[Show abstract][Hide abstract] ABSTRACT: Understanding differences in survival across distinct subgroups of melanoma patients may help with the choice of types of therapy. Tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes (TILs) are considered a manifestation of the host immune response to tumor, but the role of TILs in melanoma mortality is controversial. The aim of this study was to investigate independent prognostic factors for melanoma mortality. We carried out a 10-year cohort study on 4133 melanoma patients from the same geographic area (Lazio) with primary cutaneous melanoma diagnosed between January 1998 and December 2008. The probability of survival was estimated using Kaplan-Meier methods and prognostic factors were evaluated by multivariate analysis (Cox proportional hazards model). The 10-year survival rate for melanoma decreased with increasing Breslow thickness (Pfor trend<0.0001) and with age (Pfor trend<0.0001) whereas survival increased with increasing levels of TILs (Pfor trend=0.0001). The 10-year survival rate for melanoma divided into TILs intensity as scanty, moderate, and marked was 88.0, 92.2, and 97.0%, respectively. In the multivariate Cox model, the presence of high levels of TILs in primary invasive melanomas was associated with a lower risk of melanoma death (hazard ratio 0.32; 95% confidence interval 0.13-0.82) after controlling for sex, age, Breslow thickness, histological type, mitotic rate, and ulceration. After including lymph node status in the multivariate analysis, the protective effect of marked TILs on melanoma mortality remained (hazard ratio 0.37; 95% confidence interval 0.15-0.94). The results of this study suggest that the immune microenvironment affects melanoma survival.
Full-text · Article · Dec 2015 · Melanoma research
[Show abstract][Hide abstract] ABSTRACT: Some studies have suggested that sun exposure plays a protective role in melanoma survival. This created a paradox as the known carcinogen can act as a cancer promoter and also as a survival enhancer. The aim of this study was to investigate the effect of sun exposure on melanoma mortality using both ambient sun exposure and individual data. A 10-year cohort study was carried out on primary cutaneous melanoma cases (n=972). Residential data were coupled with levels of ultraviolet radiation (UV) to provide a measure of individual exposure. Demographic, histological and clinical data were obtained for all participants. In a subsample, information on pigmentary characteristics, diet, medical history, phenotype and self-reported sun exposure was also collected. Survival analysis and Cox proportional hazards models were used to examine associations. No protective effect was found for UVB or individual sun exposure variables on melanoma mortality. However, an increased risk of mortality was found among patients with cutaneous melanoma located on the lower limbs and in the highest decile of UVB exposure (≥3.298 J/cm) after controlling for sex, age and Breslow thickness (relative risk: 4.78; 95% confidence interval: 1.30-17.5). The increased risk of mortality for the highest decile of UVB was also confirmed in the subsample after controlling for sex, age, education, use of sun lamps, pigmentary characteristics and diet. The results of the study suggested no protective effect of sun exposure for melanoma mortality and showed that high sun exposure increases the risk of melanoma mortality among patients with melanomas located on the lower limbs.
No preview · Article · Feb 2015 · European journal of cancer prevention: the official journal of the European Cancer Prevention Organisation (ECP)
[Show abstract][Hide abstract] ABSTRACT: Table 1. City-specific percent change increase in daily 65+ yr mortality associated with 3°C increases in maximum apparent temperature (MAT) pre (1998–2002) and post intervention (2006–2010). Figure 1. Plots of city-specific effects (RR, 95%CI) on daily 65+ mortality associated with 3°C increases in MAT pre (1998–2002) and post (2006–2010) intervention.
[Show abstract][Hide abstract] ABSTRACT: Background:
This multicenter study is aimed at estimating changes in the effect of high temperatures on elderly mortality before and after the 2003 heat waves and following the introduction of heat prevention activities.
A total of sixteen cities were included in the study. City-specific relationships between maximum apparent temperature (MAT) and elderly daily mortality before (1998-2002) and after (2006-2010) intervention were modelled through non-linear distributed lag models and estimates were combined using a random effect meta-analysis. We estimated the percentage change in daily mortality for 3°C variations in MAT above the 25th percentile of the June city-specific 1998-2002 distribution. A time-varying analysis was carried out to describe intra-seasonal variations in the two periods.
We observed a reduction in high temperatures' effect post intervention; the greatest reduction was for increases in temperature from 9°C to 12°C above the 25th percentile, with a decrease from +36.7% to +13.3%. A weak effect was observed for temperatures up to 3°C above the 25th percentile only after. Changes were month-specific with a reduction in August and an increase in May, June and September in 2006-2010.
A change in the temperature-mortality relationship was observed, attributable to variations in temperature distributions during summer and to the introduction of adaptation measures. The reduction in the effect of high temperature suggests that prevention programs can mitigate the impact. An effect of lower temperature remains, indicating a relevant impact of temperature at the beginning of summer when the population has not yet adapted and intervention activities are not fully operational.
Full-text · Article · Sep 2012 · Environmental Health
[Show abstract][Hide abstract] ABSTRACT: The present study aimed at developing a standardized heat wave definition to estimate and compare the impact on mortality by gender, age and death causes in Europe during summers 1990-2004 and 2003, separately, accounting for heat wave duration and intensity.
Heat waves were defined considering both maximum apparent temperature and minimum temperature and classified by intensity, duration and timing during summer. The effect was estimated as percent increase in daily mortality during heat wave days compared to non heat wave days in people over 65 years. City specific and pooled estimates by gender, age and cause of death were calculated.
The effect of heat waves showed great geographical heterogeneity among cities. Considering all years, except 2003, the increase in mortality during heat wave days ranged from + 7.6% in Munich to + 33.6% in Milan. The increase was up to 3-times greater during episodes of long duration and high intensity. Pooled results showed a greater impact in Mediterranean (+ 21.8% for total mortality) than in North Continental (+ 12.4%) cities. The highest effect was observed for respiratory diseases and among women aged 75-84 years. In 2003 the highest impact was observed in cities where heat wave episode was characterized by unusual meteorological conditions.
Climate change scenarios indicate that extreme events are expected to increase in the future even in regions where heat waves are not frequent. Considering our results prevention programs should specifically target the elderly, women and those suffering from chronic respiratory disorders, thus reducing the impact on mortality.
Full-text · Article · Jul 2010 · Environmental Health
[Show abstract][Hide abstract] ABSTRACT: Since 2004, the Italian Department for Civil Protection and the Ministry of Health have implemented a national program for the prevention of heat-health effects during summer, which to-date includes 34 major cities and 93% of the residents aged 65 years and over. The Italian program represents an important example of an integrated approach to prevent the impact of heat on health, comprising Heat Health Watch Warning Systems, a mortality surveillance system and prevention activities targeted to susceptible subgroups. City-specific warning systems are based on the relationship between temperature and mortality and serve as basis for the modulation of prevention measures. Local prevention activities, based on the guidelines defined by the Ministry of Health, are constructed around the infrastructures and services available. A key component of the prevention program is the identification of susceptible individuals and the active surveillance by General Practitioners, medical personnel and social workers. The mortality surveillance system enables the timely estimation of the impact of heat, and heat waves, on mortality during summer as well as to the evaluation of warning systems and prevention programs. Considering future predictions of climate change, the implementation of effective prevention programs, targeted to high risk subjects, become a priority in the public health agenda.
Full-text · Article · May 2010 · International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health
[Show abstract][Hide abstract] ABSTRACT: Few studies have identified specific factors that increase mortality during heat waves. This study investigated socio-demographic characteristics and pre-existing medical conditions as effect modifiers of the risk of dying during heat waves in a cohort of elderly residents in Rome.
A cohort of 651,195 residents aged 65 yrs or older was followed from 2005 to 2007. During summer, heat wave days were defined according to month-specific thresholds of maximum apparent temperature. The adjusted relative risk of dying during heat waves was estimated using a Poisson regression model including all the considered covariates. Risk differences were also calculated. All analyses were run separately for the 65-74 and 75+ age groups.
In the 65-74 age group the risk of dying during heat waves was higher among unmarried subjects and those with a previous hospitalization for chronic pulmonary disease or psychiatric disorders. In the 75+ age group, women, and unmarried subjects were more susceptible to heat. Furthermore, a higher susceptibility to heat among those with previous hospitalization for diabetes, diseases of the central nervous system (CNS), psychiatric disorders and cerebrovascular diseases resulted from risk differences.
Results showed a higher susceptibility to heat among those older than seventy-five years, females and unmarried. Pre-existing health conditions play a different role among the two considered age groups. Moreover, compared with previous studies the pattern of susceptibility factors have slightly changed over time. For the purposes of public health programmes, susceptibility should be considered as time, space and population specific.
Full-text · Article · Nov 2009 · Environmental Health
[Show abstract][Hide abstract] ABSTRACT: Rationale: Episode analyses of heat waves have documented a com-paratively higher impact on mortality than on morbidity (hospital admissions) in European cities. The evidence from daily time series studies is scarce and inconsistent. Objectives: To evaluate the impact of high environmental temper-atures on hospital admissions during April to September in 12 Euro-pean cities participating in the Assessment and Prevention of Acute Health Effects of Weather Conditions in Europe (PHEWE) project. Methods: For each city, time series analysis was used to model the relationship between maximum apparent temperature (lag 0–3 days) and daily hospital admissions for cardiovascular, cerebrovascular, and respiratory causes by age (all ages, 65–74 age group, and 751 age group), and the city-specific estimates were pooled for two geograph-ical groupings of cities. Measurements and Main Results: For respiratory admissions, there was a positive association that was heterogeneous between cities. For a 18C increase in maximum apparent temperature above a threshold, re-spiratory admissions increased by 14.5% (95% confidence interval, 1.9–7.3) and 13.1% (95% confidence interval, 0.8–5.5) in the 751 age group in Mediterranean and North-Continental cities, respectively. In contrast, the association between temperature and cardiovascular and cerebrovascular admissions tended to be negative and did not reach statistical significance. Conclusions: High temperatures have a specific impact on respiratory admissions, particularly in the elderly population, but the underlying mechanisms are poorly understood. Why high temperature in-creases cardiovascular mortality but not cardiovascular admissions is also unclear. The impact of extreme heat events on respiratory admissions is expected to increase in European cities as a result of global warming and progressive population aging.
Full-text · Article · Mar 2009 · American Journal of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine
[Show abstract][Hide abstract] ABSTRACT: The aim of the present study was to analyse the role of potential selection processes and their impact when evaluating risk factors for 30-day mortality among patients hospitalised for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). A cohort of 26,039 patients aged > or = 35 yrs and hospitalised with COPD were enrolled. A 30-day follow-up was carried out using both the cause mortality register (CMR) and the hospital discharge register (HDR). Individual and hospital factors associated with 30-day mortality were studied using both mortality outcomes. The 30-day mortality rate was 1.21.1,000 patient-days(-1) (95% confidence interval (CI) 1.14-1.29) using the CMR, and 1.06.1,000 patient-days(-1) (95% CI 0.98-1.13) using the HDR. Male patients, the most poorly educated, those who resided outside Rome and those who had more than one hospitalisation in the previous 2 yrs were more likely to die after discharge than when hospitalised. The most frequent cause of in-hospital death was respiratory disease and after discharge, heart disease. Older age, male sex, comorbidities, previous hospitalisations for respiratory failure, and admission to a ward not appropriate to treat respiratory diseases were the most important predictors of 30-day mortality. Using in-hospital 30-day mortality provides a significantly different estimate of the role of specific risk factors.
Full-text · Article · May 2008 · European Respiratory Journal
[Show abstract][Hide abstract] ABSTRACT: In Lazio region (Italy), mortality data are currently available from the death cause registry (DCR), which reports only underlying causes. Mortality due to other causes, defined concurrent mortality, are need to appropriately estimate the health impact from chronic diseases. The aims of the study were to estimate concurrent mortality from chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), using hospital discharge registry (HDR), to discuss the validity and limits of this method, and to compare underlying and concurrent mortality from COPD in the Lazio region.
A mortality study was carried out for residents who died in 1996-2000 with COPD listed as the underlying cause of death and those who died in the hospital with a different underlying cause of death listed but with a discharge diagnosis of COPD. Age-standardized mortality rates were obtained for males and females separately, using the direct method. A random sample of death certificates was used to validate concurrent causes of death as defined from discharge diagnoses.
Age-standardised mortality for COPD as underlying cause of death was 3.68/10,000 in male and 2.29/10,000 in female residents. Mortality increased slightly in the study period for women, but no trend was evident. Age-standardised mortality for COPD as concurrent cause of death was 2.39/10,000 in male and 1.31/10,000 in female residents. The positive predictive value for concurrent COPD mortality was 54.3%.
Concurrent COPD mortality contributed 62.3% to the whole mortality. The estimates of concurrent COPD mortality were comparable to those reported in other countries, though using hospital data may overestimate the real concurrent mortality as estimated from death certificates.
Full-text · Article · Oct 2007 · Respiratory Medicine
[Show abstract][Hide abstract] ABSTRACT: to estimate mortality due to chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), risk of dying from COPD without hospital admission and mortality within 30 days after hospital admission for COPD in an Italian region.
population registries of death causes and hospital discharge reports were used as data sources; COPD was identified through ICD-9 codes = 490.X, 491.X, 492.X, 494.Xe 496.X. Age-adjusted mortality rates were calculated by direct standardisation using the Italian population from 1996 to 2000; logistic regression was used to estimate predictors of dying from COPD in multivariable models.
there were 4,292 deaths among men and 2,713 among women; the mean annual mortality was 3.68/10,000 inhabitants among men and 2.29/10,000 among women.
no statistically significant trend was observed from 1996 to 2000, but the increase in mortality rate was higher for females (13.2%) than for males (2.0%), suggesting a possible inversion in smoking habit between sexes. The risk of dying without hospitalisation was higher for males who resided outside Rome (OR 1.65; CI 95% 1.04-2.62). Mortality within 30 days after hospitalisation was 4.2% among 25,046 patients. Patients who died were more likely to be over 54 and male, to have comorbidities or complications, hospitalised in general wards rather than pneumology or intensive care units, and have been on ventilation.
No preview · Article · Mar 2007 · Epidemiologia e prevenzione