David Weisburd’s research while affiliated with George Mason University and other places

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Publications (112)


Do White and Black People Truly View the Police Differently? Findings from a Study of Crime Hot Spots in Baltimore, Maryland
  • Article
  • Full-text available

February 2025

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12 Reads

American Journal of Criminal Justice

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CJ Appleton

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David Weisburd

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While numerous studies demonstrate that Black individuals have more negative perceptions of the police than their White counterparts, few have simultaneously examined racial differences in perceptions of procedural justice, police effectiveness, and legitimacy. Additionally, limited research has rigorously examined the relationship between race and perceptions of the police while carefully accounting for potentially relevant factors that could influence this relationship. Using unique survey data largely drawn from crime hot spots in Baltimore, Maryland, we examined the differences between White ( n = 500) and Black ( n = 2,452) individuals’ perceptions of procedural justice, police effectiveness, and police legitimacy. Furthermore, by conducting propensity-score matching on White and Black residents in our data, we compared perceptions of the police between 394 pairs of similarly situated Black and White residents who were matched based on demographics, victimization, offending, self-control, recent experiences with the police, perceived police presence, and street environments. Results indicated that while Black people have more negative perceptions of procedural justice than White people, they do not hold different perceptions regarding police effectiveness and obligation to obey. These findings hold even when comparing the matched White and Black people. Our findings suggest a nuanced relationship between race and perceptions of the police.

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The Future of the Criminology of Place: New Directions for Research and Practice

January 2025

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127 Reads

David Weisburd

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Anthony A. Braga

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[...]

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Amarat Zaatut

Microgeographic units of analysis have moved to the center of criminological inquiry. This Element brings together leading crime-and-place scholars to identify promising areas for future study. Section 1 introduces the Element and the importance of focusing on the future of studies of crime and place. Section 2 examines the development of hot-spots policing and the importance of focusing on its impact on communities. It also looks at how 'pracademics' can advance the science and practice of place-based policing. Section 3 focuses on place managers as prevention agents and examines how city government can influence crime at place. It further contends that rural communities need to become a key focus of crime-and-place scholarship. Section 4 emphasizes the importance of the connection of health, crime, and place. It also argues for the importance of expanding the methodological tools of crime and place to include careful ethnographic and qualitative research.



Using Agent Based Modelling to Advance Evaluation Research in Radicalization and Recruitment to Terrorism: Prospects and Problems

August 2024

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28 Reads



Fig. 2. Concentration of 25 % of general crime incidents at street segments.
Fig. 3. Concentration of 50 % of general violent crime incidents at street segments.
Fig. 4. Concentration of 50 % of robbery crime incidents at street segments.
Fig. 6. Concentration of 50 % of theft/larceny crime incidents at street segments.
Fig. 7. Concentration of 50 % of theft of vehicle crime incidents at street segments.
Crime concentrations at micro places: A review of the evidence

July 2024

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120 Reads

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5 Citations

Aggression and Violent Behavior

Our paper reports on a systematic review of crime concentration studies over the last 35 years. We identify 47 papers that report on crime concentrations at a micro geographic unit of analysis. These papers produced 49 estimates of general crime concentration for crime incidents at streets segments for a specific cumulative proportion of crime. The median concentration for these estimates is 50 % of crime found at 4.5 % of streets, and 25 % of crime at 1.25 % of streets. The bandwidth for 50 % crime concentration is 9.3 % (1.7–11.0 %), and for 25 % crime concentration 3.0 % (0.4–3.4 %). Using the interquartile range to exclude outliers, we found a bandwidth of 2.5 % (3.2–5.7 %) for 50 % of crime, and 1.4 % (0.8–2.2 %) for 25 % of crime. Crime concentration was generally stronger for specific types of crime, and bandwidths of concentration were generally smaller. Using alternative measures of crime and different micro geographies produces similar conclusions regarding strong crime concentration at place with narrow bandwidths. Our review shows that a general framework of a law of crime concentration applies across a large number of cities across many regions around the world.


Are We Underestimating the Crime Prevention Outcomes of Community Policing? The Importance of Crime Reporting Sensitivity Bias

May 2024

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31 Reads

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5 Citations

One of the key policing innovations of the last three decades has been community-oriented policing. It is particularly important because it is one of the only proactive policing approaches that consistently improves citizen evaluations of the police. At the same time, a series of reviews have concluded that there is not persuasive evidence that community policing reduces crime. In this paper we argue that these conclusions are likely flawed because of what we term crime reporting sensitivity (CRS) bias. CRS bias occurs because community policing leads to more cooperation with the police and subsequently increased crime reporting. Such increased crime reporting bias adjusts crime prevention outcomes of community policing downward. We illustrate this process by reanalyzing data from the Brooklyn Park ACT Experiment (Weisburd et al., 2021). We begin by showing the specific crime categories that contribute most to CRS bias. We then use a difference-in-differences panel regression approach to assess whether the experimental intervention in Brooklyn Park led to significant CRS bias. Finally, we use bounded estimates from the Brooklyn Park Experiment to adjust meta-analytic results from prior community policing studies to examine whether the conclusion that community policing does not impact on crime would need to be revisited if CRS bias was accounted for. We find that adjusted estimates tell a very different, more positive, story about community policing, suggesting that future studies should recognize and adjust for CRS bias, or identify other measures not influenced by this mechanism.


Examining the relationship between officer attitudes and behaviour in a multi-site trial of procedural justice training

April 2024

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23 Reads

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1 Citation

Policing

While reformers view police training as an important means for improving performance, the training evidence base has historically been weak. Little research has focussed on how training impacts both attitudes and behaviour in the field, and the extent to which changes in attitudes following a training program are linked to officer behaviour in the field. This paper uses data from a multi-site randomized trial of procedural justice training in hot spots to assess the attitude–behaviour link. We ask to what extent do officers’ attitudes about procedural justice impact their behaviour in the field? We find no support for officer baseline attitudes being predictive of their use of procedural justice with the public. But for trained officers, we do find evidence that attitudes following training are related to behaviour in observed interactions in the field. We conclude with a discussion of the implications for police training and training evaluation studies.


Proactive policing and traffic disturbances: A quasi-experiment in three Israeli cities

April 2024

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16 Reads

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1 Citation

Policing

This paper describes a quasi-experimental evaluation of a reform in Israel (‘EMUN’), which attempted to institutionalize problem-oriented policing on a national scale. The current study examines the effect of this reform on tackling traffic disturbance and road bullying offences. We compared three police stations that chose to deal with traffic offences using the tools and techniques provided through the reform (treatment stations) with five police stations that were matched - using a specially designed algorithm - on several criteria, including similar trends of traffic offences (comparison stations). Each treatment station was compared to two comparison stations using a difference-in-differences approach. In five out of six comparisons there were large and significant reductions in documented traffic disturbances in the targeted areas of the treatment stations compared to the control stations. We also found evidence of significant diffusions in crime control benefits in two of the treatment stations. However, there was evidence of significant geographical displacement to the buffer zone in the largest treatment stations. We attribute this to differences in the nature of the areas targeted and discuss the relative harms and benefits. The findings of the study show that institutionalizing a variety of evidence-based policing strategies has a promise not only for classic crimes (such as property and violence), but also for incivilities and quality-of-life offenses.


Can increasing preventive patrol in large geographic areas reduce crime?: A systematic review and meta‐analysis

April 2024

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194 Reads

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1 Citation

Criminology & Public Policy

Research summary We conducted a systematic review and meta‐analysis examining whether increasing preventive patrol in large areas reduces crime. Our review included experimental and quasi‐experimental studies that focused on areas such as beats, precincts, or entire jurisdictions and that measured a crime outcome either through official data or surveys. We identified 17 studies to include in our review. We used two methods for assessing study impacts: an approach which identified a primary/general outcome measure and a second approach which used robust variance estimation (RVE) and included all effect sizes across each study. Both approaches showed small crime prevention benefits (RVE: 9% decline; primary/general: 6% decline), but only the RVE model was significant at conventional levels ( p < 0.05). There was no significant evidence of displacement. Moderator analyses suggest that as dosage increases so do the crime prevention impacts. In RVE models, preventive patrol was associated with significant reductions in property and violent crime, but nonsignificant increases in drug and disorder offenses. Policy implications Increasing preventive patrol activities has the potential to reduce crime in large administrative areas. At the same time, existing studies offer little guidance as to how such preventive patrol should be carried out. Deterrence theory, as well as evidence from studies of hot spots policing, suggests that the greatest benefits will be gained from informing patrol efforts about where and when crime occurs. Although more research is needed regarding patrol allocations in large areas, present knowledge suggests that the more such patrols can be targeted at specific places at specific times, the greater will be the crime control benefits. In this context, we argue that police agencies may want to apply a hybrid approach to police patrol, which would include a combination of hot spots policing units and general patrol units informed by data on where crime is concentrated.


Citations (57)


... Given the consistency of these findings, Weisburd (2015) has proposed an empirical principle that explains the spatial distribution of crime at micro-levels: the law of crime concentration. This law stipulates that 'for a defined measure of crime at a specific micro-geographic unit, the concentration of crime will fall within a narrow bandwidth of percentages for a defined cumulative proportion of crime' (Weisburd, 2014, p. 138, see more recently Petersen et al., 2024). At least at the household level, we should expect to find hotspots similar to the 'hot' addresses detected by Sherman et al. (1989) and others. ...

Reference:

‘Domestic abuse hot spots’: A longitudinal, place-based analysis of 13 years of initial reports to the police
Does level of geography influence proactive policing's impact on crime? A synthesis of systematic reviews of three evidence-based policing strategies
  • Citing Article
  • August 2024

Aggression and Violent Behavior

... The match rate was 98.8%. 2 The initial thresholds for drug and violent crimes were set at 18 drug-related CFS and 19 violent CFS, respectively, which represent the top 2.5% of city segments in each category. These values were selected as a midpoint between the commonly used 1% and 5% thresholds for identifying crime hot spots(Weisburd et al., 2024b). To better meet sampling goals for streets with high levels of drug-related or violent crime, the thresholds were adjusted to 17 violent CFS and 16 drug CFS, reflecting approximately the top 3% of street segments in each category. ...

Crime concentrations at micro places: A review of the evidence

Aggression and Violent Behavior

... This study showcases Bangladesh's natural and cultural grandeur and highlights destinations inversely impacted by commercialization (Gill et al., 2024). It offers an understanding of how these tributes could advance tourism in memorable ways and foster international security by contributing experiences of authenticity and internal peace (Talukder & Muhsina, 2024). ...

Building “A Beautiful Safe Place for Youth” through problem‐oriented community organizing: A quasi‐experimental evaluation
  • Citing Article
  • January 2024

Criminology & Public Policy

... Public places like train stations can be considered criminogenic due to their ability to provide a sense of anonymity, which is often necessary for specific criminal acts to occur (see recently in Peterson et al., 2023). For these reasons, USBs will likely be facilitated by the right conditions in these hot spots (see Ariel et al., 2023;Ceccato et al., 2020, pp. 5-7). ...

Can the police cool down quality-of-life hotspots? A double-blind national randomized control trial of policing low-harm hotspots

Policing

... With rather minor exceptions, researchers generally found no substantive differences in crime across the three policing strategy conditions. However, it should be noted that a reanalysis of the data in the Kansas City Experiment did find evidence that police proactive patrol had a more substantial impact on crime than previously reported (see also Petersen et al., 2023;Weisburd et al., 2023). Although it remains unclear whether the practice of discretionary stops has a crime control effect on jurisdictional crime rates, there is sufficient evidence to suspect that it might have an impact on hot spot crime suppression. ...

Does police patrol in large areas prevent crime? Revisiting the Kansas City Preventive Patrol Experiment

... This is perhaps not surprising given the inherent relationship between investigations and sanctions. However, the convergence across the data in Tables 3 and 4 can help inform the work of stakeholders by focusing intelligence gathering to inform prevention efforts (Weisburd et al., 2023). Professionals should also note that investigations normally report the country where the case is investigated, but tennis sanctions are reported by nationality of the people involved, regardless of where the offence was committed. ...

The Future of Evidence-Based Policing: Introduction
  • Citing Chapter
  • June 2023

... In their recent chapter Re-inventing policing: Using science to transform policing, Neyroud and Weisburd (2023) return to their 2011 paper (Weisburd and Neyroud, 2011), in which they discuss the critical role of science in policing. In that paper, they have argued that police agencies should 'take ownership' of science, and they have laid out a paradigm for the desired relationship between police practitioners and researchers. ...

Re-inventing Policing: Using Science to Transform Policing
  • Citing Chapter
  • June 2023

... This chapter explores the extent to which practice is being shaped by the best evidence. The focus in this chapter is less on the evidence base itself (which has grown rapidly in recent years; see Telep and Weisburd, 2023 for a review) and more on whether policing practice makes use of this evidence. The sections that follow focus on three main areas that help to shed light on this question. ...

A Review of Systematic Reviews in Policing
  • Citing Chapter
  • June 2023

... Also, homogeneity and consensus among neighborhood residents regarding important norms and values can enhance informal social control. This is exemplified by the creation of neighborhood watch associations, where volunteer residents actively patrol and monitor the area (David,Clair, Joshua & Kiseong ,2023;Charlote,Denise,David,Heather & Claudia,2024;Laura,2023).While strong social cohesiveness may not be present in all gated communities, a significant number of gated dwellings demonstrate harmony and shared investment, which strengthens informal social control. Consequently, residents in these communities are more likely to bind together to enforce rules and maintain community standards, thus deterring crime Gearhart,2022). ...

Broken Windows and Community Social Control: Evidence from a Study of Street Segments
  • Citing Article
  • May 2023

Journal of Research in Crime and Delinquency

... Since the early 1970s, the effectiveness of thinly layered and random (unpurposeful) patrolling in predetermined beats has been questioned and discredited via several scientific studies (Mitchell, 1972). In response to the developing skepticism on preventive police patrol activities, police scientists and administrations across the US explored and implemented new strategies to keep the legitimacy of patrolling as a core policy activity since early 1980 (Weisburd et al., 2023). These strategies included reintroducing foot patrol and corroborating patrolling with community-oriented and problem-oriented policing strategies, introducing place-based strategies, like "hot-spots" policing, to improve the efficiency of patrol officers, and creating a more targeted focus for patrol officers (Weisburd et al., 2023). ...

Does police patrol in large areas prevent crime? Revisiting the Kansas City Preventive Patrol Experiment
  • Citing Article
  • May 2023

Criminology & Public Policy