Christopher S. Koper's research while affiliated with George Mason University and other places

Publications (100)

Article
To extend the limited evidence on how hot spot policing (HSP) strategies affect community experiences, perceptions, and attitudes, police agencies in two cities participated in a randomized experiment involving 102 hot spots that were assigned to a control condition ( n = 51) or to receive a HSP program emphasizing patrol, community engagement, and...
Chapter
This chapter cites examples of the types of learning that may be needed at different stages of officers' careers to institutionalize evidence-based policing. It describes the direct route for institutionalizing research into police practice through systems of professional development. It also points out how professional development systems provide...
Book
Today's police agencies are in a period of both crisis and reform as they try to improve their ability to deliver public safety to citizens in ways that are effective, legitimate, and sustainable. Evidence-based policing offers one such solution—an approach which emphasises the value that research can bring to police officers and, by extension, the...
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This chapter determines which evidence should form the basis for evidence-based policing and should at least be considered when making significant policy decisions. It talks about police agencies that generate their own internal research knowledge and draw upon the wider body of research already available to inform their practices. It also consider...
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This chapter explores the first online translation tool, which is called Evidence-Based Policing Matrix (Matrix). This organizes outcome evaluation research in policing and facilitates its translation into practice. The chapter demonstrates how the Matrix visually maps out the field of evaluation research in policing related to crime prevention in...
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This chapter talks about the adjustment of supervisory, managerial, strategic planning, and leadership systems toward being more amenable for evidence-based policing. It provides examples of how evidence-based policing might be infused into systems of supervision, management, strategic planning, public engagement, and leadership. It also covers the...
Chapter
This chapter discusses the Case of Place approach, which is another translation tool from the Matrix Demonstration Project focused on institutionalizing evidence-based practices into various types of investigative operations. It analyzes the requirement for the police to collect more systematic data on crime trends, problems, actors, social and phy...
Chapter
This chapter considers playbooks as a decision-making tool in which research knowledge might be infused. It highlights a free resource for the Matrix Demonstration Project called the Evidence-Based Policing Playbook (Playbook), which contains evidence-based and operational ideas for law enforcement officers to use and adapt during their everyday pa...
Chapter
This chapter cites examples of evidence-based crime control interventions that target places with high levels of crime, especially those that fall in the “Micro place” slab of Evidence-Based Policing Matrix (Matrix). It recognizes that crime is concentrated in particular neighborhoods and administrative areas within a locality, and law enforcement...
Chapter
This chapter provides a background on the idea of evidence-based policing, which is a law that has become an anchoring concept for government funding for research and technical assistance in policing. It defines evidence-based policing as research, evaluation, analysis, and scientific processes that should have a place in law enforcement decision m...
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This chapter discusses how institutionalization is achieved and how research evidence can be used to shape tactics and strategies the police employ every day. It also shows how to incorporate crime prevention principles into the daily habits and craft of the patrol officer or detective. It also outlines the ways and under what conditions research f...
Chapter
This chapter talks about the receptivity to and demand for research by law enforcement practitioners. It argues how evidence-based policing is considered impractical theory if law enforcement agencies and their agents don't see value in research or a need for using research, research processes, partnerships, and the like. It addresses why some offi...
Chapter
This chapter presents ideas for researchers on how they might continue to advance evidence-based policing from their vantage point. It focuses on two themes that can be broadly subsumed under a concept called “translational criminology.” The first theme emphasizes that researchers can contribute to the study of the use of research and the effective...
Chapter
This chapter highlights the evidence and practice of “neighborhood-” and “jurisdiction-” level interventions. It discusses law enforcement agencies that still organize many of their operations around geographic spaces that are larger than several types of micro places. It also cites studies of interventions in larger areas that provide valuable les...
Chapter
This chapter examines the evidence-base of common police approaches that are focused on individuals. It explores the emphasis on individuals, as opposed to places, that has been the hallmark of the standard model of policing. It also talks about the focus on individuals as it emerges from responding to calls for service, investigating crimes, and t...
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This chapter discusses crime analysis, which has been proven vital in building capacity for evidence-based policing. It highlights a major pillar of evidence-based policing, which involves using research and analysis to guide both internal and external operations. It also describes crime analysts that support the development, application, and evalu...
Chapter
This chapter focuses on technology, which is one area of policing that is believed to be central to carrying out effective crime prevention strategies. It emphasizes that the evidence for the impact of technology on the police and outcomes that the police care about is weaker compared to the research evidence for various crime prevention strategies...
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Objectives This randomized controlled trial (RCT) assessed the effectiveness of a community-infused problem-oriented policing (CPOP) intervention on reducing property/violent crime. Methods In two mid-Atlantic cities, a total of 102 crime hot spots were randomly assigned to receive CPOP or standard patrol. Analyses examine changes in crime the yea...
Article
Evidence on how hot spot policing affects community members’ views of police is very limited and inconclusive. Scholars have thus called for further study of community attitudes in hot spots to guide police in the formulation of hot spot strategies—an issue that is especially salient given recent public controversy surrounding policing, particularl...
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Objectives To examine how the practice of daily proactivity affects and responds to changes in crime at micro geographic and temporal scales. Methods Police calls for service and automated vehicle location data from a large suburban jurisdiction were used to create comprehensive measures of police proactivity. Panel data and the generalized method...
Article
Traffic accidents present a significant challenge to public safety and are a top priority for many law enforcement agencies in the United States. Empirical studies suggest that police agencies commonly engage in traffic enforcement activities to be proactive, spending much of their downtime patrolling areas with heightened risks for vehicle crashes...
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The protests following the killing of George Floyd in the summer of 2020 led to contentious discussions and debates in many cities about policing, with some calling to “defund the police.” However, this debate has generally proceeded without adequate research about either the scale or nature of issues that the police handle and the potential conseq...
Article
Purpose Detective work is a mainstay of modern law enforcement, but its effectiveness has been much less evaluated than patrol work. To explore what is known about effective investigative practices and to identify evidence gaps, the authors assess the current state of empirical research on investigations. Design/methodology/approach The authors as...
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Objectives To determine whether the use and display of license plate readers (LPRs) enhance the crime prevention effects of police patrol, particularly by increasing initial and residual deterrence from patrol presence.Methods Crime hot spots in a large suburban jurisdiction were randomly assigned to receive intermittent patrols (15–30 min each) by...
Article
Maximizing crime prevention through large-scale implementation of hot spot policing requires a more refined understanding of how to calibrate police activity across high and low-risk areas. This study investigates these issues based on the experience of a large urban police agency that substantially reduced proactive activities across a large area...
Article
Numerous studies have shown that hot spot policing (HSP) is effective in reducing crime in small high-risk locations. However, questions remain about the efficacy of HSP outside large cities, its long-term sustainability and effects, and its ability to produce aggregate reductions in crime across large areas. This study highlights a small city poli...
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This study examines the gatekeeping role that public safety communication specialists (911 calltakers and dispatchers) play in the criminal justice footprint using systematic observations of one of the largest public communication centers in the U.S. Findings indicate that public safety communications professionals can play a significant role in in...
Article
Purpose To measure the practice and management of proactive policing in local American police agencies and assess them in comparison to recommendations of the National Academies of Sciences (NAS) Committee on Proactive Policing. Design/methodology/approach A survey was conducted with a national sample of American police agencies having 100 or more...
Article
Research Summary This article examines the use, impacts, and regulation of assault weapons and other high‐capacity semiautomatic firearms as they pertain to the problem of mass shootings in the United States. High‐capacity semiautomatics (which include assault weapons as a subset) are used in between 20% and 58% of all firearm mass murders, and the...
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The 2017 National Academies of Sciences (NAS) Committee and Report on Proactive Policing highlighted what we know about the effects of proactive policing practices on crime prevention and police–community relations. However, the evaluation evidence reviewed by the NAS, which largely comes from case studies of carefully managed proactive initiatives...
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Objectives To determine optimal methods of patrol with license plate readers (LPRs) for maximizing detection and apprehension. Methods Data from two randomized experiments were jointly analyzed. In the first, a four-officer squad conducted short daily operations to detect stolen and other vehicles of interest at randomly selected road segments (av...
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Research Summary In this article, we provide the most comprehensive narrative review to date of the research evidence base for body‐worn cameras (BWCs). Seventy empirical studies of BWCs were examined covering the impact of cameras on officer behavior, officer perceptions, citizen behavior, citizen perceptions, police investigations, and police org...
Article
The use of automated license plate readers (LPRs) has spread rapidly among American police in recent decades. However, research on LPRs has been very limited and focused primarily on small-scale use of LPRs in patrol. This study expands the evidence base on LPRs by evaluating investigative use of a large-scale fixed LPR network in one populous city...
Article
The influence of information technology on organisational change has long been a concern in policing. Despite the assumption that technology holds great potential for improving police performance, studies suggest that technology delivers mixed results. In this article, we use a theoretical model well-known in studies on organisations and informatio...
Article
Purpose The purpose of this paper is to documents the diffusion of license plate readers (LPRs) in the USA, examining the variety, evolution and tracking of their uses through a national survey. Design/methodology/approach This study employs a national, stratified, representative survey of US law enforcement agencies with 100 or more officers....
Article
Laws restricting large ammunition magazines for semiautomatic weapons are intended to reduce firearm deaths and injuries by preventing gun attacks involving high numbers of shots. However, data on shootings from high-volume gunfire (HVG) incidents are extremely limited. This study examined gunshot victimisations resulting from HVG attacks (>10 shot...
Article
Policies restricting semiautomatic assault weapons and large-capacity ammunition magazines are intended to reduce gunshot victimizations by limiting the stock of semiautomatic firearms with large ammunition capacities and other military-style features conducive to criminal use. The federal government banned such weaponry from 1994 to 2004, and a fe...
Article
Scholarship has focused on the use of license plate readers by patrol officers as a rational instrument for accomplishing key policing goals, including recovering stolen vehicles. In contrast, this paper applies the theoretical framework of innovation reinvention to explain how license plate readers are being used by criminal investigators in more...
Article
Technology has become a major source of expenditure and innovation in law enforcement and is assumed to hold great potential for enhancing police work. But does technology achieve these expectations? The current state of research on technology in policing is unclear about the links between technologies and outcomes such as work efficiencies, effect...
Article
This study evaluated a police-led community initiative that combined various enforcement and prevention efforts to reduce gun violence and other violence in a selected area of St. Louis, Missouri. A quasi-experimental multiple time-series design was used to compare trends in total violence and gun violence in the program neighborhood with the avera...
Article
Despite the advancement of hot spot policing in research and practice, more effort is needed to develop and institutionalize hot spot strategies and to make problem places a more central focus of everyday police operations. To this end, we advocate a ‘case of place’ strategy that broadens the focus of investigative work to include places as well as...
Article
Background: Recent technological advances have much potential for improving police performance, but there has been little research testing whether they have made police more effective in reducing crime. Objective: To study the uses and crime control impacts of mobile computing technology in the context of geographically focused "hot spots" patro...
Article
Although technology holds great promise for improving policing, research on police technology is not well developed and raises questions about technology's impacts. This article presents selected results from a multi-agency study to improve understanding of both technology's effects on policing and the contextual aspects of policing that shape the...
Article
This study examined the practice of hot spots policing as reported by a convenience sample of predominantly large municipal police agencies. Police commonly defined hot spots in terms of micro places as well as larger areas, and they emphasized short-term identification and responses to hot spots. Respondents identified problem analysis/solving, ta...
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Purpose The purpose of the study is to examine gun violence prevention practices among urban police in the USA, assessing their scope, effectiveness, limitations, and impacts. Design/methodology/approach A national survey was conducted with police agencies serving cities of 100,000 or more people. Findings Strategies used most frequently and rate...
Article
Objectives To test the effects of short-term police patrol operations using license plate readers (LPRs) on crime and disorder at crime hot spots in Mesa, Arizona. Methods The study employed a randomized experimental design. For 15 successive 2-week periods, a four-officer squad conducted short daily operations to detect stolen and other vehicles...
Article
Objective To better understand the workings of illicit gun markets by identifying the characteristics of buyers, sellers, firearms, and transactions that predict whether a gun is used in crime or obtained by an illegal possessor subsequent to purchase. Methods The study employed multivariate survival analysis utilizing data on nearly 72,000 guns s...
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Research Summary This study evaluates a local immigration enforcement policy implemented in Prince William County, Virginia, in 2008. In addition to joining the federal 287(g) program, the County adopted a policy that initially required officers to check the immigration status of people they detained, but the policy was later amended to require im...
Article
Research Summary This study evaluates a local immigration enforcement policy implemented in Prince William County, Virginia, in 2008. In addition to joining the federal 287(g) program, the County adopted a policy that initially required officers to check the immigration status of people they detained, but the policy was later amended to require imm...
Article
Evidence-based policing—using research and scientific processes to inform police decisions—is a complex approach to policing that involves various challenges. One primary difficulty is how research can be translated into digestible and familiar forms for practitioners. A central part of successful translation is the receptivity of decisionmakers to...
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This article focuses on a relatively new innovation for use by law enforcement, license plate recognition (LPR) systems, in fighting auto theft. While it is a promising technology, there has not been much research on the effectiveness of LPR systems. The authors conducted a randomized experiment to study the effects of LPR devices on auto theft. Th...
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This Campbell systematic review examines the impacts of police strategies to reduce illegal possession and carrying of firearms on gun crime. Examples include gun detection patrols in high‐crime areas, enhanced surveillance of probationers and parolees, weapon reporting hotlines, consent searches, and other similar tactics. Four studies met the inc...
Article
Objectives This randomized controlled experiment tests whether license plate readers (LPR) deter crime generally, and automobile crime more specifically in crime hot spots. The limited intervention tested here reflects one current likely use of LPR at the time of this publication. Methods We use a place-based block randomized experiment. Our subjec...
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Focusing police efforts on “hot spots” has gained acceptance among researchers and practitioners. However, little rigorous evidence exists on the comparative effectiveness of different hot spots strategies. To address this gap, we randomly assigned 83 hot spots of violence in Jacksonville, Florida, to receive either a problem-oriented policing (POP...
Article
INTRODUCTION Is the practice of crime prevention – as well as its scholarship, discourse, tools, institutions, and perspectives – relevant to countering terrorism? Substantive concerns have been expressed about differences between terrorism and crime, both in definition and nature, and accordingly between applying crime prevention strategies and ta...
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The next phase of evidence-based policing requires both scholars and practitioners to move from lists of specific studies about “what works” to using that information strategically. This requires developing generalizations or principles on the nature of effective police strategies and translating the field of police evaluation research into digesti...
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Firearms are the most commonly used weapon to commit homicide in the U.S. Virtually all firearms enter the public marketplace through a federal firearms licensee (FFL): a store or individual licensed by the federal government to sell firearms. Whether FFLs contribute to gun-related homicide in areas where they are located, in which case FFLs may be...
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In the United States, firearms are involved in tens of thousands of deaths and injuries each year. The magnitude of this problem prompted the National Academy of Sciences (NAS) to issue a report in 2004 detailing the strengths and limitations of existing research on the relationship between firearms and violence. In response, a multidisciplinary gr...
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This paper presents a systematic review of the impact of police strategies to reduce illegal possession and carrying of firearms on gun crime, including directed patrols, monitoring of probationers and parolees, weapon reporting hotlines, and others. Four studies met the inclusion criteria, reporting a total of seven nonrandomized tests of directed...
Article
Research Summary: Following reforms of the federal firearms licensing system, nearly 70% of the nation's retail gun dealers active in 1994 dropped out of business by 1998. Dropout dealers supplied one-third of guns recovered and traced by police but were linked to fewer crime guns than were other dealers, most likely because dropouts tended to be l...
Article
Research Summary: The simultaneous or rapid purchase of multiple guns, which is referred to as a multiple sale, is a potential indicator of gun trafficking. This study examines the role of multiple sales in supplying criminals, using longitudinal analysis of the sale and subsequent police recovery of guns sold in Maryland during the early to mid-19...
Article
The question of whether the illegal firearms market serving criminals and juveniles can be disrupted has been vigorously debated. Recent research suggests that illegal gun markets consist of both “point sources” (ongoing diversions through scofflaw dealers and trafficking rings) and “diffuse sources” (acquisitions through theft and informal, volunt...
Article
To examine whether gun assaults committed with semiautomatic pistols are more injurious and lethal than those committed with revolvers. Jersey City, New Jersey from 1992 through 1996. Using police records on fatal and non-fatal handgun assaults, t tests and chi(2) tests were employed to determine if attacks with pistols result in more shots fired t...
Article
The reactions of the gun market, including those of producers, wholesalers, retailers, and consumers, play an important role in shaping the potential impact of gun control policies on gun crime. As a case in point, this paper examines the federal Violent Crime Control and Law Enforcement Act of 1994, which bans a group of military-style semiautomat...
Article
We begin by restating our principal finding. We found evidence that in the year after the AW-LCM ban was enacted, gun homicides declined 6.7% more than would have been expected based on preexisting trends. However, a number of factors made the interpretation of this finding problematic: (1) we could not make a reliable assessment of the statistical...
Article
The Federal Violent Crime Control and Law Enforcement Act of 1994 bans a group of military-style semiautomatic firearms (i.e., assault weapons) and ammunition magazines capable of holding more than 10 rounds. Ban advocates argue that these weapons are particularly dangerous because they facilitate the rapid firing of high numbers of shots. Though t...
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this report represent the results of the independent evaluation conducted by the Urban Institute. This Research Report presents evaluation findings based primarily on the first 4 years of the COPS program, but includes several projections up to 2003. Analyses of data collected in mid-2000 are under way and may result in refinements of some findings...
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From within an organizational strain perspective, this paper examines the effects of managerial succession, CEO background, decentralized management, and product dominant strategies on the reported corporate antitrust offending levels of 43 basic manufacturing companies over a 22-year period. In the aggregate, findings suggest that past illegal inv...
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From within an organizational strain perspective, this paper examines the effects of managerial succession, CEO background, decentralized management, and product dominant strategies on the reported corporate antitrust offending levels of 43 basic manufacturing companies over a 22-year period. In the aggregate, findings suggest that past illegal inv...
Article
The study uses data from 2018 Black and White males and females and latent-variable structural equations techniques to examine group differences in the measurement of risk factors for substance use. First, the equivalence of measurement models for four demographic groups is examined separately for 12 risk factors and 2 measures of substance use. Th...
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Efforts to prevent adolescent substance abuse often direct prevention efforts at known correlates of substance use. The applicability to minority populations of risk factors uncovered for the general population has been questioned, and the development of different programs targeting the risk factors most salient for different groups has been recomm...
Chapter
Delinquency is a broad term covering a variety of antisocial acts committed by juveniles. It includes such diverse acts as robbery, sexual assault, drug use, vandalism, and underage drinking. Many delinquent acts are illegal for both adults and juveniles. Status offenses, in contrast, are acts that are only illegal for juveniles. Examples of the la...
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Using observational data collected as part of a one-year preventive patrol study in Minneapolis, this investigation employs survival models to test hypotheses about the effects of specific instances of police patrol presence at high-crime locations on the time until the next occurrence of criminal or disorderly behavior at these locations. The resu...
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Using event history analysis, we examine the recidivism patterns of a sample of 38 corporations charged with one or more serious antitrust violations between 1928 and 1981 to see whether sanction experience decreases the likelihood of a firm's reoffending. Specifically, we analyze the effects of procedure type (e.g., civil, criminal, and administra...

Citations

... Naturally, from a prevention perspective, knowing that an outcome of interest has spatial patterns and is predictable, the conversation moves to what could be done to mitigate risk and reduce the occurrence of the issue. Typically, this would be met with a policing-centric response, which could be to model a place-based approach, see Evidence Based Policing Matrix [47]; however, there is growing interest in how the police could partner with health practitioners (e.g., social workers and mental health clinicians) to alleviate crisis and mental health-related calls [48][49][50]. By better understanding where mental health-type calls originate from, law enforcement and healthcare clinicians could proactively take community-and place-based approaches for people who are at risk. ...
... The concept of intelligence implies that accurate and reliable knowledge is made available in a timely manner for rational decision-making (Arndt et al., 2020;Lum & Koper, 2017;Sherman, 1998). Decision-makers (e.g., managers, policymakers, governments) need to be informed by the "best available knowledge" to decide on the most suitable course of action and instruments to address (security) problems in real-time, even when a rapid response to a series of detected incidents is required (Ratcliffe, 2016;Williamson, 2008). ...
... Additionally, in the last decade, policing has become more evidence-based to determine the most effective methods of reducing crime (Lum et al. 2013;Sherman, 2015). Policing research has always fallen under the social sciences category (Lum, 2009). ...
... 14 According to the "hot spot policing" theory, police officers and security personnel stationed in hospitals should increase the frequency of patrols and prolong the duration of stay at the sites of the high incidence of injury events. This concept was supported by the studies by Koper et al 15 and Wu et al 16 For example, patrolling can be intensified in the hospital at 10 a.m., 2 p.m., and 8 p.m., and the patrol frequency can be increased in the emergency department at night to prevent and reduce injury events. ...
... In the next phase of the Matrix, known as the Matrix Demonstration Projects (MDP), Lum and Koper (2022) illustrate how the MDP facilitates three activities that are essential to achieving EBP: translation, receptivity, and institutionalization. These core activities come with the added benefit of contributing to the development of highquality research evidence. ...
... However, respecting speed limits is connected to the general safety of the population, including other drivers and vulnerable users such as pedestrians and cyclists. The scientific literature offers solutions for reducing speeding such as the improvement of infrastructure [6][7][8][9], the use of automated speed camera enforcement [10,11], and an increased police presence [12][13][14][15]. Unfortunately, the City of Saguenay police department did not have access to these solutions due to budgetary constraints and limited deadlines. ...
... It is hardly surprising that community members value speed and certainty in emergency responses and will manipulate existing systems to extract the most utility out of finite available resources. Our findings suggest that the denominator for potential alternate responses may be larger than observed in previous research (Lum et al., 2022) but only if those alternate models have the capacity to meet community expectations in terms of speed and quality of the response. ...
... 14 According to the "hot spot policing" theory, police officers and security personnel stationed in hospitals should increase the frequency of patrols and prolong the duration of stay at the sites of the high incidence of injury events. This concept was supported by the studies by Koper et al 15 and Wu et al 16 For example, patrolling can be intensified in the hospital at 10 a.m., 2 p.m., and 8 p.m., and the patrol frequency can be increased in the emergency department at night to prevent and reduce injury events. ...
... Police officers value discretion and show little satisfaction with strict patrol mandates Wu et al., 2021;Blattman et al., 2017;Cordner, 1981;Hale & Chapman, 1981) vii. ...
... While some of the circumstances limiting these efforts in our study sites may have been unique (e.g., the COVID-19 pandemic and post Floyd period negative sentiments in the community during the height site A's implementation of POP), other researchers have also documented the difficulty of implementing rigorous problem-solving in the context of patrol work before the pandemic (Cordner & Biebel, 2005;Groff et al., 2015). Nonetheless, experience elsewhere has shown that with strong organizational commitment and formalized processes to regularly track, manage, and support patrol activities, consistent implementation of hot spot policing strategies can be achieved even over long periods and across large numbers of hot spots (Koper et al., 2021). ...