March 2025
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International Journal of Statistics and Applied Mathematics
In order to understand the changes in agricultural patterns brought about by urbanization, changing climatic conditions, and farmers' preference for alternative crops, this study examines the growth trends in the area, production, and yield of finger millet (ragi) and rice in the Konkan region of Maharashtra from 2011 to 2023. Data were gathered from government statistical reports and analyzed using compound annual growth rate (CAGR) to assess long-term trends. The results show that yield improvements were recorded, especially in Sindhudurg, where productivity increased by 4.31% annually, indicating the adoption of improved farming practices. However, overall ragi production showed a decreasing trend, primarily due to reduced cultivation areas. For rice, the study observed a mixed trend. While the overall area under cultivation slightly increased, production varied across districts. The highest growth in rice production was noted in Raigad and Sindhudurg, where both area expansion and yield improvements contributed to positive outcomes. In contrast, Thane exhibited a significant decline in both area and production, attributed to urbanization and soil degradation. The study highlights the need for targeted policies to sustain and enhance crop productivity. Interventions such as improved irrigation systems, modern farming techniques, and market incentives can help farmers adapt to changing agricultural dynamics. The findings provide valuable insights for policymakers, researchers, and stakeholders to develop strategies that ensure sustainable agricultural growth in the region.