Daoming Dai’s research while affiliated with Hefei University of Technology and other places

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Publications (9)


The impact of tariff policies on vaccine supply chains: Short-term and evolutionary game behaviors based uncertain utility
  • Article

November 2022

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117 Reads

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12 Citations

Applied Mathematical Modelling

Daoming Dai

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People can choose to be vaccinated to prevent diseases at their own expense. There are specific vaccines for many diseases. Meanwhile, for a particular disease, there might be multiple vaccines available to choose from. Based on that, we constructed a stylized vaccine supply chain (VSC) model for the market where domestic vaccines and imported vaccines co-exist. We explored the effect of government tariff policies on the game behaviors between a domestic vaccine manufacturer (DVM) and an imported vaccine manufacturer (IVM). This paper analyzes the short-term game and long-term evolutionary game behaviors of the VSC from both the entirely rational and boundedly rational perspectives. The analysis considers three tariff policies: no tariffs on imported vaccines, tariffs borne by the IVM, and tariffs borne by buyers. Results suggest that in the short-term game, buyers bearing tariffs on imported vaccines can enable the DVM to gain the most market share. The buyers willingness-to-pay is relatively low for imported vaccines, which makes the DVM more profitable. Imposing tariffs on imported vaccines can reduce the IVMs profit margin. However, the IVM still prefers to bear the tariffs itself. Lowering the cold chain transportation level and reducing the retail price of imported vaccines are both feasible solutions for the IVM to relieve the pressure from tariffs. It is also feasible for the IVM to increase the retail price of imported vaccines when the buyers willingness to pay for imported vaccines is high. In long-term evolutionary game, the DVM can gain more room for price adjustment if the IVM bears tariffs. The IVM can obtain greater cost tolerance if buyers bear tariffs. However, from governments prospective, tariffs borne by buyers is the optimal option, which makes the VSC stable and controllable.


Complex characteristics analysis of time-delay digital supply chain driven by cybersecurity

March 2022

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1,586 Reads

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9 Citations

Kybernetes

Purpose The purpose of this study is to analyze the short-term development pattern and long-term development trend of the digital supply chain. Design/methodology/approach This study uses the combination of short-term game and long-term evolutionary game theory. Findings Findings of this study suggest that irrational decisions can make the evolutionary path of the digital supply chain complex and unpredictable. Originality/value This study proposes an evolutionary game model for the digital supply chain that can provide good guidance for the digitalization process of enterprises.


Analysis of the short-term game and long-term evolutionary game behaviors of the waste battery remanufacturing market considering government subsidies
  • Article
  • Full-text available

January 2022

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184 Reads

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5 Citations

Journal of Industrial and Management Optimization

The popularity of new energy vehicles is undoubtedly the best response to the current global call to protect the environment, and the subsequent waste battery recycling and remanufacturing industry is quietly emerging under government promotion. This paper considers the government provides production subsidy or consumption subsidy for a supply chain consisting of a manufacturer and a remanufacturer. The main theme of this research is to explore the impacts of these two types of subsidy on the short-term game and long-term evolutionary game behaviors of the manufacturer and the remanufacturer. To be specific, a Cournot model is built to exam short-term game behaviors in case of production subsidy and consumption subsidy, respectively. Furthermore, we investigate a nonlinear dynamic system to study the long-term evolutionary trend of the supply chain, including long-term operation strategies, the stability of the equilibrium, and how different subsidies impact the system. Results suggest that: (a) the production subsidy is better for higher output of remanufactured products when the eco-design cost of new products is relatively low. And this subsidy works better when consumers are more environmentally conscious. (b) The government is more likely to choose consumption subsidy when consumers have less acceptance of remanufactured products. (c) In the long-term market, the consumption subsidy is more beneficial for the market to remain stable. Nevertheless, excessive adjustments in output by the manufacturer and the remanufacturer can still lead the market to be uncontrolled.

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LONG-TERM EVOLUTIONARY GAME ANALYSIS OF DUOPOLY VEHICLE MARKET BASED ON CORPORATE SOCIAL RESPONSIBILITY AND TIME-DELAY

May 2021

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143 Reads

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1 Citation

Fresenius environmental bulletin

This paper discusses the short-term game and long-term evolutionary game behaviors of the supply chain composed of duopoly vehicle manufacturers which produce fuel vehicles (FVs)(\mathrm{FVs}) and hybrid electric vehicles (HEVs) respectively. The FVs manufacturer intends to swell stakeholder's welfare by fulfilling corporate social responsibility (CSR), and HEV\mathrm{HEV} s manufacturer expands the substitution degree between the FVs and HEVs through green R\&D effort level. At first, we construct two game models (non-cooperative, cooperative) in the short-term game, and obtain the optimal profits of the FVs manufacturer and HEVs manufacturer under these two game models. Then, we use the non-cooperative game model as the benchmark model to analyze the long-term evolutionary game behavior of the system and perform numerical simulations on it. In this part, we focus on the impact of time-delay and characteristic parameters on system stability, and obtain the critical conditions for system instability caused by time-delay. Our analysis shows that when the system goes into chaos due to the excessive adjustment parameter of the FVs' output (HEVs' output), the chaos will only make the FVs manufacturer's profit (HEVs manufacturer's profit) decline, but it will increase the profit of the HEVs manufacturer (FVs manufacturer). The impacts of the customers' sensitivity to green R&DR \& D effort level and substitution degree between FVs and HEVs on HEVs manufacturer in the short-term game and the long-term evolutionary game are completely opposite.


Complexity analysis of cold chain transportation in a vaccine supply chain considering activity inspection and time-delay

January 2021

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268 Reads

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32 Citations

Advances in Difference Equations

The development of COVID-19 vaccine is highly concerned by all countries in the world. So far, many kinds of COVID-19 vaccines have entered phase III clinical trial. However, it is difficult to deliver COVID-19 vaccines efficiently and safely to the areas affected by the epidemic. This paper focuses on vaccine transportation in a supply chain model composed of one distributor and one retailer (clinic or hospital), in which the distributor procures COVID-19 vaccines from the manufacturer and then resells them to the retailer. Distributor detects the activity level of the vaccines, and retailer is responsible for transportation of the vaccines. Firstly, we establish a difference equations model with time-delay. Secondly, we investigate the impact of time-delay on the stability of vaccine supply chain. In addition, we explore the influence of decision adjustment speed of the distributor (or retailer) on the stability of vaccine supply chain. Finally, we verify the theoretical results by a two-dimensional bifurcation diagram, the largest Lyapunov exponent, entropy, and domain of attraction. The results show that when the decision delay-time or the adjustment speed of decision variables exceeds a certain threshold, it brings a negative impact on the stability of vaccine supply chain system. The stability domain of the system shrinks as customers’ sensitivity to cold chain transportation decreases and by contrast expends as customers’ sensitivity to vaccine prices decreases. When the vaccine supply chain is in a state of chaos, the effect of external control over the system is superior to that of internal control over the system.


The impact of τ on the stability and complexity of model (I). (a) Bifurcation diagram of model I with. (b) Entropy diagram of Figure 1(a) respect to τ. (c) Lyapunov exponents of Figure 1(a).
The impact of τ on the stability and complexity of model (I). (a) Bifurcation diagram of model I with. (b) Entropy diagram of Figure 1(a) respect to τ. (c) Lyapunov exponents of Figure 1(a).
The impact of τ on the stability and complexity of model (I). (a) Bifurcation diagram of model I with. (b) Entropy diagram of Figure 1(a) respect to τ. (c) Lyapunov exponents of Figure 1(a).
Dynamic evolution of decision variables with v1. (a) Bifurcation diagram when v2=0.95 and v3=0.85. (b) Bifurcation diagram when v2=0.78 and v3=0.85. (c) Lyapunov exponents of Figure 2(a). (d) Entropy diagram of Figure 2(a).
Dynamic evolution of decision variables with v1. (a) Bifurcation diagram when v2=0.95 and v3=0.85. (b) Bifurcation diagram when v2=0.78 and v3=0.85. (c) Lyapunov exponents of Figure 2(a). (d) Entropy diagram of Figure 2(a).

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The Complexity Analysis and Control of Time-Delay OEM Supply Chain considering R&D Efforts and Marketing Level

October 2020

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95 Reads

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4 Citations

Mathematical Problems in Engineering

In this paper, we investigate a supply chain consisting of an OEM (i.e., original equipment manufacturer) and a CM (contract manufacturer), in which the OEM decides design effort level and marketing level, and the CM makes decision on product manufacturing effort level. We establish a three-dimensional discrete dynamic model with time delay. Firstly, the sufficient conditions for Neimark-Sacker bifurcation are obtained by using different combinations of decision delay periods as bifurcation parameters, and the effect of the adjustment speeds of decision variables on the system stability and impact of time delay on the system stability are discussed, respectively. Secondly, we perform numerical simulation of this model from the perspective of entropy theory. Finally, we propose two methods to control chaos. Results show that when the time delay or the adjustment speed of decision variable exceed a certain threshold, the system will be led into a chaotic state and the entropy of the system will increase. For alleviating the negative effects of chaotic systems, we introduce control parameters to make efficient control on the chaos. At the critical point, the critical value of the adjustment speed of design effort level (or marketing level) of OEM increases as the adjustment speed of the manufacturing effort level of CM decreases, and vice versa.


Complexity Analysis and Control in Time-Delay Vaccine Supply Chain considering Cold Chain Transportation

October 2020

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86 Reads

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10 Citations

Mathematical Problems in Engineering

Due to the important role of the vaccines in the prevention of global epidemics, this paper focuses on a vaccine transportation supply chain composed of one distributor and one retailer. Based on the assumption that the decision-maker does not make a decision instantaneously, we present a decision-making time-delay model. Firstly, we captured some sufficient conditions of delay-induced bifurcation for the model by regarding different combinations of the decision delay periods as the bifurcation parameters and analyzed how the speed of decision-making adjustment of distributor or retailer affects the critical point of system stability. Secondly, we made a numerical simulation on the model by using a two-dimensional bifurcation diagram, largest Lyapunov exponent, and entropy and chaotic attractor, respectively. Finally, we used two coordination methods to control chaos and compared them. The results show that when the decision delay exceeds a certain threshold, the system will lose stability or go into chaos. The precipitous speed of decision variable adjustment of the distributor or retailer will increase the entropy of the system and lead the system into a chaotic state. When the vaccine supply chain is in chaos, the effect of external control on chaos is better than that of internal control on chaos.


Dynamic Analysis of Duopoly Price Game Based on Low-Carbon Technology Sharing

September 2020

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78 Reads

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10 Citations

Mathematical Problems in Engineering

Taking the carbon emissions per unit product as the standard to measure the low-carbon technology level of the enterprise, this article analyzed how the technology supplier enterprises realize low-carbon production and achieve a win-win situation for both supply and demand through technology sharing through technology research and development. Based on the positive effect of low-carbon technology level on product demand, we studied the optimal pricing strategy and the optimal low-carbon technology level in the technology supply enterprises under the Stackelberg game in 3 conditions (i.e., without technology research and development or technology sharing, with technology research and development but no technology sharing, and with both technology research and development and technology sharing). We also drew a comparative analysis of the optimal product price, the optimal low-carbon technology level, and the optimal profit in the three scenarios. Besides, by constructing a delayed differential price game model, we studied the equilibrium strategy of price competition between technology supply and demand companies and the local asymptotic stability of the game system at the equilibrium point. In addition, the effects of delay strategy on game equilibrium strategy, the influence of the degree of adjustment of decision variables on the stability of the game system, and the stability of the game system on the evolution trend of the game are also explored. By comparing and analyzing the game results of the oligopoly enterprises in the stable system and the unstable system, it confirmed that the system instability usually causes serious harm to the enterprise.


Stability and Complexity Analysis of a Dual-Channel Closed-Loop Supply Chain with Delayed Decision under Government Intervention

October 2017

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116 Reads

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28 Citations

This paper constructs a continuous dual-channel closed-loop supply chain (DCLSC) model with delayed decision under government intervention. The existence conditions of the local stability of the equilibrium point are discussed. We analyze the influence of delay parameters, the adjustment speed of wholesale price, recovery rate of waste products, direct price, carbon quota subsidy, and carbon tax on the stability and complexity of model by using bifurcation diagram, entropy diagram, attractor, and time series diagram and so on. Besides, the delay feedback control method is adopted to control the unstable or chaotic system effectively. The main conclusions of this paper show that the variables mentioned above must be within a reasonable range. Otherwise, the model will lose stability or enter chaos. The government can effectively adjust manufacturers' profit through carbon tax and carbon quota subsidy, and encourage manufacturers to reduce carbon emissions and increase the remanufacturing of waste products.

Citations (9)


... Figure 4 illustrates the fluctuations observed in the maximum Lyapunov exponent (LE). The calculation of LE primarily involves assessing the variations resulting from changes in initial values [26]. To calculate LE, Wolf's Jacobian algorithms are employed. ...

Reference:

The complexity of the APP competition model with bounded rationality in platform ecosystem
The impact of tariff policies on vaccine supply chains: Short-term and evolutionary game behaviors based uncertain utility
  • Citing Article
  • November 2022

Applied Mathematical Modelling

... As the second largest energy-consuming industry, the consumption of energy by the transport sector may cause the following problems: firstly, carbon emissions, which account for about 10 percent of the national total in China's transport sector; secondly, pollutant emissions, vehicle exhaust is one of the main causes of air pollution, which contains large amounts of pollutants such as carbon monoxide, nitric oxide, sulfides, and suspended solids. These pollutants will not only create a poor environment for plant and animal growth, but also increase the prevalence of respiratory diseases and cancer in humans [2]; thirdly, energy security, most of the energy consumed in the field of transport is nonrenewable resources, and due to the large consumption and inefficient exploitation, it is easy to fall into the dilemma of energy dependence and energy shortage. Therefore, it is of great significance to accelerate the green transformation of the development mode in the field of transport. ...

LONG-TERM EVOLUTIONARY GAME ANALYSIS OF DUOPOLY VEHICLE MARKET BASED ON CORPORATE SOCIAL RESPONSIBILITY AND TIME-DELAY

Fresenius environmental bulletin

... Based on the above analyses of the replicated dynamic equations and the evolutionary stabilization strategies of the four-party evolutionary game model, this part uses numerical simulation to further validate the results of the above analysis as well as the impacts of the relevant parameters on the strategy choices of the game participants, to provide suggestions and countermeasures for the recycling of waste batteries for NEV. Therefore, according to the actual situation and related literature 38,43,[47][48][49] , this paper has made the initial assignment of the parameters in the model, as shown in Table 6. ...

Analysis of the short-term game and long-term evolutionary game behaviors of the waste battery remanufacturing market considering government subsidies

Journal of Industrial and Management Optimization

... This evolution is characterized by the adoption of advanced technologies and methodologies aimed at enhancing the effectiveness of cybersecurity defenses. Dai et al. (2023) delve into the complexities of digital supply chains driven by cybersecurity, employing an evolutionary game model to analyze the development patterns and long-term trends. Their findings suggest that irrational decisions can render the evolutionary path of digital supply chains complex and unpredictable. ...

Complex characteristics analysis of time-delay digital supply chain driven by cybersecurity
  • Citing Article
  • March 2022

Kybernetes

... The shipment of the COVID-19 vaccines from the production point to the final retailers over a few days is a complex system due to many factors like storage factories, airplanes, cargo stations, warehouses and so on 42 . To avoid more waves of the COVID-19 pandemic, it is important to address all the issues related to the logistic, transportation and distribution of vaccines. ...

Complexity analysis of cold chain transportation in a vaccine supply chain considering activity inspection and time-delay

Advances in Difference Equations

... Other scholars have incorporated delay decisions into the long-term repeated game model and discussed the equilibrium strategy of manufacturers and retailers [44][45][46][47][48][49]. For example, Liu et al. [44] constructed a differential game model based on product emission reduction level, low-carbon reputation and reference, they analyzed the influence of delay and reference dual effect related parameters on the optimal decision and profit of the supply chain. ...

The Complexity Analysis and Control of Time-Delay OEM Supply Chain considering R&D Efforts and Marketing Level

Mathematical Problems in Engineering

... Alboszta et al. [37] studied the evolutionarily stable strategies in two models of discrete-time replicator dynamics with time delay. Furthermore, considering time delay in practical problems, Wu [38], who built vaccine transport models under three different conditions and analyzed the long-term evolutionary game behaviors considering and not considering time delays. Li [39] developed a dynamic evolutionary game model of dual-channel supply chain for green products based on prices over a continuous timeframe and analyzed the impact of time delays on the equilibrium prices of dual-channel supply chain for green products. ...

Complexity Analysis and Control in Time-Delay Vaccine Supply Chain considering Cold Chain Transportation

Mathematical Problems in Engineering

... Existing researches on technology licensing mainly focus on licensing contracts for firms from production decisions. There are only a few studies such as Si et al. (2020) and Kong and Yang (2022) to consider technology licensing from pricing decisions; however, these studies do not discuss carbon cap-and-trade policy. Hence, this paper focuses on pricing decision of green technology licensing under carbon capand-trade policy. ...

Dynamic Analysis of Duopoly Price Game Based on Low-Carbon Technology Sharing

Mathematical Problems in Engineering

... For example, the deliverymen are dispatched to pick up WEEE after reaching an agreement with the recycling center online, and this greatly improves the consumers convenience and raise the WEEE recycled quantity. Following Wu (2012) and Dai et al. (2017), we assume a linear relationship between the recycling price and service and the recycling quantity, and the corresponding function is given by q = p r + s . A higher value of implies that the consumers are more likely to respond to the increased recycling service level. ...

Stability and Complexity Analysis of a Dual-Channel Closed-Loop Supply Chain with Delayed Decision under Government Intervention