Jan Van Bavel’s research while affiliated with KU Leuven and other places

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Publications (141)


Left behind single in the partnering market? Entry into cohabiting unions by women and men with low educational attainment across regions of Europe, cohorts 1960 to 1985
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December 2024

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4 Reads

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1 Citation

Demographic Research

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Jan Van Bavel

direct effects of sociodemographic characteristics and migrant deservingness principles on individual attitudes toward immigrants and refugees (n = 13,645).
direct effects of sociodemographic characteristics on CarIn criteria (n = 13,645).
Applying the CARIN criteria to migrant settlement: Cross-national validation of the Migrant Deservingness Scale
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  • Full-text available

October 2024

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339 Reads

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7 Citations

Journal of Immigrant & Refugee Studies

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[...]

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According to social policy literature, people utilize five criteria – Control, Attitude, Reciprocity, Identity, Need – to distinguish the deserving from the undeserving. Most studies rely on proxy variables rather than measuring deservingness criteria directly. We propose and validate a new instrument – the Migrant Deservingness Scale – that captures these criteria. We analyze data from an online survey in seven European countries, the U.S., and Colombia (N = 13,645) to test the scale’s dimensionality and validity. Findings indicate that all criteria can be captured with the scale, and that they are linked with host nationals’ sociodemographic characteristics and anti-migrant attitudes.

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Independent samples t-tests on parental views on decision competence per country
Mean comparisons across four latent profiles and share of profile membership
Parenting Dimensions and Views on Adolescent Decision Making in Health Care: A Cross-National Study of Belgian and Dutch Parents

April 2024

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137 Reads

Background: The aim of this study was to investigate the link between parenting and parents’ perspectives on health-related decision making for adolescents. During adolescence, there is a gradual increase in responsibility and autonomy, which influences parenting behavior and child development. Understanding how parenting is associated with parents’ views on medical decision making is crucial in the context of the parent–child–physician triad. This study was the first to explore parenting and parents’ views on adolescent health care decision making. We compare Belgian and Dutch parents—two countries selected for their different legal frameworks on medical adolescent decision making. Method: An online questionnaire surveyed 984 Belgian and 992 Dutch parents (ages 35–55) with at least one child. Analytical methods included t tests, structural equation modeling, and latent profile analysis. Results: Parents considered adolescents to be competent decision makers at 16.7 years old. Dutch parents granted autonomy at younger ages than Belgian parents. Parents with high behavioral expectations granted autonomy to adolescents at higher ages, while those high in autonomy support and punishment granted autonomy at lower ages. When classifying parents into profiles, we distinguished four types: highly permissive, moderately permissive, moderately restrictive, and highly restrictive groups. The majority of the sample was classified into moderately and highly restrictive profiles. Conclusion: The study highlighted the importance of providing parents with education and support on adolescent development and autonomy. Parenting practices that encourage autonomy and support open communication between parents and adolescents may contribute to a more trusting and supportive parent–child context for adolescent medical decision making.


How much does immigration contribute to national poverty rates? A decomposition analysis for 17 European welfare states.

March 2024

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25 Reads

Over the past decades, many European welfare states failed to reduce poverty. We examine two coinciding trends: the inability to lower poverty rates, and the growth of immigrant populations. Immigrants have become the main contributor to population growth in Europe and have higher poverty risks than natives. This contribution quantifies to what extent national poverty rates were driven by population change. We present a Kitagawa-Blinder-Oaxaca decomposition of national poverty rates in 17 western European countries between 2005 and 2019 using EU-SILC data. The effect of shifting EU and non-EU immigrant populations on poverty rates is heterogeneous: while poverty in some countries increased substantially due to compositional changes, for the majority the effect was small or negligible, including in countries with above-average growth of foreign-born populations. Overall, in two-thirds of country-years changes in the population composition were not the main driver of national poverty rates.


How much does immigration contribute to national poverty rates? A decomposition analysis for 17 European welfare states

March 2024

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55 Reads

Socio-Economic Review

Over the past decades, many European welfare states failed to reduce poverty. We examine two coinciding trends: the inability to lower poverty rates, and the growth of immigrant populations. Immigrants have become the main contributor to population growth in Europe and have higher poverty risks than natives. This contribution quantifies to what extent national poverty rates were driven by population change. We present a Kitagawa–Blinder–Oaxaca decomposition of national poverty rates in 17 western European countries between 2005 and 2019 using EU-SILC data. The effect of shifting EU and non-EU immigrant populations on poverty rates is heterogeneous: while poverty in some countries increased substantially due to compositional changes, for the majority the effect was small or negligible, including in countries with above-average growth of foreign-born populations. Overall, in two-thirds of country–years changes in the population composition were not the main driver of national poverty rates.



Proposed model between epistemic trust, reflective functioning, negative COVID‐19, affect, and depressive features at T1 and T2.
To be a freshman during the COVID‐19 pandemic: A cross‐lagged model of depression, mentalizing, and epistemic trust

November 2023

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172 Reads

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3 Citations

Research has shown that severity of depression increased in freshmen during their first months at university due to increased social and academic pressures. Since the start of the COVID‐19 pandemic, several cross‐sectional studies have suggested that levels of depression in university students are higher than before the pandemic, but longitudinal data are largely lacking. This study investigated severity of depression and negative affect linked to the pandemic among freshmen during their first semester at a large university in Flanders, Belgium. We also investigated whether epistemic trust predicted severity of depression and pandemic‐related negative affect and whether problems with reflective functioning (or mentalizing) mediated these relations. Participants in this two‐wave prospective study were 289 first‐year students of the Faculty of Psychology and Educational Sciences of a large Belgian university. We conducted paired samples t‐tests and cross‐panel analysis to answer the research question. The number of students at risk of clinical depression increased by 41% between T1 (early October 2020) and T2 (late December 2020). Epistemic mistrust at T1 was prospectively associated with an increase in the prevalence and severity of depression at T2. Problems with mentalizing and negative COVID‐19‐related affect were positively associated with severity of depression at T2 and mediated the association between epistemic mistrust and severity of depression at T2. The findings highlight the key role of epistemic trust in the development of depression among freshmen, with the COVID‐19 pandemic presenting an additional source of uncertainty.


From cobblestones to cohesion: The role of professional cycling in the development of social capital in Flanders, Belgium

July 2023

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196 Reads

European Journal for Sport and Society

Although a large literature links mass sports events to elements of social capital arena-based sports with worldwide popularity like football, no studies have previously considered whether such associations can be found for sports that are specifically popular in particular regions. Here, we focus on cycling in Belgium. During the spring of each year, a unique type of one-day professional cycling race is organised in Belgium and France: cobblestone races (e.g. Tour of Flanders). These are very popular among the public in Flanders, Belgium because of their long history and current Belgian cyclists’ strong performances in them. We focus on a key element of social capital: trust in others. Using online survey data from a long-running study by the Flemish Government (N = 33,671), we analyse whether Belgian cyclists’ performances in and television ratings of cobblestone races are associated with various types of trust among the Flemish public. Results indicate that strong Belgian performances in cobblestone races are associated with greater neighbourhood trust, while high television ratings are also associated with greater trust. Some of these effects are moderated by age and gender. We discuss the implications of our findings and avenues of future research on the role of locally popular sports in the development of social capital.


Participant demographics
Parental perspectives on adolescent health-related confidentiality: Trust, responsibility, and disease etiology as key themes

January 2023

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196 Reads

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7 Citations

Journal of Adolescent Health

Purpose: As children progress through adolescence, they become more independent and more responsible regarding their health. This shift in responsibility from the parents to the adolescent poses a challenge for healthcare professionals who must consider both parties. Pediatricians and other healthcare professionals may encounter problems regarding consent and confidentiality. This study aimed to investigate the opinions of Belgian parents of adolescents concerning cases about confidentiality in adolescent health problems. Methods: A qualitative methodology with semi-structured interviews and a case-based approach was chosen to answer our study aim. Belgian parents of adolescents were recruited voluntarily; 20 parents were interviewed. Parents’ opinions on four different cases regarding confidentiality were obtained. Interviews were audio- and video-recorded and transcribed verbatim. Independent coding of the transcripts was conducted. Results: Parents’ opinions differ considerably when asked if a physician has to maintain confidentiality toward the adolescent, depending on the content of the case. Opinions appear underpinned by three factors: trust, responsibility of the different parties, and the etiology of the problem. Discussion: This study shows that the nature, severity, and frequency of the medical issue at hand shape the opinions of parents toward patient confidentiality, on top of the trust and responsibility factors also highlighted in previous work. This is in contrast to the Belgian legislation, which focuses on maturity regardless of context.


Citations (76)


... As this is more a male than female set of issues, the growth of a lowly educated male group produces mismatches on the later "cohabitation/marriage market" and may results in the growth of a group of single men who are unable to find a partner. On the female side, low educated women too may be left behind in partnering (Sturm and Van Bavel 2024), or worse, an accidental teenage pregnancy curtails subsequent life chances. ...

Reference:

R. Lesthaeghe, K. Zeman 2024, The new fertility postponement in Europe and North America and the East-West contrast, 2010-19
Left behind single in the partnering market? Entry into cohabiting unions by women and men with low educational attainment across regions of Europe, cohorts 1960 to 1985
  • Citing Article
  • December 2024

Demographic Research

... The risk diversification framework and the imagined futures framework are distinct, and we do not conflate the two frameworks by imposing uncertainty on the risk diversification model.3 In contrast to high-income settings where concerns about climate change have been associated with a heightened desire for childlessness related to concerns about the environmental and moral costs of raising a child in a changing world(Arnocky, Dupuis, and Stroinc 2012;Bisi, Sturm, and van Bavel 2024;Bodin and Björklund 2022;Rousseau 2023), none of our respondents mentioned these concerns.Content courtesy of Springer Nature, terms of use apply. Rights reserved. ...

Climate change and fertility desires: An experimental study among university students in Belgium and Italy
  • Citing Article
  • July 2024

Demographic Research

... Second, despite inconclusive evidence regarding the criterion-related validity of ET, most studies indicate nonsignificant or negligible associations between ET and relevant constructs Campbell et al., 2021;Kampling et al., 2022Kampling et al., , 2024Liotti, Milesi, et al., 2023;Tanzilli et al., 2022), with a minority substantiating its validity (Liotti, Fiorini Bincoletto, et al., 2023;Riedl et al., 2024;Riedl, Rothmund, et al., 2023), and a handful of investigations presenting mixed findings (Brauner et al., 2023;De Coninck et al., 2023;Hauschild et al., 2023;Parolin et al., 2023). Third, although good test-retest reliability was found for all three subscales, the majority of the findings demonstrated questionable internal consistency for EM (see Table 1). ...

To be a freshman during the COVID‐19 pandemic: A cross‐lagged model of depression, mentalizing, and epistemic trust

... In order to disentangle the relevance of preferences from structural constraints (mating squeeze), looking at dynamics over the lifecourse is indispensable (Eckhard et al. 2015). Partnership formation criteria and their consequences may depend crucially on life course stages and previous experiences (Corti/Scherer 2021;Oppenheimer 1994;Van Bavel 2021). However, most studies of assortative mating are static in nature, based on cross-sectional data, or concerned with documenting trends in assortative mating over time, ignoring the temporal dynamics over individuals' life-courses (Blossfeld 2009). ...

Partner choice and partner markets

... Using the CARIN scale and similar conceptual frameworks, the first tests of deservingness perceptions examined policies to address poverty (Applebaum, 2003) and social insurance for individuals in Connecticut and New York with mental health issues and disabilities (Greenfield, 1953). Although the majority of empirical research on deservingness has focused on welfare benefits, this framework and resulting empirical scale have been applied to explain support of a variety of social program beneficiaries (De Coninck et al., 2022;Meuleman et al., 2020). Appelbaum (2002) measured student perceptions of deservingness for a variety of services in Germany, including social assistance, housing, childcare, unemployment, and healthcare benefits. ...

Applying the CARIN criteria to migrant settlement: Cross-national validation of the Migrant Deservingness Scale

Journal of Immigrant & Refugee Studies

... In medical contexts, alternative family configurations add another layer of complexity, especially with regards to medical decision-making (Donck et al., 2023;Montreuil et al., 2020;Reeder & Morris, 2021). The Belgian legal framework regarding the representation of minor patients in medical decision-making stipulates that the right to consent (i.e., providing or refusing consent for medical treatment) and the right to confidentiality (i.e., non-disclosure of medical information of the patient) are exercised by the parents on behalf of the child, unless a physician decides that the minor is capable of a reasonable assessment of their situation (Vanwymelbeke et al., 2022). ...

Parental perspectives on adolescent health-related confidentiality: Trust, responsibility, and disease etiology as key themes

Journal of Adolescent Health

... Using metaanalytic procedures, Jensen (2022) provides an overarching view of factors that promote stepchild health and well-being. These findings demonstrate the critical role of stepparentstepchild relationships (family members who are not always appropriately included in health care services, and sometimes pushed out; Kelly & Ganong, 2011;Toelen et al., 2022). Murray and colleagues (2022) highlight several of the challenges and opportunities grandparents experience when transitioning to become the primary caregiver for their grandchildren in a grandfamily household. ...

Blood is Thicker than Water, or is It? The Possible Role of Stepparents in Pediatric Decision Making

... To date, research has explored how heterosexual couples manage relationships and financial resources, often noting gendered patterns (Cineli, 2020(Cineli, , 2022Huang et al., 2019;Klesment & Van Bavel, 2022;Lauer & Yodanis, 2011, Olcon-Kubicka, 2019Pepin, 2022;van Raaij et al., 2020;Vogler, Brockmann, et al., 2008;Vogler, Lyonette, et al., 2008). However, little has been written about young adults' anticipated financial practices in relationships, particularly as they imagine them at the transition to parenthood. ...

Women’s Relative Resources and Couples’ Gender Balance in Financial Decision-Making

European Sociological Review

... These shared resources can safeguard against financial instability for either partner, allowing families to allocate more resources to domestic and childcare services, supporting childrearing and career development (Oppenheimer, 1997). Research focusing on highly educated couples supports this theory, as studies have shown that dual tertiary-educated partners tend to have the highest second and third birth rates in various high-income countries during the early 21 st century (Nitsche et al., 2018;Nitsche et al., 2021;Bueno and Garcia-Roman, 2021). ...

Educational Pairings and Fertility Across Europe: How Do the Low-Educated Fare?

Comparative Population Studies

... Projected average years of schooling of the population aged 25-54, 2020-2100The future age-and education-specific fertility rates are determined on the basis of the combination of a large expert survey in the field of fertility studies(Basten, Sobotka, and Zeman 2014;Fuchs and Goujon 2014) and a model of historical analogy. The model assumed a trend towards global convergence in the very long term, resulting in slightly rising fertility in the European countries, also due to the ongoing process of fertility postponement; a continuation of the declining trend in India until the completion of the demographic transition; a slow recovery in China from the historically low level of recent years; and a slow decline in the USA, which has consistently had a higher fertility level than other Western countries for most of the last decades. ...

Future Fertility in Low Fertility Countries
  • Citing Article
  • January 2021