Jorgen Randers's scientific contributions

Publications (25)

Poster
This poster resulted from a brainstorming session held in Berlin organized and supported by World Business Council for Sustainable Development
Article
Sequel to The limits to growth this book presents a renewed and refined version of the 1972 assessment and warnings. Better data, improved modelling and 20 yr of hindsight lead the authors to conclude that many resource and pollution flows are now no longer approaching the limits. Adopting a systems viewpoint and using the World3 model it is shown...
Article
301 p., fig. Beyond the Limits Confronting Global Collapse, Envisioning a Sustainable Future is the path-breaking sequel to The Limits to Growth, the international best-seller which sold 9 million copies in 29 languages when it was published 20 years ago. At that time the authors concluded that if the present trends of growth continued unchanged, t...
Chapter
The science of ecology has suddenly been brought into the arena of political debate. As a result, most ecologists are confronted with an embarassing quandary. As scientists they realize the imperfections in their knowledge of ecological systems, and they are understandably reluctant to make pronouncements about environmental policy until complete e...
Article
An example has been given showing how system simulation can be used to arrive at conclusions of use to policymakers about the future consequences of current actions even in the case where complete information about the system is not available. The particular example studied is the general movement of DDT in the global eco‐system. The results sugges...
Article
The vast majority of the decisions made in our global society are responses to problems in which cause and effect are closely related in time and in space. When a problem becomes important, its source is usually obvious, and any appropriate response usually becomes effective in time to eliminate the difficulty. For this class of phenomena it is sat...

Citations

... Eine Zuspitzung der sozialen sowie ökologischen Lage erfolgte dabei bereits mit dem Produktionszuwachs unter unzureichenden Umweltauflagen, nach Verlagerung der nördlichen Produktionszentren in den globalen Süden zum Ende der 1970er-Jahre. (Meadows et al. 2009). Vor allem durch das erhöhte Aufkommen und den Abbau von Rohstoffen im globalen Süden unter menschenrechtsverletzenden und umweltschädigenden Umständen, entstehen Bedarfe an entwicklungspolitischen Maßnahmen. ...
... The exploitation of natural resources remained a major concern as commodity prices stopped declining after the end of the Second World War (Krutilla, 1967;Naya, 1967;Slade, 1982). In the report "The Limits to Growth", Meadows et al. (1972) expressed the importance to foster an economically and ecologically sustainable condition, while Solow (1974) advocated the need to implement public policies for natural resource management. Cropper (1976) highlighted the risk of catastrophic events from sudden resource depletion, which Ehrlich (1981) considered an existential threat to human civilisation. ...
... Las aceleradas pautas de crecimiento y sobreexplotación características del Antropoceno, junto al hecho de que vivimos en un planeta de recursos initos y de espacio ecológico limitado, ponen de maniiesto una incómoda realidad física: que el crecimiento en el consumo per cápita de recursos naturales de una población en constante crecimiento no puede mantenerse de forma indeinida en el tiempo sin acabar chocando con los límites biofísicos del planeta (Daly & Farley, 2011). Continuar ignorando esta realidad termodinámica en pleno siglo veintiuno podría resultar fatal durante las próximas décadas para el planeta y para nuestra especie, pues tal y como han puesto de maniiesto numerosos trabajos cientíicos, el fenómeno emergente del Cambio Global abre la puerta -cada día con más rotundidad-a la posibilidad de sufrir un colapso socio-ecológico de magnitudes planetarias (Bardi, 2014;Ehrlich & Ehrlich, 2013;Lenton et al., 2008;Meadows et al., 1972;Motesharrei et al., 2014;Rockström et al., 2009;Stefen et al., 2004;Turner, 2014). ...
... The issue of a society's ability to sustain its mode and level of wealth production has been a key problem in economic theory since the early19th century. In particular, the problem of availability of natural resources (Jevons, 1865), the consequences of depletion (Stiglitz, 2015;Hotelling, 1931), restrictions on economic growth (Meadows et al., 1972), public sector deficit, payment imbalance (Feldstein, 1972); the limits of capital expansion (Domar, 1946); the efficiency of the state system of redistribution of national wealth (Kaun, 2005). ...
... Sustainability according to Donella H Meadows, et al, is an environmental condition that can last from generation to generation, not damaged either from the physical or social systems that support it (Donella H Meadows, 1992). ...
... For this transition into a sustainable society, "it requires more than technology; it also requires maturity, compassion and wisdom." (Meadows et al. 1992) In order to work towards the development of a sustainable society, Environmental Education (EE) became a concern of numerous countries. This has lead to the first Intergovernmental Conference on Environmental Education in Tbilisi, Georgia, which concluded the follwing definition in 1977: "Environmental Education (EE) is a learning process that increases people's knowledge and awareness about the environment and its associated challenges, develops the necessary skills and expertise to address the challenges, and fosters attitudes, motivations, and commitments to make informed decisions and take responsible action" (UNESCO and UNEP 1977). ...
... The study investigated the environmental risk associated with contaminants, histopathological markers, and bioaccumulation which shows ©2016 AELS, INDIA fluctuations typical of flood events over a year period. The flow processes of DDT in the environment are as shown in Figure 1 according to Randers [24]. ...
... A hipótese de haver restrições ecológicas globais ao crescimento econômico se mostrou nada absurda e passou a ser um limite claro para a escolha de políticas para o desenvolvimento e outros objetivos de cada sociedade (Meadows;Randers;Meadows, 2004). O desenvolvimento sustentável foi conceituado como o paradigma que atende às demandas atuais sem comprometer a capacidade das gerações futuras de atender às suas próprias demandas, ao mesmo tempo em que afirma que essa deve ser uma nova era de crescimento vigoroso que seja social e ambientalmente sustentável. ...
... If the future climate will not be suitable for agriculture, there will be no farming at all and our civilization will end. We can already witness many anomalies with stronger and more frequent tornadoes, thunderstorms, hurricanes, flooding andat the same timeprolonged droughts in different parts of the world [Gates 2021;Meadows et al., 1992;Rom 2022]. ...
... It was during the Seventies that the environmental question entered the policy debate with the publication of 'The Limits to Growth: a Report for the Club of Rome's project on the predicament of mankind' (Meadows et al., 1972): this approach called for qualitative improvements in living conditions decoupled from a quantitative increase in consumption (Daly, 1974), stressing the existence of limits in terms of increase in individual satisfaction (Easterlin, 1974), social limits to growth (Hirsch, 1976) and, foremost, environmental equilibrium (Lovelock, 1979). These approaches, which, somehow inevitably, led to a theory of the steady state, were immediately challenged by a broad public that considered such instances acceptable only in a society informed by principles of justice and equity and capable of ensuring decent living conditions for all its members (ILO, 1976;Emmerij, 1984). ...