David W. Macdonald’s research while affiliated with University of Oxford and other places

What is this page?


This page lists works of an author who doesn't have a ResearchGate profile or hasn't added the works to their profile yet. It is automatically generated from public (personal) data to further our legitimate goal of comprehensive and accurate scientific recordkeeping. If you are this author and want this page removed, please let us know.

Publications (238)


Table 1 (continued )
Conservation concern for Europe's hedgehog species (Erinaceidae): Current statuses, issues and needs
  • Article
  • Full-text available

March 2025

·

56 Reads

Biological Conservation

·

David W. Macdonald

·

Recent regional updates to the IUCN Red List reveal a discouraging tendency: the hedgehog species of Europe are either declining and/or neglected by research and monitoring programmes to such a degree that evaluation of their conservation status remains challenging. Hedgehogs are charismatic nature ambassadors, and they are appreciated widely by the public with numerous individuals and organisations willing to contribute to their conservation, yet there exists a disconnect between general interest in hedgehogs and broad-scale monitoring efforts. Here, we clarify the current conservation statuses of the five species of hedgehogs in Europe, knowledge of threats, what is being done to mitigate declines, and where the conservation and research gaps lie. There are several common risks posed to hedgehog species in Europe including roads, and habitat loss and degradation. For some species, regional-scale action is urgently needed to prevent populations from shrinking any further. For all, there remains a comprehensive lack of knowledge of populations, ecology and threats.

Download

Identifying gaps in the conservation of small wild cats of Southeast Asia

February 2025

·

223 Reads

Biodiversity and Conservation

Luca Chiaverini

·

David W. Macdonald

·

·

[...]

·

Southeast Asia hosts more felid species than any other region and, although smaller (< 30 kg) felids have important ecological roles, regional conservation has mainly focused on a few charismatic big cats. Information on the ecology and conservation status of small felids is often lacking or geographically limited. We used empirically derived scale-optimized models for seven species in three regions of Southeast Asia (mainland, Borneo and Sumatra) to evaluate the effectiveness of the existing protected areas network in preserving suitable habitats, and to map suitable areas lacking protection. Finally, we assessed whether small felids are good proxies of broader regional terrestrial biodiversity. On the mainland, the largest and most suitable habitats occurred in the Northern Forest Complex of Myanmar and in the region between Eastern Myanmar, Laos and Vietnam. In these areas we also highlighted the most important protected areas. In Borneo, the most suitable habitats occurred in the central highlands and in the protected areas of Sabah. In Sumatra, the strongholds of habitat suitability were the Barisan Mountains, in the western extent of the island, and were highly concentrated within existing protected areas. We also found that the aggregated habitat suitability for small felids was correlated more strongly to terrestrial vertebrate biodiversity than was any single felid species individually, suggesting that areas that are suitable for multiple felid species have an association with high overall biodiversity. Overall, our assessment of the distribution of small felids in Southeast Asia highlights the fundamental importance of protected areas for biodiversity conservation, given that most species were highly associated with protected areas and regions with large extents of forest. Our results are a clarion call to expand the extent, and improve the conservation management, of protected areas in the remaining core habitat areas for multiple species in Southeast Asia, and to work to enhance and protect connectivity between them to ensure long-term demographic and genetic exchange among the region’s remaining wildlife populations.


Avoiding an impending collision in international conservation

February 2025

·

113 Reads

·

1 Citation


Fig. 1. Distribution of camera traps within 5-km × 5-km survey grids (square boxes) during the national tiger survey (2014-2015). Green circles indicate camera stations in the northern block and pink circles indicate camera stations in the southern block.
Figure 2. Marginal occupancy probability of the leopard cat, marbled cat, and Asiatic golden cat as a function of slope, forest cover, river density, and housing density, mean response and associated 95% confidence interval are represented by solid lines and shaded ribbons, respectively. (Animal illustration courtesy: The Faunal Frontier)
Fig. 3. Occupancy probability of Asiatic golden cat, marbled cat, and leopard cat conditional on the presence and absence of each of the other species along an elevation gradient. The probability of the species in each column is conditional on the presence and absence of the species in each row. The means are represented by solid lines and 95 % confidence intervals by shaded ribbons. The asterisk indicates a significant relationship. (Animal illustration courtesy: The Faunal Frontier).
Fig. 4. Human disturbance effects on intraguild co-occurrence (Marbled cat: leopard cat, Asiatic golden cat: marbled cat, Asiatic golden cat: leopard cat) using β coefficient estimates for the housing density covariate represented as mean (dot) and 95 % confidence intervals (whiskers) from the top model (Animal illustration courtesy: The Faunal Frontier).
Anthropogenic and environmental correlates of spatial patterns of co-occurrence of small felids in a montane landscape

January 2025

·

215 Reads

Global Ecology and Conservation

Understanding how sympatric small felids respond to their environmental surroundings in a human matrix landscape is important to determine their habitat use, distribution and conservation. However, structured survey design and large sample size studies are often rare for cryptic small-and medium-sized felids hindering their reliable and meaningful inferences for conservation management. We employed a multi-species occupancy model on a large-scale camera trap dataset to investigate the effects of environmental and anthropogenic variables on the occupancy, as well as the mechanisms facilitating sympatry among three small felids in Bhutan: the threatened Asiatic golden cat (Catopuma temminckii), marbled cat (Pardofelis marmorata), and the least concern leopard cat (Prionailurus bengalensis). Through their co-occurrence patterns at local and landscape scales, we could identify their potential interactions and the factors influencing them. We found that one species pair (marbled cat: leopard cat) had low co-occurrence at higher elevations. The interactions among the other felid pairs (Asiatic golden cat: marbled cat and Asiatic golden cat: leopard cat) were not directly mediated by human disturbances and were constant across the elevational gradient. We identified important predictors of marginal occupancy for two species: forest cover, river density, and slope for the marbled cat; and housing density, forest cover, and slope for the leopard cat. However, none of the predictor variables significantly influenced Asiatic golden cat occupancy. Our findings suggest that environmental factors, like forest cover and slope, may influence individual felid occupancy and consequently shape their interactions. We recommend that small felid conservation in heterogeneous landscapes need to Global Ecology and Conservation 58 (2025) e03422 2351-9894/© 2025 Published by Elsevier B.V. This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/). consider the impacts of human land use; limit forest conversion and protect rugged habitats. Through this study, we provide new insights into small felid sympatry in montane landscapes, expanding our understanding of their complex coexistence patterns.



Using simulation modelling to evaluate the relative efficacy of core area and corridor-based conservation designs for biodiversity conservation

November 2024

·

72 Reads

CONTEXT: The efficient and effective design of protected areas is a fundamental challenge in landscape ecology, focusing on how spatial patterns of habitat influence conservation outcomes. This has sparked debate about the relative importance of habitat area versus connectivity in maintaining populations across fragmented landscapes. OBJECTIVES: We evaluate the relative importance of habitat area and connectivity by comparing counterfactual scenarios for landscape configuration on Borneo. We examine how habitat area and connectivity influence Sunda clouded leopard population size and genetic diversity across scenarios and dispersal abilities. METHODS: We compared 28 landscape scenarios on Borneo, incorporating all plausible combinations of core areas and movement corridors. Using spatially explicit genetic simulations, we modelled clouded leopard population size and genetic diversity metrics across five dispersal thresholds to compare how area and connectivity influence conservation outcomes. RESULTS: Our analysis reveals a strong, disproportionate relationship between landscape area and population size and genetic diversity. Even when accounting for landscape area, larger areas consistently provide superior conservation outcomes. Corridors showed minimal impact, becoming effective only at the highest dispersal thresholds. Habitat area emerged as the primary driver of conservation success, challenging assumptions about the importance of connectivity and highlighting the complex interactions between landscape configuration and species mobility. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings challenge paradigms in landscape ecology by demonstrating habitat area is more critical for biodiversity conservation than connectivity, especially where corridor lengths exceed species' dispersal abilities. Conservation strategies should therefore prioritise expanding core habitat areas, with corridor investments strategically targeted to highly mobile species.




FIG. 1 (a) Predicted suitable habitat for the clouded leopard Neofelis nebulosa in Taiwan. (b) Comparison of suitable habitat predicted by applying the empirical model (Macdonald et al., ) to Taiwan and by the expert model (Chiang et al., ). (c) Protected areas network in Taiwan (UNEP-WCMC, ) and suitable habitat predicted by application of the empirical model.
Camera-trap days and combination of nine environmental variables included in the empirical model (Macdonald et al., ) when used to project the suitable habitat for the clouded leopard Neofelis nebulosa in Taiwan, with the optimal scale, Akaike information criterion (AIC) importance, averaged and adjusted standard error β (coefficient) for four models, z, and P-value of each covariate. (The AIC importance is the importance of a covariate in improving the model when it is included. It is calculated as the sum of the Akaike weights for all models that include the covariate.)
A multi-scale, multivariate habitat selection model demonstrates high potential for the reintroduction of the clouded leopard Neofelis nebulosa to Taiwan

October 2024

·

144 Reads

Oryx

Hunting, habitat loss and fragmentation have caused a rapid decline in the distribution and abundance of the clouded leopard Neofelis nebulosa across its range, and in several areas, including Taiwan, the species is now extirpated. Taiwan, a former stronghold for the species, is a candidate for its reintroduction, based on increasing prey abundance and high forest coverage. Such future reintroduction efforts, however, are hampered by a lack of analysis of potential clouded leopard habitat on the island. To address this, we explore habitat suitability for the species in Taiwan. We used a multi-scale, multivariate habitat selection model based on clouded leopard presence–absence data from extensive camera-trap surveys across its current range to predict suitable habitat in Taiwan. Our findings indicate that 38% of Taiwanese territory is potentially suitable habitat for the clouded leopard, of which 46% is under protection. This demonstrates the high potential of Taiwan's habitat for clouded leopard reintroduction.


(a) Scatter plots of male Panthera leo melanochaita, P.l. krugeri, P.l. bleyenberghi, and P.l. nubica, and P. l. persica based on the first two Principal Components (PCs) extracted from 30 raw variables (see Table S4). The PCs-1 and -2 explain 51.9% and 11.7% of the variance, respectively. (b) Scatter plots for females based on the first two PCs extracted from 31 raw variables (see Table S5). The PCs-1 and -2 explain 47.0% and 12.0% of the variance, respectively.
(a) Scatter plots of male Panthera leo melanochaita, P.l. krugeri, P.l. bleyenberghi, and P.l. nubica, and P. l. persica based on the first two Canonical Discriminant Functions (CDFs) extracted from the five Principal Components (PCs) (Table S1 Model-3c). (b) Scatter plots for females based on the first two CDFs extracted from 4 PCs (Table S1 Model-4c).
The distribution ranges of the nominal "subspecies" from the southern Africa, Panthera leo melanochaita, P.l. krugeri, P.l. bleyenberghi, and P.l. nubica, that we defined and analysed in this study based on Roberts (1951)¹⁸, Mazák (1968)⁶⁵, and Hemmer (1974)⁵. White lines delineate the national borders of the countries considered part of the southern Africa in this study.
Skull morphology analysis suggests the extinct Cape lion, Panthera leo melanochaita (Smith, 1842), is not distinctive

October 2024

·

358 Reads

The lion (Panthera leo) was extirpated from the Cape region of South Africa during the mid-nineteenth century. Whilst historically classified as a distinct subspecies known as the Cape lion (P. l. melanochaita), recent molecular studies challenge the distinctiveness of this population, suggesting that it represents the southernmost population of the species' Southern Clade. The Cape lion is often cited as having a distinctive skull morphology, which has justified its subspecific classification, but only a limited number of specimens have been available for examination, so that the Cape lion’s skull morphology has not been satisfactorily understood. In this study we collected morphometric data from a greatly enlarged sample of 22 Cape lion skulls, including 12 adults, constituting the largest sample size analysed for this possible subspecies. The results suggest that (1) morphological characteristics of the skull previously thought to distinguish the Cape lion are not diagnostic, and (2) nor is the skull morphology of male and female Cape lions distinct from that of males and females of other southern African lions. Our results independently support those based on molecular investigations, which suggest that the Cape lion was not distinct from other lions within the Southern Clade.


Citations (48)


... This finding brings into sharp focus a potentially important ideological division relevant to current international debates as tensions emerge around the social justice implications of area-based conservation targets under the Convention on Biological Diversity's post-2020 Global Biodiversity Framework [8]. Proposals to continue traditional approaches that focus on protecting areas with the highest biodiversity can amplify the historical injustices associated with area-based conservation, which have marginalized people living in high-biodiversity areas [17,24,45,46]. When people living in high-biodiversity areas perceive that conservation policies and programmes prioritize the interests of biodiversity-particularly charismatic or potentially dangerous wild animals-above their own needs, they can reject conservation efforts and, in some cases, retaliate in ways that ultimately undermine conservation objectives [47]. ...

Reference:

International disparities in conservation priorities are more complicated than Global North–Global South divisions
Avoiding an impending collision in international conservation

... In addition, the provincial-scale approach proposed in our study confirmed the suitability of the SDM-based methodology in optimising the potential distribution of crop species, similarly to the findings of Cushman et al. (2024), who explored a wide range of predictive algorithms, including Random Forest, and demonstrated how these methods are effective in reducing model complexity and increasing predictive accuracy even with a small working area. ...

Simulating multi-scale optimization and variable selection in species distribution modeling

Ecological Informatics

... The strongly diverging occupancy estimates of local, regional and national analyses underscored the presence of heterogeneities induced by varying spatial scale, habitat and speciesspecific responses in Myanmar. This discrepancy may be the result of our study sites being scattered across the country, in different ecological contexts with variable vegetation structures, microclimatic conditions or resource availability (Cushman 2006;Guisan and Zimmermann 2000), or may reflect the strongly heterogeneous patterns of biodiversity loss which have rapidly occurred in the region, leading to extreme spatial nonequilibrium of species occurrence related to anthropogenic disturbance history (e.g., Sartor et al. 2024). Higher local estimates than national estimates might suggest that our location-specific analyses effectively capture nuances of habitat heterogeneity, species distribution and finer-scale habitat variations (Royle and Dorazio 2008). ...

Identifying remnant biodiversity hotspots in Southern Asia reveals disequilibrium in mammalian communities

Biodiversity and Conservation

... In this issue, such data are used for 152 species (from jellyfish to humans) along a continuum of sociality-from solitary to tightly social-to test how sociality correlates with key demographic properties [32]. As the number of systems with fine-scale social network data increases [5,37], meta-datasets of social network data (e.g. [21,37,38])-combined with demographic data across species-will provide an ideal framework for understanding how sociality, ageing and demography vary across environmental conditions. ...

Density-dependent network structuring within and across wild animal systems

... Several of the publications examining nonstationarity in wildlife studies have used large scale datasets (e.g. Osbourne et al., 2007, Holloway and Miller 2015, Pease et al., 2022, Rana et al., 2024 or involved data from longer term studies (e.g. Planillo et al., 2023, Pan et al., 2024. ...

Differentially biased sampling strategies reveal the non-stationarity of species distribution models for Indian small felids
  • Citing Article
  • May 2024

Ecological Modelling

... 2) Feeding Burrows: Pangolins create specific burrows to hunt for termites and black ants, satisfying their appetite for these insects. Feeding burrows are relatively compact in size and can be identified by their slender dimensions, shallow depth, and the presence of soil mounds adjacent to termite or ant mounds (Figure 3 Ten environmental layers, including two climatic layers (temperature and precipitation), were incorporated as criteria for evaluating the habitat suitability with the help of literature review (Jayasekara, 2022& Akrim, 2017, (Stracquadanio.L 2023 andPanjang, 2024) and wildlife experts already working on Indian Pangolin conservation. ...

Mapping the distribution of the Sunda pangolin (Manis javanica) within natural forest in Sabah, Malaysian Borneo

Global Ecology and Conservation

... Distance from forest, distance from forest, distance to rivers and scrubland was related ergatively to the livestock depredation probability by leopards. Negative distance from forest indicates that near the forested area livestock depredation probabilities increased (Kuiper et al., 2024). This could be possible due to two reasons a) areas near the forest might be highly used by the leopards which might led to high encounter with the livestock while grazing b) availability of the tree cover and ground cover near the forest area provide essential cover required for ambush and hunting (Latafat et al.,2023). ...

The behaviours of different carnivore and livestock species shape spatial patterns of human–carnivore conflict

... Whilst previous studies of badgers have made use of triaxial accelerometery and proxies for energy expenditure [48][49][50][51], only two have determined badger movements using GPS-enhanced dead-reckoning, both using the same medium density (2.47 individuals per Ha) rural population [27,28]. Magowan et al. [27] examined the movement and habitat interactions of two badgers and demonstrated how GPS-enhanced dead-reckoned tracks revealed specific details of area use, with badgers apparently seeking out key areas such as field margins and hedgerows. ...

Links between energy budgets, somatic condition, and life history reveal heterogeneous energy management tactics in a group-living mesocarnivore

Movement Ecology

... Néanmoins, les premiers efforts de réintroduction se heurtent à un suivi difficile des prédateurs et à des rapports inadéquats entraînant une mauvaise compréhension du succès, comme avec le retour des guépards au Botswana (Walker et al., 2022). Ces difficultés obligent les initiateurs des projets à proposer des rapports très détaillés sur le rôle et les effets attendus du retour d'un grand carnivore (Atzeni et al., 2024;Gasparini-Morato et al., 2021). En somme, toutes les espèces animales et végétales peuvent participer à ce processus 17 , mais les motivations de chaque acteur influencent les choix. ...

Reviving the Arabian leopard: Harnessing historical data to map habitat and pave the way for reintroduction

Biological Conservation

... Sumatran tiger and rhinoceros) are in fact poor representatives of community-level patterns of biological diversity. Our results highlight that taxa frequently overlooked by conservation decision-making may better represent overall diversity, which alligns with the conclusion drawn in other landscape (Penjor et al., 2024). ...

Identifying umbrella and indicator species to support multispecies population connectivity in a Himalayan biodiversity hotspot

Frontiers in Conservation Science