Gregory Brinkman's research while affiliated with National Renewable Energy Laboratory and other places
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Publications (39)
The Interconnections Seam Study examines the potential economic value of increasing electricity transfer between the Eastern and Western Interconnections using high-voltage direct-current (HVDC) transmission and cost-optimizing both generation and transmission resources across the United States, proposing, assessing, justifying, and illustrating a...
Understanding the technical and economic challenges of achieving 100% renewable energy (RE) electric power systems is critical, given the increasing number of United States regional and state commitments toward this goal. Although no detailed study of a major utility of large interconnection under 100% RE system has been published, considerable lit...
Grid integration studies are key to understanding our ability to integrate variable generation resources into the power system and evaluating the associated costs and benefits. In these studies, it is important to understand the flexibility of the thermal power fleet, including how thermal plants operate at part load. Without a comprehensive unders...
An indisputable fact cannot be rebutted. It is supported by theory and experience. Over the past 25 years, wind and solar generation has undergone dramatic growth, resulting in a variety of experiences that model the integration of wind and solar into the planning and operation of modern electric power systems. In this article, we bring together ex...
This study explores how emissions from electricity generation in the Western Interconnection region of the U.S. might respond in circa 2030 to contrasting scenarios for fuel prices and greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions fees. We examine spatial and temporal variations in generation mix across the region and year using the PLEXOS unit commitment and dis...
Residential distributed photovoltaic (PV) deployment in the United States has experienced robust growth, and policy changes impacting the value of solar are likely to occur at the federal and state levels. To establish a credible baseline and evaluate impacts of potential new policies, this analysis employs multiple methods to forecast residential...
California aims to reduce greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions to 40% below 1990 levels by 2030. We compare six energy models that have played various roles in informing the state policymakers in setting climate policy goals and targets. These models adopt a range of modeling structures, including stock-turnover back-casting models, a least-cost optimiza...
Revenue insufficiency, or the missing money problem, occurs when the revenues that generators
earn from the market are not sufficient to cover both fixed and variable costs to remain in the
market and/or justify investments in new capacity, which may be needed for reliability. The
near-zero marginal cost of variable renewable generators further exa...
Optimization approach to relating differently structured data is applied to linking (electric power system) capacity expansion with production cost models
Enhanced prospects for natural gas production raise questions about the balance of impacts on air quality, as increased emissions from production activities are considered alongside the reductions expected when natural gas is burned in place of other fossil fuels. This study explores how trends in natural gas production over the coming decades migh...
The integration of large amounts of variable renewable generation can increase the demand on flexible resources in the power system. Conventional hydropower can be an important asset for managing variability and uncertainty in the power system, but multi-purpose reservoirs are often limited by non-power constraints. Previous large-scale variable ge...
http://www.nrel.gov/docs/fy14osti/61192.pdf
The electric grid is a highly complex, interconnected machine, and changing one part of the grid can have consequences elsewhere. Adding wind and solar affects the operation of the other power plants and adding high penetrations can induce cycling of fossil-fueled generators. Cycling leads to wear-and-tear costs and changes in emissions. Phase 2 of...
High penetrations of wind and solar power will impact the operations of the remaining generators on the power system. Regional integration studies have shown that wind and solar may cause fossil-fueled generators to cycle on and off and ramp down to part load more frequently and potentially more rapidly. Increased cycling, deeper load following, an...
High penetrations of wind and solar power will impact the operations of the conventional generators on the power system. Regional integration studies have shown that wind and solar may cause fossil-fueled generators to cycle on and off and load follow more frequently and potentially more rapidly. Increased cycling, deeper load following, and rapid...
SunShot Initiative awardee posters describing the different technologies within the four subprograms of the DOE Solar Program (Photovoltaics, Concentrating Solar Power, Soft Costs, and Systems Integration).
Pursuant to the Clean Air Act, the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) announced in 2009 its intent to issue rules for controlling emissions from Navajo Generating Station that could affect visibility at the Grand Canyon and at several other national parks and wilderness areas. The final rule will conform to what EPA determines is the best a...
This document describes the use of production cost modeling in the SunShot Vision study, including methods used to create the SunShot Vision scenarios, their implementation in the Gridview model, and assumptions regarding transmission system and operation of each generator type. It also describes challenges and limitations of modeling solar generat...
Solar photovoltaics (PV) are an attractive technology because they can
be locally deployed and tend to yield high production during periods of
peak electric demand. These characteristics can reduce the need for
conventional large-scale electricity generation, thereby reducing
emissions of criteria air pollutants (CAPs) and improving ambient air
qua...
This study explores how ozone concentrations in the Denver, CO area might have been different if plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEVs) had replaced light duty gasoline vehicles in summer 2006. A unit commitment and dispatch model was used to estimate the charging patterns of PHEVs and dispatch power plants to meet electricity demand. Emission ch...
Quantification of the size distributions of organic molecular markers can provide information about the origin of the carbonaceous
particulate matter (PM). Organic molecular marker spatial variability studies provide data that are vital to an accurate determination
of a population's exposure to PM from various sources. We have investigated the intr...
Mean value of the field blank corrections expressed as a concentration and coefficient of variation (CV = standard deviation/mean) values for each site, compound, and size fraction
Personal exposure to fine particulate matter (PM2.5) is due to both indoor and outdoor sources. Contributions of sources to personal exposure can be quite different from those observed at ambient sampling locations. The primary goal of this study was to investigate the effectiveness of using trace organic speciation data to help identify sources in...
A Positive Matrix Factorization receptor model for aerosol pollution source apportionment was fit to a synthetic dataset simulating one year of daily measurements of ambient PM2.5 concentrations, comprised of 39 chemical species from nine pollutant sources. A novel method was developed to estimate model fit uncertainty and bias at the daily time sc...
A Positive Matrix Factorization receptor model for aerosol pollution source apportionment was fit to a synthetic dataset simulating one year of daily measurements of ambient PM2.5 concentrations, comprised of 39 chemical species from nine pollutant sources. A novel method was developed to estimate model fit uncertainty and bias at the daily time sc...
Positive matrix factorization (PMF) was applied to synthetic datasets that simulate personal exposures to airborne PM2.5 from 12 sources. Three differentfilter analysis scenarios using different analytical chemistry techniques were considered. The full suite scenario quantified elemental carbon, organic carbon, inorganic ions, trace elements, and t...
The Renewable Electricity Futures (RE Futures) Study investigated the challenges and impacts of achieving very high renewable electricity generation levels in the contiguous United States by 2050. The analysis focused on the sufficiency of the geographically diverse U.S. renewable resources to meet electricity demand over future decades, the hourly...
The Renewable Electricity Futures (RE Futures) Study investigated the challenges and impacts of achieving very high renewable electricity generation levels in the contiguous United States by 2050. The analysis focused on the sufficiency of the geographically diverse U.S. renewable resources to meet electricity demand over future decades, the hourly...
This presentation describes in general fashion what the emissions and economic impacts of wind power generation on fossil power plants looks like and also offers some mitigation ideas.
Citations
... The use of grid-enhancing technologies, such as tools to provide real-time updates on the limits of existing transmission lines and balance over and underuse in a transmission system, can maximize the potential of existing infrastructure's ability to integrate renewables and reduce the need for some new transmission projects (DOE 2022). Further, building out high-voltage direct current transmission across the country can, itself, provide increased flexibility in locating clean electricity generation across regions (Bloom et al 2020). ...
... In addition, RES offer several advantages, including a reduction in energy dependence on foreign countries, job creation, and the potential for cost savings [1,6]. However, the inherent variability and uncertainty of RES present a significant challenge for the widespread adoption of renewable energy [7,8]. For example, wind energy generation is heavily influenced by the weather, which can be unpredictable and difficult to forecast accurately [9,10]. ...
... China remains the world's largest emitter of carbon dioxide, mainly due to the high proportion of coal-fired thermal power [12,13]. The flexibility of TPGU [14][15][16][17], SO 2 emissions [18] and other indicators can only be used as a kind of technical indicators or TPGU improvement targets, which cannot be used to comprehensively evaluate TPGU. ...
... In contrast to conventional synchronous generators, which are directly connected to the grid, renewable generators are mainly connected through electronic converters [3]. This decoupling reduces the synchronous equivalent inertia of the power system [4] and impacts its dynamic behavior in the case of disturbances of different natures [5]. ...
... Future air quality, especially aerosols and ozone, will be governed by a range of factors including the physical impacts of climate change and socioeconomic factors such as emission control efforts, demands in energy end-use sectors, and the deployment of alternative transportation and electricity generation technologies (Loughlin et al., 2011;Collet et al., 2014;Nsanzineza et al., 2017;Zhang et al., 2017;Zapata et al., 2018). While the impact of some of these factors on air quality has been studied from an individual perspective (Racherla and Adams, T quality in the San Francisco Bay Area (SFBA) and the San Joaquin Valley (SJV) of California, which are designated non-attainment area for both ozone and PM 2.5 ambient air quality standards (CARB, 2017a; U.S. EPA, 2018), warrants further study. ...
... DG is one application example, since regulatory agencies/government institutions worldwide have applied this model to forecast installed DG capacities. BDM studies forecasting installed DG capacities have been carried out by ANEEL (ANEEL, 2017), the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) (NREL, 2009), and academic researchers (Dong et al., 2017). ...
... We contrast this approach with what we call an unbalanced portfolio approach in which VRE additions do not affect the non-VRE portfolio. Several studies, particularly those that deal with technical integration issues of large shares of VRE (Brancucci Martinez-Anido et al., 2016;Brinkman, Jorgenson, Ehlen, & Caldwell, 2016;Deetjen et al., 2016;Frew et al., 2016;GE Energy, 2010, 2014Hummon et al., 2013;LCG Consulting, 2016;Lew et al., 2013;NYISO, 2010), fix the non-VRE generation portfolio and compare the system's performance with and without large VRE capacity additions. Since the VRE additions do not affect the non-VRE generation portfolio, these studies often lead to significant over-capacity beyond required reserve margins, which can in turn reduce average prices and price variability. ...
... • focused on a narrow aspect of the energy system or the energy transition without having an extensive review of the classification [42][43][44][45][46][47][48]. • focused on a scenario or output comparison rather than model comparison [49][50][51][52]. ...
... Secondly, constructing a new plant needs highly detailed technical, societal, and licensing assessments. Finally, this method implies a minimal impact in the available distribution network [45]. Hydro capacities are not expanded by COPPER to reduce the computational burden and only removed at as the discrete plants retire. ...
... The challenge of transporting the produced power has been investigated in conflict to R1 with simulations without any measurement data 3 or with simulated power production data. 4 Other studies work with data that is derived from weather reports or measurement data with a limited spatiotemporal resolution of 1 h in the time domain and 40 km × 40 km in the spatial domain such as 5 and therefore represent the reality inadequately and do not satisfy the requirement R1. The project METIS 6 investigates the effects of sector coupling in the network and includes a hydrogen grid, but uses datasets of the year 2012 of power production and therefore the project does not satisfy the requirement R3. ...