positive parenting was associated with a lower likelihood of adolescents’ membership in the Pervasive Risk Takers class, whereas psychological control, monitoring/behavioral control, and autonomy granting were associated with a higher likelihood of membership in the Pervasive Risk Takers class. Associations between parenting and membership in the other classes suggest that some risk taking during adolescence is normative even when parenting is positive.


FIGURE E Graphical representation of the tested second-order LGCM. PB, Prosocial Behavior; TT, Time e (( years); TT, Time e ((( years); T, Time e ((( years); TT, Time e ((( years); C, Comforting behavior item; H, Helping behavior item; S, Sharing behavior item.
The development of prosocial behavior from late childhood to adolescence: a longitudinal and multicultural study
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  • Full-text available

October 2024

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295 Reads

Frontiers in Developmental Psychology

Introduction Prosocial behavior (i.e., voluntary actions aimed at benefiting others, such as helping, comforting, and sharing) has proven beneficial for individuals' adjustment during the transition to adolescence. However, less is known about the role of the broader sociocultural context in shaping prosocial development across different cultures. Thus, the present study explored the longitudinal trajectory of prosocial behavior in the transition to adolescence (from ages 9 to 16) by examining the role of the Human Development Index (HDI) in relation to prosocial development. Methods A sample of 915 children (Time 1: 50.5% males; M age = 9.24, SD = 0.69) across six countries (Colombia, Jordan, Italy, the Philippines, Thailand, and the United States) participated in the study. Over four time points covering 7 years, prosocial behavior was assessed using a self-report measure. Results A second-order Latent Growth Curve Model, controlling for child gender and family SES, showed that prosocial behavior remained stable in contexts with high HDI, whereas increases in prosocial behavior were evidenced as children moved into adolescence in contexts with low HDI. Moreover, cultural differences in the mean level of prosocial behavior were shown during late childhood and the earliest phase of adolescence, whereas the national development of a given context did not account for differences in prosocial behavior during late adolescence. Discussion Findings underscore that national life expectancy, education, and wealth play a role in age-related changes in other-oriented behaviors during adolescence. The role of sociocultural factors in shaping trajectories of prosocial behavior across six countries is discussed.

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Subtypes of childhood social withdrawal and adult relationship and parenting outcomes

October 2024

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11 Reads

International Journal of Behavioral Development

The aims of the current 30 year prospective study were to determine: (1) whether socially withdrawn kindergarten children are less likely than others to enter serious romantic relationships or become parents by age 34, (2) whether socially withdrawn children parent differently than non-withdrawn individuals when they grow up, and (3) whether subtypes of withdrawal are associated with different adult outcomes. Following Harrist et al. (1997), 558 kindergarten children (81% White, 17% Black) were categorized into one of the five groups: four clusters of social withdrawal ( n = 95 unsociable, 23 passive-anxious, 18 active-isolate, and 25 sad/depressed) or non-withdrawal ( n = 397), using directly observed school behavior and teacher ratings. About 30 years later ( M age = 34.45 years, SD = 0.62 years), participants self-reported on their romantic relationship and parent status and parenting warmth and harshness. Overall, the group of socially withdrawn children was no more or less likely than the non-withdrawn group to be in a current relationship or a parent, nor did they report any differences in parenting. However, the active-isolate subtype of social withdrawal, characterized by impulsivity and anger, was less likely than the non-withdrawn group to be in a current relationship ( B = −1.24, p < 0.05). This study suggests socially withdrawn children in the United States fare similarly to non-withdrawn peers in adulthood in their romantic relationships and parenting, but a subgroup of active-isolate children may be at risk of not entering adult relationships.


Fast Track Intervention Effects and Mechanisms of Action Through Established Adulthood

October 2024

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66 Reads

Prevention Science

Early preventive interventions can improve outcomes in childhood, but the most effective interventions can continue to deliver benefits through the life course. The Fast Track intervention, a randomized controlled trial for children at risk of conduct problems, has lowered psychopathology, substance use problems, and criminality and elevated happiness at age 25. However, research has not studied whether the intervention’s effects continue further into established adulthood. In addition, little is known about the mechanisms through which the intervention may affect adult outcomes. We attempted to answer both questions by simultaneously estimating the intervention’s direct effect on adult outcomes at age 31 and the intervention’s indirect effects on those outcomes via interpersonal, intrapersonal, and academic competencies gained through the intervention. Participants included the Fast Track intervention ( n = 445; 72.4% male) and high-risk control samples ( n = 446; 66.4% male). Direct and total effects of random assignment to Fast Track on age 31 outcomes were not significant. However, our analyses showed that Fast Track’s improvements to interpersonal and intrapersonal skills in childhood served as catalysts for better life outcomes at age 31. Higher interpersonal skills led to fewer externalizing, internalizing, and substance use problems, reduced criminality and sexual partners, in addition to increased general health and full-time employment. Improved intrapersonal skills led to greater strength. There were no significant indirect pathways via academic skills. Our findings inform understanding of how a childhood preventive intervention can improve adjustment and behaviors into established adulthood.


Investigating Longitudinal Trajectories of COVID-19 Disruption: Methodological Challenges and Recommendations

October 2024

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30 Reads

Prevention Science

Relatively few studies have longitudinally investigated how COVID-19 has disrupted the lives and health of youth beyond the first year of the pandemic. This may be because longitudinal researchers face complex challenges in figuring out how to code time, account for changes in COVID-19 spread, and model longitudinal COVID-19-related trajectories across environmental contexts. This manuscript considers each of these three methodological issues by modeling trajectories of COVID-19 disruption in 1080 youth from 12 cultural groups in nine nations between March 2020-July 2022 using multilevel modeling. Our findings suggest that for studies that attempt to examine cross-cultural longitudinal trajectories during COVID-19, starting such trajectories on March 11, 2020, measuring disruption along 6-month time intervals, capturing COVID-19 spread using death rates and the COVID-19 Health and Containment Index scores, and using modeling methods that combine etic and emic approaches are each especially useful. In offering these suggestions, we hope to start methodological dialogues among longitudinal researchers that ultimately result in the proliferation of research on the longitudinal impacts of COVID-19 that the world so badly needs.


Attachment security, environmental adversity, and fast life history behavioral profiles in human adolescents

September 2024

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75 Reads

Development and Psychopathology

One species-general life history (LH) principle posits that challenging childhood environments are coupled with a fast or faster LH strategy and associated behaviors, while secure and stable childhood environments foster behaviors conducive to a slow or slower LH strategy. This coupling between environments and LH strategies is based on the assumption that individuals’ internal traits and states are independent of their external surroundings. In reality, individuals respond to external environmental conditions in alignment with their intrinsic vitality, encompassing both physical and mental states. The present study investigated attachment as an internal mental state, examining its role in mediating and moderating the association between external environmental adversity and fast LH strategies. A sample of 1169 adolescents (51% girls) from 9 countries was tracked over 10 years, starting from age 8. The results confirm both mediation and moderation and, for moderation, secure attachment nullified and insecure attachment maintained the environment-LH coupling. These findings suggest that attachment could act as an internal regulator, disrupting the contingent coupling between environmental adversity and a faster pace of life, consequently decelerating human LH.


Timeline of casino payments to American Indian families and third grade test scores of the next generation of American Indian children
Casino payments begin in 1996 and are disbursed to adults (G1). The young children of G1 (i.e., G2) grow to childbearing age, and 2000 is the first birth year of their children (G3) for whom we retrieved third grade reading and math test scores from 2008 to 2017. G2 women who were relatively young in 1996 –when G1 received the first Casino payment– are considered more exposed to the cash transfers than are G2 women who were at or above 18 years of age in 1996.
Histograms of the Z-Scores of Third grade Tests
Third grade math (a) and reading (b) scores among children born to American Indian (orange bar) and non-American Indian mothers (blue bar), Jackson, Swain, and Graham counties, for test years 2008–2017. The orange bars represent the proportion of a z-score to children of American Indian mothers. The blue bars represent the proportion of a z-score to children of non- American Indian mothers.
Third grade math Z-Score† (fitted regression values from Table 2, Model 2) by American Indian status, by duration of exposure to payments before 18 years
Within the context of the declining trend in third grade math test scores in this rural population (which mirrors national trends), the race-based disparity in test scores narrows for American Indian children whose mothers had a relatively greater duration exposure. American Indian scores are represented by the orange line. Non-American Indian scores are represented by the blue line.
Third grade reading Z-Score† (fitted regression values from Table 3, Model 2) by American Indian status, by duration of exposure to payments before 18 years
Within the context of the declining trend in third grade reading test scores in this rural population (which mirrors national trends), the race-based disparity in test scores narrows for American Indian children whose mothers had a relatively greater duration exposure. American Indian scores are represented by the orange line. Non- American Indian scores are represented by the blue line.
Intergenerational effects of a casino-funded family transfer program on educational outcomes in an American Indian community

September 2024

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6 Reads

Cash transfer policies have been widely discussed as mechanisms to curb intergenerational transmission of socioeconomic disadvantage. In this paper, we take advantage of a large casino-funded family transfer program introduced in a Southeastern American Indian Tribe to generate difference-in-difference estimates of the link between children’s cash transfer exposure and third grade math and reading test scores of their offspring. Here we show greater math (0.25 standard deviation [SD], p =.0148, 95% Confidence Interval [CI]: 0.05, 0.45) and reading (0.28 SD, p = .0066, 95% CI: 0.08, 0.49) scores among American Indian students whose mother was exposed ten years longer than other American Indian students to the cash transfer during her childhood (or relative to the non-American Indian student referent group). Exploratory analyses find that a mother’s decision to pursue higher education and delay fertility appears to explain some, but not all, of the relation between cash transfers and children’s test scores. In this rural population, large cash transfers have the potential to reduce intergenerational cycles of poverty-related educational outcomes.


Cultural values, parenting, and child adjustment in the United States

July 2024

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60 Reads

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1 Citation

International Journal of Psychology

We examined whether cultural values, conformity and parenting behaviours were related to child adjustment in middle childhood in the United States. White, Black and Latino mothers ( n = 273), fathers ( n = 182) and their children ( n = 272) reported on parental individualism and collectivism, conformity values, parental warmth, monitoring, family obligation expectations, and child internalising and externalising behaviours. Mean differences, bivariate correlations and multiple regression analyses were performed on variables of interest. Collectivism in mothers and fathers was associated with family obligation expectations and parental warmth. Fathers with higher conformity values had higher expectations of children's family obligations. Child internalising and externalising behaviours were greater when Latino families subscribed to individualistic values. These results are discussed in the context of cultural values, protective and promotive factors of behaviour, and race/ethnicity in the United States.




Citations (61)


... Mental health challenges are extremely common. As described by Dodge et al. (2024), about half of Americans are diagnosed with mental disorders by adulthood. The prevailing model of U.S. mental health care uses licensed professionals to provide services to privileged individuals with access to insurance or other funding. ...

Reference:

A Global Context for Population Mental Health: Commentary on
Population Mental Health Science: Guiding Principles and Initial Agenda

American Psychologist

... Choudhry, et. al., 2016) These strategies prevent inappropriate behavior from students and provide instruction and modeling for managing conflicts, including support for social problem-solving and appropriate emotional expression (Thomas, Bierman, & Powers, 2011). ...

Running Head: Classroom Influences The Influence of Classroom Aggression and Classroom Climate on the Early Development of Aggressive-Disruptive Behavior Problems in School
  • Citing Article
  • June 2024

Child Development

... For example, in the study of Pardini et al. (2007), higher levels of child-reported parental warmth and involvement were associated with decreases in both CU traits and antisocial conduct over time. Similarly, a fast-track intervention by Pasalich et al. (2016) decreased CU traits and conduct disorder symptoms through increased parental warmth. It is assumed that high CU children/adolescents, who are driven by reward (and not punishment) may derive pleasure from quality interactions with parents . ...

Indirect Effects of the Fast Track Intervention on Conduct Disorder Symptoms and Callous-Unemotional Traits: Distinct Pathways Involving Discipline and Warmth

Journal of Abnormal Child Psychology

... The next step in processing is to generate one or possible behavioral responses to the stimulus, often called social problem solving. Many studies show that aggressive children have trouble generating competent nonaggressive solutions to social challenges and instead generate incompetent and aggressive responses (Dodge, 2024). Dodge et al. (1986) presented children with hypothetical scenarios in which they were to try to enter a group of peers who were already at play. ...

Children's Defensive Mindset
  • Citing Article
  • May 2024

... A major limitation to parenting research is that it has been overwhelmingly conducted in the United States and other relatively highincome and English-speaking countries 15 . While there is no systematic evidence, some research suggests that major aspects of parenting may differ across cultures, religious traditions, and development levels [16][17][18][19] , including in socialization goals, practices, and overall relationships. On the one hand, a meta-analysis of international literature 20 finds that a strong attachment (related to warm and responsive parenting) predicts mental health across cultures, and one study 21 finds that parental warmth predicts lower risks of internalizing and externalizing problems in adolescents in a small nonrepresentative sample (N = 1315) across nine countries. ...

Individualism, collectivism and conformity in nine countries: Relations with parenting and child adjustment
  • Citing Article
  • April 2024

International Journal of Psychology

... Extending these inquiries to consider the potential implications of different relationship and singlehood experiences, the fourth paper in this special issue (Lansford et al., 2024) uses longitudinal data from the Child Development Project to examine how singlehood, cohabitation, and marriage are related to well-being at different ages across early adulthood and established adulthood. Findings indicated that compared to those who were single earlier in adulthood, those who were married earlier in adulthood had better well-being during established adulthood. ...

Patterns of Singlehood, Cohabitation, and Marriage in Early Adulthood in Relation to Well-being in Established Adulthood
  • Citing Article
  • March 2024

Research in Human Development

... Previous work on this population finds that fertility 37 , attitudes around fertility timing 38 as well as educational attainment 13 may change after the introduction of the family cash transfer. Recent work also finds that American Indian mothers exposed for a longer duration to the cash transfer show improved maternal/ infant health at birth 24 . These pathways, as well as prenatal investments or changes in parenting quality, could account for gains in children's test scores. ...

Family cash transfers in childhood and birthing persons and birth outcomes later in life
  • Citing Article
  • February 2024

SSM - Population Health

... Studies have shown two notable negative consequences of phubbing behavior for romantic relationships (McDaniel and Coyne, 2016;Roberts and David, 2016;Al-Saggaf and MacCulloch, 2019;Ekimchik and Kryukova, 2022;Gorla et al., 2024) and family settings . For instance, partner phubbing has been associated with an increase in the feeling of jealousy and depressive symptoms and a decrease in relationship satisfaction, although the reasons for these effects remain uncertain (McDaniel and Coyne, 2016;Roberts and David, 2016). ...

Adolescents' relationships with parents and romantic partners in eight countries

... From an intervention perspective, improved outcomes for Fast Track participants further into adulthood might benefit not just the participants themselves but their romantic partners and children as well. In fact, recent research has confirmed the intergenerational transmission of benefits from the Fast Track intervention at age 34, including effects on family formation , healthy family environments , and reduced health service use in children of Fast Track participants (Rothenberg et al., 2024). ...

Intergenerational Effects of the Fast Track Intervention on Next-Generation Child Outcomes: A Preregistered Randomized Clinical Trial
  • Citing Article
  • February 2024

American Journal of Psychiatry

... Evidence of these long-term trajectories of COVID-19 disruption are already emerging, including a global decline in human development back to 2016 levels (United Nations Development Program, 2022), global drop in life expectancy , and global learning loss (Betthäuser et al., 2023). Indeed, in cultures around the world, youth reports of greater COVID-19 disruption have been linked with numerous internalizing and externalizing mental health problems, and risky substance use (Rothenberg et al., 2023;Skinner et al., 2021). These dismaying findings make youth COVID-19 disruption a key variable of interest to developmental scientists and suggest that longitudinal investigations are urgently needed to track how COVID-19 has disrupted youths' lives over time. ...

How adolescents' lives were disrupted over the course of the COVID-19 pandemic: A longitudinal investigation in 12 cultural groups in 9 nations from March 2020 to July 2022

Development and Psychopathology