Huiling Le’s research while affiliated with University of Nottingham and other places

Empirical Likelihood (EL) is a type of nonparametric likelihood that is useful in many statistical inference problems, including confidence region construction and k-sample problems. It enjoys some remarkable theoretical properties, notably Bartlett correctability. One area where EL has potential but is under-developed is in non-Euclidean statistics where the Fr\'echet mean is the population characteristic of interest. Only recently has a general EL method been proposed for smooth manifolds. In this work, we continue progress in this direction and develop an EL method for the Fr\'echet mean on a stratified metric space that is not a manifold: the open book, obtained by gluing copies of a Euclidean space along their common boundaries. The structure of an open book captures the essential behaviour of the Fr\'echet mean around certain singular regions of more general stratified spaces for complex data objects, and relates intimately to the local geometry of non-binary trees in the well-studied phylogenetic treespace. We derive a version of Wilks' theorem for the EL statistic, and elucidate on the delicate interplay between the asymptotic distribution and topology of the neighbourhood around the population Fr\'echet mean. We then present a bootstrap calibration of the EL, which proves that under mild conditions, bootstrap calibration of EL confidence regions have coverage error of size $O(n^{-2})$ rather than $O(n^{-1})$.

We prove a central limit theorem (CLT) for the Fréchet mean of independent and identically distributed observations in a compact Riemannian manifold assuming that the population Fréchet mean is unique. Previous general CLT results in this setting have assumed that the cut locus of the Fréchet mean lies outside the support of the population distribution. In this paper we present a CLT under some mild technical conditions on the manifold plus the following assumption on the population distribution: in a neighbourhood of the cut locus of the population Fréchet mean, the population distribution is absolutely continuous with respect to the volume measure on the manifold and in this neighhbourhood the Radon–Nikodym derivative has a version that is continuous. So far as we are aware, the CLT given here is the first which allows the cut locus to have co-dimension one or two when it is included in the support of the distribution. A key part of the proof is establishing an asymptotic approximation for the parallel transport of a certain vector field. Whether or not a non-standard term arises in the CLT depends on whether the co-dimension of the cut locus is one or greater than one: in the former case a non-standard term appears but not in the latter case. This is the first paper to give a general and explicit expression for the non-standard term which arises when the co-dimension of the cut locus is one.

We prove a central limit theorem (CLT) for the Frechet mean of independent and identically distributed observations in a compact Riemannian manifold assuming that the population Frechet mean is unique. Previous general CLT results in this setting have assumed that the cut locus of the Frechet mean lies outside the support of the population distribution. So far as we are aware, the CLT in the present paper is the first which allows the cut locus to have co-dimension one or two when it is included in the support of the distribution. A key part of the proof is establishing an asymptotic approximation for the parallel transport of a certain vector field. Whether or not a non-standard term arises in the CLT depends on whether the co-dimension of the cut locus is one or greater than one: in the former case a non-standard term appears but not in the latter case. This is the first paper to give a general and explicit expression for the non-standard term which arises when the co-dimension of the cut locus is one.

We detail an approach to develop Stein's method for bounding integral metrics on probability measures defined on a Riemannian manifold $\mathbf{M}$. Our approach exploits the relationship between the generator of a diffusion on $\mathbf{M}$ with target invariant measure and its characterising Stein operator. We consider a pair of such diffusions with different starting points, and investigate properties of solution to the Stein equation based on analysis of the distance process between the pair. Several examples elucidating the role of geometry of $\mathbf{M}$ in these developments are presented.

Molecular dynamics simulations produce huge datasets of temporal sequences of molecules. It is of interest to summarize the shape evolution of the molecules in a succinct, low-dimensional representation. However, Euclidean techniques such as principal components analysis (PCA) can be problematic as the data may lie far from in a flat manifold. Principal nested spheres gives a fundamentally different decomposition of data from the usual Euclidean sub-space based PCA (Jung, Dryden and Marron, 2012, Biometrika). Sub-spaces of successively lower dimension are fitted to the data in a backwards manner, with the aim of retaining signal and dispensing with noise at each stage. We adapt the methodology to 3D sub-shape spaces and provide some practical fitting algorithms. The methodology is applied to cluster analysis of peptides, where different states of the molecules can be identified. Also, the temporal transitions between cluster states are explored.

Statistical analysis of dynamic systems, such as videos and dynamic functional connectivity, is often translated into a problem of analyzing trajectories of relevant features, particularly covariance matrices. As an example, in video-based action recognition, a natural mathematical representation of activity videos is as parameterized trajectories on the set of symmetric, positive-definite matrices (SPDMs). The variable execution-rates of actions, implying arbitrary parameterizations of trajectories, complicates their analysis and classification. To handle this challenge, we represent covariance trajectories using transported square-root vector fields (TSRVFs), constructed by parallel translating scaled-velocity vectors of trajectories to their starting points. The space of such representations forms a vector bundle on the SPDM manifold. Using a natural Riemannian metric on this vector bundle, we approximate geodesic paths and geodesic distances between trajectories in the quotient space of this vector bundle. This metric is invariant to the action of the reparameterization group, and leads to a rate-invariant analysis of trajectories. In the process, we remove the parameterization variability and temporally register trajectories during analysis. We demonstrate this framework in multiple contexts, using both generative statistical models and discriminative data analysis. The latter is illustrated using several applications involving video-based action recognition and dynamic functional connectivity analysis.

Regression models for size-and-shape analysis are developed, where the model is specified in the Euclidean space of the landmark coordinates. Statistical models in this space (which is known as the top space or ambient space) are often easier for practitioners to understand than alternative models in the quotient space of size-and-shapes. We consider a Bayesian linear size-and-shape regression model in which the response variable is given by labelled configuration matrix, and the covariates represent quantities such as gender and age. It is important to parameterize the model so that it is identifiable, and we use the LQ decomposition in the intercept term in the model for this purpose. Gamma priors for the inverse variance of the error term, matrix Fisher priors for the random rotation matrix, and flat priors for the regression coefficients are used. Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms are used for sampling from the posterior distribution, in particular by using combinations of Metropolis-Hastings updates and a Gibbs sampler.The proposed Bayesian methodology is illustrated with an application to forensic facial data in three dimensions, where we investigate the main changes in growth by describing relative movements of landmarks for each gender over time.

There has been increasing interest in statistical analysis of data lying in manifolds. This paper generalizes a smoothing spline fitting method to Riemannian manifold data based on the technique of unrolling and unwrapping originally proposed in Jupp and Kent (1987) for spherical data. In particular we develop such a fitting procedure for shapes of configurations in general m-dimensional Euclidean space, extending our previous work for two dimensional shapes. We show that parallel transport along a geodesic on Kendall shape space is linked to the solution of a homogeneous first-order differential equation, some of whose coefficients are implicitly defined functions. This finding enables us to approximate the procedure of unrolling and unwrapping by simultaneously solving such equations numerically, and so to find numerical solutions for smoothing splines fitted to higher dimensional shape data. This fitting method is applied to the analysis of simulated 3D shapes and to some dynamic 3D peptide data. Model selection procedures are also developed.