Adrian Farner Rogne’s research while affiliated with University of Oslo and other places

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Publications (16)


Social origins and socioeconomic outcomes: A combined twin and adoption study
  • Preprint

June 2024

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20 Reads

Arno Van Hootegem

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Adrian F. Rogne

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Caroline Tveter Cros

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Parents and children tend to have similar socioeconomic status (SES). The extant literature has emphasised the role of social mechanisms in intergenerational transmission, including the influence of the broader rearing environment as well as parental investments and aid, but often not allotted an important role to genetics. Accumulating evidence suggests that genetics play an important role in the transmission of SES from parents to children. Yet, estimates differ substantially across datasets, measures and methods. Using two research designs that account for potential genetic confounding, and high-quality data from Norway, we estimate the strength of the intergenerational social transmission of a range of SES indicators. By triangulating data and designs, we obtain estimates that are more robust to idiosyncratic modelling assumptions. Measures of Norwegian parents’ socioeconomic position predict their children’s socioeconomic outcomes, but purely social mechanisms only account for a fifth of the total explained variance in intergenerational transmission.



Heritability of class: Implications for theory and research on social mobility

March 2023

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38 Reads

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1 Citation

Most individual-level outcomes of interest to sociologists are influenced by genetics. Yet, we know very little about how much genetics contribute to the attainment of class positions; which is central to stratification and mobility research. We estimate how much variation in class positions can be attributed to genetic and environmental factors in roughly 5000 Norwegian twin pairs. We show that class attainment is strongly influenced by genetics. Shared environmental factors play a modest role. Our study suggests that sociological theories explaining class outcomes in terms of social origins have little explanatory power, and should be reformulated to consider genetics.


Figure 1. Percentage errors between registered and projected total population figures (the medium alternative) by duration (in years) since production
Figure 3. Projected and registered old age dependency ratios
Figure 4. Projected and registered total fertility rate (TFR)
Figure 7. Projected and registered number of deaths, men and women combined
Figure 8. Projected and registered net migration

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Assessing the Accuracy of National Population Projections: A Case Study of Norway
  • Article
  • Full-text available

June 2022

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73 Reads

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4 Citations

Finnish Yearbook of Population Research

Few producers of official population projections provide regular evaluations of past projection inaccuracies. This paper assesses deviations between the projected and registered total population for Norway (1996–2018), as well as deviations in the age structure, total fertility rate and number of births, period life expectancy at birth and number of deaths, and net international migration. Projected life expectancy was consistently lower than the real development. Few systematic deviations were observed for fertility up to 2009, but thereafter fertility has been consistently overprojected. However, the deviations between projected and realised trends in births and deaths have been relatively small as compared to those for net international migration. The projections produced between 1996–2005 underestimated long-term population growth due primarily to the unforeseen increase in immigration following EU expansion in 2004. More recent projections contain no consistent under- or overprojection of net migration and the deviations for the total population have been moderate.

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Population groups and sizes (immigrants and descendants) in the Copenhagen metropolitan area 1980-2019.
Descriptive statistics of neighborhood variables.
Main results for neighborhood composition from three models across three population definitions.
Main results for neighborhood composition from three models for childless natives and parent natives aged 25-45 years.
Ethnic segregation and native out-migration in Copenhagen

August 2021

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775 Reads

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4 Citations

European Urban and Regional Studies

In this article, we study how the local concentration of ethnic minorities relates to the likelihood of out-migration by natives in Copenhagen, the capital of Denmark. In US studies, a high or increasing proportion of racial or ethnic minorities in inner-city neighborhoods is seen as an important motivation for White middle-class families’ out-migration to racially and ethnically homogeneous suburbs. The relatively egalitarian Scandinavian setting offers a contrasting case, where inner cities are less deprived and where minority groups primarily consist of immigrants and the children of immigrants who have arrived over the past few decades. We use population-wide, longitudinal administrative data covering a 12-year period, and measures of individualized neighborhoods based on exact coordinates for place of residence, to examine whether out-migration is associated with minority concentrations in the Copenhagen area. Our results largely support the presence of a native out-migration mobility pattern, in contrast to much existing literature. We also show that responses to increasing minority concentrations vary across the life course and between natives and children of immigrants.


Figure 5. Location quotients for poverty at k = 12,800.
Figure 7. Location quotients for affluence at k = 200.
Figure 9. Location quotients for affluence at k = 12,800.
Total population and overall levels of poverty and affluence in the five metropolitan areas.
Dissimilarity index (percent) of poverty and affluence in the five metropolitan areas.
Socio-economic segregation in European cities. A comparative study of Brussels, Copenhagen, Amsterdam, Oslo and Stockholm

August 2021

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356 Reads

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67 Citations

Urban Geography

The purpose of this study is to compare socioeconomic segregation patterns and levels in Brussels, Copenhagen, Amsterdam, Oslo, and Stockholm with uniform measurements. Previous research has been hampered by conceptual and methodological shortcomings. We use harmonized datasets containing geocoded indicators based on a nearest-neighbors approach. Our analyses offer an unprecedented comparison of patterns and levels of socio-spatial inequalities in European capitals at multiple scales. Using maps, segregation indices and percentile plots, we find that for all cities, the segregation of the rich is much stronger than the segregation of the poor. Macro-scale poverty segregation is most prominent in Stockholm and Brussels, and quite low in Amsterdam, while macro-scale affluence segregation is most pronounced in Oslo. At micro-scales, Brussels and Stockholm stand out with very high local poverty concentrations, indicating high levels of polarization. We interpret differences in the light of spatial inequalities, welfare regimes, housing systems, migration and area-based interventions.




Intelligence, alcohol consumption, and adverse consequences. A study of young Norwegian men

September 2020

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44 Reads

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2 Citations

Scandinavian Journal of Public Health

Aims: Research suggests that intelligence is positively related to alcohol consumption. However, some studies of people born around 1950, particularly from Sweden, have reported that higher intelligence is associated with lower consumption and fewer alcohol-related problems. We investigated the relationships between intelligence, alcohol consumption, and adverse consequences of drinking in young men from Norway (a neighboring Scandinavian country) born in the late 1970s. Methods: This analysis was based on the population-based Young in Norway Longitudinal Study. Our sample included young men who had been followed from their mid-teens until their late 20s (n = 1126). Measures included self-reported alcohol consumption/intoxication, alcohol use disorders (AUDIT), and a scale measuring adverse consequences of drinking. Controls included family background, parental bonding, and parents' and peers' drinking. Intelligence test scores-scaled in 9 "stanines" (population mean of 5 and standard deviation of 2)-were taken from conscription assessment. Results: Men with higher intelligence scores reported average drinking frequency and slightly fewer adverse consequences in their early 20s. In their late 20s, they reported more frequent drinking than men with lower intelligence scores (0.30 more occasions per week, per stanine, age adjusted; 95% CI: 0.12 to 0. 49). Intelligence was not associated with intoxication frequency at any age and did not moderate the relationships between drinking frequency and adverse consequences. Conclusions: Our results suggest that the relationship between intelligence and drinking frequency is age dependent. Discrepancies with earlier findings from Sweden may be driven by changes in drinking patterns.


Fig. 1 Concentration of non-European migrants in individualized neighbourhoods in Belgium, Denmark, the Netherlands, Sweden and Norway, 2011. Percentile values for k levels 200, 1600, 12,800, and 51,200. Lower percentiles in column one and percentiles above 70 in column two
Size of individualized neighbourhoods in Belgium, Denmark, the Netherlands, Sweden and Nor- way, radius in metres (percentiles based on population count), 2011. Source: Andersson et al. (2018). Authors' calculations based on register data from Statistics Belgium, Statistics Denmark, Statistics Neth- erlands, Statistics Sweden and Statistics Norway
Dissimilarity index in Belgium, Denmark, Netherlands, Sweden and Norway, 2011. Source: Andersson et al. (2018), authors' calculations based on register data from Statistics Belgium, Statistics Denmark, Statistics Netherlands, Statistics Sweden and Statistics Norway
Representation of non-European migrants in 1% population bins, 2011. Population bins sorted according to the proportion of non-European migrants and diagrams showing different k values. Left column showing under-representation (below 1%, which is at the top of the diagram) and moderate and strong under-representation with 0.5% and 0.2%. Right column illustrating over-representation above 1% and moderate and strong over-representation at 2.0% and 5.0% non-European migrants in a bin. See online appendix to Andersson et al. (2018) for a discussion of these values
Neighbourhood Concentration and Representation of Non-European Migrants: New Results from Norway

March 2020

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311 Reads

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12 Citations

European Journal of Population

In a previous study, Andersson et al. (A comparative study of segregation patterns in Belgium, Denmark, the Netherlands and Sweden: neighbourhood concentration and representation of non-European migrants. Eur J Popul 34:1–25, 2018) compared the patterns of residential segregation between non-European immigrants and the rest of the population in four European countries, using the k-nearest neighbours approach to compute comparable measures of segregation. This approach relies on detailed geo-coded data and can be used to assess segregation levels at different neighbourhood scales. This paper updates these findings with results from Norway. Using similar data and methods, we document both similarities and striking differences between the segregation patterns in Norway and Belgium, Denmark, the Netherlands and Sweden. While the segregation patterns in Norway at larger scales are roughly comparable to those found in Denmark, but with higher concentrations of non-European immigrants in the most immigrant-dense large-scale neighbourhoods, the micro-level segregation is much lower in Norway than in the other countries. While an important finding by Andersson et al. (2018) was that segregation levels at the micro-scale of 200 nearest neighbours fell within a narrow band, with a dissimilarity index between 0.475 and 0.512 in the four countries under study, segregation levels at this scale are clearly lower in Norway, with a dissimilarity index of 0.429. We discuss possible explanations for these patterns.


Citations (10)


... Conventional stratification theory sometimes acknowledges genetic influences as a determinant of educational achievement (i.e., what educational sociologists have denoted primary effects), but it has not incorporated the role of genetics for later educational stages and posteducation outcomes such as occupational prestige or social class. For instance, in the recent update of Goldthorpe and colleagues' influential theory on the intergenerational reproduction of class positions (Bukodi and Goldthorpe 2022), genetics was not mentioned despite the evidence of nontrivial genetic components in many outcomes related to social stratification and class (Nielsen and Roos 2015;Nielsen 2006;Van Hootegem et al. 2024). ...

Reference:

Social Background Effects on Educational Outcomes—New Insights from Modern Genetic Science
Heritability of class and status: Implications for sociological theory and research
  • Citing Article
  • May 2024

Research in Social Stratification and Mobility

... In the work of researchers who evaluated the population projections of Norway between 1996 and 2018 (Thomas et al., 2022), most analyses are based on simple comparisons of projected and registered population components. The results of the evaluation indicate that the expected life expectancy was consistently lower than the actual life expectancy. ...

Assessing the Accuracy of National Population Projections: A Case Study of Norway

Finnish Yearbook of Population Research

... In the Nordic context, majority population avoidance of neighbourhoods with many immigrants is contributing more strongly than flight to social and ethnic differences between neighbourhoods (Bråmå, 2006;Skifter Andersen, 2017). However, out-migration is common among households with children in neighbourhoods with high shares of non-Western ethnic minorities (Stonawski et al., 2022;Wessel & Nordvik, 2019). Our results resemble this: highly educated residents who live in low SES neighbourhoods with small children do more likely than other groups want to leave the neighbourhood (Figure 3). ...

Ethnic segregation and native out-migration in Copenhagen

European Urban and Regional Studies

... In addition, a study in Michigan demonstrated that segregation resulted in whites across income levels residing in better neighborhoods than blacks of similar economic standing (Darden et al., 2018). A study of Brussels, Copenhagen, Amsterdam, Oslo, and Stockholm revealed a positive correlation between high levels of ethnic/racial segregation and increased deprivation within those segregated areas (Haandrikman et al., 2023;Harsman, 2006). In South Africa, persistent occupational segregation is evident, with blacks disproportionately concentrated in low-paying jobs compared to Whites (Gradín, 2019). ...

Socio-economic segregation in European cities. A comparative study of Brussels, Copenhagen, Amsterdam, Oslo and Stockholm

Urban Geography

... Many studies have documented the extent, patterns, and determinants of forecast error (e.g. Bongaarts and Bulatao 2000; Gleditsch et al. 2021;Keilman 2001Keilman , 2008Keilman , 2019ONS 2015;Rayer et al. 2009;Rees et al. 2001;Smith and Tayman 2003;Statistics New Zealand 2016;Wilson 2007;Wilson et al. 2018). As a general rule, error increases the further into the future the forecast extends and decreases with increasing population size (though there is little change in error above a certain size) (Tayman 2011). ...

The accuracy of Statistics Norway's national population projections

... Other studies have suggested that social networking sites contribute to adolescent alcohol consumption, meaning that they promote underage drinking (Brunborg et al., 2017;Gommans et al., 2015;Kraus, 2016). Rogne et al. (2019) studied immigration in relation to adolescent drinking patterns. They found that immigration explained one-fifth of the decline in heavy episodic drinking among adolescents in Norway, but the natives' drinking pattern mattered more than the immigrants'. ...

Immigration and the decline in adolescent binge drinking

Drug and Alcohol Dependence

... Recently, there has been a growing trend in the use of geocoded, register and census population data in segregation analysis. These applications cover a wide methodological range, including sequential studies [47], longitudinal analyses [28,54], the use of indices [55,56] and the adoption of the individualised neighbourhood concept [57][58][59][60]. Notably, the latter examples simultaneously address issues related to the modifiable aerial unit problem (MAUP; [61,62]), which has raised difficulties because the spatial units for which segregation is measured influence segregation outcomes [62,63]. ...

Neighbourhood Concentration and Representation of Non-European Migrants: New Results from Norway

European Journal of Population

... In the late labour market ages, health impaired people may leave the work force early and retire, but international studies show that there is no consistent evidence for a correlation between retirement age and mortality. Only very early retirement, that is, before age 60, shows a negative impact on survival past age 65 (Rogne & Syse, 2018;Kühntopf & Tivig, 2012;Litwin, 2007;Tsai et al., 2005). ...

The Effect of Retirement on Male Mortality. Quasi-experimental Evidence from Norway
  • Citing Article
  • October 2018

European Sociological Review

... Importantly, these barriers are not equally distributed among G2 groups (Portes & Zhou, 1993;Zhou & Gonzales, 2019) and are likely to extend to their descendants, contributing to persistent ethnic stratification in occupational returns to education in the host society. Although previous research has already documented that foreign-born immigrants (G1), especially from non-Western countries, are disproportionately disadvantaged by overqualification (Joona et al., 2014;Nielsen, 2011), only a few studies have examined whether this disadvantage extends to G2 individuals (Belfi et al., 2022;Falcke et al., 2020;Khoudja, 2018;Larsen et al., 2018). ...

Perfect for the Job? Overqualification of Immigrants and their Descendants in the Norwegian Labor Market

Social Inclusion

... Residential segregation of immigrant populations, and more generally the spatial inequality in urban Europe, is an emerging issue that has received increasing attention in recent years (Musterd, 2005;Arbaci, 2007Arbaci, , 2008Arbaci, , 2019Arbaci & Malheiros, 2010). Many studies have also been conducted with the aim to provide an international comparison (Musterd & Ostendorf, 1998;Musterd & van Kempen, 2009;Marcińczak et al., 2016;Tammaru et al., 2016;Musterd et al., 2017;Nielsen et al., 2017;Haandrikman et al., 2021). In 2017, the Joint Research Centre (JRC) -Knowledge Centre on Migration and Demography (KMCD) of the European Commission launched a data challenge that was called 'Integration of Migrants in Cities' (D4I). ...

Residential Segregation in 5 European Countries. Technical Report