John Maynard Keynes’s scientific contributions

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Publications (1)


A Treatise On Probability
  • Article

January 1921

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66 Reads

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2,264 Citations

John Maynard Keynes

Citations (1)


... Taking on board attribute spaces also helped Carnap with a problem that he had struggled with in earlier work (see, e.g., Carnap, 1945Carnap, , 1963, to wit, that of specifying prior probabilities. In that earlier work, he had highlighted at least the initial appeal of Laplace's (1825Laplace's ( /1995 Principle of Insufficient Reason, better known nowadays under the name "Principle of Indifference" (POI) that Keynes (1921) gave it. According to this principle, we should be equally confident in each element of a set of mutually exclusive and jointly exhaustive hypotheses in the absence of any reasons to the contrary. ...

Reference:

Analogical Reasoning: A Carnapian Approach
A Treatise On Probability
  • Citing Article
  • January 1921