Alisha N Wade’s research while affiliated with University of Pennsylvania and other places

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Publications (61)


Figure 1 Body mapping drawings during focus group discussions. (A) An example of one of the body map drawings by the study participants. (B) Red circles on the wrists, knees and ankles indicate gout, a chronic disease that affects the joints. (C) Features images of salt, sugar and oil, which participants associated with increased hypertension. Protected by copyright, including for uses related to text and data mining, AI training, and similar technologies.
Perceptions about chronic health conditions, multimorbidity and self-management practices in rural northeast South Africa: findings from a qualitative study
  • Article
  • Full-text available

April 2025

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8 Reads

Audry Dube

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Chodziwadziwa Whiteson Kabudula

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[...]

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Nicola Joan Christofides

Introduction Chronic health conditions are the leading causes of morbidity and mortality worldwide, with a disproportionately high burden in low-income and middle-income countries. The burden arising from these conditions presents immense challenges to countries with dysfunctional public healthcare systems, such as South Africa. This necessitates patients to have a good understanding of the conditions and optimal self-management approaches. We explored patients’ understanding of chronic health conditions and self-management practices, including self-monitoring, in the rural South African community of Agincourt in the subdistrict of Bushbuckridge, Mpumalanga Province. Methods We randomly selected patients receiving routine care for chronic health conditions in primary healthcare facilities who were linked to the Agincourt Health and Demographic Surveillance System to participate in focus group discussions. Six focus groups (three with men and three with women) were conducted, with 17 male and 19 female participants (n=35) living with different chronic health conditions. Data were collected using body mapping exercises and semistructured focus group discussions facilitated by two experienced qualitative research assistants. An inclusive thematic approach was used for analysis. Results Participants identified most chronic health conditions and their progression. Participants expressed that some consequences of chronic health conditions were unavoidable and some were attributed to medications. Three themes emerged on the management of chronic health conditions: (1) individual-level management, where participants actively changed or managed lifestyle factors associated with the conditions; (2) clinic-level management and support, where participants believed that following instructions from healthcare providers facilitates better management of their condition(s); and (3) prevention and screening, to prevent disease progression and development of complications. Participants also highlighted the role of religion in the control of chronic disease risk factors and traditional treatments for uncommon conditions such as epilepsy. Costs associated with lifestyle changes and equipment to manage and monitor health were highlighted as barriers to self-management of chronic health conditions. Conclusions Our findings contribute to emerging research on chronic health conditions and self-management approaches. Participants in our study demonstrated a good understanding of various chronic health conditions but lacked knowledge of self-management practices and faced barriers to self-management. There is a need for further studies on self-management of chronic health conditions, including self-monitoring among patients in rural sub-Saharan settings.

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(a) Manhattan plot for the FG GWAS. The red horizontal line indicates the genome-wide significance threshold (p=5 × 10⁻⁸); the blue horizontal line shows the suggestive significance threshold of p=1 × 10⁻⁶. (b) Regional plot of chromosome 5 (including the ANKRD33B gene region), showing association with FG in the African AWI-Gen cohort: the lead SNP (rs574173815) is shown as a black and purple diamond, and SNPs in LD with the lead SNP are shown as coloured triangles. The x-axis shows the genomic positions based on the Human Build 37 reference genome (GRCh37). The blue peaks indicate the recombination rates at each position. Genes overlapping with or near the locus are shown below the x-axis. LD was based on the African 1000 Genomes Project reference panel
(a) Manhattan plot for the FI GWAS. The red horizontal line indicates the genome-wide significance threshold (p=5 × 10⁻⁸); the blue horizontal line shows the suggestive significance threshold of p=1 × 10⁻⁶. (b) Regional plot of chromosome 18 (WDR7 and BODIL2 gene region) showing associations with FI in the African AWI-Gen cohort: the lead SNP (rs114029796) is shown as a black and purple diamond, and SNPs in LD with the lead SNP are shown as coloured triangles. The x-axis shows the genomic positions based on the Human Build 37 reference genome (GRCh37). The blue peaks indicate the recombination rates at each position. Genes overlapping with or near the locus are shown below the x-axis. LD was based on the African 1000 Genomes Project LD panel
(a) Manhattan plot for the HOMA-IR GWAS. The red horizontal line indicates the genome-wide significance threshold (p=5 × 10⁻⁸); the blue horizontal line shows the suggestive significance threshold of p=1 × 10⁻⁶. (b) Regional plot of chromosome 5 (including the ADAMTS16 gene region) showing association with HOMA-IR in the African AWI-Gen cohort: the lead SNP (rs74806991) is shown as a black and purple diamond, and SNPs in LD with the lead SNP are shown as coloured triangles. (c) Regional plot of chromosome 18 (including the B4GALT6 gene region) showing an association with HOMA-IR in the African AWI-Gen cohort: the lead SNP (rs6506934) is shown as a black and purple diamond, and SNPs in LD with the lead SNP are shown as coloured triangles. The x-axis shows the genomic positions based on the Human Build 37 reference genome (GRCh37). The blue peaks indicate the recombination rates at each position. Genes overlapping with or near the locus are shown below the x-axis. LD was based on the African 1000 Genomes Project LD panel
Genome-wide association study identifying novel risk variants associated with glycaemic traits in the continental African AWI-Gen cohort

March 2025

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30 Reads

Diabetologia

Aims/hypothesis Glycaemic traits such as high fasting glucose levels and insulin resistance are positively associated with the risk of type 2 diabetes and other cardiometabolic diseases. Genetic association studies have identified hundreds of associations for each glycaemic trait, yet very few studies have involved continental African populations. We report the results of genome-wide association studies (GWASs) in a pan-African cohort for four glycaemic traits, namely fasting glucose, fasting insulin, insulin resistance (HOMA-IR) and beta cell function (HOMA-B), which are quantitative variables that affect the risk of developing type 2 diabetes. Methods GWASs for the four traits were conducted in approximately 10,000 individuals from the Africa Wits-INDEPTH Partnership for Genomics Studies (AWI-Gen) cohort, with participants from Burkina Faso, Ghana, Kenya and South Africa. Association testing was performed using linear mixed models implemented in BOLT-LMM, with age, sex, BMI and principal components as covariates. Replication, fine mapping and functional annotation were performed using standard approaches. Results We identified a novel signal (rs574173815) in the intron of the ankyrin repeat domain 33B (ANKRD33B) gene associated with fasting glucose, and a novel signal (rs114029796) in the intronic region of the WD repeat domain 7 (WDR7) gene associated with fasting insulin. SNPs in WDR7 have been shown to be associated with type 2 diabetes. A variant (rs74806991) in the intron of ADAM metallopeptidase with thrombospondin type 1 motif 16 (ADAMTS16) and another variant (rs6506934) in the β-1,4-galactosyltransferase 6 gene (B4GALT6) are associated with HOMA-IR. Both ADAMTS16 and B4GALT6 are implicated in the development of type 2 diabetes. In addition, our study replicated several well-established fasting glucose signals in the GCK-YTK6, SLC2A2 and THORLNC gene regions. Conclusions/interpretation Our findings highlight the importance of performing GWASs for glycaemic traits in under-represented populations, especially continental African populations, to discover novel associated variants and broaden our knowledge of the genetic aetiology of glycaemic traits. The limited replication of well-known signals in this study hints at the possibility of a unique genetic architecture of these traits in African populations. Data availability The dataset used in this study is available in the European Genome–Phenome Archive (EGA) database (https://ega-archive.org/) under study accession code EGAS00001002482. The phenotype dataset accession code is EGAD00001006425 and the genotype dataset accession code is EGAD00010001996. The availability of these datasets is subject to controlled access by the Data and Biospecimen Access Committee of the H3Africa Consortium. GWAS summary statistics are accessible through the NHGRI-EBI GWAS Catalog (https://www.ebi.ac.uk/gwas/). Graphical Abstract


Sodium Reduction Legislation and Urinary Sodium and Blood Pressure in South Africa

February 2025

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28 Reads

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1 Citation

JAMA Cardiology

Importance Reductions in dietary salt are associated with blood pressure reductions; however, national governments that have passed laws to reduce sodium intake have not measured these laws’ impact. Objective To determine if South African regulations restricting sodium content in processed foods were associated with reductions in sodium consumption and blood pressure. Design, Setting, and Participants The HAALSI (Health and Aging in Africa: A Longitudinal Study of an INDEPTH Community in South Africa) study is a population-based cohort study among adults aged 40 years or older randomly selected from individuals living in rural Mpumalanga Province in South Africa. This study incorporated 3 waves of data (2014/2015, 2018/2019, and 2021/2022) from the HAALSI study to examine how 24-hour urine sodium (24HrNa) excretion changed among a population-based cohort following mandatory sodium regulations. Spot urine samples were collected across 3 waves, and data analysis was performed from 2023 to 2024. Exposures South African regulations introduced in 2013 that reduced levels for the maximum amount of sodium in milligrams per 100 mg of food product by 25% to 80% across 13 processed food categories by 2019. Main Outcomes and Measures 24HrNa was estimated using the INTERSALT equation, and generalized estimating equations were used to assess changes in sodium excretion and blood pressure. Results Among 5059 adults 40 years or older, mean (SD) age was 62.43 years (13.01), and 2713 participants (53.6%) were female. Overall mean (SD) estimated 24HrNa excretion at baseline was 3.08 g (0.78). There was an overall reduction in mean 24HrNa excretion of 0.22 g (95% CI, −0.27 to −0.17; P < .001) between the first 2 waves and a mean reduction of 0.23 g (95% CI, −0.28 to −0.18; P < .001) between the first and third waves. The reductions were larger when analysis was restricted to those with samples in all 3 waves (−0.26 g for both waves 2 and 3 compared to wave 1). Every gram of sodium reduction was associated with a −1.30 mm Hg reduction (95% CI, 0.65-1.96; P = .00) in systolic blood pressure. The proportion of the study population that achieved ideal sodium consumption (<2 g per day) increased from 7% to 17%. Conclusion and Relevance In this cohort study, following South African regulations limiting sodium in 13 categories of processed foods, there was a significant reduction in 24HrNa excretion among this rural South African population, which was sustained with reductions in blood pressure consistent with levels of sodium excreted. These results support the potential health effects anticipated by effective implementation of population-based salt reformulation policies.


Adjusted mean levels of the various lipid fractions in women (A) and men (B) from the AWI-Gen study. Adjusted for age, educational status, household socioeconomic status, smoking, alcohol use, physical activity, fruit and vegetable intake, and use of lipid lowering medication.
The total number of participants recommended for dyslipidaemia screening computed using the protocol of World Health Organization Package of Essential Non communicable disease intervention for primary healthcare in low resource settings (WHO PEN)
Basic characteristics of AWI-Gen participants in six sites from sub-Saharan Africa stratified by sex
Age-standardised prevalence rates (with 95% confidence intervals) of elevated lipid fractions among women and men in the six sites of the AWI-Gen study
Sex differences in the association of the various adiposity phenotypes with the lipid fractions in the combined AWI-Gen cohort
Obesity phenotypes and dyslipidemia in adults from four African countries: An H3Africa AWI-Gen study

January 2025

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48 Reads

Introduction The contribution of obesity phenotypes to dyslipidaemia in middle-aged adults from four sub-Saharan African (SSA) countries at different stages of the epidemiological transition has not been reported. We characterized lipid levels and investigated their relation with the growing burden of obesity in SSA countries. Methods A cross-sectional study was conducted in Burkina Faso, Ghana, Kenya and South Africa. Participants were middle aged adults, 40–60 years old residing in the study sites for the past 10 years. Age-standardized prevalence and adjusted mean cholesterol, LDL-C, HDL-C, triglycerides and non-HDL-C were estimated using Poisson regression analyses and association of body mass index (BMI), waist circumference (WC) and waist-to-hip ratio (WTHR) with abnormal lipid fractions modeled using a random effects meta-analysis. Obesity phenotypes are defined as BMI ≥ 30 kg/m², increased WC and increased waist-to-hip ratio. Results A sample of 10,700 participants, with 54.7% being women was studied. Southern and Eastern African sites recorded higher age-standardized prevalence of five lipid fractions then West African sites. Men had higher LDL-C (19% vs 8%) and lower HDL-C (35% vs 24%) while women had higher total cholesterol (15% vs 19%), triglycerides (9% vs 10%) and non-HDL-cholesterol (20% vs 26%). All lipid fractions were significantly associated with three obesity phenotypes. Approximately 72% of participants in the sample needed screening for dyslipidaemia with more men than women requiring screening. Conclusion Obesity in all forms may drive a dyslipidaemia epidemic in SSA with men and transitioned societies at a higher risk. Targeted interventions to control the epidemic should focus on health promoting and improved access to screening services.


Strength of Genetic Associations with Thyrotropin Values Differs Between Populations with Similarity to African and European Reference Populations

January 2025

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9 Reads

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1 Citation

Thyroid: official journal of the American Thyroid Association

Background: Epidemiological data suggest the population distribution of thyrotropin (TSH) values is shifted toward lower values in self-identified Black non-Hispanic individuals compared with self-identified White non-Hispanic individuals. It is unknown whether genetic differences between individuals with genetic similarities to African reference populations (GSA) and those with similarities to European reference populations (GSE) contribute to these observed differences. We aimed to compare genome-wide associations with TSH and putative causal TSH-associated variants between GSA and GSE groups. Methods: We performed genome-wide association studies (GWAS) in 9827 GSA individuals and 9827 GSE individuals with TSH values between 0.45 and 4.5 mU/L. We compared effect sizes and allele frequencies of previously reported putative causal TSH-associated variants and our power to detect associations with these variants between the two groups. We additionally focused on variants in PDE8B and PDE10A, loci that have been most strongly associated with TSH in previous GWAS in GSE populations. Results: Four loci attained genome-wide significance in the GSA group compared with seven in the GSE group. PDE8B was not significantly associated with TSH in the GSA group, despite its strong association in the GSE group. Eight putative causal variants had significantly different effect sizes between groups. There was ≥80% power in the GSA group to detect significant associations with variants in PDE8B, PDE10A, NFIA, and LOC105377480, with higher expected power than in the GSE group for variants in PDE8B, NFIA, and LOC105377480 and similar power for other variants in PDE8B and PDE10A. No additional putative causal variants in PDE8B and PDE10A had effect sizes that differed significantly between the groups; power to identify associations with additional putative causal variants in PDE8B and PDE10A was similar between the groups. Conclusions: Patterns of genetic associations with TSH differed between identically sized GSA and GSE groups. Failure to replicate the strongest associations previously reported in GSE individuals in our GSA population was not fully explained by differences in allele frequencies or power, assuming similar effect sizes. Larger GSA population GWAS are necessary to confirm our findings and further investigate the contribution of genetic factors to population differences in the distribution of TSH values.



Worldwide trends in diabetes prevalence and treatment from 1990 to 2022: a pooled analysis of 1108 population-representative studies with 141 million participants

November 2024

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999 Reads

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119 Citations

The Lancet

Background Diabetes can be detected at the primary health-care level, and effective treatments lower the risk of complications. There are insufficient data on the coverage of treatment for diabetes and how it has changed. We estimated trends from 1990 to 2022 in diabetes prevalence and treatment for 200 countries and territories. Methods We used data from 1108 population-representative studies with 141 million participants aged 18 years and older with measurements of fasting glucose and glycated haemoglobin (HbA1c), and information on diabetes treatment. We defined diabetes as having a fasting plasma glucose (FPG) of 7·0 mmol/L or higher, having an HbA1c of 6·5% or higher, or taking medication for diabetes. We defined diabetes treatment as the proportion of people with diabetes who were taking medication for diabetes. We analysed the data in a Bayesian hierarchical meta-regression model to estimate diabetes prevalence and treatment. Findings In 2022, an estimated 828 million (95% credible interval [CrI] 757–908) adults (those aged 18 years and older) had diabetes, an increase of 630 million (554–713) from 1990. From 1990 to 2022, the age-standardised prevalence of diabetes increased in 131 countries for women and in 155 countries for men with a posterior probability of more than 0·80. The largest increases were in low-income and middle-income countries in southeast Asia (eg, Malaysia), south Asia (eg, Pakistan), the Middle East and north Africa (eg, Egypt), and Latin America and the Caribbean (eg, Jamaica, Trinidad and Tobago, and Costa Rica). Age-standardised prevalence neither increased nor decreased with a posterior probability of more than 0·80 in some countries in western and central Europe, sub-Saharan Africa, east Asia and the Pacific, Canada, and some Pacific island nations where prevalence was already high in 1990; it decreased with a posterior probability of more than 0·80 in women in Japan, Spain, and France, and in men in Nauru. The lowest prevalence in the world in 2022 was in western Europe and east Africa for both sexes, and in Japan and Canada for women, and the highest prevalence in the world in 2022 was in countries in Polynesia and Micronesia, some countries in the Caribbean and the Middle East and north Africa, as well as Pakistan and Malaysia. In 2022, 445 million (95% CrI 401–496) adults aged 30 years or older with diabetes did not receive treatment (59% of adults aged 30 years or older with diabetes), 3·5 times the number in 1990. From 1990 to 2022, diabetes treatment coverage increased in 118 countries for women and 98 countries for men with a posterior probability of more than 0·80. The largest improvement in treatment coverage was in some countries from central and western Europe and Latin America (Mexico, Colombia, Chile, and Costa Rica), Canada, South Korea, Russia, Seychelles, and Jordan. There was no increase in treatment coverage in most countries in sub-Saharan Africa; the Caribbean; Pacific island nations; and south, southeast, and central Asia. In 2022, age-standardised treatment coverage was lowest in countries in sub-Saharan Africa and south Asia, and treatment coverage was less than 10% in some African countries. Treatment coverage was 55% or higher in South Korea, many high-income western countries, and some countries in central and eastern Europe (eg, Poland, Czechia, and Russia), Latin America (eg, Costa Rica, Chile, and Mexico), and the Middle East and north Africa (eg, Jordan, Qatar, and Kuwait). Interpretation In most countries, especially in low-income and middle-income countries, diabetes treatment has not increased at all or has not increased sufficiently in comparison with the rise in prevalence. The burden of diabetes and untreated diabetes is increasingly borne by low-income and middle-income countries. The expansion of health insurance and primary health care should be accompanied with diabetes programmes that realign and resource health services to enhance the early detection and effective treatment of diabetes.


Figure 3. Time course of normal pregnancy placental small extracellular vesicle (psEV) internalisation in EndoC-βH3 cells and psEV internalisation confirmed by the presence of C19 psEV specific miRNA in cells treated with normal pregnancy psEVs. A. Time course of PKH26-labelled normal pregnancy psEV internalisation by EndoC-βH3 cells. The volume of internalised PKH26-labelled normal pregnancy psEVs within EndoC-βH3 cells is expressed as a percentage of total cell volume. Mean volume (n=9) measured at each time point for each dose is plotted. Non-linear regression was used to draw the line of best fit, showing a statistically significant difference in EC50 values (p=0.002). B. RT-qPCR demonstrating psEV internalisation. Placental-specific Chromosome 19 (C19) miRNA was only detected in EndoC-βH3 cells treated with normal pregnancy psEVs, not in those treated with red blood cell small extracellular vesicles (RBCsEVs) nor when treated with the small extracellular vesicle (sEV carrier control). U6 was used as the reference gene. The miRNAs analysed, belonging to the C19 microcluster, are shown on the x-axis. Differences were analysed by a one-way ANOVA for multiple comparisons. p-values are shown. ns = non-significant. *NP -normal pregnancy.
Figure 4. Normal pregnancy and gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) placental small extracellular vesicle (psEVs) increase insulin gene (INS) transcription and insulin content in EndoC-βH3 cells. A., B., and C. INS transcription was measured in EndoC-βH3 cells treated with the small extracellular vesicle (sEV) carrier control, red blood cell small extracellular vesicles (RBCsEVs), and psEVs from normal pregnancy and GDM pregnancy. At each timepoint, the fold changes in INS expression for cells treated with psEVs from normal pregnancies (purple bar), GDM (blue bar), are compared to the controls (sEV carrier control [white bar]; RBCsEVs [red bar]). A. Time course of INS transcription in EndoC-βH3 cells (n=6 for each condition). INS expression is increased in normal pregnancy and GDM psEVs at 30 hours. B. INS transcription in EndoC-βH3 cells exposed to normal glucose (5.5 mM) and C. high glucose (20 mM) media (n=6 for each condition). INS expression is increased by normal pregnancy psEVs at 30 and 36 hours and by GDM psEVs at 30 hours in cells cultured in normal glucose media. No significant increases were detected in high glucose media. D. Insulin content is increased at 40 hours following treatment with both normal pregnancy (purple) and GDM (blue) psEVs compared to cells treated with sEV carrier controls (white) and RBCsEVs (red), n = 6 per condition. For A. B. C. differences were analysed using a one-way ANOVA followed by post-hoc testing using Dunnett's multiple comparisons test for D. differences were analysed using a Kruskal-Wallis test, followed by Dunn's multiple comparison for post-hoc testing. p-values for significant comparisons are shown. *HG -high glucose, NG -normal glucose, NP -normal pregnancy.
Figure 6. Annexin A1 (ANXA1) abundance is upregulated by treatment of in EndoC-βH3 cells with normal pregnancy and gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) placental small extracellular vesicles (psEVs). A. Principal component analysis (liquid chromatography-mass spectrometry [LC-MS/MS] experiment 1) demonstrating clustering of different treatment groups based on their proteomic profiles. Each colour-coded cluster represents the proteomic data from one of the respective treatment groups: small extracellular vesicle (sEV) carrier control (orange), red blood cell small extracellular vesicles (RBCsEVs) (red), NP psEVs (purple), and GDM psEVs (blue). B and C. Volcano plots illustrating the differentially expressed proteins identified in the first LC-MS/MS experiment. The data compare protein abundance levels in EndoC-βH3 cells treated with (B) NP psEVs and (C) GDM psEVs against cells treated with controls (sEV carrier control and RBCsEVs). Analysis was conducted using n=3 biological replicates for each group. Significance was determined using a false discovery rate (FDR) of less than 0.05 and an S0 value of 0.1. The vertical axis shows the statistical significance (−log10 P-value), while the horizontal axis represents the magnitude of change (log2 fold change) for each protein. Proteins that met both the FDR and fold change thresholds are highlighted, indicating those that are significantly upregulated or downregulated. D. Immunoblot of recombinant protein kinase cAMP-activated catalytic subunit alpha (KAPCA) protein (H00005566-P01) using anti-protein kinase cAMP-activated catalytic subunit gamma (KAPCG) antibodies: i. sc-514087 (Santa Cruz Biotechnology USA), ii. ab108385 (Abcam UK), iii. abx301838 (Abbexa UK), iv. Anti-KAPCG antibody (67491-1-IG, Proteintech USA). A band at the predicted molecular weight of KAPCA + GST tag (70 kDa) is seen for all antibodies used, demonstrating non-specific binding by anti-KAPCG antibodies to the KAPCA recombinant protein. Molecular weight markers in kDa is shown as a ladder on the left. E and F. Volcano plots illustrating the differentially expressed proteins identified in the second LC-MS/MS experiment, which was conducted to replicate and validate the findings from the first experiment. The data compare protein abundance levels in EndoC-βH3 cells treated with (B) NP psEVs and (C) GDM psEVs against cells treated with controls (sEV carrier control and RBCsEVs). This experiment used a different set of biological replicates, with n=4 biological replicates for each group. Significance was determined using an FDR of less than 0.05, where FDR < 0.05 = -log 10 FDR > 1.3
Placental small extracellular vesicles from normal pregnancy and gestational diabetes increase insulin gene transcription and content in β cells

October 2024

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51 Reads

Clinical Science

Insulin secretion increases progressively during pregnancy to maintain normal maternal blood glucose levels. The placenta plays a crucial role in this process by releasing hormones and extracellular vesicles into the maternal circulation, which drive significant changes in pregnancy physiology. Placental extracellular vesicles, which are detectable in the plasma of pregnant women, have been shown to signal peripheral tissues and contribute to pregnancy-related conditions. While studies using murine models have demonstrated that extracellular vesicles can modulate insulin secretion in pancreatic islets, it remains unclear whether these effects translate to human biology. Understanding how placental signals enhance insulin synthesis and secretion from β cells could be pivotal in developing new therapies for diabetes. In our study, we isolated placental small extracellular vesicles from human placentae and utilised the human β cell line, EndoC-βH3, to investigate their effects on β-cell function in vitro. Our results indicate that human β cells internalise placental small extracellular vesicles, leading to enhanced insulin gene expression and increased insulin content within the β cells. Moreover, these vesicles upregulated the expression of Annexin A1, a protein known to increase insulin content. This upregulation of Annexin A1 holds promise as a potential mechanism by which placental small extracellular vesicles enhance insulin biosynthesis.


Figure 1: Distributions of BMI and waist-to-height ratio, by region The black lines below each distribution show the 2·5%, 25·0%, 75·0%, and 97·5% quantiles of the distributions and the points show the median. The dashed lines show medians across all participants. Regions are ordered by their sex-specific median BMI. See appendix (p 55) for numerical summaries.
Figure 3: Regional BMI adjustment The BMI adjustment shows how much lower BMI in each region should be to achieve an equivalent waist-toheight ratio. The adjustment is shown relative to the population of the high-income western region where most current epidemiological studies have been done; regional ordering and differences across regions would be unchanged if a different reference were used. The bars show 95% CIs of the BMI adjustments. See appendix (pp 90-91) for results using waist circumference.
General and abdominal adiposity and hypertension in eight world regions: a pooled analysis of 837 population-based studies with 7·5 million participants

August 2024

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1,571 Reads

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13 Citations

The Lancet

Background Adiposity can be measured using BMI (which is based on weight and height) as well as indices of abdominal adiposity. We examined the association between BMI and waist-to-height ratio (WHtR) within and across populations of different world regions and quantified how well these two metrics discriminate between people with and without hypertension. Methods We used data from studies carried out from 1990 to 2023 on BMI, WHtR and hypertension in people aged 20–64 years in representative samples of the general population in eight world regions. We graphically compared the regional distributions of BMI and WHtR, and calculated Pearson’s correlation coefficients between BMI and WHtR within each region. We used mixed-effects linear regression to estimate the extent to which WHtR varies across regions at the same BMI. We graphically examined the prevalence of hypertension and the distribution of people who have hypertension both in relation to BMI and WHtR, and we assessed how closely BMI and WHtR discriminate between participants with and without hypertension using C-statistic and net reclassification improvement (NRI). Findings The correlation between BMI and WHtR ranged from 0·76 to 0·89 within different regions. After adjusting for age and BMI, mean WHtR was highest in south Asia for both sexes, followed by Latin America and the Caribbean and the region of central Asia, Middle East and north Africa. Mean WHtR was lowest in central and eastern Europe for both sexes, in the high-income western region for women, and in Oceania for men. Conversely, to achieve an equivalent WHtR, the BMI of the population of south Asia would need to be, on average, 2·79 kg/m² (95% CI 2·31–3·28) lower for women and 1·28 kg/m² (1·02–1·54) lower for men than in the high-income western region. In every region, hypertension prevalence increased with both BMI and WHtR. Models with either of these two adiposity metrics had virtually identical C-statistics and NRIs for every region and sex, with C-statistics ranging from 0·72 to 0·81 and NRIs ranging from 0·34 to 0·57 in different region and sex combinations. When both BMI and WHtR were used, performance improved only slightly compared with using either adiposity measure alone. Interpretation BMI can distinguish young and middle-aged adults with higher versus lower amounts of abdominal adiposity with moderate-to-high accuracy, and both BMI and WHtR distinguish people with or without hypertension. However, at the same BMI level, people in south Asia, Latin America and the Caribbean, and the region of central Asia, Middle East and north Africa, have higher WHtR than in the other regions. Funding UK Medical Research Council and UK Research and Innovation (Innovate UK).


Citations (42)


... In 2021, approximately 10.5% of adults worldwide had diabetes, totaling 536.6 million individuals [2]. By 2022, this number had increased to an estimated 828 million adults, representing an increase of 630 million since 1990 [3]. Prolonged hyperglycemia in diabetic patients leads to numerous complications affecting almost every organ system, including the vision system [4]. ...

Reference:

Peripheral Neuropathy Symptoms and Ocular Surface Lesions in Patients with Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus and Dry Eye: A Clinical Correlational Study
Worldwide trends in diabetes prevalence and treatment from 1990 to 2022: a pooled analysis of 1108 population-representative studies with 141 million participants

The Lancet

... 1,2 While general adiposity is commonly quantified in clinical and epidemiological settings using body mass index, the body mass index-based classification of obesity is relatively insensitive and has led to underestimation of the true burden of excess adiposity. 3 There has been increasing shift from using body mass index to body fat distribution as a more precise harbinger of various pathologies. With the advancement of modern imaging techniques, such as magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), it is now fairly straightforward to non-invasively assess body composition and accurately quantify ectopic fat depots. ...

General and abdominal adiposity and hypertension in eight world regions: a pooled analysis of 837 population-based studies with 7·5 million participants

The Lancet

... Research has highlighted significant links between body weight, sleep duration, and the consumption of sugar-sweetened beverages among rural Black South Africans, particularly in women [17]. In addition, the prevalence of double malnutrition is rising in Sub-Saharan Africa due to rapid epidemiological and nutritional transitions [18]. In this region, most studies on double malnutrition have been conducted at the country and household levels, with individual-level studies mainly focusing on children and women of reproductive age [18]. ...

Double malnutrition and associated factors in a middle-aged and older, rural South African population

BMC Nutrition

... These studies generally aligned with the patterns observed in the aforementioned structured database search. Each study involved researchers affiliated with at least one African institution, with contributions from South Africa (6 studies) [95][96][97][98][99][100], Nigeria (4) [100][101][102][103], Guinea (1) [104], and Rwanda (1) [105]. Additionally, 4 studies involved collaborations with international researchers from institutions based in the USA (3 studies), Canada (3), Germany (1), and Mexico (1). ...

Multi-step Transfer Learning in Natural Language Processing for the Health Domain

Neural Processing Letters

... The recommendations of Dr Chandiwana et al. [2] are commendable. However, we must also take care that nutrition remains central to initiatives to reduce NCDs and obesity, and is not merely peripheral or an add-on to pharma industry-led 'quick-fixes' . ...

Obesity is South Africa’s new HIV epidemic

South African medical journal = Suid-Afrikaanse tydskrif vir geneeskunde

... Rather, things just tend to happen; your culture, environment, and habits are allimportant. [151][152][153][154] For example, if you have access to easy to eat, high-calorie, non-satiating food, you tend to get overweight or obese, regardless of your intentions; [156][157][158][159][160] 17 if you have access to only lowcalorie, nutrient-rich, satiating food, with a small environmental cost, you tend to eat healthy and have a small environmental impact, and live longer [161]; the increased food supply is enough to explain all the weight gain, and the increased waste [156,157]. 8 Other areas work the same as the food case, with greater supply or access leading to greater prevalence (cf. ...

Worldwide trends in underweight and obesity from 1990 to 2022: a pooled analysis of 3663 population-representative studies with 222 million children, adolescents, and adults

The Lancet

... Second, to incorporate equity considerations in cost-effectiveness analyses, such as, for example, distributive approaches. Several alternatives of extended cost-effectiveness analyses have been introduced in the academic literature [49][50][51]. ...

Extended Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of Interventions to Improve Uptake of Diabetes Services in South Africa

Health Policy and Planning

... Taken together, these translational efforts, along with a decrease in sequencing costs and free availability of most computational software 7 , are expected to promote the development of African microbiome research and boost its clinical application. This last step has considerable potential for healthcare improvement in Africa, where the epidemiology of cancer and non-communicable diseases is progressively worsening 8,9 . ...

Chronic non-communicable diseases in sub-Saharan Africa
  • Citing Article
  • January 2024

The Lancet Global Health

... Standard procedures include measuring blood sugar after fasting, evaluating glucose processing through tolerance tests, checking long-term blood sugar through A1c testing, and taking random blood samples [6]. Though widely used, fasting tests and A1c measurements have limitations-patients must avoid eating beforehand or maintain consistent monitoring over time [7]. The oral glucose tolerance test provides detailed information but is less practical for regular use. ...

Global variation in diabetes diagnosis and prevalence based on fasting glucose and hemoglobin A1c

Nature Medicine

... Building the capacity of communities to identify, mobilise and address social and structural risk factors is important to reduce the global T2DM burden. 3 As part of a cluster-randomised trial, we implemented an intervention that sought to address T2DM through building community capacity using a participatory learning and action (PLA) cycle in rural Bangladesh. The intervention was implemented between January 2020 and December 2022, during the COVID-19 pandemic. ...

Series Global Inequity in Diabetes 2 Interventions to address global inequity in diabetes: international progress
  • Citing Article
  • June 2023

The Lancet