Bassam A. Ibrahim’s research while affiliated with Mansoura University and other places

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Publications (7)


Corporate tax avoidance and firm value: The moderating role of environmental, social and governance (ESG) ratings
  • Article

June 2024

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170 Reads

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19 Citations

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Mounia Boulhaga

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Bassam A. Ibrahim

In this study, we examine how managers in firms that have practiced tax avoidance strategically use sustainability activities together with their tax avoidance practices. More specifically, we investigate the moderating impact of ESG on the association between tax avoidance and firm value. Using a sample of French listed companies during years 2012-2021, we hypothesized and find that ESG rating negatively and significantly moderates the relationship between corporate tax avoidance and firm market valuation. Overall, our results suggest that investors reward firms for good ESG performance, perceiving such companies as more valuable. However, when these firms engage in higher tax liabilities, the positive effect of ESG on firm value is slightly reduced. This nuanced insight highlights the importance of considering how tax strategies interact with ESG initiatives in shaping overall firm value. This study, thus, provides theoretical and practical consequences that will encourage businesses and politicians to promote sustainable development. Our findings remain robust to an array of tests, including a number of different tax avoidance measures and potential endogeneity problems.


The Impact of Oil and Global Markets on Saudi Stock Market Predictability: A Machine Learning Approach
  • Article
  • Full-text available

February 2024

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226 Reads

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20 Citations

Energy Economics

This study investigates the predictability power of oil prices and six international stock markets, namely, China, France, the UK, Germany, Japan, and the USA, on the Saudi stock market using five Machine Learning (ML) techniques and the Generalized Method of Moments (GMM). Our analysis reveals that prior to the 2006 collapse, oil exerted the least influence on the Saudi market, while the UK and Japan were the most influential stock markets. However, after the collapse, oil became the most influential factor, highlighting the strong dependence of Saudi Arabia's economic structure on oil production. This finding is particularly noteworthy given Saudi Arabia's efforts to reduce its reliance on oil through Vision 2030. We further demonstrate that China's influence on the Saudi market increased significantly after the 2006 collapse, surpassing that of the UK. This is attributable to the substantial trade between China, Japan, and Saudi Arabia, as well as the rise in Saudi foreign direct investment in China, and the decline in such investment in the UK post-collapse. Our results carry important implications for stock market investors and policymakers alike. We suggest that policymakers in Saudi Arabia should continue to diversify their economy away from oil and strengthen economic ties with emerging markets, particularly China, to reduce their vulnerability to oil price fluctuations and ensure sustainable economic growth.

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Volatility contagion between Cryptocurrencies, gold and stock markets pre-and-during COVID-19: Evidence using DCC-GARCH and Cascade-Correlation Network

December 2023

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373 Reads

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11 Citations

Financial Innovation

Bassam A Ibrahim

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Ahmed A. Elamer

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Thamir H Alasker

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[...]

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The rapid rise of Bitcoin and its increasing global adoption has raised concerns about its impact on traditional markets, particularly in periods of economic turmoil and uncertainty such as the COVID-19 pandemic. This study examines the extent of the volatility contagion from the Bitcoin market to traditional markets, focusing on gold and six major stock markets (Japan, USA, UK, China, Germany, and France) using daily data from January 2, 2011, to June 2, 2022, with 2,958 daily observations. We employ DCC-GARCH, wavelet coherence, and cascade-correlation network models to analyze the relationship between Bitcoin and those markets. Our results indicate long-term volatility contagion between Bitcoin and gold and short-term contagion during periods of market turmoil and uncertainty. We also find evidence of long-term contagion between Bitcoin and the six stock markets, with short-term contagion observed in Chinese and Japanese markets during COVID-19. These results suggest a risk of uncontrollable threats from Bitcoin volatility and highlight the need for measures to prevent infection transmission to local stock markets. Hedge funds, mutual funds, and individual and institutional investors can benefit from using our findings in their risk management strategies. Our research confirms the utility of the cascade-correlation network model as an innovative method to investigate intermarket contagion across diverse conditions. It holds significant implications for stock market investors and policymakers, providing evidence for potentially using cryptocurrencies for hedging, for diversification, or as a safe haven.



Cumulative Market Capitalization and Energy Demand of Top 20 Currencies by Market Capitalization.
The inverse relationship between USOIL and UKOIL on one side and Bitcoin and Ethereum on the other side. Variables are defined in Appendix 1
The uptrend and downtrend of USOIL and UKOIL before and during COVID-19. Variables are defined in Appendix 1.
Architecture of a Multi-layer Perceptron Neural Network Note: This figure presents a structure for MLP. In this network, the number of nodes in the 2nd hidden layer is larger than the number of nodes in the 1st hidden layer. The output at a given layer (e.g., the 2nd hidden layer) can be expressed as a connection-weighted summation of outputs from the previous layer (e.g., 1st hidden layer) plus a neuron bias (a parameter assigned to each neuron). Arriving at a neuron in the output layer, the value from each hidden layer neuron is multiplied by a weight, and the resulting weighted values are added together. Finally, Y\documentclass[12pt]{minimal} \usepackage{amsmath} \usepackage{wasysym} \usepackage{amsfonts} \usepackage{amssymb} \usepackage{amsbsy} \usepackage{mathrsfs} \usepackage{upgreek} \setlength{\oddsidemargin}{-69pt} \begin{document}$$Y$$\end{document} values are produced by a conversion function for the output layer (Abdou et al., 2019, p. 5; Abdou, 2009, p.101; modified)
Architecture of Generalized Regression Neural Network Note: This architecture presents four GRNN layers. The 1st layer i.e., input layer comprises a neuron for each independent predictor variable in the model. Each node in the 2nd layer i.e., pattern layer, which contains one node for each training case, measures the distance between each of the input values and the training values reintroduced by each of the nodes. Then, each of these values pass to each of the nodes in the 3rd layer i.e., summation layer (Numerator & denominator nodes), which is a function of the distance in the smoothing factors. One node per dependant predictor variable is in the 3rd layer, each node computes a weighted average using the training cases in that category. In the 3rd layer i.e., summation layer, the nodes sum its inputs, whilst the output node divide then to generate the best possible predictions (Abdou, et al., 2021, p. 6285; Abdou, et al., 2012, p. 800)

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The role of cryptocurrencies in predicting oil prices pre and during COVID-19 pandemic using machine learning

October 2022

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880 Reads

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15 Citations

Annals of Operations Research

This study aims to explore the role of cryptocurrencies and the US dollar in predicting oil prices pre and during COVID-19 pandemic. The study uses three machine learning models (i.e., Support vector machines, Multilayer Perceptron Neural Networks and Generalized regression neural networks (GRNN)) over the period from January 1, 2018, to July 5, 2021. Our results are threefold. First, our results indicate Bitcoin is the most influential in predicting oil prices during the bear and bull oil market before COVID-19 and during the downtrend during COVID-19. Second, COVID-19 variables became the most influential during the uptrend, especially the number of death cases. Third, our results also suggest that the most accurate model to predict the price of oil under the conditions of uncertainty that prevailed in the world during the bear and bull prices in the wake of COVID-19 is GRNN. Though the best prediction model under normal conditions before COVID-19 during an uptrend is SVM and during a downtrend is GRNN. Our results provide crucial evidence for investors, academics and policymakers, especially during global uncertainties.



presents the correlation matrix between the variables tested in the model. The correlation matrix indicates that most variables are related to each other in a significant way. The Tobin Q variable, for example, is significantly correlated at the 1% level with all the vari-
Environmental, social and governance ratings and firm performance: The moderating role of internal control quality

July 2022

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495 Reads

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144 Citations

Despite the burgeoning interest in environmental, social and governance (ESG) ratings, current results regarding ESG rating‐performance relationship are inconclusive. Since what affects this disagreement is ambiguous, we examine how internal control weaknesses (ICW) may affect the relationship between ESG rating and a firm's performance. In fact, employing a sample of French listed firms during the period between 2012 and 2018, we predicted and found that both ICW and ESG ratings have a positive and significant influence on a firm's performance. In addition, the results indicate that ICW negatively and significantly moderates the relationship between ESG ratings and corporate performance. Moreover, the robustness of the results is checked through the generalized method of moments regression. We also offer theoretical and practical implications to drive policymakers and businesses to assure sustainable development. We expect that our study can help managers to strengthen their internal resources, such as the internal control (IC) and ESG ratings to improve a firm's performance.

Citations (5)


... The effect of size on firm value remains ambiguous in previous studies. While Elamer et al. (2024) suggest that larger firms are more valued by their investors, Tsang et al. (2024) hold that larger firms suffer from a reduction in firm value as they become more diversified. Likewise, there are opposing views on the role of financial leverage in affecting firm value. ...

Reference:

Corporate social responsibility disclosure and firm value: a signaling theory perspective
Corporate tax avoidance and firm value: The moderating role of environmental, social and governance (ESG) ratings
  • Citing Article
  • June 2024

... In Saudi Arabia, a recent study by Abdou et al. (2024) found that the Saudi stock market became sensitive to OP volatility, and the Chinese stock market exhibited similar behavior after 2006 due to Saudi FDI in China. Alawi (2019) examined the effect of FDI on SMI in Saudi Arabia from 2005 to 2018 and found that FDI inflows increased SMI volatility. ...

The Impact of Oil and Global Markets on Saudi Stock Market Predictability: A Machine Learning Approach

Energy Economics

... Similar results were reported by Ali, Naveed, Youssef, et al. (2024), Ali, Naveed, Hanif, et al. (2024) who document an increase in connectedness between cryptocurrencies and GCC stock markets in extreme market conditions and during COVID-19 pandemic periods. In a similar vein, a study by Ibrahim et al. (2024) proves that in six major non-GCC economies, shocks in cryptocurrencies are transmitted to stock markets. Zeng and Ahmed (2023) investigated the market integration and volatility spillover between Bitcoin and major east Asia stock market found that there is no intuitive effect of Bitcoin spillovers on East Asian spillovers. ...

Volatility contagion between Cryptocurrencies, gold and stock markets pre-and-during COVID-19: Evidence using DCC-GARCH and Cascade-Correlation Network

Financial Innovation

... Furthermore, major events like the COVID-19 pandemic and excessive liquidity have contributed to the emergence of abnormal returns in various risky investment assets (Kinateder and Choudhury, 2022). Notably, empirical evidence suggests that major cryptocurrencies as a measure of value during an extremely stressful time like COVID-19 for the financial markets (see, for example, Mnif et al., 2020;Ibrahim et al., 2022;González et al., 2021;Salisu and Ogbonna, 2022;Mariana et al., 2021, besides others). ...

The role of cryptocurrencies in predicting oil prices pre and during COVID-19 pandemic using machine learning

Annals of Operations Research

... Beyond financial oversight, internal audit has expanded to include ESG factors due to increasing sustainability concerns [65]. It supports governance by promoting accountability and transparency in ESG disclosures, helping to prevent greenwashing [66]. Internal audit helps align ESG disclosures with regulations and stakeholder expectations, boosting financial performance [29]. ...

Environmental, social and governance ratings and firm performance: The moderating role of internal control quality