John Hanfelt’s research while affiliated with Emory University and other places

Objective:To evaluate the impact of receptive vocabulary versus years of education on neuropsychological performance of Black and White older adults. Method:A community-based prospectively enrolled cohort (n = 1,007; 130 Black, 877 White) in the Emory Healthy Brain Study were administered the NIH Toolbox Picture Vocabulary Test and neuropsychological measures. Group differences were evaluated with age, sex, and education or age, sex, and Toolbox Vocabulary scores as covariates to determine whether performance differences between Black versus White participants were attenuated or eliminated. Results:With vocabulary as a covariate, the main effect of race was no longer significant for the MoCA, Phonemic Fluency, Rey Auditory Verbal Learning Test, and Rey Complex Figure Test immediate and delayed recall. Although still significantly different between groups, the effect sizes for Animal Fluency, Trails B-A, Symbol Digit Modalities Test, and Rey Copy were attenuated, with the greatest reductions occurring for the Multilingual Naming Test and Judgment of Line Orientation. Conclusions:Findings support the value of using receptive vocabulary as a proxy for premorbid ability level when comparing the cognitive performance of Black and White older adults. The results extend investigations using measures of single word reading to encompass measures assessing word meaning.

Objective Alzheimer's disease (AD) is believed to be more common in African Americans (AA), but biomarker studies in AA populations are limited. This report represents the largest study to date examining cerebrospinal fluid AD biomarkers in AA individuals. Methods We analyzed 3,006 cerebrospinal fluid samples from controls, AD cases, and non-AD cases, including 495 (16.5%) self-identified black/AA and 2,456 (81.7%) white/European individuals using cutoffs derived from the Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative, and using a data-driven multivariate Gaussian mixture of regressions. Results Distinct effects of race were found in different groups. Total Tauand phospho181-Tau were lower among AA individuals in all groups (p < 0.0001), and Aβ42 was markedly lower in AA controls compared with white controls (p < 0.0001). Gaussian mixture of regressions modeling of cerebrospinal fluid distributions incorporating adjustments for covariates revealed coefficient estimates for AA race comparable with 2-decade change in age. Using Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative cutoffs, fewer AA controls were classified as biomarker-positive asymptomatic AD (8.0% vs 13.4%). After adjusting for covariates, our Gaussian mixture of regressions model reduced this difference, but continued to predict lower prevalence of asymptomatic AD among AA controls (9.3% vs 13.5%). Interpretation Although the risk of dementia is higher, data-driven modeling indicates lower frequency of asymptomatic AD in AA controls, suggesting that dementia among AA populations may not be driven by higher rates of AD. ANN NEUROL 2024

There is no gold standard for the diagnosis of Alzheimer's disease (AD), except from autopsies. Unsupervised learning can provide insight into the pathophysiology of AD. A mixture of regressions can simultaneously identify clusters from multiple biomarkers while accounting for within-cluster demographic effects. Cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) biomarkers for AD have detection limits, which create additional challenges. We apply a mixture of regressions with a multivariate truncated Gaussian distribution (also called a censored multivariate Gaussian mixture of regressions or a mixture of multivariate tobit regressions) to over 3,000 participants from the Emory Goizueta Alzheimer's Disease Research Center and Emory Healthy Brain Study to examine amyloid-beta peptide 1-42 (Abeta42), total tau protein and phosphorylated tau protein in CSF with known detection limits. We address three gaps in the literature on mixture of regressions with a truncated multivariate Gaussian distribution: software availability; inference; and clustering accuracy. We discovered three clusters that tend to align with an AD group, a normal control profile and non-AD pathology. The CSF profiles differed by race, gender and the genetic marker ApoE4, highlighting the importance of considering demographic factors in unsupervised learning with detection limits. Notably, African American participants in the AD-like group had significantly lower tau burden.

Alzheimer’s disease (AD) progresses through a lengthy asymptomatic period during which pathological changes accumulate prior to development of clinical symptoms. As disease-modifying treatments are developed, tools to stratify risk of clinical disease will be required to guide their use. In this study, we examine the relationship of AD biomarkers in healthy middle-aged individuals to health history, family history, and neuropsychological measures and identify cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) biomarkers to stratify risk of progression from asymptomatic to symptomatic AD. CSF from cognitively normal (CN) individuals (N=1149) in the Emory Healthy Brain Study were assayed for Aβ 42 , total Tau (tTau), and phospho181-Tau (pTau), and a subset of 134 cognitively normal, but biomarker-positive, individuals were identified with asymptomatic AD (AsymAD) based on a locally-determined cutoff value for ratio of tTau to Aβ 42 . These AsymAD cases were matched for demographic features with 134 biomarker-negative controls (CN/BM-) and compared for differences in medical comorbidities and family history. Dyslipidemia emerged as a distinguishing feature between AsymAD and CN/BM- groups with significant association with personal and family history of dyslipidemia. A weaker relationship was seen with diabetes, but there was no association with hypertension. Examination of the full cohort by median regression revealed a significant relationship of CSF Aβ 42 (but not tTau or pTau) with dyslipidemia and diabetes. On neuropsychological tests, CSF Aβ 42 was not correlated with performance on any measures, but tTau and pTau were strongly correlated with visuospatial perception and visual episodic memory. In addition to traditional CSF AD biomarkers, a panel of AD biomarker peptides derived from integrating brain and CSF proteomes were evaluated using machine learning strategies to identify a set of 8 peptides that accurately classified CN/BM- and symptomatic AD CSF samples with AUC of 0.982. Using these 8 peptides in a low dimensional t-distributed Stochastic Neighbor Embedding analysis and k-Nearest Neighbor (k=5) algorithm, AsymAD cases were stratified into “Control-like” and “AD-like” subgroups based on their proximity to CN/BM- or AD CSF profiles. Independent analysis of these cases using a Joint Mutual Information algorithm selected a set of 5 peptides with 81% accuracy in stratifying cases into AD-like and Control-like subgroups. Performance of both sets of peptides was evaluated and validated in an independent data set from the Alzheimer’s Disease Neuroimaging Initiative. Based on our findings, we conclude that there is an important role of lipid metabolism in asymptomatic stages of AD. Visuospatial perception and visual episodic memory may be more sensitive than language-based abilities to earliest stages of cognitive decline in AD. Finally, candidate CSF peptides show promise as next generation biomarkers for predicting progression from asymptomatic to symptomatic stages of AD.

Recurrent event data frequently arise in chronic disease studies, providing rich information on disease progression. The concept of latent class offers a sensible perspective to characterize complex population heterogeneity in recurrent event trajectories that may not be adequately captured by a single regression model. However, the development of latent class methods for recurrent event data has been sparse, typically requiring strong parametric assumptions and involving algorithmic issues. In this work, we investigate latent class analysis of recurrent event data based on flexible semiparametric multiplicative modelling. We derive a robust estimation procedure through novelly adapting the conditional score technique and utilizing the special characteristics of multiplicative intensity modelling. The proposed estimation procedure can be stably and efficiently implemented based on existing computational routines. We provide solid theoretical underpinnings for the proposed method, and demonstrate its satisfactory finite sample performance via extensive simulation studies. An application to a dataset from research participants at Goizueta Alzheimer's Disease Research Center illustrates the practical utility of our proposals.