Douglas H. Kerlin’s research while affiliated with Griffith University and other places

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Publications (29)


Purpose-driven approaches to age estimation in Australian flying-foxes (Pteropus)
  • Article

March 2025

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10 Reads

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Douglas Kerlin

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Peggy Eby

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[...]

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Aging is a ubiquitous component of the life history and biological function of all species. In wildlife studies, estimates of age are critical in order to understand how a species’ ecology, biology and behaviour vary in parallel with its life-history events. Longitudinal studies that track individuals as they age are limited in fruit bats, as recapture is difficult for vagile species with nomadic lifestyles. Most studies estimate age by the broad categorisation of individuals with similar biological characteristics or morphometrics into age classes (e.g. sub-adult and adult). In this review, we systematically compile and compare the age classifications used across a range of studies on Australian flying-foxes (Pteropus). We discuss the associated challenges of those classifications and identify current knowledge gaps. The terminology, methodology and explanations behind age classifications were inconsistent across reviewed studies, demonstrating that age classifications are highly subjective – particularly when identifying reproductively immature individuals. Downstream analyses and cross-disciplinary data use are likely to be compromised as a result. Further known-aged studies of flying-foxes would assist in clarifying variations of key parameters among non-adult individuals. We also encourage greater consistency in age classification and reporting, ensuring that classifications are well defined and biologically sound.




Figure 3. Heatmapping of koala vehicles collisions using kernel density estimation finds high densities of vehicles strike across the study site. Note that identification of hotspots assumed WVC locations were distributed in one dimension (along the study site) rather than in two dimensions. Insert shows study site (red dot) in relation to the state of Queensland.
Figure 5. Chainage points utilised for analysis. A 2.5 km buffer was placed around each chainage point, and koala vehicle strikes within each buffer were enumerated. Brown shading indicates mapped areas of high-quality koala habitat values. Koala vehicle strikes were associated with greater areas of high-quality koala habitat; however, these were not sufficiently clustered to represent hotspots. Insert shows study site (red dot) in relation to the state of Queensland.
Summary statistics for explanatory variables used in the Bayesian spatial filtering model.
Landscape Homogeneity May Drive the Distribution of Koala Vehicle Collisions on a Major Highway in the Clarke-Connors Range in Central Queensland, Australia
  • Article
  • Full-text available

October 2024

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34 Reads

After the loss and fragmentation of habitat, vehicle collisions are one of the main threats to the long-term survival of wild koalas. Koala road strike data were analysed for a section of the Peak Downs Highway between Nebo and Spencer’s Gap, west of Mackay, Queensland, Australia. The analysis was carried out on 345 records (October 2014 to November 2023), and results suggested the spatial distribution of koala road strike followed a random pattern along this section of the highway, assuming a Poisson point pattern on a linear network. An analysis of the candidate predictors of koala vehicle collisions, including habitat and road variables, found that the amount of high-quality koala habitat (as defined by the local koalas’ tree species preference) present and the driver visibility were the only significant predictors. The relative homogeneity of landuse and vegetation across this landscape may mean that koalas do not concentrate at specific crossing points. More research, including detailed habitat mapping, is needed into this population, which currently lacks government and conservation attention, to inform mitigation efforts and reduce mortality rates for this potentially nationally significant population.

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Horse populations are severely underestimated in a region at risk of Hendra virus spillover

April 2024

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19 Reads

Australian Veterinary Journal

Objective To identify the size and distribution of the horse population in the Northern Rivers Region of NSW, including changes from 2007 to 2021, to better understand populations at risk of Hendra virus transmission. Methods Census data from the 2007 Equine Influenza (EI) outbreak were compared with data collected annually by New South Wales Local Land Services (LLS) (2011–2021), and with field observations via road line transects (2021). Results The horse populations reported to LLS in 2011 (3000 horses; 0.77 horses/km ² ) was 145% larger than that reported during the EI outbreak in 2007 (1225 horses; 0.32 horses/km ² ). This was inconsistent with the 6% increase in horses recorded from 2011 to 2020 within the longitudinal LLS dataset. Linear modelling suggested the true horse population of this region in 2007 was at least double that reported at the time. Distance sampling in 2021 estimated the region's population at 10,185 horses (3.89 per km ² ; 95% CI = 4854–21,372). Field sampling and modelling identified higher horse densities in rural cropland, with the percentage of conservation land, modified grazing, and rural residential land identified as the best predictors of horse densities. Conclusions Data from the 2007 EI outbreak no longer correlates to the current horse population in size or distribution and was likely not a true representation at the time. Current LLS data also likely underestimates horse populations. Ongoing efforts to further quantify and map horse populations in Australia are important for estimating and managing the risk of equine zoonoses.


Intergenomic signatures of coevolution between Tasmanian devils and an infectious cancer

March 2024

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78 Reads

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2 Citations

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

Coevolution is common and frequently governs host–pathogen interaction outcomes. Phenotypes underlying these interactions often manifest as the combined products of the genomes of interacting species, yet traditional quantitative trait mapping approaches ignore these intergenomic interactions. Devil facial tumor disease (DFTD), an infectious cancer afflicting Tasmanian devils ( Sarcophilus harrisii ), has decimated devil populations due to universal host susceptibility and a fatality rate approaching 100%. Here, we used a recently developed joint genome-wide association study (i.e., co-GWAS) approach, 15 y of mark-recapture data, and 960 genomes to identify intergenomic signatures of coevolution between devils and DFTD. Using a traditional GWA approach, we found that both devil and DFTD genomes explained a substantial proportion of variance in how quickly susceptible devils became infected, although genomic architectures differed across devils and DFTD; the devil genome had fewer loci of large effect whereas the DFTD genome had a more polygenic architecture. Using a co-GWA approach, devil–DFTD intergenomic interactions explained ~3× more variation in how quickly susceptible devils became infected than either genome alone, and the top genotype-by-genotype interactions were significantly enriched for cancer genes and signatures of selection. A devil regulatory mutation was associated with differential expression of a candidate cancer gene and showed putative allele matching effects with two DFTD coding sequence variants. Our results highlight the need to account for intergenomic interactions when investigating host–pathogen (co)evolution and emphasize the importance of such interactions when considering devil management strategies.


Koalas in space and time: Lessons from 20 years of vehicle‐strike trends and hot spots in South East Queensland

December 2023

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62 Reads

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2 Citations

Austral Ecology

The localized clustering of wildlife vehicle‐strike in space and time, often called ‘hot spots’, are commonly used to guide placement of road mitigation installations. We interrogated koala vehicle‐strike data across a 20‐year period between 1997 and 2016, examining trends in identified hot spots. We found that hot spots were not static and decline or emerge in line with the resultant pressures (e.g., from development and associated traffic increases) being exerted on koala populations within the surrounding landscape. We suggest that there is likely to be a relationship between hot spots waning over time and localized extinction of koalas. We feel strategies that solely focus on hot spot intervention will do little to halt and reverse the significant decline in the koala population across South East Queensland because they are almost always retrospective. It is imperative that regional wildlife movement solutions, around and across roads, are appropriately planned and implemented ahead of time (i.e., during initial construction/developmental expansion), if they are to serve as effective mitigation for remaining local koala population across South East Queensland. We caution against recommending mitigation based solely on historical vehicle‐strike data without considering contemporary population, movement and behavioural data.



Applying landscape-level principles to koala management in Australia: a comparative analysis

October 2022

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70 Reads

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3 Citations

We provide a comparative analysis of two koala management plans for populations in two Australian municipalities, based on principles of landscape management: Ballarat (Victoria) and Bellingen (New South Wales). A landscape-based approach is required to protect the species, but evaluation of landscape management is limited. We present an assessment framework for evaluating local koala management plans. The plans are evaluated against a common set of principles and criteria, despite very different approaches stemming from context-specific factors. Interestingly, despite a variation in the number of indicators in the plans, the overall results of the evaluation demonstrate a similar level of performance against the criteria, and common strengths and weaknesses. In the absence of consistent standards for the protection of the koala across Australia, the species will continue to decline, and management practices will fail to protect the koala from extinction, as is currently predicted.


Citations (17)


... As part of the realignment of the Peak Downs Highway (PDH) at Eton Range [33], a study of the koalas inhabiting Central Queensland's Clark-Connors Range was undertaken with the goal of better understanding future management options around the highway, and in the greater region. These populations have only received limited attention in the past [34], but a recent study [35] has called for urgent action to address the issue of koala WVCs in this area. The area is relatively remote, with low human population densities. ...

Reference:

Landscape Homogeneity May Drive the Distribution of Koala Vehicle Collisions on a Major Highway in the Clarke-Connors Range in Central Queensland, Australia
Monitoring the effectiveness of fauna sensitive infrastructure along the Peak Downs Highway in Central Queensland reveals mixed results for koala conservation
  • Citing Article
  • September 2024

Australasian Journal of Environmental Management

... Prior studies have demonstrated that within urban areas in SEQ, koala vehicle collisions may occur at certain locations with a greater frequency than expected by chance [65]. In the current study, we expected that koala road strikes along the Nebo-Eton section of the PDH would similarly cluster around locations significant to koalas; we hypothesised these would include areas of preferred koala habitat and increased water availability, as well as high vehicular speeds and low driver visibility. ...

Koalas in space and time: Lessons from 20 years of vehicle‐strike trends and hot spots in South East Queensland
  • Citing Article
  • December 2023

Austral Ecology

... A more comprehensive understanding of the local koala populations could also help in planning, as would the input of detailed, field-collected vegetation mapping. Novel technologies including AI-powered wildlife detection and recognition linked to driver and/or wildlife-targeted warning systems (e.g., [77,78]) also promise to provide innovative ways to reduce wildlife vehicle collisions. ...

Dual-stream Convolutional Neural Networks for Koala Detection and Tracking
  • Citing Conference Paper
  • November 2022

... Ecosystem services concept has evolved to a landscape approach ensuring wider stakeholders' engagement in sustainable natural resources management options [2]. The landscape approach is the siloed approach that reduces land use problems such as forest degradation while addressing land rights or community ownership over natural resources [3]. Landscape approach is more relevant as an integrated solution to a sustainable supply of ecosystem services that emphasizes the interconnection and interdependencies among the resources. ...

Applying landscape-level principles to koala management in Australia: a comparative analysis
  • Citing Article
  • October 2022

... Koala vehicle collisions are a significant cause of mortality for the endangered koala [61,62]. It is, however, uncertain whether this increase in koala roadkill is reflective of growth in the local koala population, or the increased detection of koalas hit by a vehicle due to increased vigilance of locals in the community. ...

Insights and inferences on koala conservation from records of koalas arriving to care in South East Queensland

... Rosa rugosa (NC_044094.1), and Rubus idaeus (U06825.1). The conifer Pinus resinosa is a windpollinated plant but was included in this study as bees were found to also forage on wind-pollinated species (Saunders 2017;Cannizzaro et al. 2022). To generate a phylogeny, ultrafast IQ-TREE 9 Page 6 of 17 (version 1.6.12) ...

Forest landscapes increase diversity of honeybee diets in the tropics
  • Citing Article
  • January 2022

Forest Ecology and Management

... Our discrete-time grid-cell approach was chosen to avoid the complexities of predicting individual-based spread, which requires detailed mechanistic knowledge about species behaviour. While similar grid-based diffusion models have been successfully applied to model disease spread in the Tasmanian devil Sarcophilus harrisii (Cunningham et al. 2021), we have advanced this approach to incorporate more complex mechanisms of local diffusion and leap events, reflecting nuanced spread pathways and species dynamics. ...

Quantifying 25 years of disease‐caused declines in Tasmanian devil populations: host density drives spatial pathogen spread

Ecology Letters

... There are likely multiple factors influencing when devils become infected with DFTD and how fast the disease progresses. Mating season, traditionally in late summer, involves increased interaction and fighting between devils (Hamilton et al. 2020), and a period of higher DFTD transmission. For male devils particularly, the stress of mating season can deplete resources (Jones et al. 2008) so this period following mating season may lower male devils' resistance to disease, allowing DFTD a better chance to establish in a new host. ...

Infectious disease and sickness behaviour: tumour progression affects interaction patterns and social network structure in wild Tasmanian devils

... All raw reads from sequencing were first aligned to to the S. harrisii reference genome (37). 128 PCR duplicates were removed, and SNP calling was conducted using gtstacks (Catchen et al. 129 2013) on the merged "bam" files from reads generated from two rounds of sequencing (which 130 was done to achieve sufficient read depth (Margres et al. 2018)). The function populations was 131 then used to keep one random SNP per RAD locus and per 10Kb window, exclude SNPs with 132 a minor allele frequency (MAF) below 1%, to remove individuals with more than 70% missing 133 data, and to remove SNPs present in less than 50% of the samples. ...

Large-effect loci affect survival in Tasmanian devils ( Sarcophilus harrisii ) infected with a transmissible cancer

Molecular Ecology

... As stated above, chlamydia is a primary threatening process for koalas (Grogan et al. 2018). Chlamydiosis, the disease caused by infection from the chlamydia pathogen, can lead to kerato-conjunctivitis and resultant blindness, urinary and/or reproductive tract infections leading to infertility (Jelocnik et al. 2019) and has the potential to cause serious population declines (Grogan et al. 2018). ...

Is disease a major causal factor in declines? An Evidence Framework and case study on koala chlamydiosis
  • Citing Article
  • May 2018

Biological Conservation