Fuwei Jiang’s research while affiliated with Xiamen University and other places

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Publications (63)


Stock return predictability in the frequency domain
  • Article

January 2025

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2 Reads

International Journal of Forecasting

Zhifeng Dai

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Fuwei Jiang

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Jie Kang

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Bowen Xue




Total news data of each year
Flowcharts of using BERT
Time series change of sentiment indicator and market return
Sentiment indicators non-parametric test
Cumulative mean squared forecast errors trend during extreme events

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Deep learning, textual sentiment, and financial market
  • Article
  • Publisher preview available

June 2024

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58 Reads

Information Technology and Management

In this paper, we apply the BERT model, a cut-edging deep learning model, to construct a novel textual sentiment index in the Chinese stock market. By introducing the stock market returns as sentiment labels, our BERT model effectively extracts textual sentiment-related information useful for asset pricing. We find that the BERT-based sentiment has much greater predictive power for stock market returns than the traditional dictionary method as well as the Baker–Wurgler investor sentiment index both in and out of sample. The BERT-based sentiment shows strong predictive power during economic downturns and can significantly predict future macroeconomic conditions. Overall, our BERT model offers a better measure of textual investor sentiment, highlighting the potentially significant value of deep learning, AI, and FinTech in financial market.

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Forecasting Inflation Using Economic Narratives

April 2024

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92 Reads

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6 Citations





Citations (30)


... After 2001, the effect of sentiment-driven investors and their stock misvaluation in the USA are marginal. According to Jiang et al. [27], mispricing is a relevant factor in capturing stock returns in 33 markets. ...

Reference:

Stock Mispricing and Firm Innovation: Evidence from an Emerging Equity Market
Global mispricing matters
  • Citing Article
  • July 2024

Journal of International Money and Finance

... Additionally, we are the first to validate that deep hedging empirically performs equally well for put options as compared to call options. This paper is related to the extensive application of machine learning in option pricing and hedging (Amilon 2003;Garcia and Gençay 2000;Hutchinson et al. 1994;Ivașcu 2021;Huang et al. 2022, Hong et al. 2024. Instead of deriving option price from no-arbitrage or other economic and statistical assumptions, these studies consider option price as a functional mapping output based on information about the option and the underlying asset (Ivașcu 2021). ...

Forecasting Inflation Using Economic Narratives
  • Citing Article
  • April 2024

... Empirical work further consolidates the role of fuzzy logic and hybrid modeling, presenting evidence-based improvements in forecasting accuracy and decision support capabilities. Jiang et al. [22] demonstrated the superior performance of machine learning algorithms, particularly deep learning, in predicting stock price crash risks by leveraging firm-specific characteristics, with a focus on profitability and value versus growth features, offering nuanced economic interpretations and highlighting significant applications within state-owned enterprises and low economic policy uncertainty periods in the Chinese stock market. Chen et al. [21] proposed a fuzzy time-series model incorporating the Fibonacci sequence to improve stock price forecasting accuracy. ...

Fundamental characteristics, machine learning, and stock price crash risk
  • Citing Article
  • April 2024

Journal of Financial Markets

... The most critical reason behind this choice is the existence of the momentum feature in the 4-FM. Integrating the momentum factor gives the 4-FM a more holistic view of what may drive the stock returns (Ma et al., 2024). It also improves the model's capacity to explain performance in short-term investment (Fama and French, 2015), which is often important to investors and portfolio managers. ...

Factor Momentum in the Chinese Stock Market
  • Citing Article
  • December 2023

Journal of Empirical Finance

... While much of the existing literature emphasizes how shocks stemming from U.s. economic indicators (Jiang et al., 2023;shi & Wang, 2023shi & Wang, ), trade relations (sheikh et al., 2024 and climate policy uncertainties (kayani et al., 2024) influence equity markets, fewer studies investigate other dimensions of shock propagation. For example, Yunus (2023) examines how gDP-related shocks within the U.s. economy are transmitted to financial markets in emerging countries. ...

International stock return predictability: The role of U.S. uncertainty spillover
  • Citing Article
  • December 2023

Pacific-Basin Finance Journal

... Similarly, Nyakurukwa and Seetharam (2023) analyzed textual sentiment from news and Twitter to assess price deviations in dual-listed stocks, while Costola et al. (2023) used machine learning to link COVID-19-related news sentiment with S&P 500 performance. Other studies explore unconventional sentiment sources, such as music sentiment (Can et al., 2023), weather conditions (Ma et al., 2023) and social media discussions (Long et al., 2023). Moreover, Ding et al. (2023) examined sentiment derived from technical trading strategies, finding that it predicts near-term returns but has an inverse effect in the long run. ...

Weather Sentiment Index and Stock Return Predictability: Evidence from China
  • Citing Article
  • May 2023

Emerging Markets Finance and Trade

... Established around 1990, China's stock market features a unique dual-listing system [62]. In this study, dual-listed stocks refer to companies simultaneously listed on China's A-share market and the Hong Kong Stock Exchange (H-share). ...

A latent factor model for the Chinese stock market
  • Citing Article
  • February 2023

International Review of Financial Analysis

... Notwithstanding the simplicity of a momentum strategy, the drawbacks of naïve price momentum are largely applicable to style momentum, namely increased portfolio turnover (trading costs), idiosyncratic volatility, market risk and crash risk (see Barroso & Santa-Clara, 2015;Daniel & Moskowitz, 2016;Grobys et al., 2018). ML offers a more advanced approach to estimating style rotation signals by considering multiple explanatory variables (features) and allows for the incorporation of non-linear dynamics between features and their dependent variables (labels), namely future style performance (see Galakis et al., 2021;Karatas & Hirsa, 2021;Ma et al., 2023;Neuhierl et al., 2023). ...

Timing the factor zoo via deep learning: Evidence from China
  • Citing Article
  • December 2022

Accounting and Finance

... Computer software, patents, copyrights, licences, customer lists, fishing permits and import limits are considered intangible assets under this definition. Liao et al. (2020) show that intangible assets pose challenges in their valuation and usability as collateral for financing. This results in significant financing constraints for firms with substantial intangible assets. ...

Intangibles to Tangible: In Search of Firm Value Creation
  • Citing Article
  • January 2020

SSRN Electronic Journal

... As noted above, the vast majority of studies, 19, were conducted in US markets, followed by Global with 5, see Figure 7. More recently, two studies have been dedicated to China by Ma et al. (2023) andLi et al. (2023), which have become seminal studies for this region. Figure 8 shows the databases used by the 25 studies. ...

Timing the Factor Zoo via Deep Learning: Evidence from China
  • Citing Article
  • January 2022

SSRN Electronic Journal