Huizhi Gao's research while affiliated with The University of Hong Kong and other places

Publications (15)

Article
Full-text available
Background Many countries/regions implemented strict border measures (e.g., 14-day quarantines) as a blanket policy to prevent COVID-19 importations, while proposed “travel bubbles” as an alternative to reduce the impact of border controls. We aim to examine the differential importation risks with departure origins and post-arrival controls. Metho...
Preprint
Full-text available
Community-wide social distancing has been a cornerstone of pandemic control prior to mass vaccinations. The extent to which pandemic fatigue is undermining adherence to such measures and accelerating transmission remains unclear. Using large-scale weekly telephone surveys and mobility data, we characterize the evolution of risk perception and prote...
Article
Full-text available
Background Estimates of the serial interval distribution contribute to our understanding of the transmission dynamics of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). Here, we aimed to summarize the existing evidence on serial interval distributions and delays in case isolation for COVID-19. Methods We conducted a systematic review of the published literat...
Preprint
Full-text available
Background: Testing of an entire community has been used as an approach to control COVID-19. In Hong Kong, a universal community testing programme (UCTP) was implemented at the fadeout phase of a community epidemic in July to September 2020, to determine the prevalence of unrecognised cases and limit any remaining transmission chains. We described...
Article
Background Disparities were marked in previous pandemics, usually with higher attack rates reported for those in lower socioeconomic positions and for ethnic minorities. Methods We examined characteristics of laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 cases in Hong Kong, assessed associations between incidence and population-level characteristics at the level...
Article
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Objective: To explore and compare the age, source and future risk of COVID-19 infection in Hong Kong SAR China and Singapore as of March 5, 2020. Results: We find significant difference in age patterns of confirmed cases in these 2 localities early in the pandemic. Conclusion: We highlight the potential importance of population age structure i...
Article
Full-text available
Objective The COVID-19 outbreak in Wuhan, Hubei, China, followed the seasonal influenza epidemic. Since some COVID-19 cases may have been misdiagnosed as seasonal influenza in January 2020, before testing capacity was adequate, it is relevant to study the proportions of influenza and COVID-19 cases among influenza-like-illness (ILI) patients and th...
Article
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We report key epidemiologic parameter estimates for coronavirus disease identified in peer-reviewed publications, preprint articles, and online reports. Range estimates for incubation period were 1.8-6.9 days, serial interval 4.0-7.5 days, and doubling time 2.3-7.4 days. The effective reproductive number varied widely, with reductions attributable...
Preprint
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Background: Hong Kong was one of the first locations outside of mainland China to identify COVID-19 cases in January 2020. We assessed the impact of various public health measures on transmission. Methods: We analysed data on all COVID-19 cases and public health measures in Hong Kong up to 7 May 2020. We described case-based, travel-based and commu...
Article
Full-text available
Influenza virus infections are believed to spread mostly by close contact in the community. Social distancing measures are essential components of the public health response to influenza pandemics. The objective of these mitigation measures is to reduce transmission, thereby delaying the epidemic peak, reducing the size of the epidemic peak, and sp...
Article
Full-text available
International travel-related nonpharmaceutical interventions (NPIs), which can include traveler screening, travel restrictions, and border closures, often are included in national influenza pandemic preparedness plans. We performed systematic reviews to identify evidence for their effectiveness. We found 15 studies in total. Some studies reported t...
Article
Full-text available
There were 3 influenza pandemics in the 20th century, and there has been 1 so far in the 21st century. Local, national, and international health authorities regularly update their plans for mitigating the next influenza pandemic in light of the latest available evidence on the effectiveness of various control measures in reducing transmission. Here...
Preprint
Full-text available
Objective To compare the age, source of and future risk of infection in Hong Kong SAR China and Singapore by March 5, 2020. Results We find significant difference in age patterns of confirmed cases in these two localities and highlight the potential importance of population age structure in confirmed cases, which should be considered in evaluation...

Citations

... While efficacy (performance in controlled or ideal conditions) and effectiveness (performance in usual or realworld conditions) are not synonymous [450,509], a large consensus and a growing body of literature have moved forward the uptake of community masking as part of comprehensive NPI bundles or "policy packages" aimed at preventing infections caused by respiratory viruses including SARS-CoV-2 [55,58,261,262,295,464,508,[510][511][512][513][514][515][516]. Importantly, a fact undergirding community mask wearing during the pandemic is the risk of transmission, not only from symptomatic individuals, but also from presymptomatic and asymptomatic individuals (discussed in section 3). ...
... In this context, Benjamin Cowling and colleagues [9] provide a timely methodological contribution. Their study seeks to determine whether it is possible to assess the transmission risk of international arrivals, based on source country, as the basis of screening travellers for admission. ...
... Social distancing in the context of pandemics relate to steps taken to initiate a "social contact network-focused mitigation " to offer protection against the spread of a disease in the absence or shortage of medical means to control it ( [33] , p.1671) .The purpose of such social distancing currently is to "to reduce transmission, thereby delaying the epidemic peak, reducing the size of the epidemic peak, and spreading cases over a longer time to relieve pressure on the healthcare system " ( [28] , p. 976). ...
... accessed on 10 May 2021). All recorded cases of infection were laboratory-and clinical-confirmed via nasopharyngeal swab and PCR with reverse transcription (RT-PCR) [17]. The data depict the details of the confirmed cases that are related to individual patients, comprising case number, reported and onset dates, case classification, and other demographic information. ...
... The COVID-19 pandemic has called for an unprecedented interest of modelers for epidemic dynamics both per-se, to investigate the direct epidemiological consequences of the pandemic and related mitigation measures, and also to investigate its broader implications on society. This has led to an endless number 55 of papers and preprints of which we quote here only a few focusing on COVID-19 epidemiological modeling [2,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17,18,19,20,21]. Most of the cited investigations have resorted to simulation. ...
... Although government stimulus packages provide some relief for firms that are severely affected (Foo et al., 2020), the capacity for recovery of the tourism system is fundamentally affected by the imposition of nonpharmaceutical interventions (e.g. quarantine, border control) because of the extent to which they restrict mobility (Ryu et al., 2020). This argument indicates that public health interventions might delay the recovery of the tourism industry, a view also shared by Hall et al. (2020) and Gossling et al. (2020). ...
... Since 25 March 2020, non-Hong Kong residents from overseas were prohibited from entering Hong Kong. Those permitted to travel were required to undertake 14 days home/hotel quarantine and were tested on arrival (day 0) and day 12 of their quarantine period [10] . Individuals who reported symptoms during quarantine were arranged to have additional testing during the quarantine period. ...
... Adding to existing literature (2)(3)(4)(5), our study indicates that community vulnerability is dynamic, changing with the evolution of the pandemic. In waves 1 and 2, COVID-19 cases were mainly imported cases, including those infecting students and domestic helpers returning from overseas, as well as business travelers (12). These cases were found mainly within more socially privileged families and thereby an inverse association between socioeconomic status and case counts was seen. ...