Daniel T. Gilbert’s research while affiliated with Harvard University and other places

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Publications (113)


Countries surveyed by Pew in 2002 or 2006
In every country surveyed by Pew in 2002 or 2006 (shown in red), the majority of participants reported that moral decline was at least a “moderately big problem”. Map created with MapChart.
Results of studies 2a–c
The panels show the results of studies 2a (left panel), 2b (middle panel) and 2c (right panel). Opaque points represent means. Transparent points represent individual observations jittered for legibility. Error bars represent 95% CIs. Study 2a n = 698, study 2b n = 148 and study 2c n = 347.
Results of study 5a
a–e, From left to right, this figure shows the perceived difference in morality of (a) people in general in 2005 and people in general in 2020 (overall) (b), people in general who were sampled both in 2005 and 2020 (personal change among people in general) (c), people in general who were sampled in 2005 or 2020 but not in both years (interpersonal replacement among people in general) (d), people in the participant’s personal world who were sampled both in 2005 and 2020 (personal change among people in personal world) and (e) people in the participant’s personal world who were sampled in 2005 or 2020 but not in both years (interpersonal replacement among people in participant’s personal world). Opaque points represent means. Transparent points represent individual observations jittered for legibility. Error bars represent 95% CIs. n = 283.
Results of Study 5b
The figure shows the perceived morality of people in various years. Opaque points represent means. Transparent points represent individual observations jittered for legibility. Error bars represent 95% CIs. n = 387.
The illusion of moral decline
  • Article
  • Full-text available

June 2023

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1,097 Reads

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22 Citations

Nature

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Daniel T. Gilbert

Anecdotal evidence indicates that people believe that morality is declining1,2. In a series of studies using both archival and original data (n = 12,492,983), we show that people in at least 60 nations around the world believe that morality is declining, that they have believed this for at least 70 years and that they attribute this decline both to the decreasing morality of individuals as they age and to the decreasing morality of successive generations. Next, we show that people’s reports of the morality of their contemporaries have not declined over time, suggesting that the perception of moral decline is an illusion. Finally, we show how a simple mechanism based on two well-established psychological phenomena (biased exposure to information and biased memory for information) can produce an illusion of moral decline, and we report studies that confirm two of its predictions about the circumstances under which the perception of moral decline is attenuated, eliminated or reversed (that is, when respondents are asked about the morality of people they know well or people who lived before the respondent was born). Together, our studies show that the perception of moral decline is pervasive, perdurable, unfounded and easily produced. This illusion has implications for research on the misallocation of scarce resources³, the underuse of social support⁴ and social influence⁵.

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Dissociation between the IGT and the CRT. After intranasal administration of OT, participants chose significantly more risky decks in the IGT, as opposed to decreased risk-taking in the CRT (indicated by higher scores; values in both panels correspond to mean ± standard error [SE]).
IGT net-scores over decks with and without oxytocin. Results are depicted in groups of 20 decks over time (100 decks in total). Differences between visits (with/without OT) revealed significant main effects for Condition and Time. Participants made significantly more risky decisions with OT, while the learning curve was highly similar between conditions (indicated values correspond to mean ± standard error (SE)).
Intranasal Oxytocin Modulates Decision-Making Depending on Outcome Predictability—A Randomized Within-Subject Controlled Trial in Healthy Males

December 2022

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59 Reads

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2 Citations

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Edward Gold

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Oxytocin (OT) has been extensively studied with regard to its socio-cognitive and -behavioral effects. Its potential as a therapeutic agent is being discussed for a range of neuropsychiatric conditions. However, there is limited evidence of its effects on non-social cognition in general and decision-making in particular, despite the importance of these functions in neuropsychiatry. Using a crossover/within-subject, blinded, randomized design, we investigated for the first time if intranasal OT (24 IU) affects decision-making differently depending on outcome predictability/ambiguity in healthy males. The Iowa Gambling Task (IGT) and the Cambridge Risk Task (CRT) were used to assess decision-making under low outcome predictability/high ambiguity and under high outcome probability/low ambiguity, respectively. After administration of OT, subjects performed worse and exhibited riskier performance in the IGT (low outcome predictability/high ambiguity), whereas they made borderline-significant less risky decisions in the CRT (high outcome probability/low ambiguity) as compared to the control condition. Decision-making in healthy males may therefore be influenced by OT and adjusted as a function of contextual information, with implications for clinical trials investigating OT in neuropsychiatric conditions.


Speak Up! Mistaken Beliefs About How Much to Talk in Conversations

July 2022

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738 Reads

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5 Citations

Personality and Social Psychology Bulletin

We hypothesized that people would exhibit a reticence bias, the incorrect belief that they will be more likable if they speak less than half the time in a conversation with a stranger, as well as halo ignorance, the belief that their speaking time should depend on their goal (e.g., to be liked vs. to be found interesting), when in fact, perceivers form global impressions of each other. In Studies 1 and 2, participants forecasted they should speak less than half the time when trying to be liked, but significantly more when trying to be interesting. In Study 3, we tested the accuracy of these forecasts by randomly assigning participants to speak for 30%, 40%, 50%, 60%, or 70% of the time in a dyadic conversation. Contrary to people’s forecasts, they were more likable the more they spoke, and their partners formed global rather than differentiated impressions.


Tips From the Top: Do the Best Performers Really Give the Best Advice?

April 2022

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177 Reads

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5 Citations

Psychological Science

Everyone knows that if you want to learn how to do something, you should get advice from people who do it well. But is everyone right? In a series of studies ( N = 8,693), adult participants played a game after receiving performance advice from previous participants. Although advice from the best-performing advisors was no more beneficial than advice from other advisors, participants believed that it had been—and they believed this despite the fact that they were told nothing about their advisors’ performance. Why? The best performers did not give better advice, but they did give more of it, and participants apparently mistook quantity for quality. These studies suggest that performing and advising may often be unrelated skills and that in at least some domains, people may overvalue advice from top performers.


A Trade-Off Model of Intentional Thinking for Pleasure

December 2021

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67 Reads

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2 Citations

Emotion

We investigated intentional thinking for pleasure, defined as the deliberate attempt to have pleasant thoughts while disengaged from the external world. We propose a Trade-Off model that explains when and why thinking for pleasure is enjoyable: People focus on personally meaningful thoughts when thinking for pleasure (especially when prompted to do so), which increases their enjoyment, but they find it difficult to concentrate on their thoughts, which decreases their enjoyment. Thus, the net enjoyment of thinking for pleasure is a trade-off between its benefits (personal meaningfulness) and costs (difficulty concentrating). To test the model, we compared intentional thinking for pleasure to four alternate activities in three studies. Thinking for pleasure was more enjoyable than undirected thinking (Study 1) and planning (Study 3), because it was more meaningful than these activities while requiring a similar level of concentration. Thinking for pleasure was just as enjoyable as playing a video game (Study 2) or unprompted idle time activities (Study 3), but for different reasons: It was more meaningful than these activities, but required more concentration. We discuss the implications of these findings for what people might choose to do during idle times. (PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2021 APA, all rights reserved).


Fig. 2 Total RMET scores in the OT and PLC conditions. Boxplots (top) and Density distributions (bottom) indicate that participants receiving OT performed worse in the RMET. Density plots show that RMET scores in the OT condition are concentrated on a lower interval compared with the PLC condition
depicts our data in comparison to earlier studies.
Divergent effects of oxytocin on “mind-reading” in healthy males

September 2021

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143 Reads

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7 Citations

Cognitive Affective & Behavioral Neuroscience

The neuropeptide oxytocin (OT) has been associated with a broad range of human behaviors, particularly in the domain of social cognition, and is being discussed to play a role in a range of psychiatric disorders. Studies using the Reading The Mind In The Eyes Test (RMET) to investigate the role of OT in mental state recognition reported inconsistent outcomes. The present study applied a randomized, double-blind, cross-over design, and included measures of serum OT. Twenty healthy males received intranasal placebo or OT (24 IU) before performing the RMET. Frequentist and Bayesian analyses showed that contrary to previous studies (Domes et al., 2007; Radke & de Bruijn, 2015), individuals performed worse in the OT condition compared to the placebo condition ( p = 0.023, Cohen’s d = 0.55, 95% confidence interval [CI] [0.08, 1.02], BF 10 = 6.93). OT effects did not depend on item characteristics (difficulty, valence, intensity, sex) of the RMET. Furthermore, OT serum levels did not change after intranasal OT administration. Given that similar study designs lead to heterogeneous outcomes, our results highlight the complexity of OT effects and support evidence that OT might even interfere with social cognitive abilities. However, the Bayesian analysis approach shows that there is only moderate evidence that OT influences mind-reading, highlighting the need for larger-scale studies considering the discussed aspects that might have led to divergent study results.


What Makes Thinking for Pleasure Pleasurable?

March 2021

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134 Reads

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6 Citations

Emotion

When left to their own devices, people could choose to enjoy their own thoughts. But recent work suggests they do not. When given the freedom, people do not spontaneously choose to think for pleasure, and when directed to do so, struggle to concentrate successfully. Moreover, people find it somewhat boring and much less enjoyable than other solitary activities. One reason for this is that people may not know how to think for pleasure. Specifically, they may not know what to think about to make this both a meaningful and pleasant experience. We tested this prediction in two preregistered studies, by providing specific examples of meaningful topics (Study 1) or instructing participants to think "meaningful" thoughts (Study 2). Although providing specific examples of meaningful topics boosted how meaningful and enjoyable people found thinking for pleasure (Study 1), asking people to think "meaningful" thoughts (as compared with pleasurable ones) did not, because some of the meaningful topics people thought about were negative (Study 2). In order for thinking for pleasure to be pleasurable, people need to focus on topics that are both meaningful and positive. (PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2021 APA, all rights reserved).


Do conversations end when people want them to?

March 2021

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3,129 Reads

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36 Citations

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

Significance Social connection is essential to physical and psychological well-being, and conversation is the primary means by which it is achieved. And yet, scientists know little about it—about how it starts, how it unfolds, or how it ends. Our studies attempted to remedy this deficit, and their results were surprising: conversations almost never end when anyone wants them to! At a moment in history when billions of people have been forced to curtail their normal social activities and to reimagine this one, a scientific understanding of conversation could hardly be timelier.


Your Life Satisfaction Will Change More Than You Think: A Comment on Harris and Busseri (2019)

March 2020

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139 Reads

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2 Citations

Journal of Research in Personality

Harris and Busseri [Harris, H., & Busseri, M.A. (2019). Is there an ‘end of history illusion’ for life satisfaction? Evidence from a three-wave longitudinal study. Journal of Research in Personality, 83, 103869] examined the changes in life satisfaction people predicted vs. experienced for 30-years based on the three waves of the Midlife in the United States (MIDUS) survey. They conclude that “Contrary to the EOHI [end of history illusion], most individuals either were accurate or anticipated too much change into the future, rather than too little” (abstract). Examining these same data we arrive at the opposite conclusion, that people systematically underestimate future changes to their life satisfaction. The discrepancy arises because Harris and Busseri find stability in the average life satisfaction across the entire sample, while we find instability in life satisfaction within individuals. Both of these can happen. Although the average altitude of all the elevators in a skyscraper is remarkably stable over time, the altitude of each elevator changes by the second.


The Mind In Its Own Place: The Difficulties and Benefits of Thinking for Pleasure

June 2019

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217 Reads

This chapter is concerned with a type of thinking that has received little attention, namely intentional “thinking for pleasure”—the case in which people deliberately focus solely on their thoughts with the goal of generating positive affect. We present a model that describes why it is difficult to enjoy one's thoughts, how it can be done successfully, and when there is value in doing so. We review 36 studies we have conducted on this topic with just over 10,000 participants. We found that thinking for pleasure does not come easily to most people, but can be enjoyable and beneficial under the right conditions. Specifically, we found evidence that thinking for pleasure requires both motivation and the ability to concentrate. For example, several studies show that people enjoy thinking more when it is made easier with the use of “thinking aids.” We present evidence for a trade-off model that holds that people are most likely to enjoy their thoughts if they find those thoughts to be personally meaningful, but that such thinking involves concentration, which lowers enjoyment. Lastly, we review evidence for the benefits of thinking for pleasure, including an intervention study in which participants found thinking for pleasure enjoyable and meaningful in their everyday lives.


Citations (95)


... Making sense of historical events reduces the extraordinary into the ordinary in a process called ordinization (Wilson et al., 2003). The goal of turning the extraordinary into the ordinary provides an outlet of predictability and explainability in what otherwise would be an unexplainable loss. ...

Reference:

Memorials and collective memory: A text analysis of online reviews
Making Sense: The Causes of Emotional Evanescence
  • Citing Chapter
  • February 2003

... In 2005, Kosfeld et al. showed that oxytocin administered intranasally could increase trust in humans [106]. It may also affect decision-making and risk-taking, an effect that in one study was dependent upon outcome predictability [107]. It should be mentioned that these results have not always been possible to replicate. ...

Intranasal Oxytocin Modulates Decision-Making Depending on Outcome Predictability—A Randomized Within-Subject Controlled Trial in Healthy Males

... A second experiment examined only predictors and the objective prong, that is, those who read about the objectification and did not experience or observe it directly (Kimble et al., 2016, Experiment 2). Kimble et al. (2016) applied affective forecasting theory (Gilbert & Wilson, 2000;Gilbert et al., 1998;Wilson & Gilbert, 2003, 2005 to predict and confirm that forecasted high intensity negative emotion and forecasted low intensity positive emotion mediated the direct effects of pervasive objectification on judgments that the predictors made about whether or not the interviewee had experienced hostile work environment harassment. In other words, predictors who expressed stronger negative affect and weaker positive affect in response to objectification were more likely to find the objectification harassing. ...

Miswanting: Some Problems in the Forecasting of Future Affective States
  • Citing Chapter
  • August 2006

... Our research considers the reverse possibility that feeling more or less able to resist counterattitudinal information would produce more exposure to it. For example, Wilson, Gilbert, and Wheathey (1998) hypothesized that people are more willing to expose themselves to supraliminal messages than to subliminal messages because they incorrectly believe that supraliminal messages are easier to resist. We argue that similar theories might apply to one's general ability to defend one's attitudes. ...

Protecting Our Minds: The Role of Lay Beliefs
  • Citing Chapter
  • January 1998

... Additionally, the benefits of engaging in honest conversation are often underestimated (Levine & Cohen, 2018). During conversations, people tend to undervalue the degree to which they are liked by others (Boothby et al., 2018), question their communication skills (Welker et al., 2023), believe that shorter conversations are more appealing to strangers (Hirschi et al., 2022;Kardas, Schroeder et al., 2022), and overestimate the negative consequences of posing sensitive and deep questions (Hart et al., 2021;Kardas, Kumar et al., 2022). Undoubtedly, individuals sometimes overestimate the efficacy of their verbal expression and the level of familiarity with their conversation partner (Keysar & Henly, 2002;Pronin et al., 2001). ...

Speak Up! Mistaken Beliefs About How Much to Talk in Conversations

Personality and Social Psychology Bulletin

... Previous research has investigated the types of linguistic cues that distinguish experts from novices in knowledge communication. For example, experts have been shown to use more proper names (Isaacs & Clark, 1987), provide more suggestions and advanced language when giving advice (Levari, Gilbert, & Wilson, 2022;Hinds, Patterson, & Pfeffer, 2001;Reyt, Wiesenfeld, & Trope, 2016) and use more relational terms and a higher word-per-sentence ratio (Kim, Bae, Nho, & Lee, 2011). Moreover, people appear to use relatively simple linguistic cues when judging others. ...

Tips From the Top: Do the Best Performers Really Give the Best Advice?
  • Citing Article
  • April 2022

Psychological Science

... In essence, like many other rewarding but effortful activities, thinking for pleasure involves a trade-off: It's cognitively taxing and difficult, but also potentially meaningful (Inzlicht et al., 2018;Schiffer & Roberts, 2018). To the extent that people are able to do it, and find it meaningful, they are likely to enjoy it (Raza et al., 2020;Wilson et al., 2019), but whether it's more (or less) enjoyable than other activities depends on how relatively demanding and meaningful those alternatives are. ...

A Trade-Off Model of Intentional Thinking for Pleasure

Emotion

... For instance, using the Reading the Mind in the Eyes Test, Domes et al. [9] reported that intranasal oxytocin generally improved the ability of healthy males to identify another's emotional state, indicating that oxytocin can act to increase cognitive empathy. However, more recent studies using the same task reported attenuated or nonsignificant effects on cognitive empathy [10,11]. Moreover, studies using empathy-inducing pictures or video clips reported nonsignificant effects of intranasal oxytocin on cognitive empathy in healthy individuals [12,13]. ...

Divergent effects of oxytocin on “mind-reading” in healthy males

Cognitive Affective & Behavioral Neuroscience

... Indeed, one key reason why resilient people can quickly bounce back from stressful experiences is their tendency to employ positive emotions in successfully regulating emotional experiences (Tugade & Fredrickson, 2004). Even though thinking about positive past and future events can buffer against stressful life experiences, it is not always a natural way of responding to stress, and it may even be experienced as cognitively taxing and difficult (Westgate et al., 2021). So, training adolescents in recalling and anticipating positive events may make them more inclined and able to resort to this active coping strategy that could boost positive emotions. ...

What Makes Thinking for Pleasure Pleasurable?

Emotion