Jucundus Jacobeit’s research while affiliated with University of Augsburg and other places

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Publications (204)


The influence of specific weather types on stroke occurrence: an analysis of 23,000 patients from Augsburg, Germany
  • Article

September 2024

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32 Reads

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1 Citation

Jonathan Simon

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Michael Ertl

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Markus Naumann

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For the first time, the relationships between large-scale weather types and local stroke events in the urban area of Augsburg, Germany are analyzed. Over 23,000 stroke cases (2006 - 2020) were standardized to account for long-term trends and seasonality. Using ERA5 reanalysis data, a composite analysis identified stroke-related atmospheric variables, while seasonal weather types were classified via the neural network algorithm of self-organizing maps. Cyclonic westerlies during the cold season, which transport warm air masses from the Atlantic Ocean to Germany, were a major risk factor for ischemic stroke, while colder easterly conditions reduced stroke incidence. In the warm season, both anticyclonic conditions and westerly/northerly air advection, leading to slightly warmer or distinctly colder temperatures, were linked to increased ischemic stroke risk. Additionally, hemorrhagic strokes in the cold season were triggered by weather conditions contrary to those associated with ischemic strokes and transitory ischemic attacks.


Atmosphärische Zirkulationsdynamik historischer Extremwetterereignisse im Süden von Mitteleuropa
  • Conference Paper
  • Full-text available

January 2022

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69 Reads

Die Zirkulationsdynamik der Wochen vor dem historischen Hochwasserereignis vom 28.12.1882 bis 05.01.1883 war geprägt durch eine nordwestliche Höhenströmung über dem Untersuchungsgebiet. Die gemischte Zirkulationsform geht mit kühl-feuchter, maritimer Polarluft einher und manifestiert sich im Herbst und im Winter jeweils durch einen Zirkulationstyp mit verstärktem Auftrittsvorkommen in diesem historischen Zeitraum. Hierbei resultieren erhebliche Staueffekte entlang der Nordalpen sowie der Mittelgebirge. Der Niederschlag fällt als Regen oder Schnee, letzterer verstärkt in den Höhenlagen im Dezember und Januar.

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Citations (36)


... An alternative to traditional baseline selection techniques that is gaining acceptance is the use of the terrestrial tracer species Radon-222 (radon); either alone Chambers et al., 2016;Giemsa et al., 2017), or in conjunction with back trajectory analysis (e.g. Zahorowski et al., 2013;Chambers et al., 2014;Molloy and Galbally, 2014). ...

Reference:

Baseline characterisation of source contributions to daily-integrated PM2.5 observations at Cape Grim using Radon-222
Application of trajectory clustering and source attribution methods for investigating regional CO2 and CH4 concentrations at Germany's highest mountain site

... PDO consists of multidecadal fluctuations (Newman et al. 2016;Wang et al. 2017), with relatively cold conditions of PDO (PDO-) observed in 1910-1925and 1947-1976periods, and relatively warm conditions (PDO+) in 1926-1945and 1977-1998. There exists evidence that PDO modulates teleconnection patterns of ENSO and SAM altering their patterns of rainfall anomalies (Kayano et al. 2019;Wachter et al. 2020). Therefore, the relationship between Rx1 and ENSO or SAM can be non-stationary as a consequence of changes in PDO. ...

Spatiotemporal Variability of the Southern Annular Mode and its Influence on Antarctic Surface Temperatures

... In the Antarctic, Wachter et al. (2021) described the spatio-temporal sea-ice variability and documented significant spatial shifts during 1979-1998 and 1999-2018 by means of 10 clusters based on the seasonal cycle of sea-ice. In the Arctic, Valko (2014) proposed a regionalization based on geographic and geopolitical indicators, ending up with respectively two and three clusters, and Johannessen et al. ...

A new approach to classification of 40 years of Antarctic sea ice concentration data

... In recent years, several studies have analysed the CO 2 and CH 4 measurements performed at Zugspitze (e.g. Yuan et al., 2018Yuan et al., , 2019Giemsa et al., 2019), also in combination with δ 13 C-CO 2 ratios (e.g. Ghasemifard et al., 2019a, b). ...

Investigating regional source and sink patterns of Alpine CO2 and CH4 concentrations based on a back trajectory receptor model

Environmental Sciences Europe

... Second, potential misclassification is inevitable in our study. Nevertheless, the stroke data used in our study comes from the University Hospital Augsburg, one of Germany's largest stroke centers serving approximately 750,000 residents in the region (Ertl et al., 2019). Consequently, non-differential misclassification could only cause Berkson bias, which may not have much effect on the associations (Zeger et al., 2000;Armstrong, 1998). ...

New Insights into Weather and Stroke: Influences of Specific Air Masses and Temperature Changes on Stroke Incidence
  • Citing Article
  • July 2019

Cerebrovascular Diseases

... Early research by Myrup (1969) introduced a numerical model using an energy budget approach to predict UHI intensity, though it required extensive data on physical characteristics of cities. Recent studies by Li et al., 2021, Straub et al., 2019, and Wicki et al., 2018 have conducted detailed analyses of UHI patterns in individual cities, providing valuable insights into local-scale dynamics and mitigation strategies. While these city-specific studies offer detailed understanding of local contects, broader analyses like Peng et al. (2012), which investigated UHI intensity across over 400 global cities, have identified significant associations between UHI intensity and factors such as vegetation cover and nighttime lights. ...

Statistical modelling of spatial patterns of the urban heat island intensity in the urban environment of Augsburg, Germany
  • Citing Article
  • July 2019

Urban Climate

... Similar overestimation tendencies of CMIP6 models were observed in East Africa and contiguous regions of the United States (Srivastava et al. 2020;Akinsanola et al. 2021). Higher resolution models show advantages in simulating extreme precipitation, especially in regions with complex topography (Luo and Guo 2022), where extreme precipitation is closely linked to convection and cloud microphysics (Keupp et al. 2019), complicating attribution of simulation differences among models across different global regions. The CA displayed an increase in ANP amounts across the time periods (near, mid, and far-future) under different SSP scenarios. ...

Weighted multi-model ensemble projection of extreme precipitation in the Mediterranean region using statistical downscaling

Theoretical and Applied Climatology

... Finally, the WRF model simulations were executed for three distinct time periods: the reference period of 2006-2010, representing the present climate conditions, and the periods 2046-2050 and 2096-2100, providing insights into the climate projections for the mid-and late-21st century. For these periods, boundary conditions were obtained from the National Centre for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) and the Community Earth System Model (CESM), as part of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Experiment phase 5 (CMIP5), which has demonstrated robust performance both at the global level [67,68] and specifically in the Mediterranean region [69,70]. The data used have a spatial resolution of 1°and a time step of 6 h. ...

Weights for general circulation models from CMIP3/CMIP5 in a statistical downscaling framework and the impact on future Mediterranean precipitation

... Jones et al., 1993;Buishand and Brandsma, 1997;Stehlík and Bárdossy, 2003;Anagnostopoulou et al., 2004). Laux et al. (2008a) compared the performance of two objective and one semi-objective weather pattern classifications for precipitation simulation in the ME region dependent on the season. They concluded that the applied semi-objective classification, partly based on expert knowledge performs slightly better than the objective ones with no a priori knowledge required. ...

Comparison of different objective atmospheric circulation pattern analyses in the Jordan region
  • Citing Book
  • October 2018

... However, this time of the day corresponds approximately with the mean daily air temperature, thus increasing the representativeness of the LST values for the analyzed region. As well, the analyzed days with less or no cloud cover, are specific mostly to stable atmospheric conditions that are prone to maximize the thermal differences between LCZs (Beck et al. 2018), which underlines that our results fully capture this maximum possible difference between LCZs. In this way, 2273 Landsat satellite LST images have been used in the current study. ...

Air temperature characteristics of local climate zones in the Augsburg urban area (Bavaria, southern Germany) under varying synoptic conditions
  • Citing Article
  • July 2018

Urban Climate