Ayodeji Akingunola's research while affiliated with Environment Canada and other places
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Publications (51)
The photolysis module in Environment and Climate Change Canada's online chemical transport model GEM-MACH (GEM: Global Environmental Multi-scale – MACH: Modelling Air quality and Chemistry) was improved to make use of the online size and composition-resolved representation of atmospheric aerosols and relative humidity in GEM-MACH, to account for ae...
An investigation of aerosol effects on the Arctic summer clouds is carried out by using a fully‐coupled version of GEM‐MACH, an online air quality forecast model. Model simulations are carried out for the July 2014 NETCARE field campaign based from Resolute, Nunavut, Canada. For a pristine period, the model simulated thin water clouds, with liquid...
Smoke from wildfires is a significant source of air pollution, which can adversely impact air quality and ecosystems downwind. With the recently increasing intensity and severity of wildfires, the threat to air quality is expected to increase. Satellite-derived biomass burning emissions can fill in gaps in the absence of aircraft or ground-based me...
Cases of the transport of NA biomass burning plumes into the Canadian Arctic were identified based on existing model simulations, using the Environment and Climate Change Canada’s on-line air quality forecast model (GEM-MACH). Analysis shows that, in one case, the pollutants from wild fires in northern Canada were first transported northwards risin...
We investigate the potential for aircraft-based top-down emission rate retrieval over- and under-estimation using a regional chemical transport model, the Global Environmental Multiscale-Modeling Air-Quality and CHemistry (GEM-MACH). In our investigations we consider the application of the mass-balance approach in the Top-down Emission Rate Retriev...
Theoretical models of the Earth's atmosphere adhere to an underlying concept of flow driven by radiative transfer and the nature of the surface over which the flow is taking place: heat from the sun and/or anthropogenic sources are the sole sources of energy driving atmospheric constituent transport. However, another source of energy is prevalent i...
Smoke from wildfires is a significant source of air pollution, which can adversely impact air quality and ecosystems downwind. With the recently increasing intensity and severity of wildfires, the threat to air quality is expected to increase. Satellite-derived biomass burning emissions can fill in gaps in the absence of aircraft or ground-based me...
The influence of both anthropogenic and forest-fire emissions, and their subsequent chemical and physical processing, on the accuracy of weather and
air-quality forecasts, was studied using a high-resolution, online coupled
air-quality model. Simulations were carried out for the period 4 July through
5 August 2019, at 2.5 km horizontal grid cell si...
The photolysis module in Environment and Climate Change Canada’s on-line chemical transport model GEM-MACH (GEM: Global Environmental Multi-scale – MACH: Modelling Air quality and Chemistry) was improved, to make use of the on-line size and composition-resolved representation of atmospheric aerosols and relative humidity in GEM-MACH, to account for...
We have investigated the accuracy of aircraft-based mass balance methodologies, through computer model simulations of the atmosphere and air quality at a regional high-resolution scale. We have defined new quantitative metrics to reduce emission retrieval uncertainty, by evaluating top-down mass balance estimates against the known simulated meteoro...
The atmospheric lifetimes of pollutants determine their impacts on human health, ecosystems and climate, and yet, pollutant lifetimes due to dry deposition over large regions have not been determined from measurements. Here, a new methodology based on aircraft observations is used to determine the lifetimes of oxidized sulfur and nitrogen due to dr...
The atmospheric lifetimes of pollutants determine their impacts on human health, ecosystems and climate and yet pollutant lifetimes due to dry deposition over large regions have not been determined from measurements. Here, a new methodology based on aircraft observations is used to determine the lifetimes of oxidized sulfur and nitrogen due to dry...
Theoretical models of the Earth's atmosphere adhere to an underlying concept of flow driven by radiative transfer and the nature of the surface over which the flow is taking place: heat from the sun and/or anthropogenic sources are the sole sources of energy driving atmospheric constituent transport. However, another source of energy is prevalent i...
The influence of both anthropogenic and forest fire emissions, and their and subsequent chemical and physical processing, on the accuracy of weather and air-quality forecasts, was studied using a high resolution, fully coupled air-quality model. Simulations were carried out for the period 4 July through 5 August 2019, at 2.5-km horizontal grid cell...
The sensitivities of meteorological and chemical predictions to urban effects over four major North American cities are investigated using the high-resolution (2.5-km) Environment and Climate Change Canada’s air quality model with the Town Energy Balance (TEB) scheme. Comparisons between the model simulation results with and without the TEB effect...
Surface-level ozone (O3) continues to be a significant health risk in the Greater Toronto Hamilton Area (GTHA) of Canada even though precursor emissions in the area have decreased significantly over the past two decades. In July 2015, Environment and Climate Change Canada (ECCC) led an intensive field study coincident with Toronto hosting the 2015...
Before the launch of the TROPOspheric Monitoring Instrument (TROPOMI), only two other satellite instruments were able to observe aerosol plume heights globally, the Multi-angle Imaging SpectroRadiometer (MISR) and Cloud-Aerosol Lidar with Orthogonal Polarization (CALIOP). The TROPOMI aerosol layer height is a potential game changer, since it has da...
Using a fully coupled air quality prediction model, simulations were carried out to investigate the impact of aerosol indirect effect on air pollution-meteorology interaction in an urban environment. We found that the aerosol indirect effect results in an increase in cloud droplet number concentration, a reduction in cloud droplet size, and an incr...
Since the last ITM in October 2016, the Canadian operational Regional Air Quality Deterministic Prediction System (RAQDPS) has been ported to a new high-performance computing system and has been updated to use a new meteorological initialization method, a new meteorological “piloting” model, a new and faster version of the GEM-MACH code, and a new...
Hierarchical clustering (HC) analysis groups datasets into clusters based on their (dis)similarity, and can be used to assess air-quality monitoring networks representability. The methodology describe here is a new approach to designing optimized air-quality monitoring networks by combining Kolmogorov-Zurbenko filtering (KZ) and HC of observed and...
In the GEM-MACH URBAN project, Environment and Climate Change Canada (ECCC) high-resolution (2.5-km) Global Environment Multiscale-Modelling Air-quality and Chemistry (GEM-MACH) model and the Town Energy Balance Model (TEB) are being employed to examine the impact of the urban surface exchange scheme on the transport and diffusion of air pollutants...
Experimental air-quality forecasts for the Canadian provinces of Alberta and Saskatchewan have been carried out since 2012, using a 10 km/2.5 km nested resolution version of Environment and Climate Change Canada’s Global Environmental Multiscale-Modelling Air-quality and Chemistry (GEM-MACH) on-line air-quality model. We describe here some of the m...
Atmospheric dimethyl sulfide, DMS(g), is a climatically important
sulfur compound and is the main source of biogenic sulfate aerosol in the
Arctic atmosphere. DMS(g) production and emission to the atmosphere increase
during the summer due to the greater ice-free sea surface and higher biological
activity. We implemented DMS(g) in the Environment an...
Abstract. Before the launch of TROPOMI, only two other satellite instruments were able to observe aerosol plume heights globally, MISR and CALIOP. The TROPOMI aerosol layer height is a potential game changer, since it has daily global coverage and the aerosol layer height retrieval is available in near-real time. The aerosol layer height can be use...
Atmospheric dimethyl sulfide, DMS(g), is a climatically important sulfur compound and is the main source of biogenic sulfate aerosol in the Arctic atmosphere. DMS(g) production and emission to the atmosphere increase during the summer due to greater ice-free sea surface and higher biological activity. We implemented DMS(g) in the GEM-MACH model (GE...
We examine the potential benefits of very high resolution for air-quality
forecast simulations using a nested system of the Global Environmental
Multiscale – Modelling Air-quality and Chemistry chemical transport model.
We focus on simulations at 1 and 2.5 km grid-cell spacing for the same time
period and domain (the industrial emissions region of...
The incorporation of forest shading processes into a regional chemical transport model (Makar et al., Nat Commun 2017) greatly reduced the predicted July O3 mean biases and root mean square errors, as well as reducing the magnitude of predicted PM2.5 mean bias. However, the parameterization resulted in a degradation of NO2 performance. A sensitivit...
We examine the potential benefits of very high resolution for air-quality forecast simulations using a nested system of the Global Environmental Multiscale – Modelling Air-quality and Chemistry chemical transport model. We focus on simulations at 1km and 2.5km grid-cell spacing for the same time period and domain (the industrial emissions region of...
Plume rise parameterizations calculate the rise of pollutant plumes due to effluent buoyancy and exit momentum. Some form of these parameterizations is used by most air quality models. In this paper, the performance of the commonly used Briggs plume rise algorithm was extensively evaluated, through a comparison of the algorithm's results when drive...
This study assesses the impact of revised volatile organic compound (VOC) and
organic aerosol (OA) emissions estimates in the GEM-MACH (Global
Environmental Multiscale–Modelling Air Quality and CHemistry) chemical
transport model (CTM) on air quality model predictions of organic species for
the Athabasca oil sands (OS) region in Northern Alberta, C...
Estimates of potential harmful effects on ecosystems in the Canadian provinces of Alberta and Saskatchewan due to acidifying deposition were calculated, using a 1-year simulation of a high-resolution implementation of the Global Environmental Multiscale-Modelling Air-quality and Chemistry (GEM-MACH) model, and estimates of aquatic and terrestrial e...
We evaluate four high-resolution model simulations of pollutant emissions, chemical transformation, and downwind transport for the Athabasca oil sands using the Global Environmental Multiscale – Modelling Air-quality and Chemistry (GEM-MACH) model, and compare model results with surface monitoring network and aircraft observations of multiple pollu...
Associativity analysis is a powerful tool to deal with large-scale datasets
by clustering the data on the basis of (dis)similarity and can be used to
assess the efficacy and design of air quality monitoring networks. We
describe here our use of Kolmogorov–Zurbenko filtering and hierarchical
clustering of NO2 and SO2 passive and continuous monitorin...
This study assesses the impact of revised volatile organic compound (VOC) and organic aerosol (OA) emissions estimates in the GEM-MACH (Global Environmental Multiscale‒Modelling Air Quality and CHemistry) chemical transport model, driven with two different emissions input datasets, using observations from the 2013 Joint Oil Sands Monitoring (JOSM)...
Estimates of potential harmful effects to ecosystems in the Canadian provinces of Alberta and Saskatchewan due to acidifying deposition were calculated, using a one year simulation of a high resolution implementation of the Global Environmental Multiscale – Modelling Air-quality and Chemistry (GEM-MACH) model, and estimates of aquatic and terrestri...
We evaluate four high-resolution model simulations of pollutant emissions, chemical transformation and downwind transport for the Athabasca oil sands using the Global Environmental Multiscale – Modelling Air-quality and Chemistry (GEM-MACH) model using surface monitoring network and aircraft observations of multiple pollutants, for simulations span...
Atmospheric ammonia (NH3) is a short-lived pollutant that plays an important role in aerosol chemistry and nitrogen deposition. Dominant NH3 emissions are from agriculture and forest fires, both of which are increasing globally. Even remote regions with relatively low ambient NH3 concentrations, such as northern Alberta and Saskatchewan in northern...
Environment and Climate Change Canada’s online air quality forecasting model, GEMMACH, was extended to simulate atmospheric concentrations of benzene and seven polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs): phenanthrene, anthracene, fluoranthene, pyrene, benz(a)anthracene, chrysene, and benzo(a)pyrene (BaP). In the expanded model, benzene and PAHs are em...
Associativity analysis is a powerful tool to deal with large-scale datasets by clustering the data on the basis of (dis)similarity, and can be used to assess the efficacy and design of air-quality monitoring networks. We describe here our use of Kolmogorov-Zurbenko filtering and hierarchical clustering of NO2 and SO2 passive and continuous monitori...
Plume rise parameterizations calculate the rise of pollutant plumes due to effluent buoyancy and exit momentum. Some form of these parameterizations are used by most air quality models. In this paper, the performance of the commonly used Briggs plume rise algorithm was extensively evaluated through a comparison of the algorithm's results when drive...
Atmospheric ammonia (NH3) is a short-lived pollutant that plays an important role in aerosol chemistry and nitrogen deposition. Dominant NH3 emissions are from agriculture and forest fires, both of which are increasing globally. The Alberta Oil Sands region has relatively low ambient NH3 concentrations because of its remote location in northern Can...
The chemistry of the Earth's atmosphere close to the surface is known to be strongly influenced by vegetation. However, two critical aspects of the forest environment have been neglected in the description of the large-scale influence of forests on air pollution: the reduction of photolysis reaction rates and the modification of vertical transport...
Leaf Area Index and cumulative Leaf Area Index by LAI distribution type.
Canopy parameters by BELD3 land use categories.
Three-dimensional contouring animation of the reduction in ozone resulting from the use of the forest canopy parameterization, with concentration reduction factors of 0.95, 0.80 and 0.50.
Forest Canopy Processes in a Regional Chemical Transport Model
The governments of Canada and Alberta are implementing a joint plan for oil sands monitoring that includes investigating emissions, transport and downwind chemistry associated with the Canadian oil sands region. As part of that effort, Environment Canada’s Global Environmental Multiscale—Modelling Air-quality And CHemistry (GEM-MACH) system was rec...
The wealth of air quality information provided by satellite infrared
observations of ammonia (NH3), carbon monoxide (CO), formic acid
(HCOOH), and methanol (CH3OH) is currently being explored and used for
a number of applications, especially at regional or global scales. These
applications include air quality monitoring, trend analysis, emissions,...
The wealth of air quality information provided by satellite infrared observations of ammonia (NH3), carbon monoxide (CO), formic acid (HCOOH), and methanol (CH3OH) is currently being explored and used for number of applications, especially at regional or global scales. These applications include air quality monitoring, trend analysis, emissions, an...
Citations
... Another aspect is the calculation of AOD and aerosol properties, which can vary from model to model. Recent studies (e.g., Majdzadeh et al., 2022) have discussed and proposed new approaches to calculate aerosol properties which could improve the accuracy of the reported AODs from the model. ...
... For example, it has been recently shown that TROPOMI is able to detect short-lived species such as HONO in fresh wildfire plumes (Theys et al., 2020). So far, most fire-related studies based on TROPOMI observations were based on the aerosol, CO and NO 2 atmospheric data products, with a focus on inferring information on plume transport (Johnson et al., 2021), NO x emissions and lifetime (Griffin et al., 2021;Jin et al., 2021), and on the impact of fires on the carbon cycle and the radiative budget (e.g., Byrne et al., 2021;Li et al., 2020;Magro et al., 2021;van der Velde, van der Werf, Houweling, Maasakkers, et al., 2021). In contrast, little has been done to exploit the TROPOMI HCHO and CHOCHO observations in the context of fires, despite their potential to inform on VOC emissions (e.g., Cao et al., 2018;Fu et al., 2008;Stavrakou et al., 2009). ...
... Weather conditions affect aerosols' optical and radiative properties (Makar et al., 2015(Makar et al., , 2021Mao et al., 2018). In this work, 90 the effect of weather on aerosol optical properties can be quantified using the data from the horizontal lidar and weather monitors. ...
... For instance, Ražnjević et al. (2022) have employed large-eddy-simulation (LES) modelling driven by reanalysis data for interpreting field observations of CH 4 . Further, model simulations of tracer transport and dispersion have been previously used for assessing the uncertainties/errors in top-down retrievals and optimizing the observational approach (Conley et al., 2017;Fathi, 2017;Angevine et al., 2020;Fathi et al., 2021;. Numerical model simulations can also be used for simulating ground-45 based and/or airborne observations, where model generated fields are used as a proxy for measurement data (virtual sampling). ...
... SASKTRAN-derived box-AMF profiles have been used by Griffin et al. (Griffin et al., 2019, 2021 from Environment and 365 Climate Change Canada (ECCC) to analyze TROPOMI measurements over North America. The first application compared TROPOMI data with in-situ aircraft, in-situ ground-based, and remote ground-based NO 2 measurements over the Canadian oil sands, improving agreement through use of regional, higher density retrieval inputs. ...
... The LCS data from the roadside location (LCS4) show significantly lower precision than those at the urban background site, as seen in the B-A plot. This could be caused by differences in particle properties and size distributions between the two sites (Gramsch et al., 2021), and by the high frequency variation of transport emissions close to the roadside site and turbulence effects (Baldauf et al., 2009;Makar et al., 2021). Duplicate measurements show that all sensors of this type responded similarly in this roadside environment (not shown here), supporting the high internal consistency of this device but indicating a spatial heterogeneity in some key error sources. ...
... This gives a total LAI of 1.17 at the site. We compare this measured value to LAI from MODIS-derived seasonal LAI maps at 2.5 km resolution (Zhang et al, 2021). The site location is near the edge of two 2.5 km grid cells (see supporting figure S1) with 175 values of 1.09 and 1.27 in January and 1.89 and 2.23 in July. ...
... LFG releases to the atmosphere will disperse to the height of the boundary layer. Hourly estimates of boundary layer height (H in m) at each landfill, for the date and time of each visit, were extracted from the GEM-MACH model [35][36][37]. Occasionally, this model predicted very low heights; these low values were increased to 100 m and referred to as the adjusted boundary layer height H adj . ...
... LFG releases to the atmosphere will disperse to the height of the boundary layer. Hourly estimates of boundary layer height (H in m) at each landfill, for the date and time of each visit, were extracted from the GEM-MACH model [35][36][37]. Occasionally, this model predicted very low heights; these low values were increased to 100 m and referred to as the adjusted boundary layer height H adj . ...
... The negative bias is primarily caused by the impact of the high surface reflectance in the O 2 A band, which affects aerosol retrievals. A similar comparison for the 2018 biomass burning fires in North America (Griffin et al., 2020) indicates that this bias also strongly depends on the thickness of the smoke plume. They reported a −2.1 km bias of ALH for thin smoke plumes, which is reduced to only ∼ −0.7 km for plumes thicker than 1.5 km. ...