Dan M. Kahan’s research while affiliated with Yale University and other places

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Publications (56)


A Note on the Perverse Effects of Actively Open-Minded Thinking on Climate-change Polarization
  • Article

January 2016

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33 Reads

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12 Citations

SSRN Electronic Journal

Dan M. Kahan

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Climate-Science Communication and the Measurement Problem

February 2015

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291 Reads

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521 Citations

Political Psychology

This article examines the science-of-science-communication measurement problem. In its simplest form, the problem reflects the use of externally invalid measures of the dynamics that generate cultural conflict over risk and other policy-relevant facts. But at a more fundamental level, the science-of-science-communication measurement problem inheres in the phenomena being measured themselves. The “beliefs” individuals form about a societal risk such as climate change are not of a piece; rather they reflect the distinct clusters of inferences that individuals draw as they engage information for two distinct ends: to gain access to the collective knowledge furnished by science and to enjoy the sense of identity enabled by membership in a community defined by particular cultural commitments. The article shows how appropriately designed “science comprehension” tests—one general and one specific to climate change—can be used to measure individuals’ reasoning proficiency as collective-knowledge acquirers independently of their reasoning proficiency as cultural-identity protectors. Doing so reveals that there is in fact little disagreement among culturally diverse citizens on what science knows about climate change. The source of the climate-change controversy and like disputes over societal risks is the contamination of the science-communication environment with forms of cultural status competition that make it impossible for diverse citizens to express their reason as both collective-knowledge acquirers and cultural-identity protectors at the same time.


What is the 'Science of Science Communication'?

January 2015

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55 Reads

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69 Citations

SSRN Electronic Journal

This essay seeks to explain what the "science of science communication" is by doing it. Surveying studies of cultural cognition and related dynamics, it demonstrates how the form of disciplined observation, measurement, and inference distinctive of scientific inquiry can be used to test rival hypotheses on the nature of persistent public conflict over societal risks; indeed, it argues that satisfactory insight into this phenomenon can be achieved only by these means, as opposed to the ad hoc story-telling dominant in popular and even some forms of scholarly discourse. Synthesizing the evidence, the essay proposes that conflict over what is known by science arises from the very conditions of individual freedom and cultural pluralism that make liberal democratic societies distinctively congenial to science. This tension, however, is not an "inherent contradiction"; it is a problem to be solved - by the science of science communication understood as a "new political science" for perfecting enlightened self-government.


'Ordinary Science Intelligence': A Science Comprehension Measure for Use in the Study of Risk Perception and Science Communication

January 2014

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152 Reads

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10 Citations

SSRN Electronic Journal

This paper describes the “Ordinary Science Intelligence” scale (OSI_2.0). Designed for use in the empirical study of public risk perceptions and science communication, OSI_2.0 comprises items intended to measure a latent (unobserved) capacity to recognize and make use of valid scientific evidence in everyday decisionmaking. The derivation of the items, the relationship of them to the knowledge and skills OSI requires, and the psychometric properties of the scale are examined. Evidence of the external validity of OSI_2.0 is also presented. Finally, the utility of OSI_2.0 is briefly illustrated by using it to assess the relationship of standard survey items on evolution and global warming to science comprehension.


Vaccine Risk Perceptions and Ad Hoc Risk Communication: An Empirical Assessment

January 2014

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130 Reads

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72 Citations

SSRN Electronic Journal

This Report presents empirical evidence relevant to assessing the claim — reported widely in the media and other sources — that the public is growing increasingly anxious about the safety of childhood vaccinations. Based on survey and experimental methods (N = 2,316), the Report presents two principal findings: first, that vaccine risks are neither a matter of concern for the vast majority of the public nor an issue of contention among recognizable demographic, political, or cultural subgroups; and second, that ad hoc forms of risk communication that assert there is mounting resistance to childhood immunizations themselves pose a risk of creating misimpressions and arousing sensibilities that could culturally polarize the public and diminish motivation to cooperate with universal vaccination programs. Based on these findings the Report recommends that government agencies, public health professionals, and other constituents of the public health establishment (1) promote the use of valid and appropriately focused empirical methods for investigating vaccine-risk perceptions and formulating responsive risk communication strategies; (2) discourage ad hoc risk communication based on impressionistic or psychometrically invalid alternatives to these methods; (3) publicize the persistently high rates of childhood vaccination and high levels of public support for universal immunization in the U.S.; and (4) correct ad hoc communicators who misrepresent U.S. vaccination coverage and its relationship to the incidence of childhood diseases.



Gentle Nudges vs. Hard Shoves: Solving the Sticky Norms Problem

July 2013

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118 Reads

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108 Citations

The University of Chicago Law Review

The resistance of law enforcers sometimes confounds the efforts of law makers to change social norms. Thus, as legislators expand liability for date rape, domestic violence, and drunk driving, police become less likely to arrest, prosecutors to charge, jurors to convict, and judges to sentence severely. The conspicuous resistance of these decisionmakers in turn reinforces the norms that law makers intended to change. Can this ?sticky norms? pathology be effectively treated? It can be, this article argues, if law makers apply ?gentle nudges? rather than ?hard shoves.? When the law embodies a relatively mild degree of condemnation, the desire of most decisionmakers to discharge their civic duties will override their reluctance to enforce a law that attacks a widespread social norm. The willingness of most decisionmakers to enforce can initiate a self-reinforcing wave of condemnation, thereby allowing lawmakers to increase the severity of the law in the future without prompting resistance from most decisionmakers. The article presents a formal model of this strategy for norm reform, illustrates it with real world examples, and identifies its normative and prescriptive implications.


Figure 1: Graphical summary of experimental results. Locally weighted regression, applied separately for each experimental condition, plots the relationship between the political outlooks and responses to CRT_valid. Panel (A) plots responses for all study subjects. Panels (B), (C), and (D) plot results only for study subjects with CRT scores of 0, 1, and 2 or 3, respectively. Conserv_Repub, the scale used to measure the subjects' political outlooks, is centered at the point corresponding to a subject who self-identified as a "moderate" on the 5-point liberal-conservative ideology scale and as an "Independent" (who declined when "pushed" to "lean" toward either party) on the 7-point partisan-selfidentification scale. Individuals who identified themselves as either "liberal" and "Democrat" or as "conservative" and "Republican" would have scored-0.95 and 0.95 on Conserv_Repub, respectively. The extreme values on the scale-1.65 and 1.65, respectively-correspond to the scores of individuals who identified themselves as "Very liberal" and "Strong Democrat" and "Very conservative" and "Strong Republican," respectively.
Figure 2: Interaction between CRT and experimental treatment. Derived via Monte Carlo simulation (King, Tomz & Wittenberg, 2000) from regression model reported in Table 3, Model 2. Point estimates indicate predicted probability of agreeing either " slightly, " " moderately, " or " strongly " with CRT_valid. The predictor values for " Liberal Democrat " and " Conservative " Republican are -0.95 and +0.95 respectively on Conserv_Repub. The predictor values for " low " and " high CRT " are 0 and " 2, " respectively. CIs reflect 0.95 level of confidence.  
Ideology, Motivated Reasoning, and Cognitive Reflection
  • Article
  • Full-text available

July 2013

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3,583 Reads

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958 Citations

Judgment and Decision Making

Decision scientists have identified various plausible sources of ideological polarization over climate change, gun violence, national security, and like issues that turn on empirical evidence. This paper describes a study of three of them: the predominance of heuristic-driven information processing by members of the public; ideologically motivated reasoning; and the cognitive-style correlates of political conservativism. The study generated both observational and experimental data inconsistent with the hypothesis that political conservatism is distinctively associated with either un-reflective thinking or motivated reasoning. Conservatives did no better or worse than liberals on the Cognitive Reflection Test (Frederick, 2005), an objective measure of information-processing dispositions associated with cognitive biases. In addition, the study found that ideologically motivated reasoning is not a consequence of over-reliance on heuristic or intuitive forms of reasoning generally. On the contrary, subjects who scored highest in cognitive reflection were the most likely to display ideologically motivated cognition. These findings corroborated an alternative hypothesis, which identifies ideologically motivated cognition as a form of information processing that promotes individuals' interests in forming and maintaining beliefs that signify their loyalty to important affinity groups. The paper discusses the practical significance of these findings, including the need to develop science communication strategies that shield policy-relevant facts from the influences that turn them into divisive symbols of political identity.

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Democracy, Cultural Cognition, and the Science Communication Environment

February 2013

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37 Reads

Promoting public comprehension of science is only one aim of the science of science communication and is likely not the most important one for the well-being of a democratic society. Ordinary citizens form quadrillions of correct beliefs on matters that turn on complicated scientific principles they cannot even identify much less understand. The reason they fail to converge on beliefs consistent with scientific evidence on certain other consequential matters—from climate change to genetically modified foods to compusory adolescent HPV vaccination—is not the failure of scientists or science communicators to speak clearly or the inability of ordinary citizens to understand what they are saying. Rather, the source of such conflict is the proliferation of antagonistic cultural meanings. When such associations become attached to particular facts that admit of scientific investigation, these meanings are a kind of pollution of the science communication environment that disables the faculties ordinary citizens use to reliably absorb collective knowledge from their everyday interactions. The quality of the science communication environment is thus just as critical for enlightened self-government as the quality of the natural environment is for the physical health and well-being of a society’s members. Understanding how this science communication environment works, fashioning procedures to prevent it from becoming contaminated with antagonistic meanings, and formulating effective interventions to detoxify it when protective strategies fail—those are the most critical functions science communication can perform in a democratic society.


Citations (46)


... Therefore, later modern researchers have tended to associate curiosity with a psychological trait or disposition (Silvia 2012). The thought of individual differences in curiosity has intensified studies on the development of curiosity scales related to epistemic-sensory, specific-diversive, and trait-state forms of curiosity (Collins, Litman, and Spielberger 2004;Litman and Spielberger 2003;Motta et al. 2021;Naylor 1981;Schmidt and Rotgans 2021;Silvia 2012). Trait curiosity, especially connected to a specific discipline such as scientific curiosity, a research subject in education for a century, has held incredible promise to collect data from a broader learner population. ...

Reference:

Science curiosity: an analysis examining gender and parental influences
Reducing the Administrative Demands of the Science Curiosity Scale: A Validation Study
  • Citing Article
  • December 2019

International Journal of Public Opinion Research

... The non-lossframed ads were entitled "family", "religion" and "geography". These nonloss-framed ads were inspired by different strands of the literature that link religion and health 65 , family and health 66 , and information about local health conditions and health behavior 67 . While this design does not allow us to infer the effects of loss-versus gain-framing (since we do not include a specifically gain-framed ad), it allows us to compare the effect of loss-framed ads with ads that rely on different psychological channels that have been shown to affect health-related behavior. ...

How Localized Outbreaks and Changes in Media Coverage Affect Zika Attitudes in National and Local Contexts
  • Citing Article
  • September 2019

... Our second goal is to test whether correcting specific misconceptions about nuclear energy leads to more positive attitudes toward nuclear energy. Studies suggest that factual corrections tend to reduce misperceptions, with some belief updating in the expected direction (van der Linden et al., 2015, Guess & Coppock, 2018Wood & Porter, 2019, for some debates on the degree of effectiveness of these corrections, see, Ecker and Ang, 2018;Kahan, & Corbin, 2016;Nyhan and Reifler, 2010). The issue of whether correcting specific misconceptions has an effect on broader attitudes is much murkier. ...

A Note on the Perverse Effects of Actively Open-Minded Thinking on Climate-change Polarization
  • Citing Article
  • January 2016

SSRN Electronic Journal

... Despite the relative consensus regarding the negative correlation, DPM is not the only framework employed to explain the relationship between reflection and religious belief. The expressive rationality model (ERM) argues that individuals use cognitive reflection to consolidate their already-held beliefs as a way to strengthen their social identity (Kahan, 2017). Rooted in motivated cognition, ERM predicts that reflection increases the endorsement of identity-protective beliefs. ...

Misconceptions, Misinformation, and the Logic of Identity-Protective Cognition
  • Citing Article
  • January 2017

SSRN Electronic Journal

... One of the elements that make up this internal wiring is 'cultural cognition' , which refers to how individuals care differently about things depending on their personal and group identity, and whether these beliefs conflict with those of others. 29,30 Social norms refer to the sense of what most people are doing, 18 whereas social proof encompasses observing what people similar to the individual are doing. 10,11 Identity and being part of a group are extremely important, 10,31 and leveraging tribal beliefs and pride is incredibly powerful. ...

Protecting the Science Communication Environment: The Case of Childhood Vaccines
  • Citing Article
  • January 2016

SSRN Electronic Journal

... In such instances, they reach smarter and more accurate conclusions that better align with their political preferences and preconceptions. Hence, people engage in expressive rationality, using their intelligence not to seek impartial truth but instead to ratify conclusions affirming their identity and worldview (Kahan, 2017). ...

The expressive rationality of inaccurate perceptions
  • Citing Article
  • March 2017

Behavioral and Brain Sciences

... Another way individuals perceive risk is according to what reinforces their commitments to the group to which their views belong [16]. This perception could be independent from the best available evidence and sometimes in conflict with it [17]. The second way relates to the cultural-cognitive aspect of risk perception and explains why groups with opposing political views tend to disagree on important social topics. ...

The Politically Motivated Reasoning Paradigm, Part 2: Unanswered Questions: An Interdisciplinary, Searchable, and Linkable Resource
  • Citing Chapter
  • November 2016

... But things might not be so simple. Kahan (2017) examined public responses to the National Science Foundation's longstanding survey of scientific understanding. Two of the largest gaps in public understanding revealed in that survey regarded evolution and the big bang theory of the formation of the universe. ...

‘Ordinary science intelligence’: a science-comprehension measure for study of risk and science communication, with notes on evolution and climate change
  • Citing Article
  • March 2016