David Rothschild's research while affiliated with Microsoft and other places

... But it is also true that some showed support towards Japanese Americans and there were solidarity efforts through public speeches and writings (Chan, 2019). Today, scholars and activists are encouraging Asian Americans to turn to solidarity among Asian ethnic groups and other minority groups in recognition that we are stronger together (Chou, 2020). ...

... For example, some have studied how changes to precincts and polling places on Election Day affect voter turnout and whether these changes target voters based on their partisanship or race [13,40,46]. And a number of other works have focused on the effects of distance to the polling locations [6,8,44] and wait times at these locations [37] on voter turnout. ...

... Compared to traditional media (e.g. newspapers, television), social media news use can increase exposure to cross-cutting information (Muise et al. 2022). The frequency of social media news is positively associated with incidental exposure to counter-attitudinal information (Diehl, Weeks, and Gil de Zúñiga 2016), which can prompt avoidance behaviours. ...

... In this work, we follow the definition of echo chambers provided in [6] to understand the users' attention patterns on YouTube during the COVID-19 pandemic. According to some studies, YouTube is playing a prominent role in the radicalization of opinions [10,25,26] and in the diffusion of questionable (i.e., poorly fact-checked) content being one of the most visited online domain and information retrieval platforms. Our dataset contains 10M comments relative to the videos published from 68 prominent information channels on YouTube in a period ranging from December 2019 to September 2020. ...

... One of the most important of these is the study population, which consisted of highly educated graduatelevel students and postgraduate residents. However, although vaccine hesitancy may be higher among the general population, the growing trend of vaccine hesitancy among healthcare workers and graduate healthcare students suggests that more active engagement and direct interventions may be necessary to connect all segments of the population with scientific knowledge and evidence-based information [40,41]. Another important consideration is the retrospective nature of this study, which has analyzed previously collected data and was not able to provide more in-depth information about socioeconomic factors or socio-cultural information that might provide more opportunities for evaluating and assessing the causes for these shifts in vaccination beliefs and attitudes [42,43]. ...

... Accordingly, there exists a myriad of filtering techniques. On the one hand, these include complex approaches such as prediction markets [10,11], or automated methods like text mining that initially require a lot of human oversight and implementation capacity [12]. On the other hand, approaches like voting and user ratings are easier to implement and widespread on various online platforms. ...

... With the necessary data in hand, the general timeline approachand much of what we have learned herecan be applied fairly directly. Indeed, Pathak et al. (2015) already have provided an initial foray by predicting Oscar winners from the flow of betting odds 17 Also note that this approach allows the possibility of estimating fixed effects, which are of real consequence to comparative analysis (Jennings and Wlezien 2016). 18 Here the precise application of the method will depend on whether the outcome variable in question is continuous (like vote share) or binary. ...

... Although the consequences of misinformation can be far-reaching, some research has shown that such false information comprises less than one percent of people's news diets (Allen et al. 2020;Grinberg et al. 2019) and that the base rate of online exposure to misinformation is very low (see Acerbi, Altay, and Mercier (2022) for an overview). Despite that most societal threats are generally objectively rare (e.g., terrorist attacks, nuclear accidents), the relatively exceptional spread of misinformation might, at times, be overrepresented in public discourse-partly because media attention is biased toward the negative and rare (Soroka, Fournier, and Nir 2019;van der Meer et al. 2019)-and efforts to fight it primarily heighten the salience of misinformation as a threat. ...

... 2 In this paper, we focus on a specific form of fraud, repeat voting, under which voters cast multiple ballots. Evidence from U.S. Presidential elections during the modern era suggests that repeat voting is rare (Goel et al. (2020)). Prior to the introduction of modern voting institutions, such as voter registration systems and the secret ballot, by contrast, evidence suggests that the practice was more pervasive. ...

... We know less about the association between prediction market earnings and forecaster accuracy as well as the reliability of market earnings and associated rankings in prediction markets. Rothschild and colleagues Sethi 2016, Schmitz andRothschild 2019) show that traders exhibit reliable trading patterns; for example, only a minority engage in arbitrage trades, betting on both sides of a contract with minimal directional risk. The use of arbitrage strategies speaks to traders' engagement and relative sophistication in navigating the market environment, but may not be associated with the traders' aptitude to generate predictive insight. ...