J. M. Keynes’s research while affiliated with Cambridge College and other places

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Publications (99)


A treatise on money: the pure theory of money
  • Chapter

September 2024

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2 Reads

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41 Citations

J. M. Keynes






Economic Possibilities for Our Grandchildren (Afterword by D. Shestakov)

June 2009

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12 Reads

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23 Citations

Voprosy Ekonomiki

The article written by the classic of economic science in the years of the Great Depression, which is published in Russian for the first time, contains an overview of economic growth through the history of mankind. Keynes points at the key factors of economic growth and argues that due to increase in the standard of life between four and eight times in the next 100 years the mankind will be able to escape from the necessity to work. He also speculates on the way moral norms will change in the future society.



Professor Tinbergen’s Method

April 2007

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279 Reads

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68 Citations

Voprosy Ekonomiki

The article written by the classic of economic science in 1939, which is published in Russian for the first time, contains a critique of the application of econometric methods in economics. The object of criticism is one of the first large-scale econometric studies - the book by J. Tinbergen on business cycles. Keynes points at the arbitrariness of many econometric judgments, at the problems of causality and forecast in econometrics. He also mentions that a lot of economic problems cannot be analyzed by means of econometric technique.



Citations (54)


... Contudo, o economista John Maynard Keynes (1930) Considerando a hipótese de que um determinado agente econômico realize a compra de um Bitcoin através de uma corretora, este adquirirá a propriedade efetiva da criptomoeda, podendo mantê-la custodiada na própria corretora ou transferi-la para uma wallet (carteira digital de criptomoedas) sob seu controle exclusivo (Antonopoulos, 2016). ...

Reference:

O IBS E A REFORMA TRIBUTÁRIA: UMA ANÁLISE DO IMPOSTO ÚNICO FRENTE ÀS OPERAÇÕES ENVOLVENDO O BITCOIN
A treatise on money: the pure theory of money
  • Citing Chapter
  • September 2024

... The government claimed that demonetization will end cross-border terrorism from Pakistan (Modi, 2016) and will hugely benefit the economy in the long run. But the former Prime Minister of India and economist Dr. Singh said that demonetization would cost India's economy a loss of approximately 1-2% of the GDP (Agarwala, 2017) and went on to quote J.M. Keynes that "in the long run we all are dead" (Keynes, 1924) while opposing Niti Ayog Chairman A. Panagariya's defensive claim that demonetization will help a country's economy in the long run (Economic Times, 2016). It did fall by 2% two years later, which was found in a US-based study by IMF Chief Gita Gopinath and her colleagues (Chodorow-Reich, Gopinath, Mishra and Narayanan, 2019). ...

A Tract on Monetary Reform
  • Citing Book
  • January 1971

... The concept "resilience" was originally formulated by Skyrms (1977Skyrms ( , 1980. The motivation for introducing it goes back to Peirce (1931) and Keynes (1921), both of whom complain that a single probabilistic measure does not reflect evidential strength and so propose to add a second, wholly distinct value to credal states. Skyrms points out that the conditional probabilities already included in the Bayesian probability distribution could do the work. ...

A Treatise on Probability
  • Citing Book
  • January 1973

... En fait ce qu'on exclut, c'est la possibilité d'une substitution entre monnaie et marchandise, donc l'idée même qu'une variation de la quantité de monnaie affecte la demande excédentaire de biens. Keynes (1973Keynes ( [1939 : xxxv) soutient, dans la préface qu'il rédigea pour l'édition française de la Théorie Générale, qu'une théorie qui repose sur la loi des débouchés « est clairement incapable de s'attaquer aux problèmes du chômage et du cycle des affaires ». Pourtant Say, s'il n'a pas élaboré une théorie du cycle, a cherché à rendre compte des crises qu'il observait. ...

Preface to the French Edition
  • Citing Chapter
  • April 1978

... Modern technology undoubtedly contributes to faster economic growth (Keynes J.M., 2009;Keynes J.M., 2013;Schwab K., 2016); increased productivity and global competitiveness (Avdeeva I.L., et al., 2019); increased competition in the digital sector, e-commerce and online business, as well as increased opportunities to increase added value; increased the welfare and quality of life of the population; reduced of public spending on the social sphere through the spread of telemedicine, online education (Odegov Yu.G., et al., 2018: 61). At the same time, along with the positive characteristics, scientists note the negative impact of digitalization. ...

Economic Possibilities for Our Grandchildren (Afterword by D. Shestakov)
  • Citing Article
  • June 2009

Voprosy Ekonomiki

... […] szczęście gospodarcze będzie zależało od czterech czynników: naszej umiejętności kontrolowania liczebności populacji, naszej determinacji do unikania wojen i sporów społecznych, naszej chęci powierzenia nauce kierunku tych spraw, które są właściwie przedmiotem troski nauki oraz tempa akumulacji określanego przez różnicę między naszą produkcją a konsumpcją" [Keynes, 1963]. ...

Essays in Persuasion
  • Citing Book
  • January 1972

... Another aspect of the neoliberal political regime in India since 1991 is the introduction of mass income deflationary policies, or what Keynes (1971a) called "profit inflation" (a term coined by Keynes in 1930 and used extensively in his later writings to describe the financing of wartime expenditure by reducing mass consumption), which have undermined the pursuit of distributive justice. 9 In its essence, neoliberalism in India was not a project of economic growth but a redistribution of means of production and wealth in favor of corporate and financial elites. ...

A Treatise on Money
  • Citing Book
  • January 1971

... The controversy between John M. Keynes and Jan Tinbergen on the role of the econometric method to test economic theory continues to be of utmost importance for understanding not only the historical evolution of econometrics, but also some of the fundamental methodological discussions in economics. 1 Even after Keynes's (1939) explicit recognition of the rigorous and pioneering nature of Tinbergen's work, Statistical Testing of Business-Cycle Theories, a general impression remained among economists and historians of economics, suggesting that his critique was not only ruthlessly destructive but also uninformed (Morgan, 1990). And so, the relevance of Keynes's claims is attenuated, and his critique is sometimes dismissed as one in which "Dear Old Maynard," overwhelmed by the mathematical and statistical sophistication of the new approaches, would just be grumping about the methods of the younger economists. ...

Professor Tinbergen’s Method
  • Citing Article
  • April 2007

Voprosy Ekonomiki

... Apesar de não ser tão evidente a utilização por parte do autor da TCC em seus primeiros anos como especulador na bolsa (temporalmente definidos entre 1910 a 1930) 5 , foi possível identificar alguns elementos dentro de seu debate com Robertson, que indicam a observância dos mesmos pressupostos que constituem a TCC em sua atuação como investidor nos mercados de commodities. Keynes, para analisar e definir o comportamento do ciclo de crédito, atinha-se a: i) um conjunto de informações de companhias, bancos e seguradoras e; ii) dos movimentos das taxas de juros, dos níveis de preços e o otimismo especulativo dos investidores durante as altas e baixas dos ciclos de negócios (Keynes, 1978a(Keynes, , 1978c. ...

Some Special Aspects of the Credit Cycle
  • Citing Chapter
  • January 1971

... We separate all economic transactions into GDP-relevant transactions (e.g., paying wages) and transactions that do not affect GDP (e.g., purchasing an existing house). It should be recalled that already Keynes (1978) distinguished between an industrial and purely financial circuit and that Schumpeter (1954) separated productive from speculative finance. More recently, Bezemer (2014), Bofinger et al. (2021) and Werner (1997) showed the importance of separating finance that is more or less relevant for GDP. ...

The Industrial Circulation and the Financial Circulation
  • Citing Chapter
  • January 1971