James Ayieko’s research while affiliated with Infectious Diseases Research Collaboration and other places

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Publications (84)


Figure 2. Cost-effectiveness of hypertension treatment policies
Characteristics relating to hypertension in 3000 setting scenarios in 2015*
Hypertension care cascade and cardiovascular disease outcomes of hypertension policy scenarios over 50 years (2023-2073); Mean (90% range)
Cost-effectiveness of leveraging existing HIV primary health systems and community health workers for hypertension screening and treatment in Africa: an individual-based modelling study
  • Preprint
  • File available

November 2024

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36 Reads

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James Ayieko

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Andrew N Phillips

Background Cardiovascular disease (CVD) morbidity and mortality is increasing in Africa, largely due to undiagnosed and untreated hypertension. Approaches that leverage existing primary health systems could improve hypertension treatment and reduce CVD, but cost-effectiveness is unknown. We evaluated the cost-effectiveness of population-level hypertension screening and implementation of chronic care clinics across eastern, southern, central, and western Africa. Methods We conducted a modelling study to simulate hypertension and CVD across 3000 scenarios representing a range of settings across eastern, southern, central, and western Africa. We evaluated two policies compared to current hypertension treatment: 1) expansion of HIV primary care clinics into chronic care clinics that provide hypertension treatment for all persons regardless of HIV status (chronic care clinic or CCC policy), and 2) CCC plus population-level hypertension screening of adults ≥40 years by community health workers (CHW policy). For our primary analysis, we used a cost-effectiveness threshold of US 500perdisabilityadjustedlifeyear(DALY)averted,a3FindingsAmongadults4564years,CCCimplementationwouldimprovepopulationlevelhypertensioncontrol(theproportionofpeoplewithhypertensionwhosebloodpressureiscontrolled)frommean4500 per disability-adjusted life-year (DALY) averted, a 3% annual discount rate, and a 50-year time horizon. A strategy was considered cost-effective if it led to the lowest net DALYs, which is a measure of DALY burden that takes account of the DALY implications of the cost for a given cost-effectiveness threshold. Findings Among adults 45-64 years, CCC implementation would improve population-level hypertension control (the proportion of people with hypertension whose blood pressure is controlled) from mean 4% (90% range 1-7%) to 14% (6-26%); additional CHW screening would improve control to 44% (35-54%). Among all adults, CCC implementation would reduce ischemic heart disease (IHD) incidence by 10% (3-17%), strokes by 13% (5-23%), and CVD mortality by 9% (3-15%). CCC plus CHW screening would reduce IHD by 28% (19-36%), strokes by 36% (25-47%), and CVD mortality by 25% (17-34%). CHW screening was cost-effective in 62% of scenarios, CCC in 31%, and neither policy was cost-effective in 7% of scenarios. Pooling across setting-scenarios, incremental cost-effectiveness ratios were 69/DALY averted for CCC and $389/DALY averted adding CHW screening to CCC. Interpretation Leveraging existing healthcare infrastructure to implement population-level hypertension screening by CHWs and hypertension treatment through integrated chronic care clinics is expected to reduce CVD morbidity and mortality and is likely to be cost-effective in most settings across Africa.

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Figure 1. Timeline of ARV administration and research and clinical testing for HIV diagnosis, PK, and ARV resistance. 1. ARCHITECT HIV Ag/Ab Combo; signal to cutoff value ≥1.00 considered reactive. 2. Clinic #1: Hologic Aptima HIV Quant Dx Assay, LOQ 30 copies/mL; Clinic #2: COBAS AmpliPrep/COBAS TaqMan HIV-1 Test, version 2.0; LOQ (limit of quantitation) 20 copies/mL. 3. No result due to failed PCR amplification in the commercial HIV genotyping assay. 4. Q148R was detected at 8% frequency and A128T was detected at 4% frequency on separate genomes. Full genotype is presented in Table 1. 5. Day 42 SGS limited in sensitivity to detect resistance due to HIV-1 RNA 23 copies/mL and only 3 genomes sequenced. 6. Plasma CAB concentration on day 42 (14 days after second injection) was ∼20× PA-IC90 (well above 8× PA-IC90). Abbreviations: Ag/Ab, antigen/antibody; ART, antiretroviral therapy; ARV, antiretroviral; CAB, cabotegravir; CAB-LA, long-acting cabotegravir; DOR, doravirine; DRV/c/ FTC/TAF, darunavir/cobicistat/emtricitabine/tenofovir alafenamide; equiv, equivocal; FTC/TAF, emtricitabine/tenofovir alafenamide; INSTI, integrase strand transfer inhibitor; ND, not detected; NR, nonreactive; PK, pharmacokinetics; PrEP, pre-exposure prophylaxis; R, reactive; S/CO, signal to cutoff; SGS, single-genome sequencing.
First Case of HIV Seroconversion With Integrase Resistance Mutations on Long-Acting Cabotegravir for Prevention in Routine Care

August 2024

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36 Reads

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1 Citation

Open Forum Infectious Diseases

Background Long-acting cabotegravir (CAB-LA) is highly effective for HIV prevention, but delayed HIV diagnoses and INSTI resistance were observed in trials. We report the first case in routine clinical care of HIV infection on CAB-LA with INSTI resistance. Methods The SeroPrEP study enrolls individuals across the U.S. who acquire HIV on PrEP modalities to assess diagnostics, ARV drug levels, resistance, and treatment outcomes. Resistance mutations in full-length HIV-1 integrase were identified by single-genome sequencing (SGS). Cabotegravir concentrations in plasma and hair segments were measured by LC/MS/MS. Results A 23-year-old gender-nonbinary person, male at birth, restarted CAB-LA six months after discontinuation due to losing insurance. Prior to restart, HIV-1 RNA was not detected, but 20 days elapsed before CAB-LA injection. After the second CAB-LA injection, HIV antigen/antibody returned reactive, HIV-1 RNA 451 copies/mL. SGS of plasma HIV-1 RNA identified INSTI mutation Q148R in 2/24 sequences two days post-diagnosis; commercial genotype failed amplification. Cabotegravir hair concentration was 0.190 ng/mg two weeks pre-diagnosis; plasma cabotegravir was high (3.37 μg/mL; ∼20x PA-IC90) 14 days post-diagnosis. Viral suppression was maintained for 6 months on DRV/c/FTC/TAF, switched to DOR+FTC/TAF due to nausea. Conclusions In this first case of HIV infection on CAB-LA with INSTI resistance in routine care, cabotegravir resistance was detected only with a sensitive research assay. Accelerated pathways to minimize time between HIV testing and CAB-LA initiation are needed to optimize acute HIV detection and mitigate resistance risk. Sustained product access regardless of insurance is imperative to reduce HIV infections on CAB-LA.



Factors contributing to HIV prevention uptake and countervailing forces. ANC, antenatal care clinic; CHV/VHT, community health volunteer/village health team; HIVST, HIV self‐test; OPD, outpatient department; PEP, HIV post‐exposure prophylaxis; PrEP, HIV pre‐exposure prophylaxis.
Changes in choice of testing modality, HIV prevention product and service delivery location over time.
Client experiences with “Dynamic Choice Prevention,” a model for flexible patient‐centred HIV prevention delivery in rural Eastern Africa

July 2024

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9 Reads

Introduction Identifying the optimal approaches to offering HIV prevention to meet the needs of those at risk is a high priority, particularly given the expanding toolkit of biomedical HIV prevention options. An ongoing study in rural East African communities evaluated the uptake of choices in product, testing mode and location of care delivery through a structured patient‐centred HIV prevention delivery model. In this qualitative study, we sought to understand clients’ experiences of this “dynamic choice prevention model” (DCP) and highlight pathways of action to inform HIV prevention delivery models. Methods In‐depth semi‐structured interviews were conducted from November 2021 through March 2022 with a purposively selected sample of n = 56 participants in DCP trials (across outpatient departments, antenatal clinics and community settings), and n = 21 healthcare providers (total n = 77). A seven‐person multi‐regional team translated and inductively coded transcript data. We used a framework analysis approach to identify emergent themes. Results Individuals taking up HIV pre‐exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) reported feelings of relief, liberation from fears of acquiring HIV and satisfaction with being able to take action despite partners’ behaviours. Couples used a range of approaches afforded by the study to persuade partners to get tested and opt for PrEP. Post‐exposure prophylaxis (PEP) use was less common, although women welcomed it in the event of sexual coercion or assault. Participants discussed switching from PEP to PrEP after familiarizing themselves with usage and ascertaining ongoing risk. Participants felt respected by providers, trusted them and appreciated being able to contact them directly for telephone support. Prevention uptake was hindered by stigma, limited experience with and knowledge of prevention methods, gendered and generational power dynamics within intimate partnerships and families, and negative perceptions of methods due to the products themselves. Participants anticipated long‐acting injectable PrEP could solve their challenges regarding pill size, daily pill burden and the likelihood of unwanted disclosure. Conclusions Diverse preferences and barriers to uptake of prevention require a choice of HIV prevention options, locations and delivery modalities—but in addition, flexible, competent and friendly care provision is crucial to promote uptake. Helping clients feel valued, and addressing their unique needs and challenges, enables their agency to prioritize their health.


Illness Narratives Without the Illness: Biomedical HIV Prevention Narratives from East Africa

June 2024

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13 Reads

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1 Citation

Journal of Medical Humanities

Illness narratives invite practitioners to understand how biomedical and traditional health information is incorporated, integrated, or otherwise internalized into a patient’s own sense of self and social identity. Such narratives also reveal cultural values, underlying patterns in society, and the overall life context of the narrator. Most illness narratives have been examined from the perspective of European-derived genres and literary theory, even though theorists from other parts of the globe have developed locally relevant literary theories. Further, illness narratives typically examine only the experience of illness through acute or chronic suffering (and potential recovery). The advent of biomedical disease prevention methods like post- and pre-exposure prophylaxis (PEP and PrEP) for HIV, which require daily pill consumption or regular injections, complicates the notion of an illness narrative by including illness prevention in narrative accounts. This paper has two aims. First, we aim to rectify the Eurocentrism of existing illness narrative theory by incorporating insights from African literary theorists; second, we complicate the category by examining prevention narratives as a subset of illness narratives. We do this by investigating several narratives of HIV prevention from informants enrolled in an HIV prevention trial in Kenya and Uganda in 2022.


Thematic elements pertaining to treatment and prevention stratified by relationship.
Polygamously Married in-Depth Interview Participant and Provider Characteristics.
SEARCH Youth by Arm.
SEARCH Youth by Monogamy Versus Polygamy Status (Married Only).
SEARCH SAPPHIRE Baseline Characteristics by Cohort, According to Where They Received Care During Their Participation.
Clinical Implications of HIV Treatment and Prevention for Polygamous Families in Kenya and Uganda: “My Co-Wife Is the One Who Used to Encourage Me”

May 2024

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30 Reads

Journal of the International Association of Providers of AIDS Care

Polygamy is the practice of marriage to multiple partners. Approximately 6-11% of households in Uganda and 4-11% of households in Kenya are polygamous. The complex families produced by polygamous marriage customs give rise to additional considerations for healthcare providers and public health messaging around HIV care. Using 27 in-depth, semi-structured qualitative interviews with participants in two studies in rural Kenya and Uganda, we analysed challenges and opportunities that polygamous families presented in the diagnosis, treatment and prevention of HIV, and provider roles in improving HIV outcomes in these families. Overall, prevention methods seemed more justifiable to families where co-wives live far apart than when all members live in the same household. In treatment, diagnosis of one member did not always lead to disclosure to other members, creating an adverse home environment; but sometimes diagnosis of one wife led not only to diagnosis of the other, but also to greater household support.


Focus group distribution by community and participant numbers
Exploring HIV risk perception mechanisms among youth in a test-and-treat trial in Kenya and Uganda

May 2024

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31 Reads

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1 Citation

Understanding risk perception and risk-taking among youth can inform targeted prevention efforts. Using a health beliefs model-informed framework, we analysed 8 semi-structured, gender-specific focus group discussions with 93 youth 15–24 years old (48% male, 52% female), drawn from the SEARCH trial in rural Kenya and Uganda in 2017–2018, coinciding with the widespread introduction of PrEP. Highly connected social networks and widespread uptake of antiretrovirals shaped youth HIV risk perception. Amid conflicting information about HIV prevention methods, youth felt exposed to multiple HIV risk factors like the high prevalence of HIV, belief that people with HIV(PWH) purposefully infect others, dislike of condoms, and doubts about PrEP efficacy. Young women also reported minimal sexual autonomy in the context of economic disadvantages, the ubiquity of intergenerational and transactional sex, and peer pressure from other women to have many boyfriends. Young men likewise reported vulnerability to intergenerational sex, but also adopted a sexual conquest mentality. Comprehensive sexuality education and economic empowerment, through credible and trusted sources, may moderate risk-taking. Messaging should leverage youth’s social networks to spread fact-based, gender- and age-appropriate information. PrEP should be offered alongside other reproductive health services to address both pregnancy concerns and reduce HIV risk.


Citations (66)


... Since family medical decision-making sometimes includes in-laws, which we have discovered from both transcripts and ethnographic work, whether the mother-in-law is responsible for the daughter-in-law's medical decisions or not can be an important factor to consider in these contexts. 50 In this way, partner testing can also account for the different types of polygamous marriages (e.g., inherited, arranged, same compound, distant), and crucially, the personalities involvedsince some husbands are discerning and peaceable, and others are jealous and coercive. Similarly, some co-wives view one another as sisters, others as rivals. ...

Reference:

Clinical Implications of HIV Treatment and Prevention for Polygamous Families in Kenya and Uganda: “My Co-Wife Is the One Who Used to Encourage Me”
Illness Narratives Without the Illness: Biomedical HIV Prevention Narratives from East Africa

Journal of Medical Humanities

... [2][3][4][5][6][7] A study on HIV risk perceptions among youths aged 15-24 years in East Africa found that lack of disclosure of HIV status and inconsistent condom usage contribute to intentional HIV transmission. 8 Factors such as peer pressure, financial insecurity, and transactional sexual relationships exacerbate this issue. Young women often engage in risky sexual practices, owing to limited influence over their partners' decisions such as those regarding condom use. ...

Exploring HIV risk perception mechanisms among youth in a test-and-treat trial in Kenya and Uganda

... Similarly, in HIV prevention, the anticipation is that providing more PrEP options will lead to better choice and enhanced protection for all people [4]. Results of the SEARCH Dynamic Choice study support this, showing that options for HIV prevention increased coverage greatly and reduced HIV incidence [31]. The addition of novel options like the Dapivirine vaginal ring and injections (e.g., long-acting cabotegravir and longacting lenacapavir [32,33]) to the HIV prevention product mix, thus, raises important questions around how to successfully support end-users in uptake of and adherence to these various HIV prevention methods when they become available. ...

Randomized Trial of Dynamic Choice HIV Prevention at Antenatal and Postnatal Care Clinics in Rural Uganda and Kenya

JAIDS Journal of Acquired Immune Deficiency Syndromes

... Some studies have previously assessed the impact of expanded initiation CD4 count 374 eligibility on new ART initiations, advanced HIV disease and TB disease burden among 375 people initiating and receiving ART from routine care settings. [9,[14][15][16]18] Results from a 376 cohort study among adult participants in the rural Hlabisa HIV treatment programme in 377 ...

Community-Wide Universal Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV) Test and Treat Intervention Reduces Tuberculosis Transmission in Rural Uganda: A Cluster-Randomized Trial

Clinical Infectious Diseases

... Most interventions were delivered in-person (n = 32). Five interventions were delivered using a combination of in-person sessions and digital means [84,85,90,93,99]. One intervention was delivered using a provider-facing mobile health app [100] (Table 2). ...

Effect of a brief alcohol counselling intervention on HIV viral suppression and alcohol use among persons with HIV and unhealthy alcohol use in Uganda and Kenya: a randomized controlled trial
  • Citing Article
  • December 2023

... Patient-centered care is a promising solution to challenges around care engagement with tailored interventions to improve outcomes along the entire care cascade. Patient-centered interventions aimed at adolescents, youth and mobile populations have led to improvement in viral suppression as well as mental health in these vulnerable groups [11][12][13]. ...

Randomized Trial of a "Dynamic Choice" Patient-Centered Care Intervention for Mobile Persons With HIV in East Africa
  • Citing Article
  • December 2023

JAIDS Journal of Acquired Immune Deficiency Syndromes

... Recent data from the SEARCH trial in Uganda and Kenya indicate that providing individuals with choices (e.g., service location) can increase PrEP coverage. 38 While that study did not report on sexual orientation and likely included few MSM or FSW, our data suggest that offering options for PrEP care would be well received by key populations in SSA. ...

A community-based dynamic choice model for HIV prevention improves PrEP and PEP coverage in rural Uganda and Kenya: a cluster randomized trial
  • Citing Article
  • December 2023

... Other factors which contributed to non-disclosure of ART histories included stigma, clinic waiting times, verifying a previous test result, and being denied treatment because of not having transfer letters leading to buying medications on the black market. Some of these factors are consistent with reasons given for transferring care from one health facility to another among HIV clients who were attending HIV clinics in Kenya [8], as well as those given by PWH who disengaged but later resumed care at a health facility in KZN [9]. During an interview with one of the participants who admitted to buying ART on the black market, he explained how he got acquainted with his supplier, and that was through a conversation he had with him about his struggles to get ART after relocating through work without a transfer letter. ...

Improving care engagement for mobile people living with HIV in rural western Kenya

... The study offered choice of HIV prevention product (PrEP or PEP), service location (clinic or home visits), and HIV testing modality. Throughout three SAPPHIRE studies in different service delivery locations (antenatal care, outpatient departments, and via community health worker), a greater proportion of participants used oral PrEP compared to those in control communities [54][55][56]. Within the community health worker study, selection of PrEP increased from 40 to 48% during the study, while PEP selection declined from 46 to 24% [55]. In the other service delivery locations, only 10-15% of participants ever chose PEP [54,56]. ...

Dynamic choice HIV prevention intervention at outpatient departments in rural Kenya and Uganda: a randomized trial
  • Citing Article
  • October 2023

AIDS (London, England)

... As a result, a youth advocate presented at the Tanzania Commission for AIDS sub-group on adolescent and gender in reproductive health and continues to represent the alliance at relevant meetings and conferences. Members of AYISA have also presented their pilot work at local and international conferences, with one published in a peer-reviewed journal (9) and others at various stages of development. ...

Navigating antiretroviral adherence in boarding secondary schools in Nairobi, Kenya: A qualitative study of adolescents living with HIV, their caregivers and school nurses