Karen R. Kelly’s research while affiliated with Leidos, Inc. and other places

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Publications (82)


Figure 1 The PainDrawing application allows registering individual pain levels using the Visual Analogue Scale and a standardised pain drawing for pain location and characteristics.
Figure 2 On the left is a photograph of the MAREC device and related connections and on the right the kidney belt containing a three-axis accelerometer worn by the participating operators.
Figure 3 Example of the impact exposure data generated by the MAREC. The above example shows the time (400 s) on the x-axis. On the left y-axis is acceleration measured in g=9.81 m/s 2 , with red for the operator and blue for the boat hull, and on the right y-axis is the boat speed measured in knots shown by the green line. SOG, speed over ground.
Schedule of enrolment, exposures and assessments
MultiAgency, prospective, exploratory, non-intervention, cohort Study on Human Impact Exposure oNboard high-speed boats (MASHIEN): protocol
  • Article
  • Full-text available

May 2025

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21 Reads

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Stephen D Myers

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Kai-Thorsten Bretschneider

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[...]

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Introduction High-speed boat operations expose personnel to slamming-induced impacts, which can lead to musculoskeletal injuries and cognitive impairments. Despite existing safety measures, regulations and protocols, the risk of injuries remains significant. The MultiAgency, prospective, exploratory, non-intervention, cohort Study on Human Impact Exposure oNboard high-speed boats study aims to investigate the nature and magnitude of these impacts, their acute and long-term health effects, and potential injury prevention strategies to improve operational safety and performance. Methods and analysis This is an ongoing multicentre, prospective, non-intervention, observational cohort study. The first participant was enrolled on 23 August 2024. High-speed boat operators log self-reported pain data via a smartphone app, using a Visual Analogue Scale and pain drawings. Triaxial accelerometers are installed on boat hulls and worn by participants to measure impact exposure. Data analysis assesses correlations between exposure and reported pain, enabling the identification of risk factors and the development of safety guidelines for high-speed boat operations. Ethics and dissemination The study has received ethical approval from the relevant ethics committees, including the Swedish Ethics Review Authority (no. 2022-04931-01). All participants will provide informed consent before enrolment. The findings will be disseminated through technical reports, articles in peer-reviewed journals, conference presentations and direct engagement with military and maritime stakeholders to enhance training protocols and safety measures. Trial registration number NCT05299736 .

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Figure 1. Between-group differences in salivary biomarkers throughout mountain warfare training exercise (MTX). AA, Cort, DHEA, OST, and Test represent alpha-amylase, cortisol, DHEA, osteocalcin, and testosterone, respectively. Bars and error bars represent mean and standard error, respectively. * p < 0.05, *** p < 0.005.
Figure 2. Salivary biomarkers throughout mountain warfare training exercise (MTX). Lines and bands represent mean and standard error, respectively. AA, Cort, DHEA, OST, and Test represent alpha-amylase, cortisol, DHEA, osteocalcin, and testosterone, respectively. * Significance within Fall MTX. + Significance within Winter MTX. */ + p < 0.05, ***/ +++ p < 0.005.
Environmental conditions of the Fall and Winter Mountain Training Exercise (MTX) iterations.
Participant demographic information for the Fall and Winter Mountain Training Exercise (MTX) iterations.
The Impact of Seasonal Variation on Salivary Hormone Responses During Simulated Mountain Warfare

November 2024

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43 Reads

Physiologia

Military personnel routinely complete stressful training exercises in harsh environmental conditions to prepare for intense operational demands. Purpose: This study determined the effect of environmental conditions on salivary hormone profiles in Marines during a mountain warfare training exercise (MTX). Methods: Two cohorts of Marines (age 22 ± 4, height 174 ± 7 cm, body mass 79.2 ± 11.5 kg) completed an MTX (elevation 2100 to 3500 m) in the Fall (n = 63, temperature 11 ± 2 °C) and Winter (n = 64, temperature −5 ± 4 °C). Saliva samples were provided before (PRE), during (MID), and after (POST) the MTX, and were assayed for α-amylase, cortisol, DHEA, testosterone, and osteocalcin. Results: Linear mixed models were used to determine significant interactions (time × season) and found differences in DHEA, testosterone, and osteocalcin. Testosterone and DHEA were lower at MID compared to PRE and POST during the Fall MTX. Testosterone was higher at MID compared to PRE and POST during the Winter MTX, while DHEA remained stable. Osteocalcin was higher in Fall participants compared to Winter but demonstrated a similar trend to increase at MID and decrease at POST in both groups. Cortisol was higher during the Winter MTX compared to the Fall. Conclusions: These findings highlight the differential physiological stress responses in varying seasonal conditions, suggesting the need for tailored training strategies to enhance military readiness and prevent hormonal dysregulation. Further research is needed to elucidate the mechanisms underlying these seasonal effects.


Sample image of a shooter participating in an indoor simulated marksmanship trainer simulation.
Effect sizes (ηp²) as measured between the scenarios (top) and between weapon rates of fire (bottom). The measurement is depicted on the side with more instances of the event. For example, the top image depicts false alarms on the left side to represent that more false alarms were fired in a shoot scenario than in a fluid hostility scenario (ηp² = 0.56).
Descriptive statistics for physiological measures, divided by scenario type and weapon rate of fire.
Heart rate of fire: exploring direct implementation of physiological measurements in realistic shoot/don't-shoot simulations

August 2024

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27 Reads

Introduction Shooting simulations provide an excellent opportunity to train use-of-force decisions in controlled environments. Recently, military and law enforcement organizations have expressed a growing desire to integrate physiological measurement into simulations for training and feedback purposes. Although participants can easily wear physiological monitors in these scenarios, direct implementation into training may not be simple. Theoretical problems exist in the ultra-short heart rate variability windows associated with use-of-force training, and practical problems emerge as existing scenario libraries at training organizations were not designed for physiological monitoring. Methods The current study explored the challenges and possibilities associated with direct implementation of physiological monitoring into an existing library of firearms training scenarios. Participants completed scenarios in a shooting simulator using existing military training scenarios while wearing a device to monitor their heart rate. Results The results revealed lower heart rate variability (approximately 6%) occurred in scenarios where participants did not have to fire weapons, indicating that don't-shoot scenarios may actually impose more cognitive stress on shooters. Additional evidence further demonstrated how both behavioral and physiological factors could be used concomitantly to predict unintentionally firing on non-hostile actors. However, behavioral measures were more predictive (e.g., β = .221) than physiological measures (e.g., β = −.132) when the latter metrics were limited to specific scenarios. Qualitative results suggest that simply applying physiological monitoring to existing shooting simulations may not yield optimal results because it would be difficult to directly integrate physiological measurement in a meaningful way without re-designing some elements of the simulations, the training procedure, or both. Discussion Future use-of-force shooting simulations should consider designing novel scenarios around the physiological measurement rather than directly implementing physiological assessments into existing libraries of scenarios.


Stress Response to Winter Warfare Training: Potential Impact of Location

August 2024

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18 Reads

Military Medicine

Introduction Winter warfare training (WWT) is a critical component of military training that trains warfighters to operate effectively in extreme environments impacted by snow and mountainous terrain. These environmental factors can exacerbate the disruption to the hormone milieu associated with operating in multi-stressor settings. To date, there is limited research on the physiological responses and adaptations that occur in elite military populations training in arduous environments. The purpose of this study was to quantify hormone responses and adaptations in operators throughout WWT. Materials and Methods Participants engaged in baseline laboratory metrics at their home station, Fort Carson, located in Colorado (CO) prior to WWT, for one week in Montana (MT) and one week in Alaska (AK). WWT periods were separated by approximately one month. Blood was collected upon wake at baseline (CO) and on the first and last day of WWT at each location (MT and AK). Plasma was analyzed for stress, metabolic, and growth-related hormones via enzyme-linked immunoassay (ELISA). Sleep quality was assessed via the Pittsburg Sleep Quality Index (PSQI) at baseline (CO) and on the first day of training in MT and AK. Cognitive function was evaluated using the Defense Automated Neurobehavioral Assessment (DANA) at baseline (CO) and on the first and last day of WWT in both MT and AK. Results Fourteen US Army operators in 10th Special Forces Group (SFG) Operational Detachment participated in winter warfare training (WWT; age: 31.5 years; 95%CI[28.1, 34.3]; height: 180.6 cm; 95%CI[177.3, 183.4]; weight: 87.4 kg.; 95%CI[80.6, 97.7]; body fat: 18.9%; 95%CI[13.7, 23.1]; male: n=13; female: n=1). Plasma adrenocorticotropic hormone (ACTH) levels increased from baseline (19.9 pg/mL; 95%CI[8.6, 24.2]) to pre-WWT (26.9 pg/mL; 95%CI [16.2, 37]; p=0.004), decreased from pre- (26.9 pg/mL; 95%CI [16.2, 37]) to post-WWT in MT (22.3 pg/mL; 95% CI [8, 23.7]; p=0.004;), and increased from pre- (25 pg/mL; 95%CI[ 28.4) to post-WWT (36.6 pg/mL; 95%CI [17.9, 48.9]) in AK (p=0.005). Plasma cortisol levels decreased from pre- (174 ng/mL; 95%CI[106.2, 233.6]) to post-WWT (94.5 ng/mL; 95%CI[54.8, 101.7]) in MT (p=0.001) and, conversely, increased from pre- (123.1 ng/mL; 95%CI[97.5, 143.9]) to post-WWT (162.8 ng/mL; 95%CI[128, 216.7]) in AK (p<0.001). Alterations in growth-related hormones (insulin-like growth factor 1 [IGF-1], insulin-like growth factor binding protein 3 [IGFBP-3], and sex hormone binding globulin [SHBG]) were observed throughout WWT (p<0.05). The Total Testosterone / Cortisol ratio (TT / CORT; molar ratio) was lower pre-WWT in MT (0.04; 95%CI[0.01,0.04) compared to baseline in CO (0.07; 95%CI[0.04, 0.07]; p=0.042). Triiodothyronine (T3) levels increased from pre- (101.7 ng/dL; 95%CI[93.7, 110.4]) to post-WWT (117.8 ng/dL; 95%CI[105.1, 129.4]) in MT (p=0.042). No differences in sleep quality were reported between locations (CO, MT, and AK). Alterations in cognitive function were exhibited between locations and during WWT in both MT and AK (p<0.05). Conclusions Over the course of WWT, elite operators experienced alterations in stress, metabolic, and growth-related hormones, as well as cognitive performance. The increase in stress hormones (i.e., ACTH and cortisol) and reduction in cognitive performance following training in AK are suggestive of heightened physiological strain, despite similarities in physical workload, self-reported sleep quality, and access to nutrition. The variation in hormone levels documented between MT and AK may stem from differences in environmental factors, such as lower temperatures and harsh terrain. Further research is warranted to provide more information on the combined effects of military training in extreme environments on operator health and performance.



Cardiovascular Demand Differences Between Male and Female US Marine Recruits During Progressive Loaded Hikes

April 2024

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52 Reads

The Journal of Strength and Conditioning Research

Schram, B, Orr, R, Niederberger, B, Givens, A, Bernards, J, and Kelly, KR. Cardiovascular demand differences between male and female US Marine recruits during progressive loaded hikes. J Strength Cond Res XX(X): 000–000, 2024—Despite having to carry the same occupational load, female soldiers tend to be lighter than male soldiers. The aim of this study was to determine the differences in cardiovascular load between female and male US Marine recruits during progressive load carriage hikes. United States Marine Corps recruits (565 male recruits; 364 female recruits) completed 6 loaded hikes over 6 weeks (1: 10 kg, 30 minutes; 2: 10 kg, 45 minutes; 3: 15 kg, 30 minutes, 4: 15 kg, 45 minutes; 5: 20 kg, 30 minutes; 6: 20 kg, 45 minutes) during which cardiovascular response was measured. Average heart rate (HRavg), HR maximum (HRmax), and pace were measured via a wrist-worn physiological monitor. Independent sample t -tests were conducted to compare between sexes, with significance set at 0.008 after adjusting for multiple comparisons. The average female recruit had significantly lower body mass (BM) compared with the average male recruit ( p < 0.001) and thus carried a significantly heavier relative load. (10 kg ∼17%, 15 kg ∼25%, 20 kg ∼33%, p < 0.001). There were no significant differences in pace in any hike, and no significant differences were found in HRavg or HRmax when comparing female and male Marines during Hike 1. For female Marines, HRavg was significantly higher compared with male Marines during Hike 2 (+6.5 b·min –1 , p < 0.001) and Hike 3 (+7.4 b·min –1 , p < 0.001), and both HRavg and HRmax were significantly higher in Hike 4 (+11.9 b·min –1 , +8.4 b·min –1 , p < 0.001), Hike 5 (+7.7 b·min –1 , +7.9 b·min –1 , p < 0.001), and Hike 6 (+6.9 b·min –1 , +7.1 b·min –1 , p < 0.001), respectively. Female Marines endured greater cardiovascular demand compared with male Marines during load carriage events when carrying loads greater than 15 kg (∼25% BM).


Load carriage hike progression. Training days 4-35 are additional hikes added to the program (MLC). Hikes on days 37-48 are the OLC and were completed by both cohorts
Injuries by causal type by load carriage cohort
Injuries by severity by load carriage cohort
Profiling injuries sustained following implementation of a progressive load carriage program in United States marine corps recruit training

March 2024

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118 Reads

Work

BACKGROUND: Load carriage tasks during United States Marine Corps (USMC) recruit training can cause injury. Load carriage conditioning, if optimized, can reduce injury risk. OBJECTIVE: To compare injuries sustained by USMC recruits following participation in either the Original Load Carriage (OLC) program or a Modified Load Carriage (MLC) program. METHODS: Retrospective musculoskeletal injury data were drawn from the USMC San Diego Sports Medicine injury database for recruits completing the OLC (n = 2,363) and MLC (n = 681) programs. Data were expressed as descriptive statistics and a population estimate of the OLC:MLC relative risk ratio (RR) was calculated. RESULTS: The proportion of injuries sustained in the MLC cohort (n = 268; 39% : OLC cohort, n = 1,372 : 58% ) was lower, as was the RR (0.68, 95% CI 0.61– 0.75). The leading nature of injury for both cohorts was sprains and strains (OLC n = 396, 29% ; MLC n = 66; 25% ). Stress reactions were proportionally higher in MLC (n = 17, 6% ; OLC n = 4, 0.3% ), while stress fractures were proportionately lower (MLC n = 9, 3% ; OLC n = 114, 8% ). Overuse injuries were lower in MLC (– 7% ). The knee, lower leg, ankle, and foot were the top four bodily sites of injuries and the Small Unit Leadership Evaluation (SULE), Crucible, overuse-nonspecific, running, and conditioning hikes were within the top five most common events causing injury. The prevalence rates of moderate severity injury were similar (MLC = 23% ; OLC = 24% ), although MLC presented both a higher proportion and prevalence of severe injuries (MLC = 6% ; OLC = 3% , respectively). CONCLUSION: A periodized load carriage program concurrently increased exposure to load carriage hikes while reducing injuries both during the load carriage hikes and overall.


Fig. 4. Average nightly sleep by Marine recruits during 10 weeks of training, by company. ANOVA, F(14.36, 538.61) = 1.65, p = .06, η 2 p = 0.04; * * * * p < .0001; * p < .05.
Fig. 6. Average daily miles by Marine recruits during Crucible week, by company.
Recruit daily average metrics over 10 weeks of Marine Corps boot camp
Quantification of daily workload, energy expenditure, and sleep of US Marine recruits throughout a 10-week boot camp

March 2024

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68 Reads

Work

Background: During periods of high-volume vigorous exercise, United States Marine Corps recruits often experience musculoskeletal injuries. While the program of instruction (POI) for basic training is a defined training volume, the total workload of boot camp, including movements around the base, is unknown. Objective: The present study aimed to quantify the daily total workload, energy expenditure, and sleep during basic recruit training at Marine Corps Recruit Depot (MCRD) San Diego. Methods: Eighty-four male recruits from MCRD San Diego wore wrist wearable physiological monitors to capture their complete workload (mileage from steps), energy expenditure, and sleep throughout the 10-week boot camp. Results: Marine recruits traveled an average of 11.5±3.4 miles per day (M±SD), expended 4105±823 kcal per day, and slept an average of 5 : 48±1 : 06 hours and minutes per night. While the POI designates a total of 46.3 miles of running and hiking, the actual daily average miles yielded approximately 657.6±107.2 miles over the 10-week boot camp. Conclusion: Recruit training requires high physical demand and time under tension due to the cumulative volume of movements around base in addition to the POI planned physical training.


Citations (46)


... Three trials were performed for each participant, and the highest values of forced vital capacity (FVC) and forced expiratory volume in one second (FEV 1 ) were recorded. Total energy expenditure and macronutrient composition was calculated using sport watch Polar V800 (25,36). Resting metabolic rate (RMR) was calculated using the Katch-McArdle formula, which is based on the fat free mass (FFM): RMR = 370 + (21.6 × FFM (kg)) (37). ...

Reference:

Comparative analysis of combined exercise programs in middle-aged obese males: impact on energy expenditure, body composition, and metabolic rate
Validation of Polar Grit X Pro for Estimating Energy Expenditure during Military Field Training: A Pilot Study

Journal of Sports Science and Medicine

... The HPAA consists of a system of hormones that work synergistically to regulate the body's stress response, HPGA hormones maintain reproductive health and fertility, and the HPTA is primarily responsible for metabolic regulation [2] . Stress impacts all three interconnected neuroendocrine systems, which is observed via alterations in the stress, sex, and metabolic hormones that are involved in these pathways [4,5,[6][7][8][9][10] . An increase in physiological demand will render shifts in energy distribution towards metabolic processes involved in coping with the increased workload and away from reproductive function and other anabolic mechanisms that are not geared towards survival [11] . ...

Altered Sympathoadrenal Activity Following Cold-Water Diving
  • Citing Article
  • July 2023

Journal of Special Operations Medicine

... It should be noted however, that research has shown that in marksmanship, 21 expert shooters demonstrate an inverse speed accuracy trade-off, whereby the expert shooters were more accurate as they moved faster, highlighting the importance of training and familiarity with firearms in policing populations. 22 Both the TPA Serial Seven and APA Serial One, display aspects of this skill requirement. For the APA, the initial hit/miss is evident in the initial target engagement. ...

Not according to plan: Cognitive failures in marksmanship due to effects of expertise, unknown environments, and the likelihood of shooting unintended targets
  • Citing Article
  • June 2023

Applied Ergonomics

... Progressive reductions in α-amylase were observed during both MTX iterations, but only achieved statistical significance in the Winter iteration. These findings differ from our recent reports, which suggest that α-amylase increases in response to simulated military tasks and in response to winter warfare training [22,31,32]. However, it is important to note that αamylase is rapidly released in response to stress and offers insight into the steady decline observed in the study. ...

Don't Shoot Me: Potential Consequences of Force-on-Force Training Modulate the Human Stress Response
  • Citing Article
  • May 2023

The Journal of Strength and Conditioning Research

... An evaluation of 16 oxygen rebreather divers wearing 10 mm neoprene farmer john and jacket wetsuits resting at 6 m in a 5°C (41°F) pool experienced an average core temperature drop of only a 0.7°C (1.3°F) over a six-hour dive, again not close to the threshold of hypothermia (Chapin et al. 2021). An evaluation of 13 rebreather dives wearing a similar 10 mm wetsuit configuration during resting dives at 9.1, 15.2, and 22.9 m (30, 50, and 75 ft) breathing air or heliox experienced similar modest mean core temperature drops well above the threshold for hypothermia (Kelly et al. 2023). ...

Efficacy of closed cell wet-suit at various depths and gas mixtures for thermoprotection during military training dives

... Feigel et al. (2024) observed a median nightly sleep time (hh:mm:ss) of 05:04:59 for men and 04:53:00 for women undergoing USMC OCS without the incorporation of subjective data assessing sleep quality . This sleep duration has been reported in similar USMC courses (Givens et al., 2023), and less than that observed in Australian army recruits during basic military training . Hence, although this sleep duration falls well below national recommendations, the improvement in sleep difficulty may signify a habituated effect that may increase the likelihood of completing the course (Kargl et al., 2024). ...

Characterization of Female US Marine Recruits: Workload, Caloric Expenditure, Fitness, Injury Rates, and Menstrual Cycle Disruption during Bootcamp

... That the repeated immersions did not alter the magnitude of sympathetic arousal to cold is also supported by the responses of salivary a-amylase, a surrogate marker of sympathetic nervous system activity (58). Thus, the cold-induced elevation in a-amylase (59)(60)(61)(62) was similar within each session. This finding appears to be in line with that by Castellani et al. (4), who also found no fluctuations in plasma-norepinephrine release during the three serial CWIs. ...

Prolonged Extreme Cold Water Diving and the Acute Stress Response During Military Dive Training

... Musculoskeletal injuries (MSKIs) can occur at any point in the career of a U.S. Service member and are a persistent issue within the military health system (Reis et al., 2007;Darakjy et al., 2006;Patel et al., 2017). The impact of MSKIs on military readiness is substantial as they are the leading cause of outpatient encounters in the military health system (Molloy et al., 2020a;Grimm et al., 2019;Molloy et al., 2020b;Lovalekar et al., 2023) they account for nearly 60% of limited duty days (Molloy et al., 2020a;Sammito et al., 2021) and up to 50% of disease and non-battle injury casualties (Sammito et al., 2021). As such, the Department of Defense is actively working to develop more effective prevention and treatment strategies to mitigate their effects with the goal of limiting the impact on military readiness, and reducing injury recurrence. ...

Risk factors for musculoskeletal injuries in the military: a qualitative systematic review of the literature from the past two decades and a new prioritizing injury model

Military Medical Research

... Prospective studies have demonstrated similar outcomes. An evaluation of 16 oxygen rebreather divers wearing 10 mm neoprene farmer john and jacket wetsuits resting at 6 m in a 5°C (41°F) pool experienced an average core temperature drop of only a 0.7°C (1.3°F) over a six-hour dive, again not close to the threshold of hypothermia (Chapin et al. 2021). An evaluation of 13 rebreather dives wearing a similar 10 mm wetsuit configuration during resting dives at 9.1, 15.2, and 22.9 m (30, 50, and 75 ft) breathing air or heliox experienced similar modest mean core temperature drops well above the threshold for hypothermia (Kelly et al. 2023). ...

Thermoregulatory and Metabolic Demands of Naval Special Warfare Divers During a 6-h Cold-Water Training Dive

... Recent evidence has demonstrated that physiological differences can predict shooting performance (3), but marksmanship is not the sole source of error in a use-of-force simulation (4). Stress may induce cognitive failures that predispose the individual to errors such as firing on an unarmed person (5). Additionally, physiological monitoring offers the potential for a single instructor to gain deeper insight into the reactions of a larger training group. ...

Perception during use of force and the likelihood of firing upon an unarmed person