John Michael Kelly’s research while affiliated with University of California, Irvine and other places

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Publications (12)


Megastudy testing 25 treatments to reduce antidemocratic attitudes and partisan animosity
  • Article
  • Full-text available

October 2024

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516 Reads

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12 Citations

Science

Jan G Voelkel

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Michael N Stagnaro

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James Y Chu

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Robb Willer

Scholars warn that partisan divisions in the mass public threaten the health of American democracy. We conducted a megastudy ( n = 32,059 participants) testing 25 treatments designed by academics and practitioners to reduce Americans’ partisan animosity and antidemocratic attitudes. We find that many treatments reduced partisan animosity, most strongly by highlighting relatable sympathetic individuals with different political beliefs or by emphasizing common identities shared by rival partisans. We also identify several treatments that reduced support for undemocratic practices—most strongly by correcting misperceptions of rival partisans’ views or highlighting the threat of democratic collapse—which shows that antidemocratic attitudes are not intractable. Taken together, the study’s findings identify promising general strategies for reducing partisan division and improving democratic attitudes, shedding theoretical light on challenges facing American democracy.

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Religiosity Predicts Prosociality, Especially When Measured by Self-Report: A Meta-Analysis of Almost 60 Years of Research

February 2024

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223 Reads

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16 Citations

Psychological Bulletin

This meta-analysis explores the long-standing and heavily debated question of whether religiosity is associated with prosocial and antisocial behavior at the individual level. In an analysis of 701 effects across 237 samples, encompassing 811,663 participants, a significant relationship of r = .13 was found between religiosity and prosociality (and antisociality, which was treated as its inverse). Nevertheless, there was substantial heterogeneity of effect sizes, and several potential moderators were explored. The effect was most heavily moderated by the type of measurement used to assess prosocial or antisocial behavior. Religiosity correlated more strongly with self-reported prosociality (r = .15) than with directly measured prosocial behavior (r = .06). Three possible interpretations of this moderation are discussed, namely, that (a) lab-based methods do not accurately or fully capture actual religious prosociality; (b) the self-report effect is explained by religious self-enhancement and overreports actual prosociality; or (c) both religiosity and self-reported prosociality are explained by self-enhancement. The question of whether religiosity more strongly positively predicts prosociality or negatively predicts antisociality is also explored. This moderation is, at most, weak. We test additional potential moderators, including the aspect of religiosity and type of behavior measured, the ingroup or outgroup nature of the recipient, and study characteristics. Finally, we recommend a shift in how researchers investigate questions of religiosity and prosociality in the future.


Sample Sizes and Demographics by Study and Population
Thinking About God Encourages Prosociality Toward Religious Outgroups: A Cross-Cultural Investigation

April 2023

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454 Reads

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15 Citations

Psychological Science

Most humans believe in a god or gods, a belief that may promote prosociality toward coreligionists. A critical question is whether such enhanced prosociality is primarily parochial and confined to the religious ingroup or whether it extends to members of religious outgroups. To address this question, we conducted field and online experiments with Christian, Muslim, Hindu, and Jewish adults in the Middle East, Fiji, and the United States (N = 4,753). Participants were given the opportunity to share money with anonymous strangers from different ethno-religious groups. We manipulated whether they were asked to think about their god before making their choice. Thinking about God increased giving by 11% (4.17% of the total stake), an increase that was extended equally to ingroup and outgroup members. This suggests that belief in a god or gods may facilitate intergroup cooperation, particularly in economic transactions, even in contexts with heightened intergroup tension.


Fig. 2. A visual depiction of our seven-element distilled formulation of Joseph Campbell's (1949) Hero's Journey as both a classical myth and a modern life story. An ordinary hero (Protagonist) experiences a change in setting (Shift) that sets them towards a goal (Quest) during which they encounter friends (Allies) and obstacles (Challenges), but eventually triumphs and personally grows (Transformation), before returning home to benefit their community (Legacy). Figure credit: Kevin House.
Fig. 3. Associations between Hero's Journey Scale (HJS) and Meaning in Life ratings in Study 1, Study 2 and Supplementary Study 4. Lines and shaded regions represent regression lines with standard errors. Note: Meaning in life ratings came from four different measures (Study 1: Costin & Vignoles, 2020; Study 2: McGregor & Little, 1998; Supplementary Study 4 (MLM) Morgan & Farsides, 2009; Supplementary Study 4 (MLQ-P): Steger et al., 2006
Seeing Your Life Story as a Hero’s Journey Increases Meaning in Life

March 2023

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34,782 Reads

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30 Citations

Journal of Personality and Social Psychology

Meaning in life is tied to the stories people tell about their lives. We explore whether one timeless story—the Hero’s Journey—might make people’s lives feel more meaningful. This enduring story appears across history and cultures and provides a template for ancient myths (e.g., Beowulf) and blockbuster books and movies (e.g., Harry Potter). Eight studies reveal that the Hero’s Journey predicts and can causally increase people’s experience of meaning in life. We first distill the Hero’s Journey into seven key elements—protagonist, shift, quest, allies, challenge, transformation, legacy—and then develop a new measure that assesses the perceived presence of the Hero’s Journey narrative in people’s life stories: the Hero’s Journey Scale. Using this scale, we find a positive relationship between the Hero’s Journey and meaning in life with both online participants (Studies 1–2) and older adults in a community sample (Study 3). We then develop a restorying intervention that leads people to see the events of their life as a Hero’s Journey (Study 4). This intervention causally increases meaning in life (Study 5) by prompting people to reflect on important elements of their lives and connecting them into a coherent and compelling narrative (Study 6). This Hero’s Journey restorying intervention also increases the extent to which people perceive meaning in an ambiguous grammar task (Study 7) and increases their resilience to life’s challenges (Study 8). These results provide initial evidence that enduring cultural narratives like the Hero’s Journey both reflect meaningful lives and can help to create them.


Megastudy identifying effective interventions to strengthen Americans’ democratic attitudes

March 2023

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589 Reads

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29 Citations

Deep partisan conflict in the mass public threatens the stability of American democracy. We conducted a megastudy (n=32,059) testing 25 interventions designed by academics and practitioners to reduce Americans’ partisan animosity and anti-democratic attitudes. We find nearly every intervention reduced partisan animosity, most strongly by highlighting sympathetic and relatable individuals with different political beliefs. We also identify several interventions that reduced support for undemocratic practices and partisan violence, most strongly by correcting misperceptions of outpartisans’ views – showing that anti-democratic attitudes, although difficult to move, are not intractable. Furthermore, both factor analysis and patterns of intervention effect sizes provide convergent evidence for limited overlap between these sets of outcomes, suggesting that, contrary to popular belief, different strategies are most effective for reducing partisan animosity versus anti-democratic attitudes. Taken together, our findings provide a toolkit of promising strategies for practitioners and shed new theoretical light on challenges facing American democracy.



A many-analysts approach to the relation between religiosity and well-being

July 2022

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1,487 Reads

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75 Citations

Religion Brain & Behavior

The relation between religiosity and well-being is one of the most researched topics in the psychology of religion, yet the directionality and robustness of the effect remains debated. Here, we adopted a many-analysts approach to assess the robustness of this relation based on a new cross-cultural dataset (N = 10, 535 participants from 24 countries). We recruited 120 analysis teams to investigate (1) whether religious people self-report higher well-being, and (2) whether the relation between religiosity and self-reported well-being depends on perceived cultural norms of religion (i.e., whether it is considered normal and desirable to be religious in a given country). In a two-stage procedure, the teams first created an analysis plan and then executed their planned analysis on the data. For the first research question, all but 3 teams reported positive effect sizes with credible/confidence intervals excluding zero (median reported b = 0.120). For the second research question, this was the case for 65% of the teams (median reported b = 0.039). While most teams applied (multilevel) linear regression models, there was considerable variability in the choice of items used to construct the independent variables, the dependent variable, and the included covariates.



Clarifying What Forward Flow Is (and Isn’t): Reply to

July 2020

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87 Reads

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7 Citations

American Psychologist

Forward flow is a new measure that quantifies free thought and predicts creativity (Gray et al., 2019). In his comment, Rossiter (2020) raises some conceptual and measurement concerns about this measure. We believe these concerns are specious, resting on fundamental misunderstandings about our aim and approach. This reply clarifies the nature of forward flow and dispels these concerns.


Figure 1. Repeated dictator game procedure.
Figure 4. Initial giving (pre-framing) predicting change in giving after supernatural framing in Experiment 1. Dots reflect data points for each participant, with lines summarizing this relationship within each condition.
Figure 5. Mean proportion of money given away in Experiment 2, before and after supernatural framing (God for the Christian sample, karma for the Hindu and Buddhist samples). Error bars indicate 95% confidence intervals around the mean.
Figure 6. Proportion of money given away in Experiment 3, before (dashed line) and after (solid line) reminders of karma (left) and God (right), with 95% confidence bands.
Supernatural norm enforcement: Thinking about karma and God reduces selfishness among believers

March 2019

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1,710 Reads

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77 Citations

Journal of Experimental Social Psychology

Four experiments (total N = 3591) examined how thinking about Karma and God increases adherence to social norms that prescribe fairness in anonymous dictator games. We found that (1) thinking about Karma decreased selfishness among karmic believers across religious affiliations, including Hindus, Buddhists, Christians, and non-religious Americans; (2) thinking about God also decreased selfishness among believers in God (but not among non-believers), replicating previous findings; and (3) thinking about both karma and God shifted participants’ initially selfish offers towards fairness (the normatively prosocial response), but had no effect on already fair offers. These supernatural framing effects were obtained and replicated in high- powered, pre-registered experiments and remained robust to several methodological checks, including hypothesis guessing, game familiarity, demographic variables, between- and within- subjects designs, and variation in data exclusion criteria. These results support the role of culturally-elaborated beliefs about supernatural justice as a motivator of believer’s adherence to prosocial norms.


Citations (10)


... Additionally, measuring unspecific disagreement can serve as a warning system for emerging misinformation effects. Instead of text analysis, disagreement can be analyzed through surveys, either by directly assessing perceived disagreement or indirectly through questions about values, beliefs, and interests (Voelkel et al., 2024;Akiyama et al., 2016). ...

Reference:

Disagreement as a way to study misinformation and its effects
Megastudy testing 25 treatments to reduce antidemocratic attitudes and partisan animosity

Science

... Even today billions of people worldwide [5.8B according to a Pew Survey-Key Findings From the Global Religious Futures Project (Pew Research Center, 2022)] claim to be religious. RSEs, furthermore, can promote pro-social and altruistic behavior and enable group-level cooperation (Kelly et al., 2024). But as history also tragically illustrates, religious beliefs and behaviors can also fuel conflict on a truly terrifying scale. ...

Religiosity Predicts Prosociality, Especially When Measured by Self-Report: A Meta-Analysis of Almost 60 Years of Research

Psychological Bulletin

... Additionally, we explore the role that individual support for the nationalist-Islamist government plays in both fundamentalism and radicalization. The second part of our paper presents potential strategies derived from recent studies (e.g., Syropoulos and Leidner 2023;Voelkel et al. 2023;Wolf and Hanel 2024) focused on mitigating radicalization and potentially also polarization and discuss their applicability within the Turkish context. ...

Megastudy identifying effective interventions to strengthen Americans’ democratic attitudes

... That is, the more individuals claimed their gods knew and punished, the more they exhibited the kind of anonymous and expansive cooperation required to sustain large-scale societies. Recent cross-cultural evidence (Pasek et al., 2023) using a Dictator Game suggests that simply having participants think about God can increase generosity even toward religious outgroups. ...

Thinking About God Encourages Prosociality Toward Religious Outgroups: A Cross-Cultural Investigation

Psychological Science

... The search for meaning can be fueled by a desire to understand the purpose of lived experiences, along with previous and current challenges; it can be an attempt to fill a void or inspiration to seek new opportunities (Morse et al., 2021). Along with greater self-awareness, exploration of meaning can result in personal growth during midlife and orient a person to their life's journey as its central character (Ivtzan et al., 2013;Rogers et al., 2023). ...

Seeing Your Life Story as a Hero’s Journey Increases Meaning in Life

Journal of Personality and Social Psychology

... Transparency in data, methods, and process gives the rest of the community opportunity to see the decisions, question them, offer alternatives, and test these alternatives in further research. " 22 Similarly to many-analysts approach projects 23,24 , we expect to find substantial variability in the reported results from community models, representing the many analysts and their analytic choices. We hope that -similarly to another many-analysts neuroimaging effort -our data and subsequent meta-analytic findings contribute to a better understanding of which factors relate to variability in analyses and assumptions of complex brain and behavioral data 23 . ...

A many-analysts approach to the relation between religiosity and well-being

Religion Brain & Behavior

... Commentaries on the recently published Many-Analysts Religion Project [23], studying the relationship between self-reported well-being and religiosity, challenge all three assumptions (see also [18,20,[38][39][40][41][42][43][44][45][46][47][48][49][50][51]). First some analysis teams applied more complex approaches that did not naturally yield the specified outcome measure (i.e. ...

Measurement issues in the many analysts religion project
  • Citing Article
  • July 2022

Religion Brain & Behavior

... Forward flow (FF) is a recently introduced measure that assesses how much the semantic content of people's thought changes over time (K. Gray et al., 2019;Kenett et al., 2020). FF should not be confused with the more well-known concept of flow (Cziksentmihalyi, 2008), which refers to a certain state of mind. ...

Clarifying What Forward Flow Is (and Isn’t): Reply to

American Psychologist

... This interest primarily stems from the historical influence of religiosity on human rationale (Anderson, 1988). This influence generates a wide array of ethical, moral, political, psychological, and socio-economic implications for how modernday social systems, and the individual components within those social systems, function (White et al., 2019). Hence, in the corporate world, religiosity can be an important factor affecting corporate decision-making, risk-taking, and choices. ...

Supernatural norm enforcement: Thinking about karma and God reduces selfishness among believers

Journal of Experimental Social Psychology

... This work built directly on past research employing word embeddings/semantic distance by expanding on the types of models and data that were employed in the prediction of creativity. Further work has also successfully applied semantic distance measures for scoring the flexibility of generated ideas, operationalized in terms of the amount and magnitude of switches between semantic categories across a number of ideas Gray et al., 2019). ...

“Forward Flow”: A New Measure to Quantify Free Thought and Predict Creativity

American Psychologist