November 2024
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Background Cardiovascular disease (CVD) morbidity and mortality is increasing in Africa, largely due to undiagnosed and untreated hypertension. Approaches that leverage existing primary health systems could improve hypertension treatment and reduce CVD, but cost-effectiveness is unknown. We evaluated the cost-effectiveness of population-level hypertension screening and implementation of chronic care clinics across eastern, southern, central, and western Africa. Methods We conducted a modelling study to simulate hypertension and CVD across 3000 scenarios representing a range of settings across eastern, southern, central, and western Africa. We evaluated two policies compared to current hypertension treatment: 1) expansion of HIV primary care clinics into chronic care clinics that provide hypertension treatment for all persons regardless of HIV status (chronic care clinic or CCC policy), and 2) CCC plus population-level hypertension screening of adults ≥40 years by community health workers (CHW policy). For our primary analysis, we used a cost-effectiveness threshold of US 69/DALY averted for CCC and $389/DALY averted adding CHW screening to CCC. Interpretation Leveraging existing healthcare infrastructure to implement population-level hypertension screening by CHWs and hypertension treatment through integrated chronic care clinics is expected to reduce CVD morbidity and mortality and is likely to be cost-effective in most settings across Africa.