Geert Bekaert’s research while affiliated with Columbia University and other places

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Publications (241)


The International Commonality of Idiosyncratic Variances
  • Article

May 2024

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10 Reads

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2 Citations

Management Science

Geert Bekaert

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Xue Wang

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Xiaoyan Zhang

We document strong global commonality in country idiosyncratic return variances across 23 developed markets, which is stronger than international return commonality. The global common factor of idiosyncratic return variances is highly correlated with that of idiosyncratic cash flow variances and is also significantly related to variables capturing aggregate discount rate variation and the conditional market variance. Furthermore, aggregate idiosyncratic return and cash flow variances are mostly but not always countercyclical. This paper was accepted by Kay Giesecke, finance. Funding: X. Zhang acknowledges financial support from the National Natural Science Foundation of China [Grant 72350710220] and the Beijing Natural Science Foundation [Grant IS23127]. Supplemental Material: The online appendix and data files are available at https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2022.01398 .




Sustainable investment – Exploring the linkage between alpha, ESG , and SDGs

June 2023

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80 Reads

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31 Citations

Sustainable Development

Environmental, Social and Governance (ESG) investing has attracted much attention in asset management this past decade. Asset managers who consider ESG issues when making investment decisions potentially face a trade off with their fiduciary duty to attempt to outperform investment benchmarks (“generate alpha”). We first analyze the relationship between alpha generation and ESG metrics. However, because there are no well‐accepted ESG standards, we also measure the impact companies have on the U.N.'s Sustainable Development Goals (SDG's). Our research consists of three steps. First, we construct a sector‐neutral portfolio using MSCI ESG momentum scores from 2013 to 2018, and determine that it is feasible to generate positive alpha vis‐à‐vis the MSCI US index and other risk benchmarks. Second, we utilize structured and unstructured data to determine a company's net influence on the SDGs, which we call its SDG “footprint.” We show that an ESG momentum portfolio both outperforms the MSCI US index and has a relatively better SDG footprint than that of the index. Third, we establish a positive contemporaneous connection between the portfolio's ESG ratings momentum and its SDG footprint. Thus, a positive linkage exists between ESG, alpha, and the SDGs for our sample.



The Variance Risk Premium in Equilibrium Models

March 2023

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13 Reads

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15 Citations

European Finance Review

The equity variance risk premium is the expected compensation earned for selling variance risk in equity markets. The variance risk premium is positive and shows only moderate persistence. High variance risk premiums coincide with the left tail of the consumption growth distribution shifting down. These facts, together with risk-neutral skewness being substantially more negative than physical return skewness, refute the bulk of the extant consumption-based asset pricing models. We introduce a tractable habit model that does fit the data. In the model, the variance risk premium depends positively (or negatively) on “bad” (or “good”) consumption growth uncertainty.




International Yield Co-movements

May 2022

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9 Reads

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9 Citations

Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis

We decompose long-term nominal bond yields into real and inflation components in an international context using inflation-linked and nominal bonds. In contrast to extant results, real rate variation dominates the variation in inflation-linked and nominal yields. Cross-country nominal and inflation-linked yield correlations have declined since the Great Recession. Real rates are the main source of the correlation between nominal yields. Our results are robust to various alternative measurements of inflation expectations and the liquidity premium. They continue to hold when a no-arbitrage term structure model with real, nominal, and inflation factors is used to effect the yield decomposition.



Citations (52)


... The delta portfolio also outperforms the base portfolio in two out of three downside risk-adjusted return measures (upside potential ratio and modified Sharpe ratio), though it performs slightly worse in terms of the Omega ratio. (Bekaert et al. 2023) plays a crucial role in fluctuations in the network. Equity index is by far the single most influential spillover contributor across time-heightened by crisis periods-as expectations of changes in monetary policies by the regulators motivate traders and portfolio managers to make appropriate strategic as well as tactical asset allocation shifts. ...

Reference:

Resilience of green bonds in portfolio diversification: evidence from crisis periods
Risk, Monetary Policy and Asset Prices in a Global World
  • Citing Article
  • January 2023

SSRN Electronic Journal

... This notion primarily highlights the optimal utilization of natural resources and the preservation of the living environment for individuals during the development process. Sustainable development is a transformative framework that maximizes current economic and social advantages without jeopardizing the potential for analogous gains in the future [5,24]. Sustainable development entails the concurrent advancement of three dimensions: sustainable economic growth, a thriving society characterized by equity and stability, cultural diversity, and an unpolluted environment, all supported by responsibly managed resources. ...

Sustainable investment – Exploring the linkage between alpha, ESG , and SDGs
  • Citing Article
  • June 2023

Sustainable Development

... In such an exceptional economic situation, the study also examines how weighting affects indexes' stability, performance and representativeness. This is because there has been an increasing interest in investing within emerging markets coupled with the need for reliable benchmarks (Bekaert et al., 2023). ...

Emerging equity markets in a globalized world
  • Citing Article
  • May 2023

Emerging Markets Review

... It is common knowledge that during the pandemic certain sectors in the industry benefited and others lost their demand on the supply for some items. Researchers argued whether the COVID-19 shock could be treated as a demand shock caused by rising unemployment and falling incomes plus the purchasing power among the people, or a supply shock resulting from breakdown in supply chains, the shutting down of industries, and so on [22]. Others, such as Triggs and Karas [23] argue that the situation is not just a demand and supply shock but also a financial shock. ...

The Variance Risk Premium in Equilibrium Models
  • Citing Article
  • March 2023

European Finance Review

... In particular, the US Treasury (UST) (see Figure 1) is a key factor driving the JGB yield dynamics. Some recent studies, including Bekaert and Ermolov (2021) and Berardi and Plazzi (2022), find relatively strong co-movements of government bond yields among the US, UK, France, Germany and Japan. 4 To test how the UST yields affect the JGB yield dynamics under YCC, we apply a co-integration analysis to study their dynamic relationship. ...

International Yield Co-movements
  • Citing Article
  • May 2022

Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis

... There has been broad empirical literature studying the comovement between real inflation rates and financial conditions (Bekaert et al., 2010;Ang et al., 2012;Boons et al., 2020;Fang et al., 2022). However, inflation expectations have two advantages compared with realized inflation rates. ...

Risk, Uncertainty and Monetary Policy
  • Citing Article
  • January 2013

SSRN Electronic Journal

... The genesis of the COVID-19 shock to the Indian macro-economy lies in the lockdowns, layoffs, disruption in supply chains, and so on, which were the only solutions to tackling the medical emergency. The resultant economic fluctuations necessitated an urgent response from governments to tackle the combined range of effects (Bekaert et al., 2020), which can be termed shocks to the economy. An economic shock is an unexpected exogenous disturbance that has a significant (usually adverse) impact on macro-economic variables (Kar & Bhattacharya, 2011). ...

The Variance Risk Premium in Equilibrium Models
  • Citing Article
  • January 2020

SSRN Electronic Journal

... Jain and Mittal (2023) report that 614 articles, published in 255 academic journals over the period of 2003-2022, study volatility indexes, while Gonzalez-Perez (2015) and Fassas and Siriopoulos (2021) present a review of the primary uses of volatility indexes in academic literature. We also contribute to the growing recent strand of literature that investigates variance risk premium (indicatively, Bollerslev, Tauchen, and Zho 2009;Carr and Wu 2009;Bollerslev, Gibson, and Zhou 2011;Bekaert, Hoerova, and Duka 2013;Bekaert and Hoerova 2014;Bollerslev et al. 2014;Fassas and Papadamou 2018). Understanding changes in risk appetite is important as they are widely viewed as an important determinant of equity price dynamics and a key factor in financial stability. ...

The VIX, the Variance Premium and Stock Market Volatility
  • Citing Article
  • January 2014

SSRN Electronic Journal

... This article addresses the rapidly emerging literature concerning the effects of COVID-19 on the real economy and the corporate sector. Globally, increased disease incidences and severity triggered fear, anxiety, and uncertainty, resulting in a surge in risk aversion and uncertainty (Bekaert et al., 2021). The objective of those papers is to examine how banks behave during the aggregate risk episodes of a pandemic. ...

The Time Variation in Risk Appetite and Uncertainty
  • Citing Article
  • October 2021

Management Science

... The findings of the study are not only consistent with research conducted on Turkish financial markets but also align with the findings of various studies (Li et al., 2021;Ge & Zhang, 2022;Malinská, 2022;Grishchenko et al., 2022;Huang et al., 2023a;Qin et al., 2023;Wang et al., 2023;Wei et al., 2023Wei et al., , 2023bChristensen et al., 2024;Uddin et al., 2024) conducted on international markets. To this end, as it stated in many studies (Çepni et al., 2020;Bai et al., 2021;Bekaert & De Santis, 2021;Chen et al., 2022;Zhang et al., 2022;Asonuma et al., 2023;Wu et al., 2022;Zhang & Zhang, 2023;Chen et al., 2024) volatility, as a risk indicator, begins to exert a significant influence on bond yields as the maturity extends. ...

Risk and Return in International Corporate Bond Markets
  • Citing Article
  • March 2021

Journal of International Financial Markets Institutions and Money