September 2024
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3 Reads
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2 Citations
Journal of International Economics
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September 2024
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3 Reads
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2 Citations
Journal of International Economics
August 2023
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38 Reads
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15 Citations
Journal of Money Credit and Banking
We show that macroprudential regulation significantly dampens the impact of global financial shocks on emerging markets. Specifically, a tighter level of regulation reduces the sensitivity of GDP growth to capital flow shocks and movements in the Chicago Board Options Exchange's VIX. A broad set of macroprudential tools contributes to this result, including measures targeting bank capital and liquidity, foreign currency mismatches, and risky credit. We also find that tighter macroprudential regulation allows monetary policy to respond more countercyclically to global financial shocks. This could be an important channel through which macroprudential regulation enhances macro‐economic stability. We do not find evidence that capital controls provide similar benefits.
March 2023
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6 Reads
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6 Citations
IMF Working Paper
January 2023
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8 Reads
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4 Citations
SSRN Electronic Journal
December 2022
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10 Reads
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3 Citations
Journal of International Money and Finance
December 2022
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10 Reads
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5 Citations
IMF Working Paper
November 2022
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13 Reads
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13 Citations
Journal of International Economics
Contrary to Mundell's trilemma, we show that free capital mobility may prevent monetary policy from ensuring output stability even if the exchange rate is flexible due to the existence of an Effective Lower Bound. The ELB is an interest rate threshold below which monetary easing becomes contractionary because of adverse effects on credit supply. A tightening in global monetary and financial conditions increases the ELB and may force central banks to hike rates even though domestic economic activity contracts. We also show that the ELB gives rise to a novel inter-temporal trade-off for monetary policy and calls for using a broad range of policy tools to restore monetary transmission.
July 2022
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7 Reads
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7 Citations
Journal of Development Economics
This paper provides the first assessment of the contribution of idiosyncratic shocks to aggregate fluctuations in an emerging market using confidential data on the universe of Chilean firms. We find that idiosyncratic shocks account for more than 40 percent of the volatility of aggregate sales. Although quite large, this contribution is smaller than documented in previous studies based on advanced economies, despite a higher degree of market concentration in Chile. We show that this finding is explained by larger firms being less volatile and by weaker propagation effects across Chilean firms.
January 2022
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10 Reads
IMF Economic Review
December 2021
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10 Reads
IMF Working Paper
... While the public is likely misinformed about many crisis bargaining outcomes, the role of information is particularly important in the context of the debt ceiling. Under normal conditions, fiscal politics and sovereign debt are difficult concepts for the public to understand (Grigoli and Sandri 2023;Roth, Settele, and Wohlfart 2022). As a result, the public often relies upon co-partisan cues or trusted media sources to form their opinions (Alt, Marshall, and Lassen 2016;Bansak, Bechtel, and Margalit 2021;Barnes and Hicks 2018). ...
September 2024
Journal of International Economics
... The distortions faced by table grape producers in Chile, Peru and South Africa were compared by calculating the nominal rate of assistance (NRA) to producers. NRA calculations gave an indication of the policy environment in which a specific agricultural sector in a country operates (Anderson et al. 2006). In this regard, welfare is maximised in the absence of externalities, trade distortions wholesale and retail marketing margins, and domestic and international trading costs. ...
October 2017
... One of the main causes of the non-performance of Ghanaian banking financial institutions at the time was inadequate liquidity influenced by the loss of confidence of the public sector (Al-Ardah & Al-Okdeh, 2022) resulting in panic withdrawals by customers of universal banks after hearing that financial institutions were facing liquidity challenges (Sandri et al., 2023). It was discovered that most financial institutions were relying on customers' deposits to finance working capital as a result of inadequate capital available for day-to-day operations (Ofori, 2023). ...
January 2023
SSRN Electronic Journal
... policies directly impacts liquidity levels, monetary stability, and economic growth (Bergant et al., 2024;Şahin, 2025). Many emerging economies struggle to balance the benefits of foreign exchange inflows with the risks of excessive liquidity expansion and inflationary pressures (Miranda-Agrippino & Rey, 2020). ...
August 2023
Journal of Money Credit and Banking
... Özyilmaz (2022) inflation has a detrimental effect on investment, which has a direct influence on economic performance. Grigoli and Sandri (2023) conclude from analyzing the relationship between governmental debt and inflation that citizens underestimate the degree of debt and raise inflationary expectations. This study was concerned with the following countries: the US, England, and Brazil. ...
March 2023
IMF Working Paper
... Negative interest rates reduce bank profitability in the long run, partly because of banks' limited ability to pass negative rates on to depositors or adjust their business models. Grigoli and Sandri (2022) and Holm et al. (2021) provide insights into how interest rate changes affect household consumption and credit card spending. These studies indicate that the impact varies significantly across different income levels and household balance sheet compositions, suggesting that monetary policy effects are not uniform across the economy. ...
December 2022
IMF Working Paper
... of 20 [38], intervening in the foreign exchange market. The Czech Republic has been in the low regime for a brief period between 2007-2008. ...
December 2022
Journal of International Money and Finance
... This policy strengthens entrepreneurs' balance sheet relative to the scenario of no FX intervention, resulting in a stronger stabilization of domestic demand (consumption and investment) and the trade balance. 18 However, although the FX intervention policy is successful in dealing with capital outflows in a context of liability dollarization, the fact that monetary policy is set according to a calibrated rule means that it is still procyclical over the medium term and thus suboptimal. Figure 6 considers the case in which the central bank deploys both optimal FX intervention and monetary policy rules (φ R * = −0.29,θ ...
November 2022
Journal of International Economics
... Research using firm-level data has shown that large firms' idiosyncratic shocks significantly influence GDP fluctuations in various countries, including the U.S. [16] [36], Europe (Austria, Belgium, Finland, France, Germany, Italy, Portugal and Spain) [37], the UK [38], Germany [39], France [28], Spain [40], China [41], Russia [42], Brazil [43], Australia [27], Korea [44], Finland [30], Chile [45], Canada [46], Sweden [47], Italy [48], Ireland [49], Hungary [50], Morocco [51], and Kazakhstan [52]. This provides global support for the granularity hypothesis. ...
Reference:
Granularity: Macroeconomics and Beyond
July 2022
Journal of Development Economics
... Furthermore, McManus and Ozkan (2015) found that a procyclical fiscal policy reduces economic growth, increases inflation, and amplified the output's volatility. In the same vein, Borensztein et al. (2013), found that procyclical policies increase income export's volatility and the country's needs of precautionary saving, which combined, reduce the domestic welfare. For these reasons, the removal of financing constraints and the development of better institutions and political structures can help oil and non-oil developing countries in formulating sound and countercyclical fiscal policies (Ebril, 2011;Frankel et al., 2013). ...
January 2009
SSRN Electronic Journal