Andi Cakravastia’s research while affiliated with Bandung Institute of Technology and other places

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Publications (18)


Framework of hybrid ensemble model for advancing intermittent spare part demand forecasting.
Detailed framework of forecast stage in hybrid ensemble model for advancing intermittent spare part demand forecasting.
Demand pattern of spare parts from 2012 to 2024.
AUC comparison across model validation.
MSE comparison across model validation.

+7

Enhancing Intermittent Spare Part Demand Forecasting: A Novel Ensemble Approach with Focal Loss and SMOTE
  • Article
  • Full-text available

February 2025

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104 Reads

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Andi Cakravastia

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Anas Ma’ruf

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Rully Tri Cahyono

Background: Accurate inventory management of intermittent spare parts requires precise demand forecasting. The sporadic and irregular nature of demand, characterized by long intervals between occurrences, results in a significant data imbalance, where demand events are vastly outnumbered by zero-demand periods. This challenge has been largely overlooked in forecasting research for intermittent spare parts. Methods: The proposed model incorporates the Synthetic Minority Oversampling Technique (SMOTE) to balance the dataset and uses focal loss to enhance the sensitivity of deep learning models to rare demand events. The approach was empirically validated by comparing the model’s Mean Squared Error (MSE) performance and Area Under the Curve (AUC). Results: The ensemble model achieved a 47% reduction in MSE and a 32% increase in AUC, demonstrating substantial improvements in forecasting accuracy. Conclusions: The findings highlight the effectiveness of the proposed method in addressing data imbalance and improving the prediction of intermittent spare part demand, providing a valuable tool for inventory management.

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Sustainable Synchronization of Truck Arrival and Yard Crane Scheduling in Container Terminals: An Agent-Based Simulation of Centralized and Decentralized Approaches Considering Carbon Emissions

November 2024

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62 Reads

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1 Citation

Background: Container terminal congestion is often measured by the average turnaround time for external trucks. Reducing the average turnaround time can be resolved by controlling the yard crane operation and the arrival times of external trucks (truck appointment system). Because the truck appointment system and yard crane scheduling problem are closely interconnected, this research investigates synchronization between the approaches used in truck appointment systems and yard crane scheduling strategies. Rubber-tired gantry (RTG) operators for yard crane scheduling operations strive to reduce RTG movement time as part of the container retrieval service. However, there is a conflict between individual agent goals. While seeking to minimize truck turnaround time, RTGs may travel long distances, ultimately slowing down the RTG service. Methods: We address a method that balances individual agent goals while also considering the collective objective, thereby minimizing turnaround time. An agent-based simulation is proposed to simulate scenarios for yard crane scheduling strategies and truck appointment system approaches, which are centralized and decentralized. This study explores the combined effects of different yard scheduling strategies and truck appointment procedures on performance indicators. Various configurations of the truck appointment system and yard scheduling strategies are modeled to investigate how those factors affect the average turnaround time, yard crane utilization, and CO2 emissions. Results: At all levels of truck arrival rates, the nearest-truck-first-served (NTFS) scenario tends to provide lower external truck turnaround times than the first-come-first-served (FCFS) and nearest-truck longest-waiting-time first-served (NLFS) scenario. Conclusions: The decentralized truck appointment system (DTAS) generally shows slightly higher efficiency in emission reduction compared with centralized truck appointment system (CTAS), especially at moderate to high truck arrival rates. The decentralized approach of the truck appointment system should be accompanied by the yard scheduling strategy to obtain better performance indicators.


Unsupervised exceptional human action detection from repetition of human assembling tasks using entropy signal clustering

June 2024

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21 Reads

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1 Citation

Journal of Intelligent Manufacturing

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Yu-Chung Kang

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[...]

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Andi Cakravastia

Applying Human Action Recognition (HAR) in manufacturing site to recognize the human assembling tasks, representing as repetitions of human actions, is an emerging research area. However, human unintentional movements or actions beyond the pre-determined tasks are inevitable and cause the difficulty of applying machine learning model for training. Obviously, exhaustively listing all exceptional actions for training a model is not feasible. Therefore, when utilizing a pre-trained model or re-training a model by considering the limited number of exceptional actions leads to the low accuracy of action recognition. To overcome this challenge, in this work, an unsupervised detection framework named Entropy Signal Clustering (ESC) was proposed to detect the exceptional actions from a repetition of actions which are assumed to be basis of assembling tasks. In order to handle frame-basis detection, first, Temporal Self-similarity Matrix (TSM) from the encoder model of RepNet was constructed to represent the similarities of the pair-wise image frames extracted from a video. Second, a calculating process was re-invented to compensate the misleading similarity caused by the padding window on the edges of TSM. Then, an innovative measure of entropy was proposed to create the indication statistics of action similarity. Finally, a clustering-based time-series anomaly detection was proposed to detect the discordance representing the exceptional action in an entropy time-series data against the repetition of actions. To validate the proposed framework, a simulated videos dataset was created. The results show the proposed ESC method is able to obtain accuracies from 85 to 99% and recall of both exceptional (79–100%) and standard of procedure task (92–100%) actions across all demonstration videos comparing with Histogram, Matrix Profile, Local Recurrence Rate based Discord Search (LRRDS), and LRRDS Sampling K-means (LSK) methods.



FROM SAMPLE PROBLEMS.
MATHEMATICAL NOTATIONS FOR ALGORITHM.
AND PERFORMANCES OF ACO ASALBP-HRC ALGORITHM.
SOLUTION FINDINGS AND TERMINATION CONDITIONS.
EXPERIMENTS FOR REDUCING THE NUMBER OF SUBGRAPHS' BRANCHES. (a) Reference problem Sawyer (nT = 52) 3 subgraphs; number of alternatives in each subgraph: 3, 2, 3
A Mathematical Model and Ant Colony Algorithm for Assembly Line Balancing Problem With Human-Robot Collaboration and Alternative Subgraphs

January 2024

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39 Reads

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1 Citation

IEEE Access

In recent years, the use of collaborative robots in assembly lines has promised productivity improvement. It provides more alternatives for the assembly line design, which are the alternative resources of the human, robot, or human-robot collaboration (HRC), and the alternative subsets of processes, termed alternative subgraphs, taking advantage of the variety of robotic tools or end-effectors. However, more alternatives make the assembly line balancing problem more complex. This situation is encountered frequently in modern electronics and automotive assembly lines. The contribution of this study is to provide a mathematical model and solution to the assembly line balancing problem that has both HRC and alternative subgraphs, which has not been discussed as an integrated problem in previous literature. To accomplish this optimization problem, a mixed-integer linear programming (MILP) model has been developed to assign tasks to stations and determine the type of resources required while minimizing the cycle time. Practical constraints such as the available number of robots and robotic end-effector types are also considered. Owing to the complexity of the problem, the exact method for MILP is extremely time-consuming for real-world applications. Therefore, a metaheuristic algorithm based on the ant colony optimization (ACO) approach has been developed to solve the problem more efficiently. The results show that the MILP model can obtain optimal solutions for small-sized problems, whereas the ACO algorithm has proven to be a practical solution for medium- to large-sized problems, providing good solutions within an acceptable computation time. The results also show that the presence of alternative subgraphs can give opportunities for better solutions.


Cost Analysis for Warranted Products Protected by Lemon Laws Considering Failure Interaction

September 2023

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86 Reads

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1 Citation

This study develops warranty cost models for a warranted product under the lemon laws protection. The product considered in this study is a multi-component system consisting of critical and non-critical components. The Failure of either component can cause the product to fail. The product is declared a lemon if recurrent failures of the critical component occur—i.e., the number of the failures reaches the threshold value, k (e.g., four failures). Furthermore, this study assumes that a failure of the critical component can occur naturally or induced by a failure of the non-critical component. Hence, two types of failures are considered—i.e., a natural failure and an induced failure. Whenever a lemon is declared, the customers can opt for either (i) a refund or (ii) a replacement warranty claim. Hence, this paper provides the warranty cost models for the two cases—(i) refund and (ii) replacement then encounters the optimal lemon law period that minimizes the expected warranty cost rate. The numerical examples are provided to illustrate the expected warranty cost and the optimal lemon law period.





Figure 1. Spine layout configuration.
Takt time for combined product
Scenario for initial layout design
Alternative configurations as output of CRAFT
Matrix of multi criteria and alternative layouts
Multi-criteria spine layout design of a mixed production line considering additional processes required for a new product

December 2020

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109 Reads

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1 Citation

IOP Conference Series Materials Science and Engineering

This research is based on a case study of an automotive company with a mixed production line system facing on redesigning layout due to an additional new product in the current facilities for cost improvement. The objective of this research is twofold (i) to fulfil space required for additional machines and (ii) to redesign layout which is the best layout for producing the current and new products. Heuristic approach combining construction and improvement algorithms is used for redesigning a manufacturing mixed production line layout, and this results in four alternative layouts. The four alternative layouts are evaluated comprehensively by using MCDM (Multi Criteria Decision Making) and the multi criteria considered are material handling cost, total re-layout cost, takt time process, numbers of shutdown period for relocation and comply with management policy related with safety. The best layout is the layout fulfilling required space, 1,120 m ² for new processes, and meet with the five criteria considered.


Citations (7)


... Optimization models are used to minimize waiting times, emissions, or operational costs, and to balance yard workloads and optimize crane scheduling [9,18,19]. Simulation-based models are used to evaluate system performance under real-world variability, and to test the robustness of TAS designs [3,[20][21][22][23][24]. Hybrid models combining queuing, simulation, and optimization techniques between them and with data analytics techniques, have been proposed to handle complex constraints, uncertainty, and multi-objective scenarios [25][26][27][28][29]. Collaborative systems are modeled as decentralized and agent-based frameworks accommodating multiple actors [30]. Emerging trends include AI-driven and IoT-enabled solutions for real-time and predictive scheduling. ...

Reference:

Truck Appointment Scheduling: A Review of Models and Algorithms
Sustainable Synchronization of Truck Arrival and Yard Crane Scheduling in Container Terminals: An Agent-Based Simulation of Centralized and Decentralized Approaches Considering Carbon Emissions

... One cause of the tardiness in job production involves another type of scheduling problem, namely, the just-in-time scheduling, which specifies delivery date for a job that incurs excess costs if completed earlier or later. This delivery date is also known as the due date, and familiar due dates include (a) common due date: i.e., the due date of each job is the same constant (Shabtay et al. [7], Falq et al. [8], Wu et al. [9] and Liu and Wang [10]); (b) different due date: the opposite of common due date (Mosheiov et al. [11] and Hidayat et al. [12]); (c) slack due date: the due date of each job, although different, but with a common decision variable (Liu et al. [13] and Liu and Jiang [14]). ...

A single-stage batch scheduling model with m heterogeneous batch processors producing multiple items parts demanded at different due dates

International Journal of Industrial and Systems Engineering

... Part deterioration results from the loss of pre-processing-induced properties during flow shop processing, leading to longer processing times if delayed (Nikolaeva & Vlasov, 2017). Conversely, operators become faster with repeated processing but experience forgetting during breaks (Kurniawan, Cakravastia, Suprayogi & Halim, 2022). This learning effect, initially observed by Wright (1936), involves processing time consistently decreasing with each doubling of repetitions. ...

A batch scheduling and operator assignment model with time-changing effects to minimise total actual flow time
  • Citing Article
  • January 2022

International Journal of Manufacturing Research

... Kurniadi et al. [55] presented a systematic layout design of a manufacturing system facilitating reconfigurability, referred to as an RMS. Arifiyanto et al. [56] used a heuristic method that integrates construction and enhancement algorithms to redesign the layout of mixed production lines. Zuniga et al. [57] integrated simulation and optimization to improve the production facility layout while considering production and logistics constraints. ...

Multi-criteria spine layout design of a mixed production line considering additional processes required for a new product

IOP Conference Series Materials Science and Engineering

... [7] Investigated scheduling problem of jobs grouped in incompatible job families where each job had to be processed by a batch processor followed by a discrete processor in the same order. [8] Addressed flow shop scheduling problem with a batch processor followed by a discrete processor, where incompatible job families and limited buffer size are considered. [9] considered scheduling batches consisting of multiple items of parts processed in a batch processor where the completed parts must be delivered several times at different due dates. ...

Multi-items Batch Scheduling Model for a Batch Processor to Minimize Total Actual Flow Time of Parts through the Shop
  • Citing Article
  • July 2018

Jurnal Teknik Industri

... Other studies using simulation models [16] modeled the inbound process to enhance the performance of the system to reduce passengers' waiting time at baggage carousels using a discrete event model of inbound baggage handling. Identifying and analyzing factors that have significant effects on the key performance indicator (KPI) were discussed in [13]. The objective of this work is to minimize the percentage of failed bags in the BHS. ...

Modeling and Simulation of Air France Baggage Handling System with Colored Petri Nets
  • Citing Article
  • January 2019

IFAC-PapersOnLine

... PT. Agung Poly Nugraha is one of companies in the field of manufacturing that focuses on the manufacture of synthetic leather located in Tangerang. All operational activities, such as making raw materials into the leather fibers, conducting new product research, making shipping preparations even to shipping to suppliers are using technologies tracker [7][8][9]. In the process of shipping to these suppliers often face obstacles, including late delivery trucks to the supplier's place so that the supplier is closed because it is outside the operating hours, often the supplier asks the current truck location to the sales person concerned and the sales person contacted via On Call to the truck driver but sometimes it is very difficult to contact, which is usually the reason the battery runs out, there is no signal, etc [10][11][12]. ...

Supplier Selection on Rendement Rate of Patchouli Leaf
  • Citing Article
  • July 2018

International Journal of Engineering & Technology