Adesoji O. Ademuyiwa’s research while affiliated with University of Lagos and other places

Background Critical illness represents a major global health-care burden and critical care is an essential component of hospital care. There are few data describing the prevalence, treatment, and outcomes of critically ill patients in African hospitals. Methods This was an international, prospective, point prevalence study in acute hospitals across Africa. Investigators examined all inpatients aged 18 years or older, regardless of location, to assess the coprimary outcomes of critical illness and 7-day mortality. Patients were classified as critically ill if at least one vital sign was severely deranged. Data were collected for the available resources at each hospital and care provided to patients. Findings We included 19 872 patients from 180 hospitals in 22 African countries or territories between September, 2023 and December, 2023. The median age was 40 (IQR 29–59) years, and 11 078/19 862 (55·8%) patients were women. There were 967/19 780 (4·9%) deaths. On census day, 2461/19 743 (12·5%) patients were critically ill, with 1688/2459 (68·6%) cared for in general wards. Among the critically ill, 507/2450 (20·7%) patients died in hospital. Mortality for non-critically ill patients was 458/17 205 (2·7%). Critical illness on census day was independently associated with subsequent in-hospital mortality (adjusted odds ratio 7·72 [6·65–8·95]). Of the critically ill patients with respiratory failure, 557/1151 (48·4%) were receiving oxygen; of the patients with circulatory failure, 521/965 (54·0%) were receiving intravenous fluids or vasopressors; and of patients with low conscious level, 387/784 (49·4%) were receiving an airway intervention or placed in the recovery position. Interpretation One in eight patients in hospitals in Africa are critically ill, of whom one in five dies within 7 days. Most critically ill patients are cared for in general wards, and most do not receive the essential emergency and critical care treatments they require. Our findings suggest a high burden of critical illness in Africa and that improving the care of critically ill patients would have the potential to save many lives.

Background: Surgical site infections (SSIs) significantly impact patient outcomes, with rates reaching up to 20% after surgery, leading to higher morbidity, prolonged hospital stays, and increased costs. The assessment of randomized controlled trials (RCTs) related to SSIs has been challenging due to the lack of a specialized Risk of Bias (RoB) tool, as existing tools like the RoB-2 are not surgery-specific. To address this gap, we developed an adapted SSI-specific RoB-2 tool. Methods: This tool was created through a four-stage consensus process involving surgeons, trial statisticians, and methodologists with extensive experience in international SSI trials. Results: The process identified ten critical domains relevant to assessing RCTs on SSI interventions. Of these, eight domains were prioritized as essential for the final tool, while two were considered desirable but less critical due to the challenges of blinding in surgical contexts. Conclusion: The adapted RoB-2 tool is tailored to the unique aspects of SSI trials, offering a more focused and practical means of evaluating RCT quality. It not only improves the assessment of existing studies but also guides the design of future RCTs, enhancing the quality of evidence in SSI research. The tool's application in meta-analyses will likely lead to more reliable and generalizable results, informing clinical practice and policy decisions related to SSI prevention and management.

The first 8000 days of life, from birth to adulthood, encompasses critical phases that shape a child's health and development. While global health efforts have focused on the first 1000 days, the next 7000 days (ages 2–21) are equally vital, especially concerning the unmet burden of surgical conditions in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). Approximately 1.7 billion children globally lack access to essential surgical care, with LMICs accounting for 85% of these unmet needs. Common surgical conditions, including congenital anomalies, injuries, infections, and pediatric cancers, often go untreated, contributing to significant mortality and disability. Despite the substantial need, LMICs face severe workforce and infrastructure shortages, with most pediatric surgical conditions requiring specialized skills, equipment, and tailored healthcare systems. Economic analyses have shown that pediatric surgical interventions are cost-effective, with substantial societal benefits. Expanding surgical care for children in LMICs demands investments in workforce training, infrastructure, and health systems integration, complemented by innovative funding and equitable global partnerships. Prioritizing surgical care within national health policies and scaling up children's surgery through initiatives like the Optimal Resources for Children's Surgical Care can improve health outcomes, align with Sustainable Development Goals, and foster equity in global health. Addressing the surgical care gap in LMICs will reduce preventable mortality, enhance quality of life, and drive sustainable growth, emphasizing surgery as an essential component of universal health coverage for children.

When surgical systems fail, there is the major collateral impact on patients, society and economies. While short-term impact on patient outcomes during periods of high system stress is easy to measure, the long-term repercussions of global crises are harder to quantify and require modelling studies with inherent uncertainty. When external stressors such as high-threat infectious disease, forced migration or climate-change-related events occur, there is a resulting surge in healthcare demand. This, directly and indirectly, affects perioperative pathways, increasing pressure on emergency, critical and operative care areas. While different stressors have different effects on healthcare systems, they share the common feature of exposing the weakest areas, at which point care pathways breakdown. Surgery has been identified as a highly vulnerable area for early failure. Despite efforts by the WHO to improve preparedness in the wake of the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic, measurement of healthcare investment and surgical preparedness metrics suggests that surgical care is not yet being prioritised by policy-makers. Investment in the ‘response’ phase of health system recovery without investment in the ‘readiness’ phase will not mitigate long-term health effects for patients as new stressors arise. This analysis aims to explore how surgical preparedness can be measured, identify emerging threats and explore their potential impact on surgical services. Finally, it aims to highlight the role of high-quality research in developing resilient surgical systems.

Global health has traditionally focused on the primary health development with disease-specific focus such as HIV, malaria and non-communicable diseases (NCDs). As such, surgery has traditionally been neglected in global health as investment in them is often expensive, relative to these other priorities. Therefore, efforts to improve surgical care have remained on the periphery of initiatives in health system strengthening. However, today, many would argue that global health should focus on universal health coverage with primary health and surgery and perioperative care integrated as a part of this. In this article, we discuss the past developments and future-looking solutions on how surgery can contribute to the delivery of effective and equitable healthcare across the world. These include bidirectional integration of surgical and chronic disease pathways and better understanding financing initiatives. Specifically, we focus on access to safe elective and emergency surgery for NCDs and an integrated approach towards the rising multimorbidity from chronic disease in the population. Underpinning these, data-driven solutions from high-quality research from clinical trials and cohort studies through established surgical research networks are needed. Although challenges will remain around financing, we propose that development of surgical services will strengthen and improve performance of whole health systems and contribute to improvement in population health across the world.

Background Death after surgery is devasting for patients, families, and communities, but remains common in low-income and middle-income countries (LMICs). We aimed to use high-quality data from an existing global randomised trial to describe the causes and mechanisms of postoperative mortality in LMICs. To do so, we developed a novel framework, learning from both existing classification systems and emerging insights during data analysis. Methods This study was a preplanned secondary analysis of the FALCON trial in 54 hospitals across seven LMICs (Benin, Ghana, India, Mexico, Nigeria, Rwanda, and South Africa). FALCON was a pragmatic, 2 × 2 factorial, randomised controlled trial that compared the effectiveness of two types of interventions for skin preparation (10% aqueous povidone–iodine vs 2% alcoholic chlorhexidine) and sutures (triclosan-coated vs uncoated). Patients who did not have surgery or were lost to follow-up were excluded (n=231). The primary outcomes of the present analysis were the mechanism and cause of death within 30-days of surgery, determined using a modified verbal autopsy strategy from serious adverse event reports. Factors associated with mortality were explored in a mixed-effects Cox proportional hazards model. The FALCON trial is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT03700749. Findings This preplanned secondary analysis of the FALCON trial included 5558 patients who underwent abdominal surgery, of whom 4248 (76·4%) patients underwent surgery in tertiary, referral centres and 1310 (23·6%) underwent surgery in primary referral (ie, district or rural) hospitals. 3704 (66·7%) of 5558 surgeries were emergent. 306 (5·5%) of 5558 patients died within 30 days of surgery. 226 (74%) of 306 deaths were due to circulatory system failure, which included 173 (57%) deaths from sepsis and 29 (9%) deaths from hypovolaemic shock including bleeding. 47 (15%) deaths were due to respiratory failure. 60 (20%) of 306 patients died without a clear cause of death: 45 (15%) patients died with sepsis of unknown origin and 15 (5%) patients died of an unknown cause. 46 (15%) of 306 patients died within 24 h, 111 (36%) between 24 h and 72 h, 57 (19%) between >72 h and 168 h, and 92 (30%) more than 1 week after surgery. 248 (81%) of 306 patients died in hospital and 58 (19%) patients died out of hospital. The adjusted Cox regression model identified age (hazard ratio 1·01, 95% CI 1·01–1·02; p<0·0001), ASA grade III–V (4·93, 3·45–7·03; p<0·0001), presence of diabetes (1·47, 1·04–2·41; p=0·033), being an ex-smoker (1·59, 1·10–2·30; p=0·013), emergency surgery (2·08, 1·45–2·98; p<0·0001), cancer (1·98, 1·42–2·76; p<0·0001), and major surgery (3·94, 2·30–6·75; p<0·0001) as risk factors for postoperative mortality Interpretation Circulatory failure leads to most deaths after abdominal surgery, with sepsis accounting for almost two-thirds. Variability in timing of death highlights opportunities to intervene throughout the perioperative pathway, including after hospital discharge. A high proportion of patients without a clear cause of death reflects the need to improve capacity to rescue and cure by strengthening perioperative systems. Funding National Institute for Health and Care Research Global Health Research Unit.