Alan C. Brent’s research while affiliated with Victoria University of Wellington and other places

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Publications (68)


Figure 1. Aotearoa New Zealand electricity generation investment pipeline by technology (Brent 2024a).
Figure 2. Drivers of change to power system operation (EA 2024b).
Figure 3. Renewables in electricity generation, energy supply and consumption (MBIE 2024a).
Figure 4. Energy storage classification (Mugyema et al. 2023).
Figure 5. Power and discharge duration requirements for some applications (Mugyema et al. 2023).
Towards a Just and Sustainable Energy transition in Aotearoa New Zealand: a stocktake and research agenda
  • Article
  • Full-text available

April 2025

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102 Reads

Journal of the Royal Society of New Zealand

Alan C. Brent

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Aiguo Patrick Hu

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The ‘Just Transition’ has emerged as an overarching concept to question traditional supply- and technology-oriented top-down approaches to energy governance in favour of inclusive approaches that can address legacy injustices alongside socio-economic and environmental impacts of proposed infrastructure development, build on local capacities and deliver co-benefits to communities hosting energy infrastructure, as well as drive domestic innovation. An increasing body of evidence suggests that such an approach can facilitate better integrated planning of energy with other sectors, create openings for innovative approaches to demand-side management, and through better and broader social outcomes, can facilitate popular support from both the right and left, ultimately enabling accelerated clean technology deployment. Here we draw on the findings of this Special Issue alongside existing literature to take stock of the technical, environmental and social challenges and opportunities for Aotearoa New Zealand's energy transition in three areas: electrification and the power system, demand for other energy vectors, and future-focussed decentralised energy solutions. We review key justice and equity issues and opportunities in each of these three areas and identify promising research avenues to support the policy and practice of a just and sustainable energy transition in Aotearoa New Zealand.

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Figure 1. Schematic diagram of a notional agrivoltaic microgrid as a test-case system.
Figure 2. Overall structure of look-ahead optimal scheduling over a 24-hour time window.
Figure 3. Location and detailed map view of the site of interest.
Summary optimal dispatch results with and without the proposed framework.
Comparison of the economic metrics between the optimized and baseline cases.
Operational Dispatch Optimization of an Agrivoltaic System

April 2025

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19 Reads

AgriVoltaics Conference Proceedings

Agrivoltaic systems, which integrate solar photovoltaic (PV) arrays with agricultural land, present a promising solution to enhance both energy and food security by facilitating the simultaneous production of energy and food. However, there is a lack of comprehensive research on the operational strategies required for the efficient and profitable operation of grid-connected agrivoltaic systems. To address this gap, this paper introduces a new method for optimizing the dispatch strategy of agrivoltaic systems. This includes strategies for temporal energy arbitrage with the grid and maximizing self-consumption of excess solar PV generation. The effectiveness of the proposed method is demonstrated through numerical simulations using real-world data from an agrivoltaic system in Aotearoa New Zealand, equipped with stationary battery storage. A conceptual model of a battery-supported agrivoltaic system is used as a test case, focusing on optimizing hourly dispatch to enhance energy efficiency, demand management, and economic viability. The study employs linear programming to optimize the storage system's performance, utilizing 24-hour forecasts for electricity prices, local energy production, and demand. The goal is to charge the storage system when electricity prices are low and discharge it as needed to minimize costs. The results from the application of the method to the case study in Aotearoa New Zealand demonstrate its effectiveness, contributing to the broader goals of energy and food security by enhancing the profitability and reliability of grid-connected agrivoltaic systems.


Developing Offshore Wind Farms in Aotearoa New Zealand: An Analysis of Life Cycle Carbon Emissions, Materials and Energy Implications

March 2025

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44 Reads

The technologies for offshore wind projects have evolved to larger wind turbines, which provide enhanced efficiency and power generation. Permanent magnet synchronous generators with a direct drive design have enabled these advancements. In recognition of deeper insights into their implications, this paper addresses the need for updated life cycle assessments (LCAs) for offshore wind systems adopting large wind turbines. An LCA for an offshore wind project in Aotearoa New Zealand employing 15‐MW turbines, with a total capacity of 1 GW, was undertaken. Different approaches to model the operation of the offshore wind farm were compared. The results indicate a carbon footprint of between 18.4 and 25.2 gCO2eq/kWh, a greenhouse gas payback time ranging from 2.8 to 3.9 years for avoided combined cycle gas turbines and an energy payback time of up to a year. The outcomes underscore the environmental efficiency of the system and position it as an option ideal for facilitating the energy transition. Notably, the manufacturing of components is the primary contributor to the carbon footprint, highlighting a critical area for targeted environmental mitigation strategies in the life cycles of offshore wind energy systems.




Probabilistic Microgrid Investment Planning with Integrated Game-Theoretic Demand Response Management

November 2024

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12 Reads

This Chapter presents an innovative modelling framework for advancing integrated metaheuristic-based energy planning optimization, with a focus on resilient, renewable community microgrids. The study brings attention to a critical aspect of long-term sustainable energy system planning by illuminating biases intrinsic to consumer preference-based demand response projections. Central to the framework is the emphasis on market-driven sectoral flexibility procurement, achieved through sealed-bid auctions, thereby optimizing social welfare, improving demand response capacity liquidity, and promoting sectoral stability. To this end, the integration of game theory is highlighted as a means to leverage demand-side flexibility for community-level clean energy projects. Further, navigating the uncertainties stemming from non-dispatchable sources and smart grid interventions, the Chapter advocates for a comprehensive evaluation involving holistic uncertainty-aware models for renewable system planning. In this context, a novel probabilistic investment planning framework is introduced, which incorporates climatological, demand, and price uncertainties within a stochastic microgrid sizing model integrated with demand response solutions. The significance of this framework lies in its capacity to address gaps in uncertainty-aware methodologies and the integration of operational and investment planning. By synergizing intricate modelling with practical implementation considerations, the Chapter establishes a guiding framework that not only enriches scholarly deduction, but also aids practical, sustainable energy decision-making. The efficacy of the approach is substantiated through numerical simulations of a case study in Aotearoa New Zealand, to validate the applicability of the results.



Life cycle assessment of a virtual power plant: Evaluating the environmental performance of a system utilising solar photovoltaic generation and batteries

October 2024

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46 Reads

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2 Citations

Renewable Energies

As the world shifts to renewable energy sources to mitigate climate change, virtual power plants (VPPs) have emerged as an innovative solution for integrating distributed renewable generation. This study conducted a comprehensive Life Cycle Assessment (LCA) for a 40 MW VPP in operation in Aotearoa New Zealand, comprising residential solar photovoltaic systems with battery storage. Unlike traditional LCA studies that focus on individual components, this study evaluates the full life cycle impacts of a VPP, offering a holistic view of its environmental implications. Additionally, the study considered electricity fed back to the grid, which avoids grid electricity, or electricity generation from natural gas. The findings reveal an estimated life cycle greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions of 45.3–78.9 gCO 2eq /kWh for the VPP, depending on what the surplus electricity replaces. Notably, avoiding natural gas electricity generation by returning surplus electricity to the grid yields a significant credit of −47.3 gCO 2eq /kWh. The life cycle GHG emissions of the VPP are highly sensitive to PV generation. If the systems are operated at their maximum potential, the overall emissions reduce by 17.6%. Conversely, when operated at minimum potential, the emissions increase by 23.2%. Additionally, uncertainties in the energy demand to manufacture the battery cells can alter GHG emissions from a 6.7% reduction to a 14.3% increase. This study underscores the complexity of evaluating environmental performances of VPPs and fills a gap in the literature by presenting the potential environmental impacts and benefits of VPPs, shedding light on their role in fostering sustainability with the energy transition.




Citations (49)


... In addition, where designed appropriately, DES can serve key supply resilience functions and support communities to cope with natural disasters. In this Special Issue, Roberts et al. (2025) demonstrate the impacts of a community energy project using a system dynamics model. ...

Reference:

Towards a Just and Sustainable Energy transition in Aotearoa New Zealand: a stocktake and research agenda
Together, taking the next step: using system dynamics modelling to build community renewable energy programmes in Aotearoa New Zealand

Journal of the Royal Society of New Zealand

... Wind power and offshore wind systems are expected to be essential for the expansion of electrification and deployment of renewables in Aotearoa New Zealand. Indeed, all the energy scenarios modelled by different organisations foresee a steep increase in the wind generation installed capacity for the country, not differentiating from onshore or offshore wind farms [9]. However, offshore wind farms are being developed in the country, with two projects in the Taranaki region and one in the Waikato region [10]. ...

Scaling up solar and wind electricity: empirical modelling and a disruptive scenario for their deployments in Aotearoa New Zealand

Journal of the Royal Society of New Zealand

... The adoption rate of renewables varies between countries and regions (Hassan et al. 2024), with technological production capabilities, infrastructural readiness, and access to capital, financing and markets all shaped by different approaches to policy and governance (Adelekan et al. 2024). Aotearoa New Zealand's approach to energy governance to date is fairly unique, in that investments in power generation are market-driven, largely financed from the balance sheets of incumbent players, without formal market-based instruments to direct investment (Brent and Mou 2025). In general, since ratification of the Kyoto Protocol and compared to other OECD countries, the government has not played a central coordinating role, and the majority of activity in relevant regulatory bodies, implementing agencies and associated ministries has focussed on ensuring that the market operates in a competitive and transparent manner. ...

How far and how expensive is a zero-carbon power system in Aotearoa New Zealand?
  • Citing Article
  • February 2025

Journal of the Royal Society of New Zealand

... Overhead PV modules ( Figure 2g) can also be utilized as shade for grazing livestock, providing cooling in open spaces where animals graze underneath such systems. This shading can help reduce water usage, as animals experience less heat stress and, thus, reduced dehydration [42,74]. Given this degree of complexity, determining the methods by which AVs can best be utilized in agriculture will require significant modeling and investigations into designing the optimal configurations that maximize both crop and energy outputs. ...

Agrivoltaics for small ruminants: A review
  • Citing Article
  • November 2024

Small Ruminant Research

... With the rapid evolution of PV technology, updated LCA data is crucial to avoid inaccuracies 26 . LCA can inform policy, particularly in fossil fuel-dependent regions 27 , and assess the broader environmental benefits of renewable systems, such as PV integration into virtual power plants 28 . Optimizing PV layouts using LCA can significantly reduce their environmental impact 29 . ...

Life cycle assessment of a virtual power plant: Evaluating the environmental performance of a system utilising solar photovoltaic generation and batteries
  • Citing Article
  • October 2024

Renewable Energies

... Liu et al. (2025) use simulations to understand how the power output of small-scale wind turbines can be maximised. Finally, Mohseni and Brent (2025) and Apperley et al. (2025) identify the potential benefits of community microgrids for both networks and end-users. ...

Unlocking the transformative potential of community microgrids in Aotearoa New Zealand

Journal of the Royal Society of New Zealand

... Chemical recycling by the solvolysis process decomposes the polymer recovering the fibres and resins from the blades are recovered in the chemical recycling process. Refer to Pincelli et al. [39] for a detailed inventory for recycling the blades. ...

Developing onshore wind farms in Aotearoa New Zealand: carbon and energy footprints
  • Citing Article
  • May 2024

Journal of the Royal Society of New Zealand

... Another study has reported that CO 2 emissions from a solar PV plant in Aotearoa (New Zealand) were 26.2~40.4 g/kW·h, where a transport process from manufacture in China to New Zealand has been included [87]. ...

Carbon, materials and energy footprint of a utility-scale solar plant in Aotearoa New Zealand
  • Citing Article
  • May 2024

Solar Energy

... Racking for the panels was designed to exceed the height of cattle at 2.5 m ground clearance. The financial analysis shows that the agrivoltaic system greatly improves the profitability of the farm with the net profit increasing nearly threefold [10,11], which is significant considering the relatively low margins of lamb and beef farming (see Table 1). ...

Agrivoltaics: Integrating Solar Energy Generation with Livestock Farming in the Canterbury Region of Aotearoa New Zealand
  • Citing Conference Paper
  • December 2023

Alan Colin Brent

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Anna Vaughan

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Megan Fitzgerald

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[...]

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Jasper Kueppers

... Referred to as the water-energy-food nexus (FAO 2014), the National Policy Statements for Renewable Electricity Generation (MfE 2023), Freshwater Management (MfE 2024), and Highly Productive Land (MPI 2023) need to be aligned and support appropriate developments through the consenting process (MfE 2021). For example, following developments globally, agrivoltaics has been argued as the way forward in terms of dual land use for both ground mounted solar electricity generation and agricultural production (Vaughan et al. 2023;Brent 2024b). Floating solar photovoltaics, integrated with the hydropower infrastructure or on smaller reservoirs and irrigation dams, are also becoming more viable . ...

Agrivoltaic Systems for Aotearoa New Zealand

International Journal of Environmental Sciences & Natural Resources