Jeffrey G. Williamson’s research while affiliated with Harvard University and other places

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Publications (294)


The Age of Mass Migration Causes and Economic Impact
  • Book

October 2023

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54 Reads

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41 Citations

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Jeffrey G Williamson

About 55 million Europeans migrated to the New World between 1850 and 1914, landing in North and South America and in Australia. This movement, which marked a profound and permanent shift in global population and economic activity, is described in vivid detail by Timothy J. Hatton and Jeffrey G. Williamson, and the causes and effects relative to this great relocation are soundly analysed. The Age of Mass Migration offers a thorough treatment of a period of vital development in the economic history of the modern world and, moreover, devotes much objective consideration to certain economic questions that still baffle us today: Why does a nation’s emigration rate typically rise with early industrialization? How do immigrants choose their destinations? Are international labour markets segmented? Do immigrants truly “rob” jobs from locals? What impact do immigrants have on wage rates and living standards in the host country? In addressing these issues, and many of others, this book takes a new and comprehensive view of mass migration. Although somewhat controversial in terms of method—it assigns to a social phenomenon an economic explanation and interpretation— The Age of Mass Migration will be useful to all students of migration, historical or contemporary, and to anyone interested in international economic activities.


Always egalitarian? Australian earnings inequality 1870–1910

July 2021

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22 Reads

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7 Citations

Australian Economic History Review

We document the origins of Australia's egalitarianism by quantifying both the level and trends of earnings inequality during 1870–1910 by constructing social tables for earnings, thus overcoming the constraints imposed by the lack of income, tax and wealth data. We find that earnings inequality was much lower in Australia than in the United States and the United Kingdom in 1870 and that there was no rise in Australian earnings inequality over the half century 1870–1910, but rather a fall. We argue that such findings are driven by a faster skill supply growth relative to demand.



Living costs and living standards: Australian development 1820–1870†

October 2018

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64 Reads

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9 Citations

European Review of Economic History

This paper contributes to the New World living standard leadership debate by comparing the Australian experience during 1820s–1870s with the USA, Latin America, and the UK. Using novel living costs data, we compute two estimates of income leadership: welfare ratios and purchasing–power–parity-adjusted GDP per capita. Australia started considerably below the UK and the USA but by the 1870s, it had overtaken the former and had almost done so for the latter, due to relatively rapid labour productivity growth and a steep decline in living costs. Still, in the 1870s Australia was not the world income leader, but a close second.


Australian squatters, convicts, and capitalists: dividing up a fast‐growing frontier pie, 1821–71

June 2018

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31 Reads

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23 Citations

The Economic History Review

Compared with its competitors, Australian GDP per worker grew exceptionally quickly from the 1820s to the 1870s, at a rate about twice that of the US and three times that of Britain. Did this rapid growth produce rising inequality, following a Kuznets curve? Using a novel dataset, this article offers new evidence that provides unambiguous support for the view that, in sharp contrast with the US experience and with globalization‐inequality views concerning late nineteenth‐century frontiers, Australia underwent a revolutionary levelling in incomes up to the 1870s. This assessment is based on trends in many proxies for inequality, as well as annual estimates of functional income shares in the form of land rents, convict payments, free unskilled labour incomes, free skilled labour and white collar incomes, British imperial transfers, and a capitalist residual.


FigurE 1 VALUE OF SLAVES AND COMMODITIES FROM WEST AFRICA, 1700-1913 Notes: Value of slaves and commodities in nominal values converted to British Pounds. Sources: 1808-1913 commodities see notes to Figure 3 and text. 1737-1807 commodity values based on the share of commodities in the total value of trade from West Africa (DalrympleSmith and Woltjer 2016). Value of slave trade for West Africa based on slave embarkations from the Transatlantic Slave Trade Database (Eltis and Richardson 2008) and slave prices from Richardson (1991) and Lovejoy and Richardson (1995). 
FigurE 2 KEY COMMODITY EXPORTS FROM WEST AND EAST AFRICA, 1825-1900 
FigurE 4 
FigurE 5 
FigurE 7 

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An Economic Rationale for the West African Scramble? The Commercial Transition and the Commodity Price Boom of 1835–1885
  • Article
  • Full-text available

March 2018

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268 Reads

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81 Citations

The Journal of Economic History

We use a new trade dataset showing that nineteenth century sub-Saharan Africa experienced a terms of trade boom comparable to other parts of the “global periphery.” A sharp rise in export prices in the five decades before the scramble (1835–1885) was followed by an equally impressive decline during the colonial era. This study revises the view that the scramble for West Africa occurred when its major export markets were in decline and argues that the larger weight of West Africa in French imperial trade strengthened the rationale for French instead of British initiative in the conquest of the interior. -- https://doi.org/10.1017/S0022050718000128

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Deindustrialization in 18th and 19th Century India: Mughal Decline, Climate Shocks and British Industrial Ascent

December 2017

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46 Reads

India was a major player in the world export market for textiles in the early 18th century, but by the middle of the 19th century it had lost all of its export market and much of its domestic market, primarily to Britain. The ensuing deindustrialization was greatest c1750-c1860. We ask how much of India’s deindustrialization was due to local supply-side forces -- such as political fragmentation and a rising incidence of drought, and how much to world price shocks. An open, three-sector neo-Ricardian model organizes our thinking and new relative price database implements the empirical analysis. We find local supply side forces were important from as early as 1700. The size of Indian deindustrialization is then assessed by comparison with other parts of the periphery.


Inequality in the very long run: Malthus, Kuznets, and Ohlin

September 2017

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155 Reads

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9 Citations

Cliometrica

What happened to the inequality of real income and wealth before, during, and after the Industrial Revolution? Just as the usual Industrial Revolution era (1750-1850) has been revised by historians of economic growth, so too the articles in this issue follow the lead of Van Zanden (1995) in opening up a new inequality history for earlier eras and other continents. Three of them offer new evidence on European wealth and income inequality movements in pre-industrial and industrial epochs. The fourth offers a new perspective on Latin American experience since the late nineteenth century, reporting a twentieth-century experience quite unlike the Great Leveling that Kuznets and others saw in Europe and the USA from World War 1 to the 1970s.


Has Latin American Inequality Changed Direction?: Looking Over the Long Run

February 2017

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181 Reads

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46 Citations

This book is open access under a CC BY 4.0 license. This book brings together a range of ideas and theories to arrive at a deeper understanding of inequality in Latin America and its complex realities. To so, it addresses questions such as: What are the origins of inequality in Latin America? How can we create societies that are more equal in terms of income distribution, gender equality and opportunities? How can we remedy the social divide that is making Latin America one of the most unequal regions on earth? What are the roles played by market forces, institutions and ideology in terms of inequality? In this book, a group of global experts gathered by the Institute for the Integration of Latin America and the Caribbean (INTAL), part of the Inter-American Development Bank (IDB), show readers how various types of inequality, such as economical, educational, racial and gender inequality have been practiced in countries like Brazil, Bolivia, Chile, Mexico and many others through the centuries. Presenting new ideas, new evidence, and new methods, the book subsequently analyzes how to move forward with second-generation reforms that lay the foundations for more egalitarian societies. As such, it offers a valuable and insightful guide for development economists, historians and Latin American specialists alike, as well as students, educators, policymakers and all citizens with an interest in development, inequality and the Latin American region.


East Asian Industrial Pioneers

February 2017

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11 Reads

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3 Citations

Ever since the Industrial Revolution of the late eighteenth and early nineteenth centuries, industrialization has been the key to modern economic growth. The fact that modern industry originated in Britain, and spread initially to northwestern Europe and North America, implied a dramatic divergence in living standards between the industrial North (or ‘West’) and a non-industrial, or even de-industrializing, South (or ‘Rest’). This nineteenth-century divergence, which had profound economic, military, and geopolitical implications, has been studied in great detail by many economists and historians. Today, this divergence between the ‘West’ and the ‘Rest’ is visibly unravelling, as economies in Asia, Latin America, and even Sub-Saharan Africa converge on the rich economies of Europe and North America. This phenomenon, which is set to define the twenty-first century, both economically and politically, has also been the subject of a considerable amount of research. Less appreciated, however, are the deep historical roots of this convergence process, and in particular of the spread of modern industry to the global periphery. This book fills this gap by providing a systematic, comparative, historical account of the spread of modern manufacturing beyond its traditional heartland, to Southern and Eastern Europe, the Middle East, Asia, Africa and Latin America, or what we call the poor periphery. It identifies the timing of this convergence (fastest in the inter-war and import-substituting post-Second World War years, not the more recent ‘miracle growth’ years), and identifies which driving forces were common to all periphery countries, and which were not.


Citations (80)


... Migration and education are intertwined in many aspects; moreover, education and skills development are significant factors at many points during an individual's migration mainly driven by differences in skills returns between the country of origin and the country of destination (Dustmann & Glitz, 2011). Further, historical analyses on migration emphasise how skills and education levels have played pivotal roles in shaping migration patterns across different periods by providing insights into the complex relationship between migration and the accumulation of human capital (Bernard & Bell, 2018;Bilecen, 2020;Hatton & Williamson, 1998). As a result, a symbiotic relationship has developed that is essential in determining how individuals and societies will develop in an increasingly globalised world. ...

Reference:

Migration in Education Research: A Synthesis to Support Sustainable Development
The Age of Mass Migration Causes and Economic Impact
  • Citing Book
  • October 2023

... Furthermore, all people of 'European' racial origin were categorised together whether born in Australia or not (Arcioni, 2012). In addition to problems with racial classifications, income and wealth were not measured in the census until 1933, while state statistics on incomes were also incomplete, such that statisticians and economists must estimate the income distribution during this period (Panza & Williamson, 2021). Australian government statistics of the early twentieth century thus served to promote an Australian identity that excluded non-whites and occluded inconvenient realities of income and wealth inequality. ...

Always egalitarian? Australian earnings inequality 1870–1910
  • Citing Article
  • July 2021

Australian Economic History Review

... Yet despite these earlier connections and complicities, it would be difficult to make the case that accelerated US growth in the first half of the nineteenth century grew out of this slave-based past in any direct or fundamental way. The United States was already an affluent nation on the eve of the American Revolution, certainly among the richest in the world in per capita income (Lindert and Williamson 2016). But the high living standards of that time reflected a favorable disease environment and cheap foodstuffs, not rapid growth per capita. ...

Unequal Gains: American Growth and Inequality since 1700
  • Citing Book
  • April 2016

... Although welfare ratios were a great deal higher in the South/Southeast for both farm workers and industrial workers, the real earnings gaps between the two sectors were about the same. The size of these real earnings gaps conforms quite well to what has been documented for other countries (Hatton & Williamson, 1993). For Sweden, Table 4 lists several other occupations for which we have information on annual earnings thanks to wage quotations from Bengtsson and Prado (2020). ...

Labour Market Integration and the Rural–Urban Wage Gap in History
  • Citing Chapter
  • October 2019

... Other recent research focused on single years when exceptional sources were available, for example, in Spain in 1759 (Nicolini andRamos Palencia 2016, 2021) or Poland in 1578 (Malinowski and Van Zanden 2017). This broad research campaign reached beyond Europe, as preindustrial inequality was explored also for Anatolia under the Ottoman Empire (Canbakal, Filiztekin, and Kokdas 2018), for the pre-revolutionary United States (Lindert and Williamson 2016), for Japan in the late Tokugawa period (Saito 2015), and for Jamaica (Burnard, Panza, and Williamson 2019). ...

Unequal Gains: American Growth and Inequality since 1700
  • Citing Book
  • April 2016

... The most conspicuous change is however the rise of single-country articles on the "rest of the world". In its first eight years, the EREH published only one articles on the United States (Blum and Dudley 2003), while in 2020 only it has published articles on funding of Brazilian coffee exports (Kisling 2020), on inequality in Sierra Leone (Galli and Rönnbäck 2020), and on monopoly profits in French African trade (Tadei 2020), on top of a more ''traditional" article on Australian living standards (Panza and Williamson 2020). Methods and topics have also changed substantially in the last period. ...

Living costs and living standards: Australian development 1820–1870†
  • Citing Article
  • October 2018

European Review of Economic History

... Government set lenient conditions for taking up the land tenure, which was essentially the ability to clear and stock the land within a year. This, of course, was to ensure land was not left unused, as establishing economic viability and income for the state was paramount (see for example Dutton, 1985;Panza & Williamson, 2019). ...

Australian squatters, convicts, and capitalists: dividing up a fast‐growing frontier pie, 1821–71
  • Citing Article
  • June 2018

The Economic History Review

... International markets of tropical commodities were shaped during the colonial period when the market power was concentrated amongst a few large international companies that controlled the linkages between local intermediary traders and western retail networks (Frankema et al., 2018). Important elements of these asymmetric trade networks were the early commitments over upcoming harvests by local buyers and international companies engaged in future trade through global commodity exchange. ...

An Economic Rationale for the West African Scramble? The Commercial Transition and the Commodity Price Boom of 1835–1885

The Journal of Economic History

... In the particular case of Mexico, important income inequalities arise too, with a historical situation of the persistent social divide (World Bank Group, 2018;Bértola & Williamson, 2017). Over the past century, inequality followed a N-shaped trend (increasingdecreasing-increasing). ...

Has Latin American Inequality Changed Direction?: Looking Over the Long Run
  • Citing Book
  • February 2017

... Another crucial factor driving industrialization's impact on regional development is the increase in international access and capacity [7]. Seaports are essential components facilitating trade, with over 90% of international trade moving through the seas, making seaports and their hinterland areas vital components of global trade [8]. The sustainability of port cities in terms of economic, social, and environmental aspects [9]. ...

Industrialization in China
  • Citing Chapter
  • February 2017