Jan Berz’s research while affiliated with Trinity College Dublin and other places

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Publications (27)


Contextual Conditions: Institutional, Political, and Economic Factors
  • Chapter

February 2025

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1 Read

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Jan Berz

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Marko Kukec

Prime ministers are the most powerful and visible politicians in established parliamentary democracies. But is this also true for post-communist Central and Eastern Europe (CEE)? Conventional wisdom suggests that prime ministers in CEE perform weakly because they lack political experience and operate in an extraordinarily difficult context, but this assumption has not been systematically examined. To close this research gap, this book presents a new approach to measuring prime-ministerial performance and offers a novel dataset of 131 cabinets in eleven CEE countries between 1990 and 2018. Comparative analyses of this data reveal that post-communist prime ministers range from politically inexperienced outsiders to insiders with long-standing careers in parliament, government, and party leadership. Their institutional, political, and economic contexts are more favourable in some countries and periods than in others. Some incumbents have performed rather poorly, while others have been very successful. Moreover, analyses of quantitative data and qualitative cases demonstrate that the variations in the careers, contexts, and performance of prime ministers are systematically connected. Their success particularly depends on their experience as party leaders, on the strength of their political allies in the executive and legislative arenas, and on favourable economic conditions. In this way, the book not only qualifies conventional assumptions about prime ministers in CEE but also substantiates the theoretical relationship between their careers, contexts, and performance. Prime Ministers in Central and Eastern Europe thus contributes to an enhanced understanding of the functioning of post-communist democracies and provides new insights for scholarly work engaging with political leadership.


List of Tables

February 2025

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1 Read

Prime ministers are the most powerful and visible politicians in established parliamentary democracies. But is this also true for post-communist Central and Eastern Europe (CEE)? Conventional wisdom suggests that prime ministers in CEE perform weakly because they lack political experience and operate in an extraordinarily difficult context, but this assumption has not been systematically examined. To close this research gap, this book presents a new approach to measuring prime-ministerial performance and offers a novel dataset of 131 cabinets in eleven CEE countries between 1990 and 2018. Comparative analyses of this data reveal that post-communist prime ministers range from politically inexperienced outsiders to insiders with long-standing careers in parliament, government, and party leadership. Their institutional, political, and economic contexts are more favourable in some countries and periods than in others. Some incumbents have performed rather poorly, while others have been very successful. Moreover, analyses of quantitative data and qualitative cases demonstrate that the variations in the careers, contexts, and performance of prime ministers are systematically connected. Their success particularly depends on their experience as party leaders, on the strength of their political allies in the executive and legislative arenas, and on favourable economic conditions. In this way, the book not only qualifies conventional assumptions about prime ministers in CEE but also substantiates the theoretical relationship between their careers, contexts, and performance. Prime Ministers in Central and Eastern Europe thus contributes to an enhanced understanding of the functioning of post-communist democracies and provides new insights for scholarly work engaging with political leadership.


Defining Prime-Ministerial Performance

February 2025

Prime ministers are the most powerful and visible politicians in established parliamentary democracies. But is this also true for post-communist Central and Eastern Europe (CEE)? Conventional wisdom suggests that prime ministers in CEE perform weakly because they lack political experience and operate in an extraordinarily difficult context, but this assumption has not been systematically examined. To close this research gap, this book presents a new approach to measuring prime-ministerial performance and offers a novel dataset of 131 cabinets in eleven CEE countries between 1990 and 2018. Comparative analyses of this data reveal that post-communist prime ministers range from politically inexperienced outsiders to insiders with long-standing careers in parliament, government, and party leadership. Their institutional, political, and economic contexts are more favourable in some countries and periods than in others. Some incumbents have performed rather poorly, while others have been very successful. Moreover, analyses of quantitative data and qualitative cases demonstrate that the variations in the careers, contexts, and performance of prime ministers are systematically connected. Their success particularly depends on their experience as party leaders, on the strength of their political allies in the executive and legislative arenas, and on favourable economic conditions. In this way, the book not only qualifies conventional assumptions about prime ministers in CEE but also substantiates the theoretical relationship between their careers, contexts, and performance. Prime Ministers in Central and Eastern Europe thus contributes to an enhanced understanding of the functioning of post-communist democracies and provides new insights for scholarly work engaging with political leadership.


List of Figures

February 2025

Prime ministers are the most powerful and visible politicians in established parliamentary democracies. But is this also true for post-communist Central and Eastern Europe (CEE)? Conventional wisdom suggests that prime ministers in CEE perform weakly because they lack political experience and operate in an extraordinarily difficult context, but this assumption has not been systematically examined. To close this research gap, this book presents a new approach to measuring prime-ministerial performance and offers a novel dataset of 131 cabinets in eleven CEE countries between 1990 and 2018. Comparative analyses of this data reveal that post-communist prime ministers range from politically inexperienced outsiders to insiders with long-standing careers in parliament, government, and party leadership. Their institutional, political, and economic contexts are more favourable in some countries and periods than in others. Some incumbents have performed rather poorly, while others have been very successful. Moreover, analyses of quantitative data and qualitative cases demonstrate that the variations in the careers, contexts, and performance of prime ministers are systematically connected. Their success particularly depends on their experience as party leaders, on the strength of their political allies in the executive and legislative arenas, and on favourable economic conditions. In this way, the book not only qualifies conventional assumptions about prime ministers in CEE but also substantiates the theoretical relationship between their careers, contexts, and performance. Prime Ministers in Central and Eastern Europe thus contributes to an enhanced understanding of the functioning of post-communist democracies and provides new insights for scholarly work engaging with political leadership.


Conclusion

February 2025

Prime ministers are the most powerful and visible politicians in established parliamentary democracies. But is this also true for post-communist Central and Eastern Europe (CEE)? Conventional wisdom suggests that prime ministers in CEE perform weakly because they lack political experience and operate in an extraordinarily difficult context, but this assumption has not been systematically examined. To close this research gap, this book presents a new approach to measuring prime-ministerial performance and offers a novel dataset of 131 cabinets in eleven CEE countries between 1990 and 2018. Comparative analyses of this data reveal that post-communist prime ministers range from politically inexperienced outsiders to insiders with long-standing careers in parliament, government, and party leadership. Their institutional, political, and economic contexts are more favourable in some countries and periods than in others. Some incumbents have performed rather poorly, while others have been very successful. Moreover, analyses of quantitative data and qualitative cases demonstrate that the variations in the careers, contexts, and performance of prime ministers are systematically connected. Their success particularly depends on their experience as party leaders, on the strength of their political allies in the executive and legislative arenas, and on favourable economic conditions. In this way, the book not only qualifies conventional assumptions about prime ministers in CEE but also substantiates the theoretical relationship between their careers, contexts, and performance. Prime Ministers in Central and Eastern Europe thus contributes to an enhanced understanding of the functioning of post-communist democracies and provides new insights for scholarly work engaging with political leadership.


Contextual Factors and Prime-Ministerial Performance

February 2025

·

1 Read

Prime ministers are the most powerful and visible politicians in established parliamentary democracies. But is this also true for post-communist Central and Eastern Europe (CEE)? Conventional wisdom suggests that prime ministers in CEE perform weakly because they lack political experience and operate in an extraordinarily difficult context, but this assumption has not been systematically examined. To close this research gap, this book presents a new approach to measuring prime-ministerial performance and offers a novel dataset of 131 cabinets in eleven CEE countries between 1990 and 2018. Comparative analyses of this data reveal that post-communist prime ministers range from politically inexperienced outsiders to insiders with long-standing careers in parliament, government, and party leadership. Their institutional, political, and economic contexts are more favourable in some countries and periods than in others. Some incumbents have performed rather poorly, while others have been very successful. Moreover, analyses of quantitative data and qualitative cases demonstrate that the variations in the careers, contexts, and performance of prime ministers are systematically connected. Their success particularly depends on their experience as party leaders, on the strength of their political allies in the executive and legislative arenas, and on favourable economic conditions. In this way, the book not only qualifies conventional assumptions about prime ministers in CEE but also substantiates the theoretical relationship between their careers, contexts, and performance. Prime Ministers in Central and Eastern Europe thus contributes to an enhanced understanding of the functioning of post-communist democracies and provides new insights for scholarly work engaging with political leadership.


COMPARATIVE POLITICS

February 2025

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7 Reads

Prime ministers are the most powerful and visible politicians in established parliamentary democracies. But is this also true for post-communist Central and Eastern Europe (CEE)? Conventional wisdom suggests that prime ministers in CEE perform weakly because they lack political experience and operate in an extraordinarily difficult context, but this assumption has not been systematically examined. To close this research gap, this book presents a new approach to measuring prime-ministerial performance and offers a novel dataset of 131 cabinets in eleven CEE countries between 1990 and 2018. Comparative analyses of this data reveal that post-communist prime ministers range from politically inexperienced outsiders to insiders with long-standing careers in parliament, government, and party leadership. Their institutional, political, and economic contexts are more favourable in some countries and periods than in others. Some incumbents have performed rather poorly, while others have been very successful. Moreover, analyses of quantitative data and qualitative cases demonstrate that the variations in the careers, contexts, and performance of prime ministers are systematically connected. Their success particularly depends on their experience as party leaders, on the strength of their political allies in the executive and legislative arenas, and on favourable economic conditions. In this way, the book not only qualifies conventional assumptions about prime ministers in CEE but also substantiates the theoretical relationship between their careers, contexts, and performance. Prime Ministers in Central and Eastern Europe thus contributes to an enhanced understanding of the functioning of post-communist democracies and provides new insights for scholarly work engaging with political leadership.


Political Careers and Prime-Ministerial Performance

February 2025

Prime ministers are the most powerful and visible politicians in established parliamentary democracies. But is this also true for post-communist Central and Eastern Europe (CEE)? Conventional wisdom suggests that prime ministers in CEE perform weakly because they lack political experience and operate in an extraordinarily difficult context, but this assumption has not been systematically examined. To close this research gap, this book presents a new approach to measuring prime-ministerial performance and offers a novel dataset of 131 cabinets in eleven CEE countries between 1990 and 2018. Comparative analyses of this data reveal that post-communist prime ministers range from politically inexperienced outsiders to insiders with long-standing careers in parliament, government, and party leadership. Their institutional, political, and economic contexts are more favourable in some countries and periods than in others. Some incumbents have performed rather poorly, while others have been very successful. Moreover, analyses of quantitative data and qualitative cases demonstrate that the variations in the careers, contexts, and performance of prime ministers are systematically connected. Their success particularly depends on their experience as party leaders, on the strength of their political allies in the executive and legislative arenas, and on favourable economic conditions. In this way, the book not only qualifies conventional assumptions about prime ministers in CEE but also substantiates the theoretical relationship between their careers, contexts, and performance. Prime Ministers in Central and Eastern Europe thus contributes to an enhanced understanding of the functioning of post-communist democracies and provides new insights for scholarly work engaging with political leadership.


Individual Characteristics: Social Background and Political Careers of Prime Ministers

February 2025

Prime ministers are the most powerful and visible politicians in established parliamentary democracies. But is this also true for post-communist Central and Eastern Europe (CEE)? Conventional wisdom suggests that prime ministers in CEE perform weakly because they lack political experience and operate in an extraordinarily difficult context, but this assumption has not been systematically examined. To close this research gap, this book presents a new approach to measuring prime-ministerial performance and offers a novel dataset of 131 cabinets in eleven CEE countries between 1990 and 2018. Comparative analyses of this data reveal that post-communist prime ministers range from politically inexperienced outsiders to insiders with long-standing careers in parliament, government, and party leadership. Their institutional, political, and economic contexts are more favourable in some countries and periods than in others. Some incumbents have performed rather poorly, while others have been very successful. Moreover, analyses of quantitative data and qualitative cases demonstrate that the variations in the careers, contexts, and performance of prime ministers are systematically connected. Their success particularly depends on their experience as party leaders, on the strength of their political allies in the executive and legislative arenas, and on favourable economic conditions. In this way, the book not only qualifies conventional assumptions about prime ministers in CEE but also substantiates the theoretical relationship between their careers, contexts, and performance. Prime Ministers in Central and Eastern Europe thus contributes to an enhanced understanding of the functioning of post-communist democracies and provides new insights for scholarly work engaging with political leadership.


Prime Ministers in Central and Eastern Europe: Exploring Careers, Context, and Performance

February 2025

Prime ministers are the most powerful and visible politicians in established parliamentary democracies. But is this also true for post-communist Central and Eastern Europe (CEE)? Conventional wisdom suggests that prime ministers in CEE perform weakly because they lack political experience and operate in an extraordinarily difficult context, but this assumption has not been systematically examined. To close this research gap, this book presents a new approach to measuring prime-ministerial performance and offers a novel dataset of 131 cabinets in eleven CEE countries between 1990 and 2018. Comparative analyses of this data reveal that post-communist prime ministers range from politically inexperienced outsiders to insiders with long-standing careers in parliament, government, and party leadership. Their institutional, political, and economic contexts are more favourable in some countries and periods than in others. Some incumbents have performed rather poorly, while others have been very successful. Moreover, analyses of quantitative data and qualitative cases demonstrate that the variations in the careers, contexts, and performance of prime ministers are systematically connected. Their success particularly depends on their experience as party leaders, on the strength of their political allies in the executive and legislative arenas, and on favourable economic conditions. In this way, the book not only qualifies conventional assumptions about prime ministers in CEE but also substantiates the theoretical relationship between their careers, contexts, and performance. Prime Ministers in Central and Eastern Europe thus contributes to an enhanced understanding of the functioning of post-communist democracies and provides new insights for scholarly work engaging with political leadership.


Citations (8)


... Considering that politicians' priorities shift from policy-seeking to vote-seeking gradually as elections approach, we expect that that politicians' claims-making -which groups they claim to represent -also changes from one election to the next. Recent studies on issue attention have found that during non-election routine periods, particularly in the early stages of the electoral cycle when politicians focus more on policy objectives (Poljak and Walter, 2023), they aim to engage with their own policy issues for as long as possible (Berz and Kroeber, 2023;Seeberg, 2022). ...

Reference:

Who Deserves Representation, and When? Unpacking the Temporal Dynamics of Politicians' Claims of Representation on Social Media
Walking the line: Electoral cycles and the shift in legislative priorities among German parliamentarians
  • Citing Article
  • June 2023

Electoral Studies

... Notwithstanding from the 2000s onwards, an increasing interest in exploring also executive careers emerged (e.g. Dowding and Dumond, 2009;Martocchia Diodati and Verzichelli, 2017;Müller-Rommel et al., 2022), even with a gender perspective (e.g. Jalalzai, 2008;Escobar-Lemmon and Taylor-Robinson, 2009;Krook and O'Brien, 2012;Beckwith, 2015;Beer and Camp, 2020), most works display a prominent national level perspective or a sort of nationalization bias. ...

Changing Career Experiences: Less Political, More Technical
  • Citing Chapter
  • June 2022

... Because party elites can use aspirants' characteristics to assess how likely they are to attract voters and represent their parties' interests if elected, party leaders tend to favour certain aspirant traits (for example , Rehmert 2022;Doherty, Dowling and Miller 2019;Berz and Jankowski 2022). Since the characteristics of their parties' full lists may also affect their parties' standing against rivals, party leaders are also likely to have preferences regarding their parties' list composition as a whole. ...

Local preferences in candidate selection. Evidence from a conjoint experiment among party leaders in Germany
  • Citing Article
  • January 2022

Party Politics

... Per codificare il prestigio e il genere dei portafogli di governo, seguiamo la classificazione dei portafogli di Krook e O'Brien (2012), utilizzata anche per creare la variabile prestigio di WhoGov. Inoltre, la forma di governo è codificata secondo Müller-Rommel et al. (2022). La Tabella 1 presenta una panoramica dei gabinetti studiati nella nostra analisi. ...

Prime Ministers in Europe: Changing Career Experiences and Profiles
  • Citing Book
  • Full-text available
  • June 2022

... Easton was also aware of the temporal challenges of converting output performance into political support (1965, 415ff.). 73 Grotz et al. 2021 eighty-five PMs who served in 129 cabinets to explore the influence of PMP on volatility in subsequent parliamentary elections (see Table A1 in the supplementary material). Since our hypotheses assume short-term and lagged effects, we explore volatility in eighty legislative periods immediately following a PM's tenure and in the legislative periods thereafter. ...

Career profiles and prime-ministerial performance in Central and Eastern European democracies

Comparative Political Studies

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Jan Berz

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Marko Kukec

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[...]

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... We also include several controls at the party and survey level. First, since voters tend to evaluate an incumbent government particularly based on the record of the Prime Minister and their party Dassonneville and Lewis-Beck 2019;Berz 2020), and considering these parties also tend to attack their partners less than junior partners, we include a dummy variable in the regression models that identifies the respective prime minister's party. Second, we include a variable capturing the number of years the exact coalition constellation has been in power since 1945, especially to account for the possible effect of voters' surprise or disappointment with new governing coalition compositions. ...

All the prime minister’s glory? Leader effects and accountability of prime ministers in parliamentary elections
  • Citing Article
  • March 2020

Politics

... The journal's core content has broadly followed the terrain first outlined by the editors in 1999 and is generally concerned with 'British Government & Institutions' (221 articles or 21% of content), 'International Relations, Development and Foreign Policy' (157, 18%), 'Elections, Public Opinion & Parties' (130, 13%), 'Political Economy' (119, 12%) and 'Governance & Public Policy' (117, 12%). Studies of the power of the prime minister (see, for example, Atkins and Gaffney, 2020;Foley, 2004;Heffernan, 2003), the political economy of globalisation (see, for example, Bruff, 2005;Callaghan, 2002;Hay, 2013), the meaning and emergence of processes of depoliticisation (see, for example, Buller and Flinders, 2005;Kettell and Kerr, 2022;Kuzemko, 2016;Warner, 2019;Wood, 2015), the analysis of New Labour (see, for example, Atkins, 2010;Bevir, 2000;Coates, 2013;Temple, 2000) and the interplay between elections, parties and Brexit (see, for example, Berz, 2020;Goodwin and Milazzo, 2017;Rone, 2023;van Kessel, 2020) provide just a few examples of topics where BJPIR has undoubtedly set new standards for world-class scholarship. ...

The effect of voters’ economic perception, Brexit and campaigns on the evaluation of party leaders over time
  • Citing Article
  • February 2020

British Journal of Politics & International Relations

... More recently, Bittner (2011) found voter perceptions of leader character traits influence vote choice in several states, while a recent comparative volume (Costa Lobo and Curtice, 2015: 247) concluded there is "very strong support for the importance of leader evaluations in the vote choices of electorates today." Meanwhile, Berz (2019) shows prime ministers in Central and Eastern European states greatly influence the vote. ...

Potent executives: the electoral strength of prime ministers in Central Eastern Europe
  • Citing Article
  • September 2019

East European Politics