Hans Gilgen’s research while affiliated with Bureau of Meteorology and other places

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Publications (13)


Fig. 1. Global distribution of surface observation sites used in this study. Sites measuring an increase in surface solar radiation after 1990 are marked in yellow; sites measuring a decrease are shown in brown. High-quality observation sites fulfilling the BSRN standards ( 12 ) are shown as triangles, other sites from the updated GEBA as crosses. Information from 300 sites over Europe and 45 sites over Japan are displayed as aggregated regional means. The majority of the sites show an increase in surface solar radiation after 1990. 
From Dimming to Brightening: Decadal Changes in Solar Radiation at Earth's Surface
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June 2005

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1,589 Reads

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1,382 Citations

Science

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Hans Gilgen

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Variations in solar radiation incident at Earth's surface profoundly affect the human and terrestrial environment. A decline in solar radiation at land surfaces has become apparent in many observational records up to 1990, a phenomenon known as global dimming. Newly available surface observations from 1990 to the present, primarily from the Northern Hemisphere, show that the dimming did not persist into the 1990s. Instead, a widespread brightening has been observed since the late 1980s. This reversal is reconcilable with changes in cloudiness and atmospheric transmission and may substantially affect surface climate, the hydrological cycle, glaciers, and ecosystems.

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Table 1 . Estimated Changes in Energy Fluxes Over Global Land Surfaces for the Period 1960 -1990 (Energy Gain for the Surface is Signed Positive)
Table 2 . Changes in Time Series of Annual Mean Net Radiation Observed at 66 Sites From the Global Energy Balance Archive Covering at Least One Decade of the Period 1960 -1990
On the consistency of trends in radiation and temperature records and implications for the global hydrological cycle

June 2004

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669 Reads

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173 Citations

Several studies indicate that incident shortwave radiation at land surfaces has significantly decreased between 1960 and 1990. Despite this, land temperature has increased by 0.4degreesC over the same period. From a surface energy balance perspective, this counterintuitive behaviour can be resolved either 1) through an increase in the downward longwave radiation which outweighs the decreased insolation or 2) through a decrease of surface evaporation and associated reduced evaporative surface cooling. It is suggested that 1) may not be large enough, so that the available energy for evaporation may rather have decreased than increased over the period considered. This is in line with an analysis of observed surface net radiation records. The inferred decrease of evaporation would further imply that the observed intensification of the hydrological cycle over extratropical land has been more likely due to increased moisture advection from the oceans than due to increased local moisture release through evaporation.


TABLE 1 . Observation sites used in this study, ordered by decreasing latitude.
TABLE 3 . Long-term annual mean values of DLR (W m 2 ) averaged over the 45 sites as observed and as calculated in the GCMs.
FIG. 6. Offline calculations with the isolated radiation codes of the ECHAM3 and ECHAM4 models. Shown are calculated DLR (W m 2 ) using prescribed profiles of atmospheric temperature and humidity from radiosonde data vs synchronous surface observations for clear-sky conditions.
FIG. 7. (a) Long-term annual mean DLR (W m 2 ) calculated in the ECMWF reanalysis vs observations at 45 sites from GEBA and BSRN. (b) Instantaneous offline calculations with the isolated radiation codes of the ECMWF reanalysis for clear-sky conditions: calculated DLR using prescribed profiles of atmospheric temperature and humidity from radiosonde data vs synchronous surface observations.
Evaluation of Downward Longwave Radiation in General Circulation Models

August 2001

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325 Reads

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132 Citations

Journal of Climate

The longwave radiation emitted by the atmosphere toward the surface [downward longwave radiation (DLR)] is a crucial factor in the exchange of energy between the earth surface and the atmosphere and in the context of radiation-induced climate change. Accurate modeling of this quantity is therefore a fundamental prerequisite for a reliable simulation and projection of the surface climate in coupled general circulation models (GCM).DLR climatologies calculated in a number of GCMs and in a model in assimilation mode (reanalysis) are analyzed using newly available data from 45 worldwide distributed observation sites of the Global Energy Balance Archive (GEBA) and the Baseline Surface Radiation Network (BSRN). It is shown that substantial biases are present in the GCM-calculated DLR climatologies, with the GCMs typically underestimating the DLR (estimated here to be approximately 344 W m2 globally). The biases are, however, not geographically homogeneous, but depend systematically on the prevailing atmospheric conditions. The DLR is significantly underestimated particularly at observation sites with cold and dry climates and thus little DLR emission. This underestimation gradually diminishes toward sites with more moderate climates; at sites with warm or humid atmospheric conditions and strong DLR emission, the GCM-calculated DLR is in better agreement with the observations or even overestimates them. This is equivalent to creating an excessively strong meridional gradient of DLR in the GCMs.The very same tendencies are independently found in stand-alone calculations with the GCM radiation codes in isolation, using observed atmospheric profiles of temperature and humidity for cloud-free conditions as input to the radiation schemes. A significant underestimation of DLR is calculated by the radiation schemes when driven with clear-sky atmospheric profiles of temperature and humidity representative for cold and dry climates, whereas the DLR is no longer underestimated by the radiation schemes with prescribed clear-sky profiles representative for a hot and humid atmosphere. This suggests that the biases in the GCM-calculated DLR climatologies are predominantly induced by problems in the simulated emission of the cloud-free atmosphere.The same biases are also found in the DLR fluxes calculated by the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) model in assimilation mode (reanalysis), in which the biases in the atmospheric thermal and humidity structure are minimized. This gives further support that the biases in the DLR are not primarily due to errors in the model-predicted atmospheric temperature and humidity profiles that enter the radiative transfer calculations, but rather are due to the radiation schemes themselves. A particular problem in these schemes is the accurate simulation of the thermal emission from the cold, dry, cloud-free atmosphere.


Gridded temperature and accumulation distributions for Greenland for use in cryospheric models

January 2000

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19 Reads

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35 Citations

Annals of Glaciology

Gridded distributions of the annual mean temperature and annual total accumulation for Greenland are presented. They are objectively derived by deterministic and statistical interpolation from measurements at coastal stations and at locations on the ice sheet. They can be used not only for driving cryospheric models, but also for verifying atmospheric simulations.


Figure 3. Global annual mean absorbed shortwave radiation at the surface in the ERA and various GCMs. ECHAM3, ECHAM4 values from Wild et al. (1998), CCC value from Boer et al. (1993), NCAR and CSU values from Liet al. (1997), GFDL and GISS values from Gutowski et al. (1991), ARPEGE value from Michel D&tu•, France, Toulouse (personal communication), HadAM2 value from R. Stratton, Hadley Centre, Bracknell (personal communication), HadAM3 value from Cusack 'et al. (1998).
The distribution of solar energy at the Earth's surface as calculated in the ECMWF Re-Analysis

December 1998

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2,554 Reads

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33 Citations

Knowledge of the distribution of solar energy at the earth's surface is required for various practical and theoretical purposes. The solar fluxes calculated in Re-Analysis projects are promising since their radiative transfer calculations take into account the best current estimates of the humidity and temperature structure in the atmosphere. The present study assesses the quality of the insolation climatology of the ECMWF Re-Analysis (ERA) using a comprehensive set of surface observations. It is shown that the ERA surface insolation climatology is in good agreement with more than 700 long-term monitoring sites. The biases are substantially smaller than generally found in GCMs, which typically overestimate the surface insolation due to an underestimated atmospheric shortwave absorption. Contributing to the quality of the ERA insolation climatology is not only the realistic structure of the overlying atmosphere, but also the accurate performance of the radiation scheme under clear-sky conditions. This is shown in off-line calculations with the ERA radiation scheme using prescribed atmospheric profiles from radiosondes as input. Overall, the paper suggests that the ERA reproduces the global distribution of solar energy at the surface with considerable skill and that the ERA insolation climatology may be useful for various applications.


Baseline Surface Radiation Network (BSRN/WCRP): New precision radiometry for climate research

October 1998

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342 Reads

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684 Citations

Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society

To support climate research, the World Climate Research Programme (WCRP) initiated a new radiometric network, the Baseline Surface Radiation Network (BSRN). The network aims at providing validation material for satellite radiometry and climate models. It further aims at detecting long-term variations in irradiances at the earth's surface, which are believed to play an important role in climate change. The network and its instrumentation are designed 1) to cover major climate zones, 2) to provide the accuracy required to meet the objectives, and 3) to ensure homogenized standards for a long period in the future. The limits of the accuracy are defined to reach these goals. The suitable instruments and instrumentations have been determined and the methods for observations and data management have been agreed on at all stations. Measurements of irradiances are at 1 Hz, and the 1-min statistics (mean, standard deviation, and extreme values) with quality flags are stored at a centralized data archive at the WCRP's World Radiation Monitoring Center (WRMC) in Zurich, Switzerland. The data are quality controlled both at stations and at the WRMC. The original 1-min irradiance statistics will be stored at the WRMC for 10 years, while hourly mean values will be transferred to the World Radiation Data Center in St. Petersburg, Russia. The BSRN, consisting of 15 stations, covers the earth's surface from 80°N to 90°S, and will soon be joined by seven more stations. The data are available to scientific communities in various ways depending on the communication environment of the users. The present article discusses the scientific base, organizational and technical aspects of the network, and data retrieval methods; shows various application possibilities; and presents the future tasks to be accomplished.


Table 3 . Model-calculated and observed ratios of incoming versus outgoing surface longwave radiation at different European Sites
Observed annual mean incoming shortwave (SW) radia- tion at stations located to the north and to the south of the Alps. Data from GEBA. Units in W m-2
Regional climate simulation with a high resolution GCM: surface radiative fluxes

October 1995

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58 Reads

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4 Citations

Climate Dynamics

The ability of a high resolution (T106) version of the ECHAM3 general circulation model to simulate regional scale surface radiative fluxes has been assessed using observations from a new compilation of worldwide instrumentally-measured surface fluxes (Global Energy Balance Archive, GEBA). The focus is on the European region where the highest density of observations is found, and their use for the validation of global and regional climate models is demonstrated. The available data allow a separate assessment of the simulated fluxes of surface shortwave, longwave, and net radiation for this region. In summer, the incoming shortwave radiation calculated by the ECHAM3/T106 model is overestimated by 45 W m−2 over most of Europe, which implies a largely unrealistic forcing on the model surface scheme and excessive surface temperatures. In winter, too little incoming shortwave radiation reaches the model surface. Similar tendencies are found over large areas of the mid-latitudes. These biases are consistent with deficiencies in the simulation of cloud amount, relative humidity and clear sky radiative transfer. The incoming longwave radiation is underestimated at the European GEBA stations predominantly in summer. This largely compensates for the excessive shortwave flux, leading to annual mean net radiation values over Europe close to observations due to error cancellation, a feature already noted in the simulated global mean values in an earlier study. Furthermore, the annual cycle of the simulated surface net radiation is strongly affected by the deficiencies in the simulated incoming shortwave radiation. The high horizontal resolution of the GCM allows an assessment of orographically induced flux gradients based on observations from the European Alps. Although the model-calculated and observed flux fields substantially differ in their absolute values, several aspects of their gradients are realistically captured. The deficiencies identified in the model fields are generally consistent at most stations, indicating a high degree of representativeness of the measurements for their larger scale setting.


Table 3 . Model-calculated and observed ratios of incoming versus outgoing surface longwave radiation at different European Sites 
Observed annual mean incoming shortwave (SW) radia- tion at stations located to the north and to the south of the Alps. Data from GEBA. Units in W m-2 
Regional climate simulation with a high resolution GCM: Surface radiative fluxes

October 1995

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74 Reads

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56 Citations

Climate Dynamics

The ability of a high resolution (T106) version of the ECHAM3 general circulation model to simulate regional scale surface radiative fluxes has been assessed using observations from a new compilation of worldwide instrumentally-measured surface fluxes (Global Energy Balance Archive, GEBA). The focus is on the European region where the highest density of observations is found, and their use for the validation of global and regional climate models is demonstrated. The available data allow a separate assessment of the simulated fluxes of surface shortwave, longwave, and net radiation for this region. In summer, the incoming shortwave radiation calculated by the ECHAM3/T106 model is overestimated by 45 W m–2 over most of Europe, which implies a largely unrealistic forcing on the model surface scheme and excessive surface temperatures. In winter, too little incoming shortwave radiation reaches the model surface. Similar tendencies are found over large areas of the mid-latitudes. These biases are consistent with deficiencies in the simulation of cloud amount, relative humidity and clear sky radiative transfer. The incoming longwave radiation is underestimated at the European GEBA stations predominantly in summer. This largely compensates for the excessive shortwave flux, leading to annual mean net radiation values over Europe close to observations due to error cancellation, a feature already noted in the simulated global mean values in an earlier study. Furthermore, the annual cycle of the simulated surface net radiation is strongly affected by the deficiencies in the simulated incoming shortwave radiation. The high horizontal resolution of the GCM allows an assessment of orographically induced flux gradients based on observations from the European Alps. Although the model-calculated and observed flux fields substantially differ in their absolute values, several aspects of their gradients are realistically captured. The deficiencies identified in the model fields are generally consistent at most stations, indicating a high degree of representativeness of the measurements for their larger scale setting.


Spatial Data Reallocation Based on Multidimensional Range Queries

July 1995

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4 Reads

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3 Citations

Earth scientists, by definition, work in an interdisciplinary environment and therefore collect and disseminate data using distinct methods, depending on whether the associated information arises during field measurements, arrives via remote sensing, or represents simulation results. When calculating the global radiation over one of the oceans, for instance, it is essential that cloud data from at least three different sources can be accessed based on one and the same geographic grid. Differently gridded source data must therefore be reorganized, through interpolation for example. This can be done in different ways and we investigate a method whose practicality depends on fast spatial range queries, but in turn provides a flexibility that makes it particularly easy to accommodate differently organized data sets - a valuable feature when unanticipated grid organizations show up. 1 The crux of managing large Earth Science data sets Many data sets in the Earth Sciences resemble each othe...


Validation of General Circulation Model Radiative Fluxes Using Surface Observations

May 1995

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33 Reads

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207 Citations

Journal of Climate

The surface radiative fluxes of the ECHAM3 General Circulation Model (GCM) with T21, T42, and T106 resolutions have been validated using observations from the Global Energy Balance Archive (GEBA, World Climate Program-Water Project A7). GEBA contains the most comprehensive dataset now available for worldwide instrumentally measured surface energy fluxes. The GCM incoming shortwave radiation at the surface has been compared with more than 700 long-term monitoring stations. The ECHAM3 models show a clear tendency to overestimate the global annual-mean incoming shortwave radiation at the surface due to an underestimation of atmospheric absorption. The model-calculated global-mean surface shortwave absorption around 165 W M{sup -2} is estimated to be too high by 10-15 W m{sup -2}. A similar or higher overestimate is present in several other GCMs. Deficiencies in the clear-sky absorption of the ECHAM3 radiation scheme are proposed as a contributor to the flux discrepancies. A stand-alone validation of the radiation scheme under clear-sky conditions revealed overestimates of up to 50 W m{sup -2} for daily maximum values of incoming shortwave fluxes. Further, the lack of shortwave absorption by the model clouds is suggested to contribute to the overestimated surface shortwave radiation. There are indications that the incoming longwave radiation at the surface is underestimated in ECHAM3 and other GCMs. This largely offsets the overestimated shortwave flux in the global mean, so that the 102 W m{sup -2} calculated in ECHAM3 for the surface net radiation is considered to be a realistic value. A common feature of several GCMs is, therefore, a superficially correct simulation of global mean net radiation, as the overestimate in the shortwave balance is compensated by an underestimate in the longwave balance. 41 refs., 14 figs., 5 tabs.


Citations (12)


... The statistical analysis was carried out on four seasons: northern spring (MAM), northern summer (JJA), northern autumn (SON), and northern winter (DJF). As shown in Table 5 L d is not only heavily dependent on the air temperature, water vapor, and clouds in the low atmosphere Ruckstuhl et al. 2007;Stephens et al. 2012;Takara and Ellingson 2000;Zeppetello et al. 2019), but also surface elevation plays an important role in determining the accuracy for L d estimation (Wild et al. 1995;Zeng et al. 2020). Therefore, we divided surface elevations into four intervals (< 500 m, 500-1000 m, 1000-2000 m and > 2000 m) to analyze the effects of elevation on the L d evaluation in different products. ...

Reference:

Comprehensive assessment of global atmospheric downward longwave radiation in the state-of-the-art reanalysis using satellite and flux tower observations
Regional climate simulation with a high resolution GCM: surface radiative fluxes

Climate Dynamics

... Changes in incoming solar radiation (SRi) and atmospheric longwave radiation directly affect the LST trend through their impact on energy supply (Donohoe et al., 2014). As the main source of energy to the climate system, SRi determines the Earth's energy cycle (Ohmura & Gilgen, 1993;Wild et al., 2014). An increase or decrease in SRi directly impacts LST trend by influencing energy supply at the Earth's surface. ...

Re-Evaluation of the Global Energy Balance

... Since both K ↓ and K ↓,d vary in these gridded products, we would expect the effect of variations in K ↓ to overwhelm that of changes in K ↓,d (Chakraborty & Lee, 2019;Wild et al., 1998;Winter & Eltahir, 2010). The differences between datasets are also larger than perturbation signals seen for many individual atmospheric components (Chakraborty et al., 2021;Matsui et al., 2008;Oliveira et al., 2011;O'Sullivan et al., 2021). ...

The distribution of solar energy at the Earth's surface as calculated in the ECMWF Re-Analysis

... In contrast, knowledge of DSSR changes over ocean is quite limited due to sparse observations. Based on one single climate model simulation driven by observed sea surface temperature (SST) and external forcings, it was reported that DSSR over ocean has decreased in the historical period [22], but it is still unclear how realistic the model simulation is as surface energy balance has long been a challenge for generations of climate models [23][24][25][26][27]. Internal variability is also an important factor, even for the observed multidecadal trends [23][24][25][27][28][29], which may further increase the difficulty in examining the response of DSSR to external forcing. ...

Validation of General Circulation Model Radiative Fluxes Using Surface Observations
  • Citing Article
  • May 1995

Journal of Climate

... The observed deficiencies in radiative parameterization have been highlighted in both observational and numerical investigations (Rinke et al., 2012;Steeneveld, 2014;Wild et al., 2001). While Zdunkowski et al. (1976); Coantic and Seguin (1971); André and Mahrt (1982); Mukund et al. (2010) have speculated on the potential significance of aerosols in LW radiative modeling, laboratory experiments by Mukund et al. (2014) demonstrated the necessity of considering aerosols to explain temperature profiles near the ground. ...

Evaluation of Downward Longwave Radiation in General Circulation Models

Journal of Climate

... The BSRN protocols require some measurement redundancy in order to assure accuracy and mitigate data loss. For example, it is standard procedure for site managers to report shortwave irradiance using two different measurement techniques 305 (Ohmura et al., 1998;McArthur, 2005;Driemel et al., 2018). These measurement techniques are 1.) ...

Baseline Surface Radiation Network (BSRN/WCRP): New precision radiometry for climate research

Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society

... where the surface temperature-depending fraction f (T ) is empirically based on data of Greenland (Bales et al., 2009;Calanca et al., 2000) and states that below a minimum temperature (T min = −7 • C) all precipitation is snow and above a maximum temperature ( T max = +7 • C) rain: ...

Gridded temperature and accumulation distributions for Greenland for use in cryospheric models
  • Citing Article
  • January 2000

Annals of Glaciology

... Moist surfaces may contribute to the stagnation of summer warming in the southern United States, indicating that surface moisture is a significant local factor affecting changes in average daily maximum temperatures during the summer [12]. From 1960 to 1990, despite a decrease in incoming shortwave radiation, land temperatures increased by 0.4°C due to an increase in downward longwave radiation, suggesting that surface energy balance is a key process controlling land temperature evolution [13]. Atmospheric circulations such as the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) can also affect summer temperatures in NA [14]. ...

On the consistency of trends in radiation and temperature records and implications for the global hydrological cycle

... Over plane surface, the surface upwelling and downwelling long-wave radiation fluxes depend on the land surface temperature, land surface emissivity, and condition of low-level atmosphere, that is, temperature, humidity, cloud, aerosol, and greenhouse gasses (Ma et al., 2014;Morcrette, 2002;Panicker et al., 2008). Due to complicated influencing factors, it is tough to accurately simulate the surface long-wave radiation (Chen et al., 2017;Li et al., 2013;Wild et al., 1995). The surface long-wave radiation simulation can be improved from better model description of land surface process (Zheng et al., 2012) and cloud-aerosol radiative forcing (Chen et al., 2018;Jin et al., 2019;Ma et al., 2019;Peng et al., 2018;Zhang et al., 2014). ...

Regional climate simulation with a high resolution GCM: Surface radiative fluxes

Climate Dynamics

... Numerous researches have reported that the total surface radiation in many regions showed a decreasing trend from 1950 to 1990, widely known as global dimming (Liepert 2002;Wild 2009;Wild et al. 2005). The reduction of solar radiation directly affects the magnitude of the daily maximum temperature, leading to asymmetric warming before the1990s. ...

From Dimming to Brightening: Decadal Changes in Solar Radiation at Earth's Surface

Science