Gergana Jostova’s research while affiliated with George Washington University and other places

What is this page?


This page lists works of an author who doesn't have a ResearchGate profile or hasn't added the works to their profile yet. It is automatically generated from public (personal) data to further our legitimate goal of comprehensive and accurate scientific recordkeeping. If you are this author and want this page removed, please let us know.

Publications (34)


Data Uncertainty in Corporate Bonds
  • Article

January 2024

·

1 Read

SSRN Electronic Journal

Gergana Jostova

·

·




The Distress Anomaly is Deeper than You Think: Evidence from Stocks and Bonds
  • Article
  • Full-text available

September 2021

·

82 Reads

·

12 Citations

European Finance Review

The distress anomaly reflects the abnormally low returns of high credit risk stocks during financial distress. Evidence from stocks and corporate bonds reinforces the anomaly and challenges rationales based on shareholders’ ability to extract value from bondholders, time-varying betas, lottery-type preferences, biased earnings expectations, and limits-to-arbitrage. Moreover, mispricing of distressed stocks and bonds is associated with excess investment and excess external financing. Potential real distortions are materially understated when assessed based only on equity mispricing. We emphasize the important role of corporate bonds in dissecting the distress anomaly, and show that the anomaly is an unresolved puzzle.

Download

Style and Skill: Hedge Funds, Mutual Funds, and Momentum

June 2020

·

49 Reads

·

37 Citations

Management Science

Classifying mandatory 13F stockholding filings by manager type reveals that hedge fund strategies are mostly contrarian, and mutual fund strategies are largely trend following. The only institutional performers—the two thirds of hedge fund managers that are contrarian—earn alpha of 2.4% per year. Contrarian hedge fund managers tend to trade profitably with all other manager types, especially when purchasing stocks from momentum-oriented hedge and mutual fund managers. Superior contrarian hedge fund performance exhibits persistence and stems from stock-picking ability rather than liquidity provision. Aggregate short sales further support these conclusions about the style and skill of various fund manager types. This paper was accepted by Tyler Shumway, finance.




Determinants of Corporate Bond Trading: A Comprehensive Analysis

January 2017

·

187 Reads

·

54 Citations

Quarterly Journal of Finance

This paper studies the determinants of trading volume and liquidity of corporate bonds. Using transactions data from a comprehensive dataset of insurance company trades, our analysis covers more than 17,000 US corporate bonds of 4,151 companies over a five-year period prior to the introduction of TRACE. Our transactions data show that a variety of issue- and issuer-specific characteristics impact corporate bond liquidity. Among these, the most economically important determinants of bond trading volume are the bond's issue size and age - trading volume declines substantially as bonds become seasoned and are absorbed into less active portfolios. Stock-level activity also impacts bond trading volume. Bonds of companies with publicly traded equity are more likely to trade than those with private equity. Further, public companies with more active stocks have more actively traded bonds. Finally, we show that while the liquidity of high-yield bonds is more affected by credit risk, interest-rate risk is more important in determining the liquidity of investment-grade bonds.




Citations (27)


... I assume that F A t = F M t 6 ¼ ; (i.e., the analyst's information set, excluding the market's information set, is nonempty) and that F A t = F M t contains useful pricing information. Sources of such information 2 In related work, Grinblatt, Jostova, and Philipov (2018) provide evidence that analyst earnings forecasts are biased with respect to 14 common anomalies. Guo, Li, and Wei (2020) provide evidence that analyst recommendations contradict predictions from the 11 anomalies studied in Stambaugh and Yuan (2017). ...

Reference:

Stock Price Reactions to the Information and Bias in Analyst-Expected Returns
Analyst Bias and Mispricing
  • Citing Article
  • January 2023

SSRN Electronic Journal

... They found a robust negative relationship between default probabilities and equity returns concentrated among low-capitalisation stocks in developed North American and European countries. Avramov et al. (2022) also confirmed that high credit-risk companies' bonds and stocks have abysmal returns. ...

The Distress Anomaly is Deeper than You Think: Evidence from Stocks and Bonds

European Finance Review

... This trading behavior is opposed to momentum trading and it is widely explored in the literature. Several works, as [42,43,44,45,46,47,48,49], provide empirical evidences that the contrarian behavior is commonly adopted, especially among individual investors. It is driven by the mean-reversion paradigm and partially rooted in the disposition effect i.e. the investors' tendency to hold on to losers stocks and sell the winners. ...

Style and Skill: Hedge Funds, Mutual Funds, and Momentum
  • Citing Article
  • June 2020

Management Science

... Another significant consequence of financial distress is the loss of shareholder value as highlighted by Avramov et al. (2019). When a company is in distress, its stock and bond prices often become overvalued due to excessive optimism from investors, which creates a mispricing of the company's financial health. ...

Bonds, Stocks, and Sources of Mispricing

SSRN Electronic Journal

... However, Eisdorfer et al. (2018) question this explanation based on their finding that the default-risk anomaly holds in many countries where shareholders do not have advantages over bondholders. Grinblatt, Jostova and Philipov (2014) and Ashour and Hao (2019) document that stock analysts are overoptimistic or suppress negative information about high default-risk stocks, which could give rise to the negative credit risk-return relation. ...

Analysts' Forecast Bias and the Mispricing of High Credit Risk Stocks
  • Citing Article
  • January 2014

SSRN Electronic Journal

... and Carhart (1997) studies, which identify size, value, and momentum factors in addition to market risk as significant drivers of stock returns, the micro-finance research addressed the measurement of macroeconomic factors' impacts on returns of portfolio strategies based on these multi-factor models. These analyses could be crucial in explaining the low or negative correlation often found in literature between the returns of such strategies (Cooper-Priestley 2009;Avramov et al. 2012;; Wisniewski-Jackson 2020; Dahlquist-Hasseltoft 2020). The contribution of this paper is twofold: i) to explain the theoretical foundation of expected impacts of the main macroeconomic factors on the returns of value and momentum strategies regarding equity and bond asset classes; ii) to verify whether these relationships are supported (in terms of sign and statistical significance) by the most recent empirical literature. ...

The World Price of Credit Risk
  • Citing Article
  • January 2012

SSRN Electronic Journal

... and Carhart (1997) studies, which identify size, value, and momentum factors in addition to market risk as significant drivers of stock returns, the micro-finance research addressed the measurement of macroeconomic factors' impacts on returns of portfolio strategies based on these multi-factor models. These analyses could be crucial in explaining the low or negative correlation often found in literature between the returns of such strategies (Cooper-Priestley 2009;Avramov et al. 2012;; Wisniewski-Jackson 2020; Dahlquist-Hasseltoft 2020). The contribution of this paper is twofold: i) to explain the theoretical foundation of expected impacts of the main macroeconomic factors on the returns of value and momentum strategies regarding equity and bond asset classes; ii) to verify whether these relationships are supported (in terms of sign and statistical significance) by the most recent empirical literature. ...

The World Price of Credit Risk
  • Citing Article
  • January 2012

SSRN Electronic Journal

... Finally, our analysis also contributes to the existing factor investing literature, which explains the variation of corporate bond returns with bond and stock characteristics. Correia et al. (2012), Jostova et al. (2013), Chordia et al. (2017), Correia et al. (2018), Bektić (2019), Kaufmann and Messow (2020), Bali et al. (2021), Bartram et al. (2020), among others, develop alternative credit factors by using bond and equity information. On the other hand, Hottinga et al. (2001), Houweling and Zundert (2017), Brooks et al. (2018), Israel et al. (2018), Bektić et al. (2019), and Henke et al. (2020) propose multifactor models to invest in corporate bonds. ...

Momentum in Corporate Bond Returns
  • Citing Article
  • January 2011

SSRN Electronic Journal

... Thus, in this subsection, we use the analyst earnings forecast dispersion as a proxy for the divergence of opinion and add it as a covariable to the PSM to ensure that the firm characteristics of the control group and the treatment group are as similar as possible. Following Avramov et al. (2009), we compute the dispersion as the standard deviation of earnings per share (EPS) forecasts divided by the absolute value of the mean EPS forecast. We then add analyst earnings forecast dispersion as a covariable to PSM and perform regression (2). ...

Dispersion in Analysts' Earnings Forecasts and Credit Rating
  • Citing Article
  • January 2008

SSRN Electronic Journal

... (Carangelo & Ferrillo, 2016;Jacoby et al., 2019;. Fan et al., 2013;Avramov et al., 2013;Kasgari et al., 2013;Shishia et al., 2014, Vianez et al., 2019 . (Cimini, 2015;Flores et al., 2016;Koowatanatianchai, 2018;Lassoued & Khanchel, 2021). ...

Anomalies and Financial Distress
  • Citing Article
  • January 2010

SSRN Electronic Journal