J.R. Beddington’s research while affiliated with University of Oxford and other places

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Publications (83)


A ‘net zero’ equivalent target is needed to transform food systems
  • Article

December 2021

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121 Reads

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10 Citations

Nature Food

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John Beddington

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Sandy M. Thomas

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[...]

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Webb et al (2020) Urgency of Food System Transformation (Nature Food)

September 2020

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529 Reads

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155 Citations

Nature Food

The nature and gravity of challenges linking agriculture and food value chains to diets, health and planetary ecosystems can no longer be ignored — the case for fundamental transformation of food systems is now irrefutable. Achieving transformation will require a major shift in mindsets — especially regarding possible futures versus the status quo, and roles and responsibilities of public sector actors versus businesses in shaping dietary demand. Food systems contribute to economic prosperity, human health, and planetary health, and getting all three right matters. They are interlinked, exerting considerable influence on each other. There is no single dietary pattern or food system that can or should be imposed globally, recognizing that foods are not just commodities but a key underpinning of local cultures, nutrition, livelihoods, and the shaping of landscapes.



Beyond Climate-Smart Agriculture: Toward Safe Operating Spaces for Global Food Systems
  • Article
  • Full-text available

August 2013

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950 Reads

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270 Citations

Agriculture & Food Security

Agriculture is considered to be "climate-smart" when it contributes to increasing food security, adaptation and mitigation in a sustainable way. This new concept now dominates current discussions in agricultural development because of its capacity to unite the agendas of the agriculture, development and climate change communities under one brand. In this opinion piece authored by scientists from a variety of international agricultural and climate research communities, we argue that the concept needs to be evaluated critically because the relationship between the three dimensions is poorly understood, such that practically any improved agricultural practice can be considered climate-smart. This lack of clarity may have contributed to the broad appeal of the concept. From the understanding that we must hold ourselves accountable to demonstrably better meet human needs in the short and long term within foreseeable local and planetary limits, we develop a conceptualization of climate-smart agriculture as agriculture that can be shown to bring us closer to safe operating spaces for agricultural and food systems across spatial and temporal scales. Improvements in the management of agricultural systems that bring us significantly closer to safe operating spaces will require transformations in governance and use of our natural resources, underpinned by enabling political, social and economic conditions beyond incremental changes. Establishing scientifically credible indicators and metrics of long-term safe operating spaces in the context of a changing climate and growing social-ecological challenges is critical to creating the societal demand and political will required to motivate deep transformations. Answering questions on how the needed transformational change can be achieved will require actively setting and testing hypotheses to refine and characterize our concepts of safer spaces for social-ecological systems across scales. This effort will demand prioritizing key areas of innovation, such as (1) improved adaptive management and governance of social-ecological systems; (2) development of meaningful and relevant integrated indicators of social-ecological systems; (3) gathering of quality integrated data, information, knowledge and analytical tools for improved models and scenarios in time frames and at scales relevant for decision-making; and (4) establishment of legitimate and empowered science policy dialogues on local to international scales to facilitate decision making informed by metrics and indicators of safe operating spaces. Introduction: history of the concept of climate-smart agriculture

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Figure 1: Effects of the Copenhagen Accord on global average temperature through the 21 stcentury 25.
Figure 2: A safe operating space for interconnected food and climate systems                22
The role for scientists in tackling food insecurity and climate change

July 2012

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1,371 Reads

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142 Citations

Agriculture & Food Security

To adapt to climate change and ensure food security, major interventions are required to transform current patterns and practices of food production, distribution and consumption. The scientific community has an essential role to play in informing concurrent, strategic investments to establish climate-resilient agricultural production systems, minimize greenhouse gas emissions, make efficient use of resources, develop low-waste supply chains, ensure adequate nutrition, encourage healthy eating choices and develop a global knowledge system for sustainability. This paper outlines scientific contributions that will be essential to the seven policy recommendations for achieving food security in the context of climate change put forward by the Commission on Sustainable Agriculture and Climate Change. These include improved understanding of agriculture’s vulnerability to climate change, food price dynamics, food waste and consumption patterns and monitoring technologies as well as multidisciplinary investigation of regionally appropriate responses to climate change and food security challenges.


What Next for Agriculture After Durban?

January 2012

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1,501 Reads

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187 Citations

Science

Global agriculture must produce more food to feed a growing population. Yet scientific assessments point to climate change as a growing threat to agricultural yields and food security. Recent droughts and floods in the Horn of Africa, Russia, Pakistan, and Australia affected food production and prices. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change predicts that the frequency of such extreme weather events will increase, which, when combined with poverty, weak governance, conflict, and poor market access, can result in hunger and famine. At the same time, agriculture exacerbates climate change when greenhouse gases (GHGs) are released by land clearing, inappropriate fertilizer use, and other practices.





Citations (78)


... Clans are likely to leave their home ranges only when exposed to severe stress like extreme droughts, severe poaching, overpopulation, severe human disturbance or when the habitat within a home range is lost or highly degraded (Milner-Gulland and Beddington, 1993). The entire clan or a part of it may break away and wander in search of better habitat; and such movement is an indication that there are serious problems (Milner-Gulland and Beddington, 1993). ...

Reference:

Spatial and temporal patterns of elephant mortality in Narok County, Kenya
The relative effects of hunting and habitat destruction on elephant population dynamics over time

Pachyderm

... Time delays have long been recognized as a key factor shaping population dynamics [41][42][43][44]. They arise not only from the coarse-graining of hidden degrees of freedom, as we show here, but also from ecological processes such as maturation times [44,45], resource depletion and renewal cycles [46], seasonality [47], various metabolic processes [48], and predator-prey interactions with intrinsic lags [49]. Despite enduring interest in non-linear time-delayed systems, most theoretical advances have been confined to low-dimensional models [44,46,50]. ...

Theoretical Ecology: Principles and Applications
  • Citing Article
  • February 2007

... Concurrently, there is a need to improve market infrastructure and supply chains, facilitating the accessibility of a wide range of nutritious foods in the market (Fan et al., 2021b). This emphasis should particularly encompass fruits, vegetables, and legumes (Benton et al., 2021). ...

A ‘net zero’ equivalent target is needed to transform food systems
  • Citing Article
  • December 2021

Nature Food

... Current global food systems are unsustainable, both undermining their ecological foundation and failing to provide sufficiently nutritious food for all. High-level scientific assessments and policy frameworks call for transformative changes to improve food security and environmental sustainability (von Braun et al., 2021a;Rockström et al., 2020;Mbow et al., 2019;IPBES, 2019;Webb et al., 2020;Schneider et al., 2023). Food system frameworks linking production, processing, distribution, consumption, and regeneration -and related outcomes and feedbacks -have gained significant traction both in the scientific literature and food policy over the past decade (Fanzo et al., 2017;von Braun et al., 2021b) (Figure 1). ...

Webb et al (2020) Urgency of Food System Transformation (Nature Food)
  • Citing Article
  • September 2020

Nature Food

... Understanding the life history of commercially exploited fish stocks is essential to assess the impact of biomass removal from fisheries and establishing fishery management measures (Adams, 1980;Dowling et al., 2015;Kirkwood et al., 1994;Pope et al., 2000). The development of any harvest strategy depends on assessing the stock status and population dynamics, which depends on data availability (Dowling et al., 2015). ...

Harvesting species of different lifespans
  • Citing Article
  • January 1994

... However, different sectors have traditionally been responsible for delivering on individual aspects of food systems. For example, the effective utilization of nutrient content is the remit of health sectors, while agriculture has focussed on increasing production, with investment in agriculture largely focussed on staple crops and oil crops, rather than on commodities rich in micronutrients (Haddad et al., 2016). This focus on individual aspects was the genesis of the "sectors" concept to specifically manage particular focus areas (Degeling, 1995). ...

A new global research agenda for food
  • Citing Article
  • December 2016

Nature

... The educational game used in the current study was developed to assess and train fraction magnitude understanding. Generally, deficits in such basic numerical competencies have critical drawbacks not only on a developmental but also societal level [44]. It is therefore crucial to establish and maintain numerical competencies across age. ...

The Mental Wealth of Nations

... VPA per se is of no use in predicting into the future. It is essentially a method for reconstructing historical abundance (Beddington and Cooke, 1984), which is very helpful for understanding the population dynamics of stock. Here, the VPA results were used for a comparison and as basic data for our modified production model. ...

Estimating the response of population to exploitation from catch and effort data
  • Citing Chapter
  • January 1984

... As we know, the Convention on the Conservation of Antarctic Marine Living Resources (CCAMLR) endorsed the ecosystem approach to the management of the entire Southern Ocean. This approach is in contrast to other conventions on fisheries such as the IWC, Northwest Atlantic Fisheries Organization (NAFO), or International Commission for South East Atlantic Fisheries (ICSEAF), where the aim of the convention is a sustainable yield of the target species and the welfare of the industry dependent upon it [28,29]. CCAMLR is based upon the conviction and understanding that the waters surrounding the Antarctic continent form a distinct marine region. ...

CCAMLR: The Practical Implications of an Eco-System Approach
  • Citing Chapter
  • January 1991

... As noted elsewhere (May andBeddington 1981, Coughenour 1991), concepts of patch dynamics in predator-prey interactions are relevant to interactions between large herbivores and plants. A number of theoretical and experimental studies have shown that predator-prey systems are stabilized by movements of predators among patches of prey (Huffaker 1958, Hilborn 1975, Gurney and Nisbet 1978, Abrams 2000. ...

NOTES ON SOME TOPICS IN THEORETICAL ECOLOGY, IN RELATION TO THE MANAGEMENT OF LOCALLY ABUNDANT POPULATIONS OF MAMMALS
  • Citing Chapter
  • December 1981