Jane Cunningham’s research while affiliated with World Health Organization WHO and other places

Background The World Health Organization (WHO) recommends parasite-based diagnosis of malaria before treatment. The use of nucleic-acid amplification (NAAT) for detection of Plasmodium spp. has expanded rapidly in recent years, for epidemiological research globally and clinical care in high-resource settings. Data from NAATs are frequently used to inform policy decisions, so quality control is essential to ensure results are reliable and comparable. Therefore, robust quality control, including an external quality assessment (EQA) scheme targeting malaria NAATs, is essential. The WHO Global Malaria Programme and the UK National External Quality Assessment Service (UK NEQAS) have collaborated since 2017 to implement a global malaria NAAT EQA scheme. Methods Panels of specimens containing five major species of human-infecting Plasmodium at various parasite concentrations and negative samples were created in lyophilized blood (LB) and dried blood spot (DBS) formats. Two distributions per year were sent, containing five LB and five DBS specimens. Samples were validated by expert referee laboratories prior to distribution. Between 37 and 51 laboratories participated in each distribution and submitted results online. Participants were scored based on their laboratory's stated capacity to identify Plasmodium species, and individual laboratory reports were sent which included performance comparison with anonymized peers. Change in performance over time was calculated using a generalized mixed model with a logit link function. Results Participating laboratories were located in 42 countries. Sample format (DBS or LB) and parasite density were found to significantly affect performance, while referee labs performed better at identifying P. falciparum samples than non-referee labs. Performance of laboratories improved significantly over time, especially for lower density and P. falciparum samples. Conclusions Results from the first eleven distributions indicate that the EQA scheme has facilitated improved performance of laboratories over time, highlighting the value of implementing such programmes. EQA schemes are critical to safeguarding the reliability of data and diagnoses, especially in situations where NAAT methodologies and protocols are used. In future, funders should make participation in an EQA scheme a requirement for laboratories, and countries can take initiatives to embed such schemes into their own national assessment programmes.

Background Eritrea was the first African country to discontinue the use of histidine rich protein 2 (HRP2)-detecting rapid diagnostic tests (RDTs) for malaria diagnosis following reports of a high prevalence of pfhrp2/3-deleted Plasmodium falciparum parasites causing false-negative results in the country. Eritrea was also the first African country to report partial artemisinin resistance due to the P falciparum kelch13 (pfk13) Arg622Ile mutation. We aimed to characterise the spatial distribution of pfk13 mutants and their interactions with pfhrp2/3 deletions in Eritrea and to assess the role of the use of HRP2-detecting RDTs and antimalarial (artesunate–amodiaquine) therapy in the spread of the two variants. Methods We conducted a retrospective molecular epidemiological analysis of pfk13 mutations and pfhrp2/3 deletions in existing P falciparum-infected blood samples collected as part of previous pfhrp2/3 deletion and severe malaria studies. Samples were collected in March, 2016 and between September, 2018, and January, 2020, from symptomatic patients seeking care at 15 health centres in four administration zones (Semenawi Keyih Bahri, Gash Barka, Anseba, and Debub) in Eritrea. A fragment spanning the propeller region of pfk13 was amplified from samples and sequenced using Sanger sequencing or targeted amplicon sequencing to identify genetic mutations. Deletions of pfhrp2/3 genes in samples were determined using multiplex quantitative PCR. Parasite haplotypes and genetic relatedness of parasite haplotypes were determined previously using microsatellite marker typing. The primary objective was to determine the prevalence of pfk13 mutations at health centres and administrative zones. The secondary objective was to investigate whether pfk13 mutants and pfhrp2/3 deleted parasites converge. Findings We sequenced 50 samples collected in March, 2016 from the Semenawi Keyih Bahri zone and identified no pfk13 mutations. By contrast, in 587 samples included in this study that were collected from health centres in Gash Barka, Anseba, and Debub in 2018–20, we detected five different single non-synonymous mutations: Glu605Lys, Arg622Ile, Asn657Lys, Lys658Glu, and Ser679Leu. The most prevalent mutation was pfk13 Arg622Ile, which was detected in samples collected from all nine health centres where more than five samples were available across all three administration zones, with an overall prevalence of 11·9% (70 of 587 samples; range 5·9–28·0%). We identified 22 unique pfk13 Arg622Ile mutant haplotypes among 26 samples tested, of which 13 (59·1%) were genetically related, whereas the remaining nine (40·9%) were not. The prevalence of pfk13 Arg622Ile was significantly higher in parasites with a single pfhrp3 deletion (46 [18·0%] of 255 samples) than in parasites without pfhrp2/3 deletions (ten [6·2%] of 161 samples; odds ratio 3·89 [95% CI 1·59–7·61]; p=0·0006) and with dual pfhrp2/3-deleted parasites (13 [9·0%] of 145; 2·23 [1·13–4·68]; p=0·018). Interpretation The geographical spread of the pfk13 Arg622Ile mutation might have initially resulted from the clonal expansion and spread of pfhrp2/3 deletions under the test-and-treat policy using HRP2-detecting RDTs. Subsequently, selective pressure from artemisinin combination therapy could have further facilitated the spread of both pfk13 Arg622Ile and pfhrp2/3 deletions. Continuous monitoring of trends in pfk13 and pfhrp2/3 variants is needed to inform effective malaria control and elimination strategies in Eritrea and other African countries. Funding US Department of Defense Armed Forces Health Surveillance Division, Global Emerging Infections Surveillance Branch (AFHSD/GEIS), and Wellcome Trust.

Plasmodium falciparum with the histidine rich protein 2 gene (pfhrp2) deleted from its genome can escape diagnosis by HRP2-based rapid diagnostic tests (HRP2-RDTs). The World Health Organization (WHO) recommends switching to a non-HRP2 RDT for P. falciparum clinical case diagnosis when pfhrp2 deletion prevalence causes ≥ 5% of RDTs to return false negative results. Tanzania is a country of heterogenous P. falciparum transmission, with some regions approaching elimination and others at varying levels of control. In concordance with the current recommended WHO pfhrp2 deletion surveillance strategy, 100 health facilities encompassing 10 regions of Tanzania enrolled malaria-suspected patients between February and July 2021. Of 7863 persons of all ages enrolled and providing RDT result and blood sample, 3777 (48.0%) were positive by the national RDT testing for Plasmodium lactate dehydrogenase (pLDH) and/or HRP2. A second RDT testing specifically for the P. falciparum LDH (Pf-pLDH) antigen found 95 persons (2.5% of all RDT positives) were positive, though negative by the national RDT for HRP2, and were selected for pfhrp2 and pfhrp3 (pfhrp2/3) genotyping. Multiplex antigen detection by laboratory bead assay found 135/7847 (1.7%) of all blood samples positive for Plasmodium antigens but very low or no HRP2, and these were selected for genotyping as well. Of the samples selected for genotyping based on RDT or laboratory multiplex result, 158 were P. falciparum DNA positive, and 140 had sufficient DNA to be genotyped for pfhrp2/3. Most of these (125/140) were found to be pfhrp2+/pfhrp3+, with smaller numbers deleted for only pfhrp2 (n = 9) or only pfhrp3 (n = 6). No dual pfhrp2/3 deleted parasites were observed. This survey found that parasites with these gene deletions are rare in Tanzania, and estimated that 0.24% (95% confidence interval: 0.08% to 0.39%) of false-negative HRP2-RDTs for symptomatic persons were due to pfhrp2 deletions in this 2021 Tanzania survey. These data provide evidence for HRP2-based diagnostics as currently accurate for P. falciparum diagnosis in Tanzania.

Background Rapid diagnostic tests (RDTs) that detect Plasmodium falciparum histidine-rich protein-2 (PfHRP2) are exclusively deployed in Uganda, but deletion of the pfhrp2/3 target gene threatens their usefulness as malaria diagnosis and surveillance tools. Methods A cross-sectional survey was conducted at 40 sites across four regions of Uganda in Acholi, Lango, W. Nile and Karamoja from March 2021 to June 2023. Symptomatic malaria suspected patients were recruited and screened with both HRP2 and pan lactate dehydrogenase (pLDH) detecting RDTs. Dried blood spots (DBS) were collected from all patients and a random subset were used for genomic analysis to confirm parasite species and pfhrp2 and pfhrp3 gene status. Plasmodium species was determined using a conventional multiplex PCR while pfhrp2 and pfhrp3 gene deletions were determined using a real-time multiplex qPCR. Expression of the HRP2 protein antigen in a subset of samples was further assessed using a ELISA. Results Out of 2435 symptomatic patients tested for malaria, 1504 (61.8%) were positive on pLDH RDT. Overall, qPCR confirmed single pfhrp2 gene deletion in 1 out of 416 (0.2%) randomly selected samples that were confirmed of P. falciparum mono-infections. Conclusion These findings show limited threat of pfhrp2/3 gene deletions in the survey areas suggesting that HRP2 RDTs are still useful diagnostic tools for surveillance and diagnosis of P. falciparum malaria infections in symptomatic patients in this setting. Periodic genomic surveillance is warranted to monitor the frequency and trend of gene deletions and its effect on RDTs.

In the thirteen years since the first report of pfhrp2-deleted parasites in 2010, the World Health Organization (WHO) has found that 40 of 47 countries surveyed worldwide have reported pfhrp2/3 gene deletions. Due to a high prevalence of pfhrp2/3 deletions causing false-negative HRP2 RDTs, in the last five years, Eritrea, Djibouti and Ethiopia have switched or started switching to using alternative RDTs, that target pan-specific-pLDH or P. falciparum specific-pLDH alone of in combination with HRP2. However, manufacturing of alternative RDTs has not been brought to scale and there are no WHO prequalified combination tests that use Pf-pLDH instead of HRP2 for P. falciparum detection. For these reasons, the continued spread of pfhrp2/3 deletions represents a growing public health crisis that threatens efforts to control and eliminate P. falciparum malaria. National malaria control programmes, their implementing partners and test developers desperately seek pfhrp2/3 deletion data that can inform their immediate and future resource allocation. In response, we use a mathematical modelling approach to evaluate the global risk posed by pfhrp2/3 deletions and explore scenarios for how deletions will continue to spread in Africa. We incorporate current best estimates of the prevalence of pfhrp2/3 deletions and conduct a literature review to estimate model parameters known to impact the selection of pfhrp2/3 deletions for each malaria endemic country. We identify 20 countries worldwide to prioritise for surveillance and future deployment of alternative RDT, based on quickly selecting for pfhrp2/3 deletions once established. In scenarios designed to explore the continued spread of deletions in Africa, we identify 10 high threat countries that are most at risk of deletions both spreading to and subsequently being rapidly selected for. If HRP2-based RDTs continue to be relied on for malaria case management, we predict that the major route for pfhrp2 deletions to spread is south out from the current hotspot in the Horn of Africa, moving through East Africa over the next 20 years. We explore the variation in modelled timelines through an extensive parameter sensitivity analysis and despite wide uncertainties, we identify four countries that have not yet switched RDTs (Senegal, Zambia, Kenya and Zambia) that are robustly identified as high risk for pfhrp2/3 deletions. These results provide a refined and updated prediction model for the emergence of pfhrp2/3 deletions in an effort to help guide pfhrp2/3 policy and prioritise future surveillance efforts and innovation.

Eritrea is the first African country to switch away from exclusive use of HRP2-based RDTs for the detection of P. falciparum due to high prevalence of pfhrp2 / 3- deleted P. falciparum parasites causing false-negative RDT results. While heavy reliance on malaria RDTs played a significant role in the rapid expansion of pfhrp2/3 -deleted parasites in Eritrea, we hypothesize that the use of antimalarial (artesunate-amodiaquine) may have also contributed to their spread. We conducted a retrospective investigation of mutations in the propeller domain of the P. falciparum kelch13 gene in samples collected in 2016 (n=50) from the Northern Red Sea Zone before the RDT switch away from HRP2-RDTs and in samples collected in 2018-2020 (n=587) from the Gash Barka, Anseba and Debub Zones after the RDT switch. No mutations were identified in the 2016 samples. However, in 2018-2019 samples, we detected five different single non-synonymous mutations. The most prevalent mutation was pfk13 R622I, which was detected in samples collected from all health centres, with an overall prevalence of 11.9% (ranging from 5.9% to 28%). Parasites carrying the R622I mutation have diverse microsatellite marker haplotypes, indicating that they had evolved multiple times from different genetic backgrounds. The prevalence pfk13 R622I was significantly higher in single pfhrp3 -deleted parasites (18.0%) compared to parasites without pfhrp2/3 deletions (6.2%) and dual pfhrp2/3 -deleted parasites (9.0%), suggesting association between the pfk13 R622I mutation and the pfhrp2/3 deletions in Eritrea. Continuous monitoring the trends in pfhrp2/3 and pfk13 mutants is needed to inform effective malaria management strategies in Eritrea.

Background: Rapid diagnostic tests (RDTs) that detect Plasmodium falciparum histidine-rich protein-2 (PfHRP2) are exclusively deployed in Uganda however deletion of the pfhrp2/3 target gene threatens their usefulness as malaria diagnosis and surveillance tools. Methods: A cross sectional survey was conducted in 40 sites across four regions of Uganda in Acholi, Lango, W. Nile and Karamoja from March 2021 to June 2023. Symptomatic malaria suspected patients were recruited and screened with both HRP2 and pan lactate dehydrogenase (pLDH) detecting RDTs. Dried blood spots (DBS) were collected from all patients and a random subset were used for genomic analysis to confirm parasite species and pfhrp2 and pfhrp3 gene status. Plasmodium species was determined using a conventional multiplex PCR while pfhrp2 and pfhrp3 gene deletions were determined using a real-time multiplex qPCR. Expression of the HRP2 protein antigen in a subset of samples was further assessed using a ELISA. Results: Out of 2,435 symptomatic patients tested for malaria, 1505 (61.8%) were positive on pLDH RDT. Overall, qPCR confirmed single pfhrp2 gene deletion in 1 out of 416 (0.2%) randomly selected samples that were confirmed of P. falciparum mono-infections. Conclusion: These findings show limited threat of pfhrp2/3 gene deletions in the survey areas suggesting that HRP2 RDTs are still useful diagnostic tools for surveillance and diagnosis of P. falciparum malaria infections in symptomatic patients in this setting. Periodic genomic surveillance is warranted to monitor the frequency and trend of gene deletions and its effect on RDTs.

Diagnosis and treatment of Plasmodium falciparum infections are required for effective malaria control and are pre-requisites for malaria elimination efforts; hence we need to monitor emergence, evolution and spread of drug- and diagnostics-resistant parasites. We deep sequenced key drug-resistance mutations and 1,832 SNPs in the parasite genomes of 609 malaria cases collected during a diagnostic-resistance surveillance study in Ethiopia. We found that 8.0% (95% CI 7.0–9.0) of malaria cases were caused by P. falciparum carrying the candidate artemisinin partial-resistance kelch13 ( K13 ) 622I mutation, which was less common in diagnostic-resistant parasites mediated by histidine-rich proteins 2 and 3 ( pfhrp2/3 ) deletions than in wild-type parasites ( P = 0.03). Identity-by-descent analyses showed that K13 622I parasites were significantly more related to each other than to wild type ( P < 0.001), consistent with recent expansion and spread of this mutation. Pfhrp2/3- deleted parasites were also highly related, with evidence of clonal transmissions at the district level. Of concern, 8.2% of K13 622I parasites also carried the pfhrp2/3 deletions. Close monitoring of the spread of combined drug- and diagnostic-resistant parasites is needed.

Plasmodium falciparum with the histidine rich protein 2 gene (pfhrp2) deleted from its genome can escape diagnosis by HRP2-based rapid diagnostic tests (HRP2-RDTs). The World Health Organization (WHO) recommends switching to a non-HRP2 RDT for P. falciparum clinical case diagnosis when pfhrp2 deletion prevalence causes ≥ 5% of RDTs to return false negative results. Tanzania is a country of heterogenous P. falciparum transmission, with some regions approaching elimination and others at varying levels of control. In concordance with the current recommended WHO pfhrp2 deletion surveillance strategy, 100 health facilities encompassing 10 regions of Tanzania enrolled malaria-suspected patients between February and July 2021. Of 7,863 persons of all ages enrolled and providing RDT result and blood sample, 3,777 (48.0%) were positive by the national RDT testing for Plasmodium lactate dehydrogenase (pLDH) and/or HRP2. A second RDT testing specifically for the P. falciparum LDH (Pf-pLDH) antigen found 95 persons (2.5% of all RDT positives) were positive, though negative by the national RDT for HRP2, and were selected for pfhrp2 and pfhrp3 (pfhrp2/3) genotyping. Multiplex antigen detection by laboratory bead assay found 135/7,847 (1.7%) of all blood samples positive for Plasmodium antigens but very low or no HRP2, and these were selected for genotyping as well. Of the samples selected for genotyping based on RDT or laboratory multiplex result, 158 were P. falciparum DNA positive, and 140 had sufficient DNA to be genotyped for pfhrp2/3. Most of these (125/140) were found to be pfhrp2+/pfhrp3+, with smaller numbers deleted for only pfhrp2 (n=9) or only pfhrp3 (n=6). No dual pfhrp2/3 deleted parasites were observed. This survey estimated that 0.24% (95% confidence interval: 0.08% to 0.39%) of false-negative HRP2-RDTs for symptomatic persons were due to pfhrp2 deletions in this 2021 Tanzania survey. These data provide evidence for HRP2-based diagnostics as currently accurate for P. falciparum diagnosis in Tanzania.