Chaoping Zhu’s research while affiliated with Jiangxi Normal University and other places

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Publications (15)


The tripartite game tree of clean heating technology diffusion.
Simulation results of the ESS under the condition of the (a) benchmark, (b) Case A, (c) Case B, (d) Case C, and (e) Case D.
Impact of the cost of clean heating technology R&D (C1) on the strategy evolution of (a) commercial banks, (b) government departments, and (c) heating enterprises.
Impact of the subsidy from government departments (S3) on the strategy evolution of (a) commercial banks, (b) government departments, and (c) heating enterprises.
Impact of credit loss due to “loan fraud” being reported (L1) on the strategy evolution of (a) commercial banks, (b) government departments, and (c) heating enterprises.

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Clean Heating Technology Diffusion with Government Departments’ and Commercial Banks’ Participation: An Evolutionary Game Analysis
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  • Full-text available

April 2025

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1 Read

Ruguo Fan

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Jianfeng Lu

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Chaoping Zhu

As a key driver of the green and low-carbon transformation of the energy sector, clean heating technology plays a crucial role in advancing sustainable energy development. However, the research and development (R&D) of clean heating technology is hindered by conflicting interests among key supply-side stakeholders, including heating enterprises, commercial banks, and government departments. These conflicts create challenges for promoting the diffusion of clean heating technology. To address this issue, this paper develops a tripartite evolutionary game model involving these stakeholders, with the aim of exploring strategies to facilitate clean heating technology diffusion from the supply side. Through mathematical modeling and numerical simulations, we examine how variables such as cost, subsidies, and penalties affect the strategic decisions of these participants. The results showusing that (1) the cost of clean heating technology R&D significantly influences commercial banks’ willingness to collaborate with heating enterprises; (2) increasing credit penalties for non-compliance and enhancing returns from clean heating technology can motivate heating enterprises to engage in technology R&D; (3) enhancing economic penalties and strengthening informal regulations can improve cooperation between commercial banks and heating enterprises; (4) moderate subsidies can positively influence the strategies adopted by commercial banks and heating enterprises. Based on these findings, we propose policy recommendations to promote clean heating technology diffusion from the supply side. This study offers both theoretical support and practical guidance for advancing clean heating technology diffusion, which is strategically important for sustainable energy development.

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Direct and indirect effects of population influx on infectious diseases.
The risk of infectious diseases caused by population influx in eastern, central and western China.
Impact of personal income, medical resources and educational resources on the risk of infectious diseases caused by population influx.
The impact of population influx on infectious diseases – from the mediating effect of polluted air transmission

July 2024

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19 Reads

The global population influx during the COVID-19 pandemic poses significant challenges to public health, making the prevention and control of infectious diseases a pressing concern. This paper aims to examine the impact of population influx on the spread of infectious diseases, with a specific emphasis on the mediating role of air pollution in this process. A theoretical analysis is conducted to explore the relationship between population influx, air pollution, and infectious diseases. Additionally, we establish a series of econometric models and employ various empirical tests and analytical techniques, including mediation effect test, threshold effect test, and systematic GMM test, to evaluate our hypotheses. The results indicate that: (1) Population influx directly and indirectly impacts infectious diseases. Specifically, population influx not only directly elevates the risk of infectious diseases, but also indirectly increases the incidence rate of infectious diseases by intensifying air pollution. (2) The impact of population inflow on infectious diseases exhibits regional heterogeneity. Compared to central and western China, the eastern regions exhibit a significantly higher risk of infectious diseases, exceeding the national average. (3) External factors influence the relationship between population influx and infectious diseases differently. Personal income and medical resources both help mitigate the risk of infectious diseases due to population influx, with medical resources having a more substantial effect. Contrary to expectations, abundant educational resources have not reduced the risk, instead, they have exacerbated the risk associated with population influx. This paper provides a scientific basis for formulating effective strategies for the prevention and control of infectious diseases.




a–f Spatial distribution of air pollution, population migration, and residents’ health in China in 2010 and 2020. Note: Those maps are based on the standard map with the approval number of GS (2019) 1822 downloaded from the standard map service website of the Ministry of Natural Resources, and the base maps have not been modified
The impact of air pollution on residents’ health in China: the mediating effect of population migration

January 2024

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45 Reads

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5 Citations

Air Quality Atmosphere & Health

At present, air pollution remains a serious environmental issue with extensive attention in China. It may not only cause population outflow but also poses significant threats to residents’ health. Therefore, it has become an imperative initiative to explore the impact of air pollution on the residents’ health. In this paper, we map the spatial distribution of air pollution, population migration, and residents’ health between 2010 and 2020 based on panel data from 31 Chinese provinces. Theoretical analysis and empirical tests are then carried out to investigate the intrinsic logical relationships between the three. The research findings demonstrate the following: (1) Air pollution not only has a direct negative impact on residents’ health, but it also has an indirect impact on residents’ health through the mediating effect of population migration. (2) Air pollution has a significant negative spatial spillover effect on residents’ health, and neighboring residents are at greater health risk of being exposed to air pollution than local residents. (3) Economic development, environmental regulation, and their interaction term exhibit a single threshold effect on the health risk of air pollution. (4) From the perspective of regional heterogeneity, we find that the health risk of air pollution is greater in northern China and the southeast of the Hu Line. This paper provides valuable insights for promoting the implementation of the grand strategies of “Beautiful China” and “Healthy China.”


How to promote municipal household waste management by waste classification and recycling? A stochastic tripartite evolutionary game analysis

July 2023

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134 Reads

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17 Citations

Journal of Environmental Management

Municipal household waste management (MHWM) is crucial for urban governance and sustainable development. Currently, Chinese governments at all levels are making great effort to implement MHWM through waste classification and recycling (WCR). However, the major participants in WCR, such as urban residents, property management companies and government departments, may act in their self-interest and hinder the MHWM goals. Therefore, it has become an imperative initiative to promote MHWM by effectively coordinate their conflicts of interest. Considering that external factors with complexity and uncertainty may also affect participants' behaviors, we develop a stochastic tripartite evolutionary game to model behavioral interaction of the three participants. Then we derive theoretical results and simulate different scenarios to examine the effects of key factors on participants' strategy evolution. The results show that stochastic interference, cost reduction and rules simplification contribute to WCR of MHWM, and reward and performance improvement benefits have different incentive effects. Moreover, credit-based punishment and disclosure of non-compliance are more effective than financial-based penalty. To promote MHWM, policymakers should not only simplify classification rules, lower participation cost and enhance credit-based punishment system, but also encourage anonymous report and apply well-designed financial-based incentive and penalty.



Citations (9)


... Evidently, air pollution can have a detrimental effect on residents' health. Through implementing environmental regulations such as policy constraints [23], increasing urban green spaces [24], and increasing environmental protection expenditures [25], air pollutants can be effectively controlled and reduced, which is beneficial for improving residents' health [26]. Meanwhile, from the perspective of water pollution, it not only threatens drinking -water safety [27], but toxic substances in water pollution may also negatively impact residents' health through the food chain [28]. ...

Reference:

Impact of environmental regulation, energy technology innovation on population health
Assessing the health risk impacts of urban green spaces on air pollution - Evidence from 31 China's provinces
  • Citing Article
  • February 2024

Ecological Indicators

... However, many studies address these factors independently, missing their synergistic effects. Analytical methods such as STIRPAT theory 22 ,spatiotemporal decomposition 23 , LMDI 24 , and super-efficient data envelopment analysis 25 are used to assess emissions and efficiency. ...

Exploring provincial carbon-pollutant emission efficiency in China: An integrated approach with social network analysis and spatial econometrics

Ecological Indicators

... However, as two interdependent systems, EEC and RPH mutually influence and constrain each other. Current research primarily focuses on the unidirectional impact of EEC on RPH [22][23][24], with relatively few studies addressing their coupled and coordinated relationship. This study is structured around two key scientific questions: (1) How has the relationship between EEC and RPH in China evolved? ...

The impact of air pollution on residents’ health in China: the mediating effect of population migration

Air Quality Atmosphere & Health

... It is more than evident that some environmental regulation affects the decisions drastically like restricting activities in certain areas that protect habitats and species (Baloch et al., 2023;Weiskopf et al., 2020), limiting water consumption during droughts (California Water Boards, 2022; J.C. Martín and A. Indelicato Social Sciences & Humanities Open 11 (2025) 101529 Table 6 Conditional probability ratios (95 per cent confidence intervals). Martín and A. Indelicato Social Sciences & Humanities Open 11 (2025) 101529 Quesnel & Ajami, 2017), banning the use of plastic bags (Kish, 2018;Wang et al., 2022), or recycling plastic, paper and glass waste (Wang et al., 2020;Zhu et al., 2023). We will return to the topic with education and awareness campaigns that affect the choices on meat consumption and car demand (Laestadius et al., 2013;Lane & Potter, 2007). ...

How to promote municipal household waste management by waste classification and recycling? A stochastic tripartite evolutionary game analysis
  • Citing Article
  • July 2023

Journal of Environmental Management

... Evolutionary game theory, introduced by Maynard Smith (1974) [27], provides a scientific framework for modeling multi-agent behavioral interactions and their dynamic evolution. This approach is well-suited for analyzing the complexities of clean heating technology diffusion [28]. Recently, evolutionary game theory Sustainability 2025, 17, 3413 3 of 29 ...

Simulating policy interventions for different quota targets of renewable portfolio standard: A combination of evolutionary game and system dynamics approach

Sustainable Production and Consumption

... On this basis, Shi et al. 14 further emphasized the importance of multi-agent perspective and constructed a model involving multiple market participants to analyze the¯nancial investment decision-making process more comprehensively. Zhu et al. 15 put forward the prospect theory in behavioral¯nance, which emphasizes the impact of subjective perception and cognitive bias on investors in the decisionmaking process. These e®ects are not limited to attitudes to risk and expectations of return, but also to the way information is interpreted and processed. ...

Urban food waste management with multi-agent participation: A combination of evolutionary game and system dynamics approach
  • Citing Article
  • August 2020

Journal of Cleaner Production

... In economics, it is often used to analyze the influencing factors in the formation of social habits, norms, systems, or institutions and explain their formation process (Zhang, 2013). In recent years, evolutionary game theory has been increasingly used in the study of population competition strategies, especially in the fields of energy and environmental governance (Luo et al., 2020). For example, Tian and Zheng (2022) discussed how to encourage farmers to reduce the use of chemical fertilizers by constructing a tripartite evolutionary game model among the government, farmers, and consumers (Tian M. et al., 2022). ...

Environmental Governance Cooperative Behavior among Enterprises with Reputation Effect Based on Complex Networks Evolutionary Game Model

... However, because of the limitations of technology, conditions and other factors, resulting in the power supply sector in the implementation of power marketing audit management, did not form a perfect system, which is caused by the existence of loopholes in the power marketing audit of a major reason [9][10][11]. In the current stage of China's rapid economic and social development, the development of China's electric power has also put forward a new demand, in order to meet the development, it is necessary to improve the level of service of the power sector, prompting the power marketing audit work toward the direction of refined management, laying the foundation for the stable development of China's electric power [12][13][14]. ...

The impact of renewable portfolio standard on retail electricity market: A system dynamics model of tripartite evolutionary game
  • Citing Article
  • January 2020

Energy Policy

... C. Phase space reconstruction theory Phase space reconstruction refers to the process of reconstructing a dynamical system, which allows for the transformation of a one-dimensional time series into a highdimensional phase space. This transformation enables a more effective extraction of the information contained within the original time series [25] [26] . Currently, the delay vector method is widely employed for phase space reconstruction. ...

Exploring the fluctuant transmission characteristics of Air Quality Index based on time series network model
  • Citing Article
  • January 2020

Ecological Indicators