Clive A. McAlpine's research while affiliated with The University of Queensland and other places

Publications (19)

Preprint
Effective private land conservation strategies that consider both landholder preferences and future climatic conditions are critical for preserving biodiversity and ecosystem services. Yet, the interaction and relative importance of these factors for conservation planning performance is unknown. Here, we assess the importance of considering landhol...
Article
Conserving habitats crucial for threatened koala ( Phascolarctos cinereus ) populations requires rating habitat quality from a fine spatial scale to patches, landscapes and then regions. The koala has a specialized diet focused on the leaves of a suite of Eucalyptus species. We asked: what are the key regional influences on habitat selection by koa...
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Deforestation exacerbates climate change through greenhouse gas emissions, but other climatic alterations linked to the local biophysical changes remain poorly understood. Here, we assess the impact of tropical deforestation on fire weather risk – that is the climate conditions conducive to wildfires – using high-resolution convection-permitting cl...
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Context Choosing the most effective combinations of actions to manage threatened species is difficult. Aims This study aimed to identify the most effective combinations of six management actions for reversing population declines of koala populations in three regional landscapes (Coastal, Riverine and Hinterland) in north-east New South Wales, Austr...
Article
Context Without urgent action, koalas could be extinct in New South Wales (NSW), Australia by 2050. Despite the key role that community members could play in koala protection, we know little about what might motivate them to engage in these actions. Aims This study surveyed residents (n = 585) of local government areas of far north east NSW to iden...
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Myanmar is one of the most forested countries of mainland Southeast Asia and is a globally important biodiversity hotspot. However, forest cover has declined from 58% in 1990 to 44% in 2015. The aim of this paper was to understand the patterns and drivers of deforestation and forest degradation in Myanmar since 2005, and to identify possible policy...
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Both deforestation and El Niño events influence Borneo’s climate, but their interaction is not well understood. Borneo’s native forest cover decreased by 37.1% between 1980 and 2015 with large areas being replaced by oil palm and a mosaic of plantations and regrowth vegetation. The island is also affected by El Niño events, resulting in severe drou...
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Full-text available
Both deforestation and El Niño events influence Borneo's climate, but their interaction is not well understood. Borneo's native forest cover decreased by 37.1% between 1980 and 2015 with large areas being replaced by oil palm and a mosaic of plantations and regrowth vegetation. The island is also affected by El Niño events, resulting in severe drou...
Article
We welcome the attention given to forest and trees by the Report “The global tree restoration potential” (5 July, p. 76), in which J.-F. Bastin et al. study the potential of tree cover to reduce climate change. However, we are concerned by their neglect of the water cycle.
Article
Geographic citizen science has much potential to assist in wildlife research and conservation, but the quality of observation data is a key concern. We examined the effects of sampling design on the quality of spatial data collected for a koala citizen science project in Australia. Data were collected from three samples—volunteers (n = 454), an Int...
Article
Effective wildlife conservation requires consideration of ecological and social factors, including social acceptability of conservation actions. Using the threatened koala (Phascolarctos cinereus) as a case study, we demonstrate a novel, socio-ecological approach for identifying conservation opportunity that spatially connects landscapes with commu...
Article
Retaining and restoring habitat in areas that will remain climatically suitable through time is a key strategy for helping species' adapt to climate change - particularly in multi-use landscapes where species' find it difficult to track suitable climates. We advance on existing climate-smart conservation planning studies to identify retention and r...
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Conservation planning and population assessment for widely-distributed, but vulnerable, arboreal folivore species demands cost-effective mapping of habitat suitability over large areas. This study tested whether multispectral data from WorldView-3 could be used to estimate and map foliar digestible nitrogen (DigN), a nutritional measure superior to...
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Full-text available
Conservation planning and population assessment for widely-distributed, but vulnerable, arboreal folivore species demands cost-effective mapping of habitat suitability over large areas. This study tested whether multispectral data from WorldView-3 could be used to estimate and map foliar digestible nitrogen (DigN), a nutritional measure superior to...
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Full-text available
Urban residents face increasing risk of heat stress due to the combined impact of climate change and intensification of the urban heat island (UHI) associated with urban growth. Considering the combined effect of urban growth and climate change is vital to understanding how temperatures in urban areas will change in the future. This study investiga...
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Aim Many conservation efforts now focus on mitigating biodiversity loss due to climate change. While a focus on impacts from mean, long‐term changes in climate is warranted, the vast majority of conservation plans largely ignore another key factor of climate change—changes in the frequency and intensity of extreme weather and climate events. A typo...
Article
Positive (synergistic) and negative (trade-off) relationships among ecosystem services are influenced by drivers of change, such as policy interventions and environmental variability, and the mechanisms that link these drivers to ecosystem service outcomes. Failure to account for these drivers and mechanisms can result in poorly informed management...
Article
Differentiation of forest growth stages through classification of single date or time-series of Landsat sensor data is limited because of insensitivity to their three-dimensional structure. This study therefore evaluated the benefits of integrating the Advanced Land Observing Satellite (ALOS) Phased Array L-band Synthetic Aperture Radar (PALSAR) L-...
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Full-text available
Whilst extensive clearance of forests in the eastern Australian Brigalow Belt Bioregion (BBB) has occurred since European settlement, appropriate management of those that are regenerating can facilitate restoration of biomass (carbon) and biodiversity to levels typical of relatively undisturbed or remnant formations. However, maps of forests are di...

Citations

... Locally relevant information relating to koala tree species use therefore ensures that councils and conservation groups achieve revegetation outcomes relevant to local populations. Consistent with previous studies, we predicted that koalas (being nocturnal feeders) would use a greater diversity of tree species at night relative to day, and would preferentially select larger trees relative to their availability in the landscape (Pfeiffer et al. 2005;Crowther et al. 2014;Law et al. 2022a;McAlpine et al. 2023). ...
... We used the Conformal Cubic Atmospheric Model (CCAM; Thatcher, 2020) developed by CSIRO (McGregor, 2005;McGregor & Dix, 2008), to dynamically downscale 15 CMIP6 GCMs. Typically, GCMs are downscaled by running the RCM over a limited domain of interest (Giorgi, 2019), however, CCAM is a global stretched grid model, and so runs for the entire globe, while the domain of interest can be at a higher resolution (McGregor, 2015;Syktus & McAlpine, 2016;Trancoso et al., 2022). In comparison to limited-domain RCMs, a stretched grid model provides self-consistent interactions between global and regional scales (Fox-Rabinovitz et al., 2006). ...
... Using Bayes theorem [135], the model calculates the probability of a given outcome for any defined scenario. Bayesian networks are widely used in a range of decision support settings including public health [136,137], environmental conservation [138] and natural resource management [139]. ...
... By focusing on the scale of the four LGAs, we have provided the ecological basis for developing a regional approach to koala conservation. There is strong local community support for koala conservation and recovery measures to help ensure koalas continue to survive in the region (Brown et al., 2018;Brown, McAlpine, et al., 2019;Fielding et al., 2022;Lunney et al., 2022). This study has provided an ecological foundation for a koala conservation strategy for the four LGAs, as well as the neighbouring Kyogle and Richmond Valley ...
... In contrast, mangrove ecosystems in the Mon Region experienced more pronounced impacts from the expansion of aquaculture and charcoal production (Zöckler and Aung, 2019). Meanwhile, in Rakhine and Ayeyarwady zones, the conversion of mangroves to shrimp farms is a significant factor, along with their transformation into rice paddies (Gaw et al., 2018;Yang et al., 2019;De Alban et al., 2020;Tun et al., 2021). The coastal zones of Ayeyarwady, Yangon, and Mon are the most critical areas experiencing deforestation of mangroves . ...
... Several studies have also contributed towards analysing Kalimantan's climatic condition on land surface temperature (LST). Chapman et al. (2020) assessed the impact of deforestation in Kalimantan by analysing the rainfall and temperature using data derived from Conformal Cubic Atmospheric Model (CCAM). McAlpine et al. (2018) used the LST mODIS data to analysed the impact of forest loss in Kalimantan on its temperature. ...
... If natural forest ecosystems have indeed evolved mechanisms to stabilize and sustain the continental water cycle, their destruction contributes to the destabilization and impoverishment of regional water cycles and climates. This contribution is underestimated (Sheil et al., 2019). Future studies of vegetation cover impacts on atmospheric moisture flows must emphasize the role of natural forests (Zemp et al., 2017a;Sheil, 2018;Makarieva et al., 2020;Leite-Filho et al., 2021;Hua et al., 2022). ...
... Women also respond more often to studies on green areas in the Nordic region 47 . While socio-demographic factors can influence the number of points assigned to a map, socio-demographic biases wrought by different sampling techniques (e.g., convenience vs. representative), have been found to have little influence on location accuracy of SV 55 . It was difficult to test this hypothesis in the current paper given that most data were collated through a convenience sample. ...
... In the analysis phase, values of each survey respondent are aggregated together to represent society, hence forming 'social values' or SV 32 . PPGIS and spatial conservation prioritization approaches have been combined to spatially identify synergies and trade-offs between SV and biophysical values for biodiversity, whereby SV for biodiversity are generated using PPGIS and biophysical values are generated using either scoring or complementary methods for assessing conservation priorities 15,28,[33][34][35] . Socially acceptable and scientifically defensible priorities for conservation can be derived from the spatial overlays of high-high, and high-low value areas of social and biophysical value 28,34 , enabling the identification of specific geographic locations where conservation options are supported or opposed 28 . ...
... 312 313 This spatial and tabular dataset is ideal for users that would like to understand how the habitat suitability 314 of areas for species is predicted to change over time or under different climate scenarios. Due to its 5km 2 315 spatial resolution, the data is best for understanding broader spatial trends that can be integrated into 316 spatial planning (Maxwell et al., 2019), rather than more local management such as identifying specific 317 sites for translocation (Eyre et al., 2022). For example, as presented above, these maps can be combined 318 to evaluate how habitat suitability changes over time ( Figure 6) or over space and time ( Figure 5), which 319 can then be considered into conservation or monitoring plans in areas which are predicted to lose or gain 320 suitable areas for the species. ...