G J Draper’s research while affiliated with University of Oxford and other places


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Publications (101)


Fig. 3 Excess relative risk per film exposed, by birth cohort, with 95% confidence limits, estimated from a multivariable model. 8513 pairs with deaths 1953-72. © 1988 by John Wiley & Son Ltd, reproduced from Bithell and Stiller 18 by kind permission
Childhood cancer research in Oxford I: the Oxford Survey of Childhood Cancers
  • Article
  • Full-text available

August 2018

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137 Reads

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9 Citations

British Journal of Cancer

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GJ Draper

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Background: Significant research on the epidemiology and natural history of childhood cancer took place in the Universities of Oxford and Birmingham over sixty years. This is the first of three papers recording this work and describes the Oxford Survey of Childhood Cancers (OSCC), the largest case-control survey of childhood cancer ever undertaken. Methods: The OSCC studied deaths in Britain from 1953 to 1981. Parents were interviewed and medical records from ante-natal clinics and treatment centres were followed up and abstracted. The survey left Oxford in 1975 and was run subsequently from Birmingham. The data are now being documented and archived to make them available for future study. Results: Many papers have resulted from this survey, most notably those relating to the association first reported therein between childhood cancer and ante-natal X-raying. This paper is a historical review of the OSCC. Conclusions: In spite of many analyses of the study, this historic data set has continuing value because of the large number of examples of some very rare tumours and the detailed clinical and family history data that are available; and also because of the possibility of carrying out new analyses to investigate emerging research issues.

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Childhood cancer research in oxford III: The work of CCRG on ionising radiation

August 2018

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114 Reads

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12 Citations

British Journal of Cancer

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John F. Bithell

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[...]

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Tim J. Vincent

Background: High doses of ionising radiation are a known cause of childhood cancer and great public and professional interest attaches to possible links between childhood cancer and lower doses, particularly of man-made radiation. This paper describes work done by the Childhood Cancer Research Group (CCRG) on this topic METHODS: Most UK investigations have made use of the National Registry of Childhood Tumours and associated controls. Epidemiological investigations have included national incidence and mortality analyses, geographical investigations, record linkage and case-control studies. Dosimetric studies use biokinetic and dosimetric modelling. Results: This paper reviews the work of the CCRG on the association between exposure to ionising radiation and childhood cancer, 1975-2014. Conclusion: The work of CCRG has been influential in developing understanding of the causes of 'clusters' of childhood cancer and the risks arising from exposure to ionising radiation both natural and man-made. Some clusters around nuclear installations have certainly been observed, but ionising radiation does not seem to be a plausible cause. The group's work has also been instrumental in discounting the hypothesis that paternal preconception irradiation was a cause of childhood cancers and has demonstrated an increased leukaemia risk for children exposed to higher levels of natural gamma-ray radiation.


Childhood cancer research in Oxford II: The Childhood Cancer Research Group

August 2018

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158 Reads

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7 Citations

British Journal of Cancer

Background: We summarise the work of the Childhood Cancer Research Group, particularly in relation to the UK National Registry of Childhood Tumours (NRCT). Methods: The Group was responsible for setting up and maintaining the NRCT. This registry was based on notifications from regional cancer registries, specialist children's tumour registries, paediatric oncologists and clinical trials organisers. For a large sample of cases, data on controls matched by date and place of birth were also collected. Results: Significant achievements of the Group include: studies of aetiology and of genetic epidemiology; proposals for, and participation in, international comparative studies of these diseases and on a classification system specifically for childhood cancer; the initial development of, and major contributions to, follow-up studies of the health of long-term survivors; the enhancement of cancer registration records by the addition of clinical data and of birth records. The Group made substantial contributions to the UK government's Committee on Medical Aspects of Radiation in the Environment. Conclusion: An important part of the ethos of the Group was to work in collaboration with many other organisations and individuals, both nationally and internationally: many of the Group's achievements described here were the result of such collaborations.



Second and subsequent tumours among 1927 retinoblastoma patients diagnosed in Britain 1951-2004

May 2013

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87 Reads

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107 Citations

British Journal of Cancer

Background: Retinoblastoma is an eye tumour of childhood that occurs in heritable and non-heritable forms. In the heritable form, there is a predisposition to the development of non-ocular subsequent primary tumours (SPTs). Methods: This study included 1927 retinoblastoma patients diagnosed in Britain from 1951 to 2004. Ascertainment was through the (UK) National Registry of Childhood Tumours; cases were followed-up for the occurrence of SPTs. Standardised incidence ratios (SIRs) were calculated. Results: We identified 169 SPTs in 152 patients. The SIR analysis included 145 SPTs with cancer registrations from the years 1971 to 2009. These tumours occurred in 132 patients: 112 of the 781 heritable and 20 of the 1075 (presumed) non-heritable cases under surveillance at the start of this period developed at least one registered SPT. The SIRs for all tumours combined were 13.7 (95% confidence interval 11.3–16.5) in heritable cases and 1.5 (0.9–2.3) in non-heritable cases. The main types of SPT in the heritable cases were leiomyosarcoma, (31 cases; SIR 1018.7 (692.2–1446.0)), osteosarcoma (26 cases; SIR 444.6 (290.4–651.4)), and skin melanoma (12 cases; SIR 18.6 (9.6–32.4)). Conclusion: The risk of SPTs in heritable retinoblastoma is extremely high. This has important implications for the clinical follow-up and counselling of survivors and their families.


Estimated RR of childhood leukaemia by distance of birth address from high-voltage overhead power line (see text). Reference levels: distance ⩾600 m, magnetic field <0.1 μT.
Kroll ME, Swanson J, Vincent TJ, Draper GJChildhood cancer and magnetic fields from high-voltage power lines in England and Wales: a case-control study. Br J Cancer 103(7): 1122-1127

September 2010

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114 Reads

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84 Citations

British Journal of Cancer

Epidemiological evidence suggests that chronic low-intensity extremely-low-frequency magnetic-field exposure is associated with increased risk of childhood leukaemia; it is not certain the association is causal. We report a national case-control study relating childhood cancer risk to the average magnetic field from high-voltage overhead power lines at the child's home address at birth during the year of birth, estimated using National Grid records. From the National Registry of Childhood Tumours, we obtained records of 28,968 children born in England and Wales during 1962-1995 and diagnosed in Britain under age 15. We selected controls from birth registers, matching individually by sex, period of birth, and birth registration district. No participation by cases or controls was required. The estimated relative risk for each 0.2 μT increase in magnetic field was 1.14 (95% confidence interval 0.57 to 2.32) for leukaemia, 0.80 (0.43-1.51) for CNS/brain tumours, and 1.34 (0.84-2.15) for other cancers. Although not statistically significant, the estimate for childhood leukaemia resembles results of comparable studies. Assuming causality, the estimated attributable risk is below one case per year. Magnetic-field exposure during the year of birth is unlikely to be the whole cause of the association with distance from overhead power lines that we previously reported.


Odds ratios (95% CI) for moving window of exposure levels, adjusted for age, sex, SES and study. Reference level: <0.1 μT.
Nonparametric estimates of trend in log odds of being a case with a range of levels of smoothing (A. 2 d.f.; B. 3 d.f.; C. 4 d.f.; D. 5 d.f.) from a generalised additive model, with adjustment for study, age of diagnosis and sex. Outer dotted lines represent 95% confidence limits.
Pooled Analysis of Recent Studies of Magnetic Fields and Childhood Leukemia

September 2010

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381 Reads

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196 Citations

British Journal of Cancer

Previous pooled analyses have reported an association between magnetic fields and childhood leukaemia. We present a pooled analysis based on primary data from studies on residential magnetic fields and childhood leukaemia published after 2000. Seven studies with a total of 10,865 cases and 12,853 controls were included. The main analysis focused on 24-h magnetic field measurements or calculated fields in residences. In the combined results, risk increased with increase in exposure, but the estimates were imprecise. The odds ratios for exposure categories of 0.1-0.2 μT, 0.2-0.3 μT and ≥0.3 μT, compared with <0.1 μT, were 1.07 (95% CI 0.81-1.41), 1.16 (0.69-1.93) and 1.44 (0.88-2.36), respectively. Without the most influential study from Brazil, the odds ratios increased somewhat. An increasing trend was also suggested by a nonparametric analysis conducted using a generalised additive model. Our results are in line with previous pooled analyses showing an association between magnetic fields and childhood leukaemia. Overall, the association is weaker in the most recently conducted studies, but these studies are small and lack methodological improvements needed to resolve the apparent association. We conclude that recent studies on magnetic fields and childhood leukaemia do not alter the previous assessment that magnetic fields are possibly carcinogenic.


Pooled analysis of recent studies of magnetic fields and childhood leukaemia

January 2010

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117 Reads

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153 Citations

British Journal of Cancer

The BJC is owned by Cancer Research UK, a charity dedicated to understanding the causes, prevention and treatment of cancer and to making sure that the best new treatments reach patients in the clinic as quickly as possible. The journal reflects these aims. It was founded more than fifty years ago and, from the start, its far-sighted mission was to encourage communication of the very best cancer research from laboratories and clinics in all countries. The breadth of its coverage, its editorial independence and it consistent high standards, have made BJC one of the world's premier general cancer journals. Its increasing popularity is reflected by a steadily rising impact factor.


Non-ocular tumours following retinoblastoma in Great Britain 1951 to 2004

October 2009

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40 Reads

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60 Citations

The British journal of ophthalmology

Retinoblastoma occurs in both a heritable and a non-heritable form. In the heritable form, there is a predisposition to the development of non-ocular tumours. To identify the types of non-ocular tumour occurring in retinoblastoma survivors and to produce estimates of risk for these tumours. We carried out a cohort study that included 1927 cases of retinoblastoma diagnosed in Great Britain between 1951 and 2004. Cases were ascertained through the National Registry of Childhood Tumours and followed up for the occurrence of non-ocular tumours using the routine notification system based on the National Health Service Central Registers in Britain. Of the 1927 cases, 809 were known to have the heritable form of the disease and 1118 assumed to have the non-heritable form. 102 of the heritable and 13 of those classified as non-heritable developed a non-ocular tumour. The cumulative risk of developing such a tumour 50 years after retinoblastoma diagnosis was 48.3% (95% confidence interval: 38.1 to 59.7%) in the heritable and 4.9% (1.9 to 12.4%) in the non-heritable cases. The main categories of non-ocular tumours observed in the heritable cases were soft-tissue sarcomas (36 of which 21 were leiomyosarcoma), osteosarcoma (32), carcinoma (13), brain and central nervous system tumours (10), melanoma (9), leukaemia (4) and others (4). There were a total of 108 non-ocular tumours in 102 cases. There is a high risk of non-ocular tumours occurring in survivors of heritable retinoblastoma. These results have important implications for the clinical follow-up and counselling of survivors.


Table 1 (Continued ) 
Table 2 Relative risks for childhood cancer by time of maternal employment at facilities participating in the NRRW 
Cancer in the offspring of female radiation workers: A record linkage study

February 2009

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71 Reads

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34 Citations

British Journal of Cancer

This study uses record linkage between the National Registry of Childhood Tumours (NRCT) and the National Registry for Radiation Workers to re-assess our earlier finding that the offspring of women radiation workers exposed to ionising radiation before the child's conception may be at an increased risk of childhood cancer. An additional 16 964 childhood cancer patients taken from the NRCT, together with the same number of matched controls, are included. Pooled analyses, based on the new and original datasets, include 52 612 cases and their matched controls. Relative risks (RRs) for maternal employment as a radiation worker, maternal exposure or not during the relevant pregnancy and pattern of employment relative to conception and diagnosis dates were calculated. The new data provide no evidence of an increased risk of childhood cancer associated with maternal preconception radiation work and thus do not support our earlier finding of a raised risk in the offspring of female radiation workers. Considering the pooled data, a weak association was found between maternal radiation work during pregnancy and childhood cancer in offspring although the evidence is limited by the small numbers of linked cases and controls.


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Citations (83)


... В детском и подростковом возрасте злокачественные новообразования (ЗНО) являются несравненно более редким заболеванием, чем у взрослых. В структуре опухолей у детей ЗНО составляют 1-2% по сравнению с лицами старшего возраста, и опухоли орофациальной зоны не исключение [1]. Новообразования в этой области у детей и подростков чаще имеют доброкачественный характер: мукоцеле и ранулы, опухоли слюнных желез, одонтомы, очаги хронического воспаления и другие [2]. ...

Reference:

Tumors of the orofacial zone in children and adolescents (literature review)
Childhood cancer research in Oxford II: The Childhood Cancer Research Group

British Journal of Cancer

... щего излучения в пренатальном периоде сопряжено с риском возникновения лейкемии и других злокачественных новообразований в детском возрасте [18,19]. Была описана линейная зависимость между риском возникновения онкологических поражений у детей и количеством проведенных рентгенологических исследований [20]. Также было показано, что риск развития рака в детском возрасте, связанный с воздействием ионизирующего излучения в первом триместре беременности, был 2,5 раза выше, чем при облучении в третьем триместре, что означает повышенную чувствительность к действию ионизирующего излучения на ранних сроках беременности [21]. ...

Childhood cancer research in Oxford I: the Oxford Survey of Childhood Cancers

British Journal of Cancer

... Even the low amount of ionizing radiation doses during infancy is of specific concern, for their considerable evidence of augmented hazard from epidemiologic research findings. (Ghoneam et al., 2022;Schmidt et al., 2021;Kendall et al., 2018). Adolescents (under the age of 20) are given special attention since current information shows that the risk increase following exposure in childhood is higher due to their rapidly developing cells than that after exposure during maturity for the identical dose. ...

Childhood cancer research in oxford III: The work of CCRG on ionising radiation

British Journal of Cancer

... Most of the previous ecological studies investigating associations between childhood leukaemia and naturally occurring sources of ionising radiation have found positive associations for radon (13)(14)(15) while for gamma radiation and cosmic rays results have been inconsistent (16)(17)(18)(19)(20)(21)(22). Early case-control studies of the association between natural sources of radiation and childhood leukaemia were underpowered and have reported mixed results (23-26). ...

An Analysis of Childhood Leukaemia and Natural Radiation in Britain
  • Citing Article
  • December 1992

Radiation Protection Dosimetry

... Because of the high fat content of red bone marrow, it has been suggested that radon gas doses delivered to this organ may be high enough to damage stem cells (Tong et al. 2012) and increase the risk of childhood leukemia (Richardson 2008). The relationship between radon exposure and childhood leukemia has been addressed in various case-control studies (Cartwright et al. 2002;Kaletsch et al. 1999;Kendall et al. 2013;Lubin et al. 1998;Maged et al. 2000;Raaschou-Nielsen et al. 2008;Steinbuch et al. 1999;Stjernfeldt et al. 1987) and ecological studies (Alexander et al. 1990;Butland et al. 1990;Collman et al. 1991;Evrard et al. 2005Evrard et al. , 2006Foreman et al. 1994;Gilman and Knox 1998;Henshaw et al. 1990;Lucie 1990;Muirhead et al. 1991;Richardson et al. 1995;Thorne et al. 1996aThorne et al. , 1996b. Most of the ecological studies reported an association between childhood leukemia and estimated domestic radon exposure. ...

Radon and leukaemia (VI)
  • Citing Article
  • January 1990

... With regards to childhood cancer, elevated risks were reported for acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL) with non-specific maternal intake of anti-epileptic medications in pregnancy [30] as well as for brain tumors, although some studies had small sample sizes and reported wide confidence intervals that included the null [31][32][33]. A link between childhood lymphoma and prior exposure to phenytoin in utero was proposed [34], but several studies were unable to corroborate these associations [35][36][37][38]. A study that found an association with brain tumors in children taking anticonvulsants or having a history of epileptic seizures may have been affected by reverse causation if the tumor was causing seizures prior to diagnosis [38]. ...

Childhood cancer and drugs in pregnancy
  • Citing Article
  • July 1979

British Medical Journal (Clinical research ed.)

... The eleventh COMARE report provided an overview of the geographical patterns of variation in the incidence of different types of childhood cancer, and the relation of these to socio-demographic factors (COMARE, 2006). Childhood leukaemia and other types of childhood cancers occurred unevenly within the population of Great Britain. ...

The Distribution of Childhood Leukaemia and Other Childhood Cancers in Great Britain 1969‒1993
  • Citing Book
  • July 2006

... The first is the magnitude of the excess: During the period 1990-2005, 14 cases were ascertained in the region defined by a 5-km radius. Compared with several other highly discussed leukemia clusters near European nuclear facilities, this is largest series of childhood leukemia cases reported to date (despite a definition that is relatively narrow in terms of both eligible ages for case inclusion and residential distance from the facility) (Black et al. 1994;Draper et al. 1988;Hoffmann et al. 1997;Viel et al. 1993). For example, the cluster of childhood cancers among children in Seascale, United Kingdom, reported by Gardner et al. (1987) included five deaths from leukemia. ...

Childhood leukaemia and Dounreay [Letter]
  • Citing Article
  • July 1988

The Lancet

... These results are consistent with several prior ecological studies in the USA at the state level [38] and with findings from England and Wales at the county level [52]. Smith et al. [33] found a (nonsignificant) positive association between CLL incidence rates and county level radon values within Iowa. ...

Radon and leukaemia
  • Citing Article
  • June 1990

The Lancet

... The characteristics of the 47 identified studies of childhood leukaemia are presented in Table S1 in the online supplement. 18 studies were conducted in the USA, 15 in the UK, 11 in continental Europe, 2 in New Zealand, 1 in Pakistan and 1 was an international study [17]. The pioneering US and UK studies with two exceptions [18,19] included fewer than five hundred cases, yet since the 1990s several state-or nationwide studies of more than one thousand cases have been carried out in the USA, the UK and continental Europe. ...

Spatial temporal patterns in childhood leukaemia: further evidence for an infectious origin

British Journal of Cancer