C.J. Baker’s research while affiliated with University of Birmingham and other places

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Publications (107)


Development and application of a model for calculating the risk of stem and root lodging in maize
  • Article

March 2021

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137 Reads

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33 Citations

Field Crops Research

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C.J. Baker

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Lodging is a major constraint to increasing the global productivity of maize (Zea Maize L.). The objectives of this paper are to: i) describe a model for stem and root lodging in maize, ii) calibrate the anchorage strength component of the model, iii) evaluate the model’s applicability by assessing its capacity to explain effects of crop husbandry on lodging risk and iv) investigate the potential to further develop the lodging model to predict lodging risk at an early enough growth stage for tactical agronomic action to minimise lodging risk. The study involved a multidisciplinary collaboration between crop scientists, wind engineers and geospatial scientists in the UK and China. Three field experiments with plant population density and nitrogen (N) fertiliser rate treatments were conducted in the UK and China to develop and test the lodging model. Plant characteristics associated with lodging were measured in the experiments after flowering. An existing model of cereal anchorage strength that uses the spread of the root plate as its primary input was demonstrated to be applicable for maize and calibrated for this crop species. The lodging model’s predictions of the effects of plant population and N fertiliser on lodging risk were consistent with published observations. The lodging model calculated that increasing the plant population significantly reduced the anchorage and stem failure wind speeds in all experiments, thus increasing the risk of lodging. This effect was primarily due to increased plant population reducing the spread of the root plate and the stem strength. Changes in N fertiliser had a smaller effect on the lodging associated plant characters. A sensitivity analysis showed that stem failure wind speed was influenced most by variation in stem strength and root failure wind speed was influenced most by variation in the spread of the root plate. This study has shown that the leaf area index measured at leaf 4, 6 or 8 stages is a good indicator of a crop’s future risk of lodging, which demonstrates the potential to develop the model into a practical tool for predicting lodging risk in time for tactical agronomic decisions to be made during the crop’s growing period.


The calculation of train stability in tornado winds

May 2018

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72 Reads

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29 Citations

Journal of Wind Engineering and Industrial Aerodynamics

This paper presents a novel methodology for calculating the risk of a train overturning accident due to tornadoes. It applies a recently developed model of tornado wind fields to the complex case of a moving vehicle passing at different distances from the centre of a moving tornado. The wind speed and direction relative to the vehicle can thus be calculated. Through the use of quasi-steady force coefficients and an allowance for dynamic effects, this allows aerodynamic forces and moment time histories on the vehicle to be calculated. A parametric investigation of the effects of tornado size, strength and translational speed, and vehicle speed is then presented. A stochastic analysis methodology is then set out that allows the probability of a train overturning accident to be determined for specified statistical distributions of tornado parameters and vehicle operational parameters. It is shown that the reduction of train speed at times when tornadoes are expected would lead to a very significant reduction in accident risk. Finally the requirements for further work to refine the methodology are set out – specifically the need for statistical distributions of tornado parameters and for force and moment coefficients obtained from proper physical or numerical simulations of tornado characteristics.


A conceptual model for wind and debris impact loading of structures due to tornadoes

April 2018

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35 Reads

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24 Citations

Journal of Wind Engineering and Industrial Aerodynamics

This paper presents a novel conceptual design framework which takes into account the direct wind loads and pressure loads acting on a structure due to the passing of a tornado. Furthermore, for the first time, the potential damage due to debris impact has been incorporated enabling a holistic assessment of structural loading to be considered. The model is built on a recently developed wind and pressure field model that captures the main features of tornadoes, which is used to generate a large number of tornado wind and pressure field realisations from which values of particular load effects can be determined. A cumulative distribution function of load effect is thus derived, which can be combined with tornado climatology probabilities to determine load effects at a particular risk level. This use of this framework is illustrated through two examples – the direct wind and pressure loads on a low-rise portal frame structure, and the debris loads on a medium rise rectangular structure.


Figure 1. Diffusion tube monitoring locations (a) at the platform level in Birmingham New Street station, (b) at the concourse level at Birmingham New Street station and (c) outside Birmingham New Street station (A-K, excluding I). There were three tubes at each location. Microsoft product screen shot reprinted with permission from Microsoft Corporation. 
Figure 2. (a) Continuous monitoring locations (A, B and C) at the platform level in Birmingham New Street station and the circles identify the location of the respective wind sonics. The table describes the pollutants and meteorological variables measured at each location. (b) Image of continuous monitoring site with labels to the monitor inlets and sensors in the cage on the top of the enclosure. BC: black carbon; NO X : oxides of nitrogen; PM: particulate matter. 
Figure 3. (a) NO 2 concentrations from the AQ Mesh (solid line) and Horiba APNA-360 analyser (dashed line) at Site C on platform 10/11, (b) daily NO 2 concentration, (c) daily PM 2.5 concentration, (d) daily PM 10 concentration for Site A (dashed line), Site b (crossdashed line), Site C (solid line) on platform 10/11. Note daily NO 2 concentration for Site C was measured using the AQ Mesh. PM: particulate matter. 
Figure 4. (a) Time series NO 2 concentration at Site C with shading indicating when average along platform wind speed (data averaged from Sites A and B) is less than 0.05 m/s, (b) average wind speed along the platform, using data from Sites A and B, with shading where wind speed is less than 0.05 m/s and (c) the correlation of the magnitude of the average wind speed and NO 2 concentration with a linear regression line for Site C. Positive wind speed indicates wind in a westerly direction along the platform and negative, easterly.
Figure 5. Minute concentrations of (a) NO 2 , (b) PM 2.5 (dashed line) and PM 10 (solid line) and (c) CO 2 for 14 December 2016. PM: particulate matter. 

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Evaluation of air quality at the Birmingham New Street Railway Station
  • Article
  • Full-text available

January 2018

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1,748 Reads

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17 Citations

Proceedings of the Institution of Mechanical Engineers Part F Journal of Rail and Rapid Transit

Air pollution from diesel emissions is becoming an increased international concern, and whilst attention has been primarily focused on the automotive industry, concerns have also been raised about emissions from diesel rail vehicles. This paper reports an extensive series of measurements made at the Birmingham New Street station, a major rail interchange in the Midlands of England, with a mix of diesel and electric train movements, which is of particular concern because of the enclosed nature of the platforms. The monitoring campaign consisted of diffusion tube measurements to measure nitrogen dioxide at a large number of different locations throughout and around the station. These were followed by detailed measurements of oxides of nitrogen, particulate matter, carbon dioxide and black carbon (a diesel tracer) at a smaller number of sites at the platform level. The results are analysed to give concentrations over a wide variety of time scales, and long- and short-term averages are presented. It is shown that the concentrations of nitrogen dioxide, in particular, significantly exceed the European Union (EU) and Department of Environment, Food and Rural Affairs (DEFRA) limits. The effects of ambient wind conditions and individual train movements are also considered. Recommendations are made for possible remedial measures and for future work to more fully understand the physical mechanisms involved.

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Modelling wind fields and debris flight in tornadoes

September 2017

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340 Reads

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74 Citations

Journal of Wind Engineering and Industrial Aerodynamics

This paper describes the derivation of a simple yet realistic engineering model of tornado wind and pressure fields. This novel model is shown to be capable of providing a method for predicting wind speed and pressure time histories and debris impact energies that can ultimately be used in the development of a rational risk-based design methodology for tornado wind loads on buildings. A stationary one-cell tornado vortex is first considered, and the circumferential and vertical velocities and pressure profiles derived from a simple assumption for radial velocity (that is bounded in the radial and vertical directions) and the use of the Euler equations. The generalisation of this model to a two-cell tornado form is then set out. This model is then used to investigate the trajectories of wind borne debris in tornado wind fields, and for the first time, this analysis reveals the important dimensionless parameters of the problem and the parameter boundary between falling and flying debris. An asymptotic long time solution for debris paths is also derived.


Crosswind effects on the stability of a model passenger train—A comparison of static and moving experiments

March 2015

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185 Reads

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149 Citations

Journal of Wind Engineering and Industrial Aerodynamics

This paper explores the results obtained from an innovative physical model study which examined wind induced forces and pressures on a 1:25 scale model of a Class 390 Pendolino at a 30° yaw angle. For the first time, the work considers in detail the differences between moving model experiments and static experiments. Differences between the static and moving experiments are observed in the pressure distribution on the nose region of the train, however over the rest of the train the differences between the two sets of experiments are within the experimental uncertainty. The overall side, lift and rolling moment coefficients acting on the train are also shown to agree. This paper provides the scientific underpinning embedded within the current industrial guidelines and once and for all, demonstrates that in terms of the overall mean aerodynamic side and lift forces and rolling moment coefficients, static experiments are sufficient.


A generalised model of crop lodging

August 2014

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191 Reads

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100 Citations

Journal of Theoretical Biology

The lodging of cereal crops due to high wind and rain is of considerable significance in many parts of the world, leading to major economic losses and yield reductions. In earlier papers the authors have developed a model of the lodging of winter wheat that identified the major parameters of the problem and enabled the relationship between root and stem lodging to be examined. It has formed the basis of a methodology used in the UK for guidance to farmers and agronomists on ways of reducing lodging risk. However the authors would be the first to acknowledge that there are limitations to the model that make it difficult to apply for a wide range of crops - particularly in the specification of the wind field and the root / soil interaction, and in allowing for stem lodging elsewhere than at the base of the stem. This paper thus describes the development of a generalised model that overcomes these shortcomings. After a discussion of the lodging phenomenon in general and a description of earlier work, the basis of the new model is set out, based upon a mechanical model of the wind / plant /soil interactions that capture most of the important physical processes. The manner in which this model can be applied to clarify the nature of the lodging process and calculate lodging risk through a simple graphical formulation is discussed. In particular simple formulae are defined for lodging risk that are a function of a small number of dimensionless variables with identified physical meanings. The model is then applied to the lodging of wheat, oat and oilseed rape crops and considers the sensitivity of the risk calculations to uncertainties in the model parameters. In general it is suggested that the risk of lodging can be determined from very simple functions of dimensionless stem and root lodging velocities.


Gusts caused by high-speed trains in confined spaces and tunnels

October 2013

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181 Reads

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110 Citations

Journal of Wind Engineering and Industrial Aerodynamics

Little is known of the behaviour of transient air velocities and dynamic pressure loads generated by high-speed trains in confined spaces, or whether current methodologies for assessing transient gust loads in open spaces can be used in confined spaces. Experiments have been carried out in which a moving-model high-speed train passed walls, a partially-enclosed tunnel, and single-track tunnels with a variety of cross-sectional areas and lengths. An open air control experiment has also been carried out. The train model was a simplified 1/25 scale four-carriage ICE2 train travelling at 32 m/s. Cobra Probes measured the three-dimensional air velocity components at various positions inside the structures. The results show that the peak gust magnitudes increase in all confined cases compared to the open air. In tunnels, a ‘piston effect’ appears to have been a dominant cause of the increases in the peak gust magnitudes, as well as prolonged winds occurring before and after the train passed the probes. The tunnel length impacted considerably on the flow characteristics, and the partially-enclosed tunnel showed further increases in the gusts due to high lateral and vertical velocities.


Showcasing urban heat island work in Birmingham - Measuring, monitoring, modelling and more

February 2013

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82 Reads

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19 Citations


Citations (86)


... The opposite effect (more wind speed associated with lower yields) was observed in the Northwest region (wind speed 10.7 km h −1 , and grain yield 11.04 kg ha −1 ). One of the potential avenues for lower yields due to more wind is stalk and root lodging (Berry et al., 2021) and the negative effect of wind speed over temperatures (Table 5). Optimal soil and climate conditions are required to achieve the yield potential of corn production systems in North America ; factors like inadequate precipitation, cooler temperatures, and wind damage can often become yield-limiting factors in the region. ...

Reference:

Historical changes and yield in the Ohio corn performance test: A 50‐year summary
Development and application of a model for calculating the risk of stem and root lodging in maize
  • Citing Article
  • March 2021

Field Crops Research

... Suzuki et al. 17,18 and Haan et al. 19 used the tornado simulation test device to simulate actual tornadoes, studying the aerodynamic characteristics and operational safety of trains when crossing them and comparing the flow field generated by the tornado simulation test device with empirical models for validation. Based on existing tornado wind field models, Baker et al., 20 Zhang et al., 21 and Xu et al. 22 established tornado aerodynamic models and the train model to study the impact of tornado size, strength, translation speed, and vehicle speed on the aerodynamic forces of the train, and to evaluate the operational safety of trains when crossing tornadoes. The studies found significant differences in aerodynamic characteristics at different locations from the tornado center and that derailment accidents are highly likely to occur when trains travel tornadoes. ...

The calculation of train stability in tornado winds
  • Citing Article
  • May 2018

Journal of Wind Engineering and Industrial Aerodynamics

... Scholars have generated non-steady flow fields of tornadoes and analyzed the flight trajectories of fragment within these fields. 17, 18 Baker and Sterling 19 proposed a conceptual design framework to describe the main characteristics of tornadoes and to generate numerous tornado wind fields and pressure fields, thereby studying the motion trajectories of fragment in tornado wind fields. Maruyama 20 developed a numerical tornado simulator based on large eddy simulation (LES), generating non-steady flow fields of tornadolike vortices, and conducted research on the motion trajectories of fragment, obtaining the statistical distribution of the maximum horizontal velocity of fragment. ...

A conceptual model for wind and debris impact loading of structures due to tornadoes
  • Citing Article
  • April 2018

Journal of Wind Engineering and Industrial Aerodynamics

... For example, the regional health production efficiency is measured with the DEA method by using the number of health technical personnel per 1,000 people, the number of beds in health institutions per 1,000 people, and the total health cost per capita as the input variables, with the average expected life as the output variable (9). Moreover, the health production efficiency of residents is measured dynamically with the DEA-Malmquist model by using the number of beds in health institutions per 1,000 people and the number of health technical personnel in 1,000 people as the input variables, with the maternal mortality rate, the perinatal mortality rate, and the incidence rate of infectious disease as the output variables (10). Relatively few studies are available on establishing a comprehensive evaluation index. ...

Evaluation of air quality at the Birmingham New Street Railway Station

Proceedings of the Institution of Mechanical Engineers Part F Journal of Rail and Rapid Transit

... Furthermore, none of the above models considered vertical shear near the ground. Baker and Sterling (Baker and Sterling, 2017) included vertical shear near the surface and assumed nondimensional radial velocity u = − 4rz 1 + r 2 ð Þ1 + z 2 ð Þ , and obtained a solution for incompressible, steady and nonviscous Navier Stokes' equations. Pandey and Shruti (Pandey and Shruti, 2024) used the similar radial velocity given by Baker and Sterling (Baker and Sterling, 2017), but included the sharpness parameter. ...

Modelling wind fields and debris flight in tornadoes

Journal of Wind Engineering and Industrial Aerodynamics

... Lodging, which indicates the structural morphology of crops that have undergone permanent displacement in the vertical direction, is a universal phenomenon during the late growth stage of crops (Berry et al., 1998;G. Li et al., 2021;. ...

Factors affecting lodging

... This suggests that critical duration is a better attribute to access the destructive potential of winds to cause tree damage or mortality. This finding is consistent with tree mechanical tests conducted under controlled conditions of wind speed (England, 2000;Gardiner, 2021;Holmes et al., 2014;Moore and Maguire, 2004;Quine et al., 2021). Therefore, our subsequent analysis was conducted by using the WDP attributes of number, wind speed, wind direction, and critical duration. ...

A dynamic analysis of windthrow of trees
  • Citing Article
  • March 2000

Forestry

... The above experiment is called the Silsoe experiment [3]. Then, a 6 m cube was constructed at the Silsoe Research Institute at the beginning of the 21st century [4]. In China, Hunan University developed a set of field measurements for wind effect on a low-rise building [5]. ...

Short term unsteady wind loading on a low-rise building
  • Citing Article
  • October 2003

Wind and Structures

... Pulsating wind originates from three directions. e strongest influence on vehicle stability among the three directions of pulsating wind is the incoming flow [32,33]. Numerical values are adopted here to simplify the calculation model in incorporating the effects of pulsating wind direction on the stability and reliability of vehicles. ...

An investigation of the wind statistics and extreme gust events at a rural site
  • Citing Article
  • June 2006

Wind and Structures